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Holiday Spending to Hit $1 Trillion—Time to Buy This Retail ETF?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-24 17:22
Core Insights - The consumer discretionary sector has faced challenges in 2025, with a year-to-date gain of only 0.51%, marking it as the second-worst performing sector in the S&P 500, only behind consumer staples which is down 0.90% [3][4] - Holiday spending in the United States is projected to exceed $1 trillion for the first time, with estimates between $1.01 trillion and $1.02 trillion, representing a 3.7% increase from 2024 [4][6] - The VanEck Retail ETF (NASDAQ:RTH) has shown nearly 11% gain in 2025, outperforming the overall consumer discretionary sector, and provides exposure to major retail companies [5][6] Consumer Discretionary Sector Performance - The consumer discretionary sector has struggled due to tariffs, inflation, and a weak U.S. dollar, leading consumers to prioritize essential goods over discretionary spending [2][3] - The trends of underperformance are expected to continue into 2026, although the holiday season may present short-term opportunities for recovery [3][4] Holiday Spending Projections - The National Retail Federation (NRF) forecasts that holiday spending will reach between $1.01 trillion and $1.02 trillion, marking a significant milestone in consumer spending [4][6] - This increase in holiday spending is anticipated to provide a potential boost to the consumer discretionary sector as the year ends [6] Investment Opportunities - The VanEck Retail ETF aims to replicate the performance of the MVIS® US Listed Retail 25 Index, which includes companies involved in various retail sectors [5] - The ETF's top holdings include major companies like Amazon, Walmart, and Costco, which together account for nearly 38% of the fund's portfolio, positioning it well for potential gains during the holiday season [7]
Kohl's stock: is Michael Bender the right leader to drive KSS shares higher?
Invezz· 2025-11-24 15:58
Kohl's (NYSE: KSS) is in focus today after the retailer named Michael Bender its permanent chief executive, ending months of speculation about who would lead the beleaguered department store chain. ...
Stock market outlook for 2025 and beyond, crypto prices crumble
Youtube· 2025-11-24 15:51
Market Overview - The market is experiencing volatility with major indices showing mixed movements, including the Dow up about 0.21%, Nasdaq up about 1%, and S&P 500 up about 0.61% [1] - Bitcoin has seen a significant decline, down approximately 24% over the last two months, with a recent drop of about 6% in the past week [1][3] - The total capitalization of the crypto market has fallen by about 24% since its October peak, equating to over $1 trillion in value lost [1] Consumer Spending and Retail - The National Retail Federation anticipates that consumers will spend over $1 trillion this holiday season, marking a strong consumer sentiment [2] - Recent retail earnings reports have shown mixed results, with companies like Gap and TJ Maxx performing well, while Home Depot's results were less favorable [2] - High-income consumers are driving spending, while low-income consumers remain under pressure [2] AI and Technology Sector - Goldman Sachs suggests that the narrative around AI capital expenditures (capex) is crucial for market stability, with expectations of continued growth in technology demand [2][3] - Nvidia's recent performance is seen as a key indicator for the tech sector, with any weakness potentially impacting broader market sentiment [2][3] Cryptocurrency Insights - Institutional investors are currently sidelined, with Bitcoin ETF outflows reaching $3.5 billion in November, the largest since February [4] - The correlation between Bitcoin and the NASDAQ suggests that stabilization in crypto prices may be necessary for broader market recovery [5][6] - Analysts express caution regarding a V-shaped recovery for Bitcoin, citing the need for more dovish Fed commentary and institutional participation [4][5] Company-Specific Developments - Moderna has faced significant stock price declines, down 43% this year, and is currently the most shorted stock in the S&P 500, with 20% of shares shorted [28][30] - Pfizer is diversifying its business into weight loss drugs and other areas, contrasting with Moderna's struggles to adapt post-COVID vaccine demand [29][30] - Analysts highlight the need for Moderna to diversify its product offerings beyond COVID vaccines to regain investor confidence [31][35]
Williams-Sonoma sues Quince over sales of 'dupe' products
Reuters· 2025-11-24 15:28
Core Viewpoint - Williams-Sonoma has filed a lawsuit against Quince, alleging that the retailer misleads consumers by offering similar-looking but inferior products at lower prices [1] Group 1: Company Actions - Williams-Sonoma accuses Quince of being a "dupe" company, which implies that it replicates the designs of established brands while compromising on quality [1] - The lawsuit highlights concerns over consumer deception regarding product quality and pricing [1] Group 2: Industry Implications - The case raises questions about competition and ethical practices within the retail industry, particularly among companies that offer similar products [1] - It underscores the challenges faced by established brands in protecting their intellectual property and brand integrity against lower-cost competitors [1]
Wall Street Opens Holiday Week Mixed as Rate Cut Hopes Fuel Tech Gains; Key Economic Data and Earnings Ahead
Stock Market News· 2025-11-24 15:07
Market Overview - The U.S. stock market opened on November 24, 2025, with a mixed but generally positive tone, driven by investor confidence in potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1] - The Nasdaq Composite rose by 1.4%, while the S&P 500 gained 0.6%, contrasting with a slight dip of 0.1% in the Dow Jones Industrial Average [2] - The market sentiment is influenced by expectations of a quarter-percentage point interest rate cut at the upcoming December meeting of the Federal Reserve [2] Recent Market Performance - Last week, all three major indexes finished lower, with the Nasdaq down 2.7% and both the Dow and S&P 500 dropping 1.9% [3] - The opening performance on Monday suggests a renewed push higher as the week begins [3] Upcoming Economic Reports - Key economic reports are set to be released this week, including delayed September retail sales and Producer Price Index (PPI) reports on November 25 [5] - Additional reports include weekly jobless claims and durable goods orders for September on November 26, and the October Chicago Fed National Activity Index and November Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey on November 24 [5] Corporate Earnings - Notable companies reporting earnings this week include Zoom Video Communications, Alibaba, and Deere & Company, which will provide insights into corporate health and consumer behavior [6] Major Stock News - US Foods Holdings shares surged by 5.5% after terminating merger talks with Performance Food Group, whose shares fell nearly 3% [7] - Ross Stores Inc. saw an 8.4% increase in shares after reporting adjusted earnings of $1.58 per share, surpassing estimates [8] - Intuit Inc. shares climbed 4% following adjusted earnings of $3.34 per share, also exceeding expectations [8] - UGI Corp. reported a narrower-than-expected loss, leading to a 7.1% gain in shares [8] - Copart Inc. shares fell 0.7% after missing revenue estimates [8] Sector-Specific Developments - Novo Nordisk shares dropped 10% after its Alzheimer's drug trial failed, potentially impacting the pharmaceutical sector [9] - Alibaba shares gained 4.7% in Hong Kong trading, driven by strong demand for its updated Qwen AI app ahead of its earnings report [9] - JPMorgan analysts identified 15 AI-exposed stocks as potential bargains, with declines of 10% to 40% from recent highs, indicating investment opportunities in the AI sector [10]
X @The Wall Street Journal
Kohl’s named Michael Bender as its permanent chief executive, electing to elevate its interim leader as the retailer attempts to turn around years of slumping sales https://t.co/k86n0J9jBf ...
Fed rate cut hopes are rising, Alibaba's AI app drew more than 10 million downloads in a week
Youtube· 2025-11-24 14:41
Group 1: Federal Reserve and Market Sentiment - Market confidence in a Federal Reserve rate cut has increased, with expectations now over 75% for a cut next month [2][10][54] - Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams indicated that a December rate cut is a possibility, contributing to market optimism [3][11] - The CME Fed Watch tool suggests potential for rates to drop to around 3% by next Christmas, indicating a significant shift from current levels [13] Group 2: Technology Sector Developments - Alphabet's shares are expected to rise following a multi-million dollar deal with NATO for AI-enabled cloud services and the launch of its new AI model, Gemini 3 [4][40] - Alibaba's Quen app achieved over 10 million downloads post-relaunch, positioning it as a competitor to OpenAI's ChatGPT [5] - Nvidia's market performance remains under scrutiny due to concerns over an AI bubble and competition from China, despite strong earnings [14][40] Group 3: Retail Sector Insights - Upcoming earnings reports from major retailers like Kohl's and Best Buy are anticipated, with mixed consumer sentiment reflected in recent retail performance [7][16] - The economic landscape shows signs of a bifurcated consumer market, with some consumers feeling financial strain while others thrive [17][56] - Gap's CEO discussed growth strategies amid a challenging retail environment, emphasizing the importance of both physical and digital presence [57][58] Group 4: Defense and Agricultural Stocks - European defense stocks have seen a decline due to growing hopes for a peace deal between Russia and Ukraine, reversing earlier gains [35] - Eli Lilly has become the first trillion-dollar company in the agricultural sector, driven by its leadership in obesity drugs [38] - Bayer's stock is rallying due to progress in clinical trials for a new stroke prevention drug, while Nova Nordisk faces challenges with underwhelming trial results for Alzheimer's drugs [39]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-11-24 14:35
Kohl’s promoted interim Chief Executive Officer Michael Bender to the role on a permanent basis as the US retailer tries to move past a period of management turmoil and slumping sales https://t.co/RMSdp2NQ3V ...
Kellanova, Walmart and Indigo Ag Partner to Advance Farmer Prosperity in Arkansas through Regenerative Agriculture
Prnewswire· 2025-11-24 13:00
Core Insights - A new partnership has been formed between Kellanova, Walmart, and Indigo Ag to promote regenerative agriculture practices among rice farmers in Arkansas, aiming to enhance farmer prosperity and environmental sustainability [1][2][3] Partnership Overview - The collaboration builds on four years of previous partnership efforts, which have already led to significant reductions in emissions (over 37,000 metric tons of CO2e), conservation of over 11 billion gallons of water, and financial benefits exceeding $900,000 for farmers [2][3] - Kellanova's involvement aims to expand these initiatives, aligning with the company's commitment to sustainable sourcing and community well-being [2][4] Financial Incentives and Practices - Farmers participating in the program will receive a financial premium for every pound of rice produced using regenerative methods, which supports practices like improved water management, optimized fertilizer application, and crop rotation [3][4] - The partnership is designed to create cost savings for both Kellanova and Walmart while ensuring that environmental and economic benefits are realized by farmers and their communities [5][6] Environmental Impact - The initiative focuses on advancing water conservation, improving soil health, and reducing emissions, thereby contributing to a more sustainable agricultural ecosystem [5][6] - Regenerative agriculture is recognized as a viable approach for companies to lower emissions in their supply chains while benefiting farmers and enhancing land quality [4][7] Call to Action - The partnership serves as an invitation for other leaders in the agricultural value chain to join efforts in expanding opportunities for farmers and fostering a more resilient and prosperous future for the region [7]
5 Things To Know: November 24, 2025
Youtube· 2025-11-24 12:02
Group 1: Airline Industry - US Airlines are predicting a record-breaking Thanksgiving travel period with 31 million people expected to travel by air [1] - The busiest travel day is anticipated to be the Sunday after Thanksgiving, with an estimated 3.4 million passengers [1] Group 2: Corporate Leadership Changes - Kohl's is set to name Michael Bender as its permanent CEO after serving as interim CEO since spring and being on the board since 2019 [2][3] Group 3: Cybersecurity in Banking - The FBI is investigating a recent hack targeting Situs AMC, a tech vendor for real estate lending, which serves major clients including JP Morgan, Citigroup, and Morgan Stanley [3][4] - The breach was reported to have been contained as of November 12 [4] Group 4: Healthcare Sector Developments - Eli Lilly reached a market valuation of $1 trillion, becoming the first healthcare company and only the second non-tech company to join the trillion-dollar club, alongside Berkshire Hathaway [4] - Eli Lilly's stock is experiencing a pullback following disappointing results from a rival's trial of semaglutide for Alzheimer's progression [4][5]