Economic Outlook - The US economy is experiencing a slowdown but is not in a recession, with growth projected around high 1% and not quite reaching 2% through 2026 [1][2] - Historical long-term trend growth for the US is approximately 2% real GDP, indicating current growth is slightly below this trend [2] Federal Reserve Actions - Anticipation of a 25 basis points rate cut by the Federal Reserve next week, with further cuts expected through 2026 [3][5] - The Fed is moving towards a neutral rate around 3%, allowing room for cuts [5] Fiscal Policy Impact - Fiscal policies are providing tailwinds for the economy, including benefits from a significant bill that stimulates both companies and individuals [3][4] - Tax benefits for individuals are projected to average between $2,000 to $2,500 per person in 2026 [4] Inflation Trends - Inflation is expected to continue decreasing, albeit at a slower rate, with challenges in reaching the Fed's 2% target [6][8] - Rents and housing costs are anticipated to contribute positively to the inflation narrative as they decline [7][8] Market Sentiment - The current dovish stance of the Fed is expected to remain, with a focus on balancing inflation concerns and employment [10][11] - The uncertainty regarding the leadership of the Fed may impact market sentiment and risk in 2026 [9]

Economic Indicators - U.S. private nonfarm payrolls unexpectedly fell by 32,000 in November, contrary to expectations of an increase of 5,000 [1] - U.S. September industrial production rose by 0.1% month-over-month, aligning with expectations, while manufacturing production remained unchanged, falling short of the anticipated 0.1% increase [1] - The U.S. import price index was unchanged month-over-month in September, weaker than the expected increase of 0.1% [1] - The U.S. ISM services index unexpectedly rose to 52.6 in November, surpassing expectations of 52.0 [1] Stock Market Performance - Wall Street's three main equity benchmarks ended positively, with Microchip Technology surging over 12% after raising its FQ3 guidance [2] - Marvell Technology climbed more than 7% due to stronger-than-expected growth projections in its data-center segment [2] - American Eagle Outfitters jumped over 15% after reporting upbeat Q3 results and raising its Q4 operating income guidance [2] - Pure Storage plummeted more than 27% after reporting weaker-than-expected Q3 GAAP EPS [2] Bond Market and Interest Rates - Higher bond yields are impacting stock index futures, with the 10-year T-note yield rising to 4.08% [3] - U.S. rate futures indicate an 89.2% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting [5] Corporate Earnings and Reports - Investors are focusing on U.S. Initial Jobless Claims data, expected to be 219,000, compared to last week's 216,000 [6] - Notable companies scheduled to report quarterly results include Kroger, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Ulta Beauty, and Dollar General [6] International Market Developments - The Euro Stoxx 50 Index rose by 0.39% amid improved risk appetite, particularly in the automobile sector following U.S. President Trump's proposal to cut fuel economy standards [8] - Eurozone's October retail sales were unchanged month-over-month and rose by 1.5% year-over-year, slightly above expectations [9] - China's Shanghai Composite Index closed lower, with expectations of fiscal expansion to address economic slowdown [10] - Japan's Nikkei 225 Index closed sharply higher, driven by industrial-robot stocks amid expectations of growth from AI technology [11]

当前，全球数字货币研发与应用进入快车道，主要经济体纷纷加快 央 行 数 字 货 币 （ CBDC ） 布 局 。 与 此 同 时 ， 国 际 地 缘 格 局 深 刻 演 变，金融基础设施安全成为国家安全的重要组成部分。党的二十大 报告明确提出"有序推进人民币国际化"，"十五五"规划建议提出， 推进人民币国际化，提升资本项目开放水平，建设自主可控的人民 币跨境支付体系。当前，我国多渠道、广覆盖的人民币跨境支付体 系基本建成。在此基础上，人民币跨境支付体系建设进一步凸显"自 主可控"，对于保障金融安全、支撑人民币国际化以及提升国际金融 话语权具有重要战略意义。为此《清华金融评论》编辑部特地展开 征稿活动 。 《清华金融评论》 2026 年第 1 期专题 加速推进数字人民币，建设自主可控的人民币跨境支付体系 当前，全球数字货币研发与应用进入快车道，主要经济体纷纷加快央行数字货币（CBDC）布局。与此同时， 国际地缘格局深刻演变，金融基础设施安全成为国家安全的重要组成部分。党的二十大报告明确提出"有序推进 人民币国际化"，"十五五"规划建议提出，推进人民币国际化，提升资本项目开放水平，建设自主可控的人民币 跨境支付体 ...

For many, credit cards are a convenience and, at times, a lifeline. They’re helpful in financing larger purchases and many individuals turn to them when they need to cover expenses while waiting on their next paycheck to arrive. While it’s always important to use credit cards cautiously, 2026 could be the worst year to rely on credit cards — find out why below. For You: Fidelity Says This Is a Surprising Risk of Holding Too Much Cash — Do You Have Too Much? Read This: 6 Safe Accounts Proven To Grow Your Mo ...

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Group 1: U.S. National Debt and Bitcoin - The U.S. national debt has surpassed $38 trillion, with expectations for further increases as the gap between government spending and revenues widens [1] - BlackRock's report suggests that rising federal debt may enhance the adoption of Bitcoin as a rival to gold on Wall Street [2] - Bitcoin is increasingly viewed as "digital gold," with major financial figures and institutions recognizing its role as a store-of-value asset [3][4] Group 2: Institutional Adoption of Cryptocurrencies - BlackRock's 2026 Global Outlook report presents a bullish perspective on cryptocurrency adoption, indicating a potential shift towards Bitcoin as an alternative investment amid fragile market conditions [5] - The growth of stablecoins is highlighted as having significant implications for the financial system, with their integration into mainstream payment systems being described as transformative [6]

FDI Inflows - Gross foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows into India are expected to exceed $100 billion in the current fiscal year, compared to $80.6 billion in FY25 [1] - FDI inflows reached $50.4 billion in the first half of the fiscal year, marking a 16% increase from the previous year [1] - Net FDI inflows, after accounting for outflows, stood at $7.6 billion, indicating a need for India to improve its regulatory and infrastructural environment to attract more net inflows [1] Geopolitical and Economic Context - The geopolitical and geoeconomic landscape has changed significantly, necessitating India to enhance its efforts in attracting FDI and global supply chain companies [1] - The abrupt rise in interest rates in developed countries over the past three years has negatively impacted FDI inflows to India [1] Currency and Economic Outlook - Concerns regarding the rupee breaching the 90-per-dollar mark have been downplayed, with expectations that the currency will regain its strength next year [8] - The rupee is considered one of the least volatile currencies since April 2, despite its depreciation [8] - Other emerging economy currencies have depreciated more than the rupee in the previous fiscal year, suggesting a relative stability of the rupee [6][8]

Crypto markets are ripping higher as traders latch onto a rare alignment of monetary and institutional tailwinds. A pro-crypto economist is now the clear favorite to run the Federal Reserve, while some of the world’s biggest asset managers are finally telling clients that Bitcoin belongs in traditional portfolios. Trump signals Kevin Hassett for Fed chair Prediction markets and Wall Street desks increasingly expect Kevin Hassett, a long-time Trump economic adviser, to succeed Jerome Powell as the next F ...

Market Overview - Australian shares are projected to gain approximately +0.3% in futures, driven by a surge in copper prices, which have reached a record high in London [1][3] - The Dow Jones index in the U.S. saw a significant increase of +0.9%, while London's stock market experienced a slight decline of -0.1% [2] Commodity Insights - Copper prices have surged to an all-time high following Glencore's decision to reduce near-term output targets, which is expected to tighten supply in the short term [3] - Other commodities are also performing well, with iron ore up +0.4% to $104.30 per tonne, Brent crude oil gaining +0.6% to $62.83 per barrel, and gold priced at $4,212 per ounce [6] Company News - BHP (ASX:BHP) and Rio Tinto (ASX:RIO) are highlighted as key stocks to watch due to their +1.5% gains in London, benefiting from the rise in copper prices [4] - Nuix Limited (ASX:NXL) has announced an agreement to acquire Linkurious, a Paris-based AI decision platform that specializes in graph data visualization [4] - Lefroy Exploration (ASX:LEX) has commenced mining activities at Lucky Strike, with the first ore haulage expected in January next year [4] - 6K Additive Inc., a U.S.-based metal powders producer, is set to join the Australian stock exchange under the ticker "6KA," with an initial share price of $1 [5]

Core Viewpoint - Concerns have risen regarding the potential collapse of Bitcoin treasury strategy due to bearish news, including possible removal from stock indices and the acknowledgment by Michael Saylor that the firm may need to sell Bitcoin for the first time [1] Group 1: Company Performance - The company holds 650,000 Bitcoin valued at approximately $60 billion, representing 3.1% of the total Bitcoin supply [1] - The stock price of Strategy (MSTR) has decreased by 30% to $185.88 over the past month, influenced by a 13% decline in Bitcoin during the same period [2] - MSTR has fallen 65% from its all-time high reached in November 2024, while Bitcoin has decreased by 6% in that timeframe [2] Group 2: Historical Context and Comparisons - Historical examples of public companies collapsing include Enron and Lehman Brothers, with recent bankruptcies of banks like Silicon Valley Bank, Silvergate, and Signature, which resulted in equity holders losing their investments [2][3] - Enron, once the seventh-largest U.S. company, saw its stock plummet from $90 to $0.26 due to fraudulent accounting practices [3] - The concept of "too big to fail" emerged from the 2008 financial crisis, where major financial firms collapsed, challenging the belief that some companies were immune to failure [3] Group 3: Perspectives on Company Stability - Some observers argue that the Bitcoin treasury firm cannot collapse due to its public trading status, suggesting that a bailout would occur to prevent disastrous consequences [4] - The company is ranked as the 433rd largest by market capitalization, which some believe would attract support in the event of financial distress [4] - Others, like Mitchell "Nom" Rudy, express that failure is unlikely for the firm [5]