2025年3月28日，中青宝公告收到深圳证监局下发的《行政处罚决定书》，经查明，中青宝存在以下违 法事实： 一、2019年至2021年年度报告存在虚假记载 2019年至2021年期间，中青宝全资子公司深圳市宝腾互联科技有限公司（以下简称宝腾互联）通过相关 虚构业务，虚增营业收入和营业成本，虚增或虚减利润总额。 其中，2019年度虚增营业收入3，361.32万元，占当期披露营业收入的7.17%，虚增营业成本2，527.92 万元，虚增利润833.40万元，占当期披露利润总额绝对值的14.96%；2020年度虚增营业收入2，809.43 万元，占当期披露营业收入的9.56%，虚增营业成本2，111.32万元，虚增利润698.11万元，占当期披露 利润总额绝对值的5.45%；2021年度虚增营业收入1，787.83万元，占当期披露营业收入的5.03%，虚增 营业成本2，509.22万元，虚减利润721.39万元，占当期披露利润总额绝对值的13.17%。中青宝披露的 2019年至2021年年度报告存在虚假记载。 二、未及时披露实际控制人被采取刑事强制措施。 许峰律师认为，综合以上违法事实，根据证券法规定，在2024年 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 22.1, indicating a potential upside of 42.5% from the current price of HKD 15.51 [5][7]. Core Insights - The company experienced a revenue decline of 25.9% year-on-year in H1 2025, totaling RMB 24.34 billion, primarily due to the optimization of inefficient businesses and a high base effect from the previous year. However, the gross margin improved by 1.1 percentage points to 4.6%, and operating profit increased by 15.9% to RMB 360 million, while net profit rose by 10.8% to RMB 140 million, reflecting effective business structure optimization and cost control [1][2]. Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2025 is projected at RMB 57.04 billion, a decrease of 5% year-on-year, with a subsequent recovery expected in 2026 with a growth of 15.1% to RMB 65.63 billion. The net profit is forecasted to be RMB 351 million in 2025, up 30.2% year-on-year, and RMB 486 million in 2026, up 38.4% year-on-year [4][5]. - The company’s gross margin is expected to improve from 4.9% in 2025 to 5.1% in 2027, indicating a positive trend in profitability [4]. Strategic Developments - The company is enhancing its smart supply chain capabilities, with self-operated transaction revenue of RMB 23.96 billion, down 26.0% year-on-year, but with a significant structural improvement as member retail store revenue share increased to 47.4%. The company is also expanding its product offerings and channels, including partnerships with major brands and the introduction of new product categories [2][3]. - The company is accelerating the commercialization of its AI and SaaS offerings, with the "Qiancheng AI Super Store Manager" product improving store management efficiency by an average of 30% and reducing inventory turnover by 15%-20% [2][3]. Shareholder Actions - The company announced a share buyback plan of up to RMB 500 million and is seeking to convert approximately 350 million domestic shares into H shares to enhance liquidity in the Hong Kong market [3][5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 3.45 HKD, indicating a potential upside of 25.0% from the recent closing price of 2.76 HKD [6][12]. Core Insights - The company experienced a revenue decline of 9.3% year-on-year in H1 2025, with total revenue reaching 3.75 billion RMB. The gross margin decreased significantly from 70.9% in H1 2024 to 56.0% in H1 2025, primarily due to changes in revenue structure and market competition [1][2]. - The company announced a substantial share buyback plan, committing to repurchase at least 80 million USD (approximately 623 million HKD), which represents about 11% of the total share capital [1][5]. Revenue Breakdown - The core enterprise cloud segment remains the revenue foundation, contributing 2.48 billion RMB, accounting for 66.3% of total revenue. The multi-polar circulation cloud continues to show high growth, with asset processing scale increasing by 54.4% to 133.23 billion RMB and adding 224 new clients [2][3]. - The AMS cloud business faced short-term pressure, with asset processing scale declining by 20.2% to 29.87 billion RMB, influenced by a sluggish supply chain asset securitization market, particularly in the real estate sector [2][3]. Financial Performance - The company reported a net loss attributable to shareholders of 3.80 billion RMB in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 57.7%. Adjusted losses (non-IFRS) reached 3.72 billion RMB, a significant increase of 97.4% [1][4]. - Impairment losses rose to 2.70 billion RMB, up 66.5% from 1.62 billion RMB in the same period last year, primarily due to more conservative impairment policies on historical bridge supply chain assets [4][12]. Strategic Outlook - The company plans to focus on three core strategies: "AI + Industrial Finance," strategic acquisitions, and digital assets, aiming to create multiple growth engines. The application of AI technology and the development of digital asset solutions are expected to enhance operational efficiency and address cross-border payment challenges [11][12]. - The company is also optimizing its business structure by divesting non-core assets and concentrating on its primary operations [11][12].