Summary of Nari Technology - A Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Nari Technology - A - **Industry**: Power Equipment and Utilities Key Highlights 1. **New Order Growth**: - New order growth maintained at **20%** for the first 11 months of 2025, consistent with the growth rate in the first nine months of 2025. Strength noted in orders from the ESS (Energy Storage Systems) and renewables sectors [2][4][5] 2. **Overseas Revenue Contribution**: - Overseas ESS revenue accounted for approximately **60%** of total ESS revenue, with a **140%** year-over-year growth in overseas revenue. This contributed to **10%** of total revenue in the first half of 2025 [4][6] 3. **Expense Control**: - Management emphasized stringent control over selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses, forecasting that SG&A growth will be much lower than revenue growth this year and in the coming years. R&D spending is expected to remain stable at around **6-7%** of revenue [6][7] 4. **Grid Capital Expenditure Focus**: - Key focus areas for grid capital expenditure during the 15th Five-Year Plan (FYP) include investments in UHV (Ultra High Voltage), power dispatch systems, ESS, and micro-grids. The State Grid aims to enhance its capacity to dispatch an additional **200GW** of renewable power annually [6][7] 5. **ESS Revenue Guidance**: - Management guided for over **Rmb4 billion** in revenue from ESS products, with overseas revenue contributing around **60%** of this total. The company specializes in ESS integration, offering products such as battery management systems and energy management systems [4][5] 6. **Technological Edge**: - Nari Technology is noted for its understanding of grid connections and automation, providing a competitive advantage in the control and monitoring of ESS systems. However, margins in this sector are currently low, ranging from **15-20%** due to intense competition [5][6] 7. **Investment Thesis**: - The investment thesis is based on expected benefits from policy tailwinds, including stronger renewable installations and grid capex driven by China's 2035 renewable capacity target and plans to double energy storage capacity by 2027 [7][8] 8. **Valuation and Price Target**: - The price target for December 2026 is set at **Rmb28.50**, based on a projected **22x** P/E ratio for 2027, implying a **4.1x** FY26E P/B and a **2.5%** dividend yield [8] Risks - Potential downside risks include lower-than-expected grid capex, margins, and UHV investments, which could impact the company's performance and valuation [9] Conclusion - Nari Technology is positioned to capitalize on growth in the ESS and renewables sectors, with a strong focus on expense control and strategic investments in grid technology. The company maintains an Overweight rating with a positive outlook based on anticipated policy support and market trends [2][7][8]

Core Insights - The Air Insulated Switchgear (AIS) market is projected to grow from USD 71.02 billion in 2025 to USD 103.23 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 4.79% from 2026 to 2033 [1][7]. Market Growth Drivers - The increasing integration of renewable energy sources, such as wind and solar, into existing power networks is a significant factor driving the demand for AIS [1]. - The need for reliable and adaptable switchgear systems to manage fluctuating loads and maintain grid stability is becoming essential as utilities and industrial users transition to clean energy [1]. Technological Advancements - Developments in digital monitoring, IoT-enabled AIS, and modular designs facilitate real-time load management and predictive maintenance, reducing operational downtime [2]. - Government programs promoting renewable energy usage further accelerate AIS deployment, particularly in regions investing in smart city initiatives and grid modernization [2]. Market Segmentation - By Voltage Level: The Medium Voltage (1–36 kV) segment holds a 52% market share, while Low Voltage (up to 1 kV) accounts for 28% [8]. - By Installation Type: Indoor installations dominate with a 55% share, while outdoor installations account for 45% [9]. - By Component: Circuit Breakers lead with a 30% share, essential for interrupting fault currents and ensuring system protection [10]. - By End-User Industry: Transmission & Distribution Utilities hold a 40% share, driven by investments in grid infrastructure and renewable energy integration [11]. Regional Insights - North America leads the AIS market with a 40% share in 2025, supported by advanced grid infrastructure and regulatory incentives [14]. - The Asia Pacific region accounts for 23% of the market and is the fastest-growing area due to rapid industrialization and government-backed grid modernization initiatives [15]. Key Market Players - Leading companies in the AIS market include ABB Ltd, Siemens AG, Schneider Electric SE, Eaton Corporation PLC, General Electric (GE), Mitsubishi Electric Corporation, and others [5].

Core Viewpoint - The company Yingweitong (002334.SZ) has developed prefabricated power modules designed as key infrastructure solutions for high-reliability scenarios such as data centers [1] Group 1: Product Features - The prefabricated power modules integrate prefabricated busbars, efficient transformers, modular UPS, integrated distribution architecture, and intelligent real-time monitoring systems [1] - The product enables rapid deployment, high energy efficiency, and intelligent operation and maintenance [1] Group 2: Performance Metrics - The modules can significantly shorten delivery times by over 40% [1] - They achieve system efficiency of up to 98% in super ECO mode [1] - The design saves more than 30% in space [1] Group 3: Applications and Benefits - The product is widely used across various sectors including telecommunications, internet, government, education, research, energy, taxation, and healthcare [1] - It provides safe, reliable, and recyclable power solutions, supporting the industry's digitalization and low-carbon transformation [1]

Core Viewpoint - Caterpillar's stock is being positively influenced by optimism surrounding its long-term exposure to artificial intelligence (AI) and data center investments, despite being traditionally viewed as part of the "old economy" [1] Caterpillar's AI/Data Center Exposure - The recent investor day presentation highlighted the new power and energy segment, which is a restructured version of the old energy and transportation segment, excluding the rail division [2] - The power and energy segment focuses on engines, generator sets, and industrial gas turbines, with management identifying significant growth opportunities driven by AI-led demand for data center capacity and power [3] Segment Performance - The energy and transportation segment generated $8.4 billion in sales, reflecting a 17% growth, and $1.68 billion in profit, with a profit growth of 17.1% [4] - Other segments, such as construction industries and resource industries, showed lower sales and profit growth, with construction industries at $6.76 billion (7% growth) and resource industries at $3.11 billion (2% growth) [4] Guidance Upgrade - The growth potential in the power and energy segment has led management to upgrade medium-term targets, reflecting confidence in future performance [7] - The new targets for 2024-2030 include a sales growth of 5%-7% compound annual growth, adjusted operating profit margins of 15%-19% at $60 billion in sales, and free cash flow guidance increased to $6 billion to $15 billion [9] Valuation Insights - Caterpillar's current market capitalization of $259 billion suggests a valuation range between 43 times (at trough free cash flow) and 17 times (at peak free cash flow), indicating that the stock price already reflects optimism from the AI/data center theme [10] - The market appears to be factoring in positive outcomes for other segments, such as construction and resources, which is a consideration for potential investors at the current valuation [11]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The focus for 2026 in Asian markets will shift from AI-driven stocks to growth opportunities beyond AI, dividends, and previously overlooked stories in Asia [2][12][14] - Key themes include structural stories in energy self-sufficiency, new technology, financial deepening, and the growth of formal retail in ASEAN [12][14] Company-Specific Insights 1. Harbin Electric (1133 HK) - **Sector**: Electrical Equipment - **Market Cap**: USD 3.648 billion - **Current Price**: HKD 15.53; **Target Price**: HKD 22.00 - **PE Ratio**: 10.7; **PB Ratio**: 1.6; **ROE**: 16.2% - **Key Points**: - Benefiting from China's push for energy self-sufficiency, particularly in coal and nuclear power [16][18] - Expected earnings CAGR of 34% from 2024-2027 [19] - Potential inclusion in Stock Connect in 2026 [19] 2. Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) - **Sector**: Auto Components - **Market Cap**: USD 14.901 billion - **Current Price**: CNY 8.44; **Target Price**: CNY 11.00 - **Key Points**: - Positioned to benefit from the growth of autonomous driving technology [23][25] - Expected revenue CAGR of 64% from 2025-2027 [27] 3. Goldwind Science & Tech (002202 CH) - **Sector**: Electric Utilities - **Market Cap**: USD 8.753 billion - **Current Price**: CNY 15.35; **Target Price**: CNY 20.40 - **Key Points**: - Leading manufacturer of wind turbines with strong demand in emerging markets [30][32] - Expected net profit growth of 58% in 2025 [32] 4. Trip.com Group (TCOM US) - **Sector**: Internet Software & Services - **Market Cap**: USD 48.707 billion - **Current Price**: USD 74.52; **Target Price**: USD 90.00 - **Key Points**: - Dominates China's online travel market with over 50% GTV [39] - Expected revenue growth of 15% CAGR from 2025-2027 [39] 5. BOCHK Holdings (2388 HK) - **Sector**: Commercial Banks - **Market Cap**: USD 54.013 billion - **Current Price**: HKD 39.70; **Target Price**: HKD 45.20 - **Key Points**: - Benefits from increased cross-border opportunities and offers a 5.5% dividend yield [44][46] 6. PB Fintech (POLICYBZ IN) - **Sector**: Internet Software & Services - **Market Cap**: USD 8.999 billion - **Current Price**: INR 1,734.70; **Target Price**: INR 2,250.00 - **Key Points**: - Operates India's largest online insurance marketplace [49] - Expected revenue CAGR of 30% from 2025-2028 [51] 7. Phoenix Mills (PHNX IN) - **Sector**: Real Estate Management & Development - **Market Cap**: USD 6.904 billion - **Current Price**: INR 1,714.80; **Target Price**: INR 2,110.00 - **Key Points**: - Largest mall operator in India, evolving into a mixed-use developer [54][56] 8. E-Mart (139480 KS) - **Sector**: Multiline Retail - **Market Cap**: USD 1.482 billion - **Current Price**: KRW 79,000.00; **Target Price**: KRW 120,000.00 - **Key Points**: - Trading at 0.2x PB, highlighting deep value [59] - Transformation into a multiline retailer with various catalysts for growth [60] 9. E Ink Holdings (8069 TT) - **Sector**: Technology - **Market Cap**: Not specified - **Current Price**: TWD 169.00; **Target Price**: TWD 305.00 - **Key Points**: - Holds over 90% of the global e-paper market and expanding capacity [62] 10. ICTSI (ICT PM) - **Sector**: Transport & Logistics - **Market Cap**: Not specified - **Current Price**: PHP 558.50; **Target Price**: PHP 630.00 - **Key Points**: - Offers growth and yield at attractive valuations [62] 11. City Developments (CIT SP) - **Sector**: Real Estate Management & Development - **Market Cap**: Not specified - **Current Price**: SGD 7.43; **Target Price**: SGD 11.00 - **Key Points**: - Positioned to benefit from a turnaround in Singapore's property sector [62] 12. Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) - **Sector**: Retail - **Market Cap**: Not specified - **Current Price**: IDR 1,895.00; **Target Price**: IDR 2,900.00 - **Key Points**: - Expected to benefit from policies boosting consumption in Indonesia [62] Additional Insights - Asian dividends have doubled over the last 20 years, indicating potential for further increases in payout ratios [12] - The report emphasizes the importance of EPS growth for continued market gains, particularly in China [12][14]

Crude Oil Market - Crude oil prices remained steady in Asian trading, with Brent Oil Futures at $62.45 per barrel and WTI at $57.91 per barrel, following a weekly loss of approximately 3% [2] - The U.S. and Ukraine have agreed on a refined peace framework, which could potentially increase global oil supply if Russian oil flows resume, although analysts believe a deal is unlikely soon due to unresolved issues [3] - New U.S. sanctions on Russian oil firms, effective November 21, restrict crude exports, but market skepticism remains regarding their long-term impact [3] South Korean Currency Market - South Korean authorities are discussing stabilization measures for the won, which has seen increased volatility, recently surpassing ₩1,470 per dollar [4] - The volatility is attributed to a surge in overseas investments by Korean residents and an imbalance in dollar demand and supply [5] - The National Pension Service, holding 44% of its assets in overseas stocks and bonds, is a key focus for potential adjustments to stabilize the currency [5] Alibaba and AI Market - Alibaba's Qwen chatbot has surpassed 10 million downloads, indicating a strong push into the consumer AI market and positively impacting its stock [6][7] - The Qwen3-Max-Preview model features over one trillion parameters, positioning Alibaba as a leading generative AI provider in China [8] - Alibaba's strategic investments in AI aim to reduce reliance on U.S.-made chips and enhance its competitive edge [8] Hong Kong's Trade and Technology Initiatives - Hong Kong's Financial Secretary is leading a delegation to Italy to showcase technological advancements and strengthen business ties [9] - The delegation includes start-ups from various sectors, aiming to attract European companies to the Asian markets [10] Chinese Power Equipment Industry - Chinese power equipment manufacturers are experiencing a surge in demand due to the global AI boom, particularly in the U.S. and emerging markets [11] - Exports of transformers and high-voltage GIS from China increased significantly, with a 37.8% rise in transformers and a 28.5% rise in GIS in the first ten months of the year [12] - Companies like Sieyuan Electric reported substantial revenue and profit increases, driven by strong overseas demand [12]

Core Points - The 2025 China Innovation Method Competition concluded on November 21, with Shaanxi province achieving outstanding results, winning 5 first prizes, 3 second prizes, and 1 third prize, the highest number of first prizes in the country [1] - The competition, one of the most influential events in the field of technological innovation, attracted 7,139 projects from 31 provincial regions, covering various sectors including aerospace, new generation information technology, electric equipment, petrochemicals, and automotive manufacturing [1] - A total of 210 projects advanced to the finals, competing for national first, second, and third prizes, as well as excellence awards, with 11 projects reaching the television competition for gold, silver, and bronze awards [1] Industry Insights - The Shaanxi Provincial Association for Science and Technology has prioritized the promotion of innovative methods, using the competition as a key tool to support scientific workers and drive technological innovation [1] - The association has hosted the Shaanxi Provincial Innovation Method Competition for five consecutive years, successfully identifying and selecting a number of excellent projects and innovative talents [1] - Future plans include summarizing the competition's experiences to enhance training coverage and specificity, guiding more frontline scientific workers to master and apply innovative theories, methods, and tools, thereby improving their problem-solving and technological innovation capabilities [1]

Group 1 - A-shares experienced a collective decline on November 21, 2025, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 1.88%, the Shenzhen Component down 2.72%, and the ChiNext down 3.18% [1] - Foreign investment institutions are increasingly allocating to Chinese assets, with UBS reporting a slight increase in Chinese positions across various funds in Q3 [1] - Major foreign institutions like JPMorgan, BNP Paribas, and Merrill Lynch have increased their allocations to A-shares, focusing on sectors such as electrical equipment, chemicals, and software services [1] Group 2 - Current market style diffusion is driven by valuation, expectations, and capital, which may continue for 1-2 quarters, but a shift to a more significant market trend requires the realization of value stock earnings logic [2] - The outlook for the Chinese economy remains positive, supported by policies aimed at reducing internal competition, increasing the likelihood of breaking the negative feedback loop of "price-demand" [2] - The certainty of an A-share bull market is gradually strengthening, with market corrections seen as potential buying opportunities [2] Group 3 - As of November 21, 2025, the CSI A500 Index fell by 1.52%, with the A500 ETF leading in trading volume at 7.96 billion yuan [3] - The top-performing stocks within the A500 ETF included Transsion Holdings, BlueFocus Communication Group, and Hengli Hydraulic, while Tianhua New Energy and others faced declines [3] - The A500 ETF is designed to provide balanced exposure to quality leading companies across various industries, with the top three sectors being electronics (13.86%), electrical equipment (11.14%), and banking (7.62%) [3]

Core Insights - Polen Capital's "Polen U.S. Small Cap Growth Strategy" achieved a return of 21.4% gross and 21.1% net of fees in Q3 2025, outperforming the Russell 2000 Growth Index which returned 12.2% [1] Company Performance - Powell Industries, Inc. (NASDAQ:POWL) was highlighted as a top contributor to the portfolio's performance, benefiting from increased capital expenditure in data centers and the trend towards onshoring manufacturing in the U.S. [3] - Powell Industries reported total revenue of $286 million in Q3 2025, slightly down from $288 million in the same quarter of the previous year [4] Stock Analysis - Powell Industries' stock experienced a one-month return of -21.84% and a 52-week decline of 1.58%, closing at $285.29 per share with a market capitalization of $3.443 billion on November 19, 2025 [2] - The company is not among the top 30 most popular stocks among hedge funds, with 27 hedge fund portfolios holding its stock at the end of Q2 2025, an increase from 23 in the previous quarter [4]

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2) Core Views - BCA Research warns that the AI bubble may burst within 6 to 12 months, advising investors to be neutral in the short - term and underweight stocks in the medium - term, and to focus on forward - looking indicators such as analyst expectations and GPU costs [2] - Morgan大通 believes the power equipment bull market is in the early to mid - stage. AI - driven power consumption growth is accelerating, and leading power equipment companies' order backlogs are 2.5 to 2.8 times their revenues, with profitability visibility locked until 2027 - 2028. Asian and Chinese companies with cost advantages and delivery capabilities may gain more market share and enjoy higher overseas profits [2][3] 3) Summary by Relevant Catalogs [Fundamental Tracking] - **Price and Volume**: The closing price of SHFE zinc futures was 22,420 yuan/ton, up 0.49%, and the LME zinc 3M electronic trading closed at $2,990.5/ton, up 0.03%. The trading volume of SHFE zinc futures was 91,247 lots, down 2,222 lots, and the LME zinc trading volume was 14,603 lots, up 3,454 lots. The open interest of SHFE zinc futures was 67,487 lots, down 14,839 lots, and the LME zinc open interest was 224,451 lots, down 3,059 lots [1] - **Premium and Discount**: The premium of Shanghai 0 zinc was 30 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan/ton; the LME CASH - 3M premium was $129.76/ton, up $29.76/ton. The import bill of lading premium was $135/ton, unchanged [1] - **Inventory**: SHFE zinc futures inventory was 75,314 tons, down 1,473 tons; LME zinc inventory was 45,075 tons, up 1,550 tons. The LME zinc cancelled warrants were 3,525 tons, up 100 tons; the LME off - warrant (T + 3) was 23,736 tons, up 921 tons [1] - **Related Products**: The price of 1.0mm hot - dipped galvanized coil was 4,150 yuan/ton, down 7 yuan/ton. The price of Shanghai Zamak - 5 zinc alloy was 23,645 yuan/ton, up 100 yuan/ton; the price of Shanghai Zamak - 3 zinc alloy was 23,095 yuan/ton, up 100 yuan/ton; the price of zinc oxide ≥99.7% was 21,500 yuan/ton, up 100 yuan/ton [1] [News] - **AI Bubble Warning**: BCA Research analyzed four capital expenditure booms and summarized five collapse rules. The current AI boom shows warning signs, and the AI bubble may burst within 6 to 12 months [2] - **Power Equipment Market**: Morgan大通 believes the power equipment bull market is in the early to mid - stage. AI drives power consumption growth, leading to supply - demand imbalance. Asian and Chinese enterprises may benefit [2][3] [Trend Intensity] - The zinc trend intensity is 0, indicating a neutral outlook [3]