| 昨日涨跌幅后五行业 | | --- | 2025 年 07 月 02 日 他 研 究 开源晨会 0702 ——晨会纪要 沪深300 及创业板指数近1年走势 数据来源：聚源 -16% 0% 16% 32% 48% 64% 2024-07 2024-11 2025-03 沪深300 创业板指 昨日涨跌幅前五行业 | 行业名称 | 涨跌幅(%) | | --- | --- | | 综合 | 2.601 | | 医药生物 | 1.804 | | 银行 | 1.535 | | 有色金属 | 1.489 | | 公用事业 | 1.046 | | 数据来源：聚源 | | | 行业名称 | 涨跌幅(%) | | --- | --- | | 计算机 | -1.182 | | 商贸零售 | -0.788 | | 通信 | -0.452 | | 传媒 | -0.376 | | 电力设备 | -0.373 | 数据来源：聚源 吴梦迪（分析师） wumengdi@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790521070001 观点精粹 总量视角 【宏观经济】"两重"接力支撑 PMI，预计 Q2 GDP 约 5.2%——兼评 6 月 PM ...

证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·房地产 房地产行业跟踪周报 二手房成交面积同环比回落，加快构建房地产 发展新模式 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] ◼ 投资要点 2025 年 07 月 01 日 证券分析师 房诚琦 执业证书：S0600522100002 fangcq@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -11% -5% 1% 7% 13% 19% 25% 31% 37% 43% 2024/7/1 2024/10/29 2025/2/26 2025/6/26 房地产 沪深300 相关研究 《新房成交面积同比下滑，多地放松 政策持续出台》 2025-06-23 《新房成交面积同比回落，更大力度 推动房地产市场止跌回稳》 2025-06-17 东吴证券研究所 1 / 17 | 1. 板块观点 | 4 | | --- | --- | | 2. 房地产基本面与高频数据 | 6 | | | 2.1. 房产市场情况 6 | | | 2.2. 土地市场情况 10 | | | 2.3. 房地产行业融资情况 11 | | 3. 行情回顾 | 12 | | 4. 行业政策跟踪 | 15 | | 5. ...

投诉高发小区和物业公司名单如下： 南岛小镇小区(青岛新时代物业服务有限公司)、桃源居小区(青岛大成物业管理有限公司)、维多利亚湾 小区(1-6期深圳市万象美住宅物业管理有限公司青岛港区分公司；7-10期融创物业服务集团有限公司黄 岛分公司)、卓越青岚郡小区(青岛卓越物业管理有限公司)、海岸馨园小区(青岛鑫荣源物业管理有限公 司)、和达虹湾小区(青岛和达致远物业服务有限公司)、金科星辰小区(金科智慧服务集团股份有限公司 枣庄分公司)、浮山后四小区(青岛广和物业有限公司)、居之乐之小区(青岛金梦物业有限公司)、正阳东 郡小区(青岛动车小镇信安物业管理有限公司)、中铁诺德澜湾小区(中铁诺德物业管理有限公司青岛分公 司)、观澜国际小区(青岛宝泰通物业管理有限公司)、鲁信长春花园小区(青岛长乐未央物业管理有限公 司)、保利时代小区(保利物业服务股份有限公司青岛分公司)、梧桐苑小区(中铁建南方投资有限公司)、 幸福小镇小区(青岛瑞源智慧产业集团有限公司)、白沙上苑小区(青岛房投建融物业运营管理有限公 司)、未来城小区(青岛世佳物业管理有限公司)、紫荆阁小区(山西昊天诚业物业管理有限公司青岛分公 司)、金都馨城小区(青岛华 ...

Core Viewpoint - Vanke acknowledges facing operational difficulties in 2024 but expresses confidence in overcoming these challenges due to supportive policies and strong operational performance [1][2] Financial Performance - In 2024, Vanke achieved revenue exceeding 340 billion, with comprehensive residential business sales surpassing 240 billion, maintaining a sales collection rate of 100% and delivering over 180,000 high-quality homes [1] - In Q1 2025, Vanke reported nearly 38 billion in revenue and around 35 billion in sales, with a collection rate exceeding 100% [2] - Vanke's debt management includes 948 billion in new financing and refinancing in 2024, with a comprehensive cost of 3.54% [2] Debt Management - Vanke completed the repayment of approximately 197 billion in domestic and foreign public bonds in 2024, with over 160 billion repaid since 2025 [2] - As of 2025, Vanke has 14 bonds maturing within a year, totaling approximately 285.4 billion [2] Business Development - Vanke has developed a systematic approach to revitalizing existing resources, generating over 200 billion in new sales from revitalized sellable assets worth over 700 billion [3] - The property management segment generated over 36 billion in revenue, with a year-on-year growth of 8.9% [3] Property Management and Rental Business - Vanke's rental housing management scale reached 262,000 units, with a rental rate of 95.6% and a customer satisfaction rate exceeding 95% [4] - The company has successfully revitalized over 14,600 units through a "sale to rent" strategy [4] Commercial and Logistics Performance - Vanke's commercial segment opened over 10 million square meters of retail space, with a 94% presence in first and second-tier cities [5] - The logistics and warehousing segment achieved 39.7 billion in revenue, with a high-standard warehouse occupancy rate of 87% [6]

周期红利行业 2025 年中期策略汇报 20260626 摘要 房地产政策推动止跌回稳，轻资产领域已现回稳迹象，重资产开发领域 正经历出清，部分风险企业在政策或政府救助下趋稳。优质企业通过阿 尔法策略展现竞争力。 新消费成经济增长引擎，贡献率超 50%，但消费支出占 GDP 比重仍低 于发达国家，新消费热点如 IP 产品、体验式商业驱动商业地产经营和股 价。 房地产转向存量市场，科技赋能提升轻资产运营效率，如物业管理中机 器人替代人工可降低 20%-30%成本，显著提升毛利率。 房地产市场分化加剧，新房销售向核心城市集中，前六大城市销售额占 全国 24.2%，投资也集中于一二线城市，预计此趋势将持续。 品牌房企在一二线城市拿地利润率改善，具备品牌优势和产品质量的企 业更具发展潜力，市场估值已体现认可，预计将持续。 2023 年 9 月 26 日以来政策有效，新房销售降幅收窄，但 2024 年 4 月 起市场成交热度下降，7-9 月或为新政策窗口期，核心城市销售表现优 于其他城市。 看好商业、中介和物业管理赛道，以及在核心城市布局的品牌开发商。 高股息股票如持有重资产商业、轻资产商业管理和轻资产物业管理的企 业 ...

Summary of Poly Property Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Poly Property - **Industry**: Property Management Key Points Industry and Market Dynamics - Non-owner value-added services are declining due to the real estate cycle, although engineering services are providing some offset, leading to an overall decrease in performance [2][3] - The third-party market expansion revenue growth is faster than internal projects, but the lower gross margin impacts overall profitability [2][3] - In the first five months of 2025, market expansion exceeded expectations with contract amounts increasing year-on-year, focusing on core cities and high-quality clients [2][4] Financial Performance - For the first five months of 2025, the company achieved expected revenue growth of approximately 5%, but profit faced pressure due to a reduction in non-owner value-added services and structural factors in basic property management [3] - The company aims for a total external expansion target of 3 billion yuan for the year, maintaining quality while ensuring good reputation in core cities [5][10] Revenue and Payment Collection - C-end payment pressure has increased since the second half of 2024, continuing into 2025, with a noticeable decline in C-end collection rates [7] - B-end and G-end collections are affected by seasonal factors and budget constraints, but the overall changes remain manageable as of May [7] - The company reported that property fee reductions have minimal impact, with less than 1% of projects experiencing price cuts, and the overall sentiment is stabilizing [8] Pricing and Service Quality - The proportion of price reduction projects in 2024 was low, primarily in second and third-tier cities, with adjustments made through negotiation rather than exiting the market [9] - Owners' demands focus on cost-effectiveness and service quality improvements, with a small percentage of projects experiencing price cuts [9][11] Profitability and Cost Management - Profitability is under pressure due to the decline in non-owner value-added services and slower-than-expected progress in new business lines [10] - The gross margin is facing pressure due to an increase in third-party project contributions, which typically have lower margins [13] - The company is implementing cost-reduction measures, including the use of AI and robotics to enhance operational efficiency [19] Dividend Policy - The company has increased its dividend payout ratio to 50% and aims to continue enhancing cash returns to investors, with future dividends to be determined based on year-end discussions and investor feedback [15][18] Technology and Innovation - The introduction of AI and robotics is expected to significantly improve operational efficiency in property management, with pilot projects already underway [19] Future Outlook - The company maintains a positive outlook on the long-term demand for quality services and living experiences, despite current market pressures [16][17] Additional Insights - The company is focusing on high-quality projects, such as large contracts with strong payment capabilities, to ensure both volume and quality in its market expansion [6][10]

Core Points - A recent tax evasion case in Huaihua, Hunan Province, revealed that a property management company concealed over 1.96 million yuan in taxes by not issuing invoices for services rendered, leading to public complaints and eventual legal action [1] - The importance of requesting invoices is highlighted as it protects consumer rights, promotes tax law fairness, and maintains national tax security [1][2] - The digitalization of electronic invoices has been officially promoted nationwide, providing consumers with a more convenient way to obtain and store invoices [2] Group 1 - The property management company engaged in tax evasion by using personal accounts to collect company income without issuing invoices, resulting in significant tax underpayment [1] - Consumers often face refusals when requesting invoices, which can hinder their ability to prove transactions and seek redress for issues like product quality [1][3] - Requesting invoices serves as a form of oversight against tax evasion, supporting honest taxpayers and contributing to a fair tax environment [2] Group 2 - Some businesses have started using new excuses to refuse issuing invoices, such as not meeting the minimum spending requirement or offering discounted group rates [3] - Consumers are encouraged to assert their rights to request invoices, as it is a legal entitlement under the Consumer Rights Protection Law [2] - Maintaining a fair tax environment requires collective effort, starting with the simple act of requesting invoices [3]

行 业 及 产 业 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 证 券 研 究 报 证券分析师 袁豪 A0230520120001 yuanhao@swsresearch.com 陈鹏 A0230521110002 chenpeng@swsresearch.com 联系人 陈鹏 (8621)23297818× chenpeng@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 2025 年 06 月 29 日 加快构建新发展模式，一二手成交 周环比回升 看好 ——地产及物管行业周报（2025/06/21-2025/06/27） 本期投资提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 告 房地产 ⚫ 地产行业数据：一二手房成交环比回升，新房成交推盘比下降。 上周（25/6/21- 25/6/27）34 个重点城市新房合计成交 379 万平米，环比+51%；其中，一二线环比 +56%、三四线环比-0.2%；6 月一手房月成交同比-13%，较 5 月-3.5pct；其中，一二线 同比-11%、三四线同比-26%，分别较 5 月-1pct 和-32pct。上周 13 个重点城市二手房成 交 ...

Group 1 - The increasing demand for high-quality living environments is driven by rapid social development, particularly among residents in closed communities who are sensitive to environmental issues such as garbage accumulation, unpleasant odors, and noise pollution [1] - These environmental issues have become hot topics for complaints, directly affecting residents' quality of life, necessitating enhanced regulation and governance [1] - The resolution of these issues requires collaborative efforts from relevant authorities, local streets, and property management companies, with a focus on the proactive role of property companies in reducing complaint pressures [1] Group 2 - Property management companies should prioritize creating beautiful and livable environments as a key aspect of daily management and service quality improvement, taking a leading role in green maintenance and waste classification [2] - Property companies serve as a bridge for communication between residents and local government, understanding residents' needs and concerns, and should enhance communication and information transparency to gain residents' support [2] - There is an emphasis on the importance of legal knowledge related to ecological environment management, with property companies encouraged to engage in educational efforts to raise awareness about building harmonious and beautiful communities [2]

在物业管理行业从增量转向存量的时代背景下，管理规模整体增速持续放缓，行业回归服务本源。 受管理规模增速放缓影响，2024年物业管理行业整体营收规模达1.75万亿元，营收增速连续三年放缓，同时2024年500强、百强、上市物企毛利润首次出 现全面下滑。 在当前整体行业调整期，物业企业虽面临诸多挑战，但仍优于房企，具备一定的抗风险能力和经营稳定性。 对行业内的企业而言，当前最重要的是明晰自身优劣势，精准制定发展战略，提升市场竞争力，把握结构性机遇。 物企管理规模增速回落 营收增速放缓 500强、百强及上市物企的增速已连续多年下滑。 2024年，500强物企在管面积为192.8亿平方米，同比增长5.1%，增速较2023年下降1.1个百分点，连续三年呈下降趋势；百强物企和上市物企在管面积分 别为138.2亿平方米和76.6亿平方米，增速分别为5.9%和6.3%，同比分别下降1.7和5.7个百分点。 "双利""双率"持续承压 但仍优于房企 从毛利润和净利润来看，2024年，500强、百强、上市物企毛利润分别为1000.8亿元、780.6亿元和557.4亿元，增速分别为-2.8%、-2.4%、-5.7%，较2023年 分 ...