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长三角将逼近世界第一
投资界· 2025-06-25 07:02
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the rapid economic growth and potential of the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) region, highlighting its proximity to developed economy standards and its position as a major urban economic cluster globally [5][7]. Economic Overview - In 2024, the YRD's GDP is projected to reach $4.65 trillion, making it the second-largest urban agglomeration in the world, following the Boston-Washington corridor [5][7]. - The YRD's per capita GDP is expected to hit $19,500, just shy of the $20,000 threshold that typically defines developed economies [5][7]. Regional Comparison - The YRD includes Shanghai, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Anhui, while the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area (GBA) comprises nine cities including Hong Kong and Macau [9][11]. - The YRD has a population of 238 million and an area of 358,000 square kilometers, compared to the GBA's 86.88 million population and 56,000 square kilometers [11]. Historical Context - The YRD's economic development has evolved from the Suzhou model of county-level economies to a more integrated urban cluster, particularly after the establishment of the Shanghai Pudong Development Zone and Suzhou Industrial Park in the 1990s [10]. Economic Density and Trade - Both the YRD and Pearl River Delta (PRD) regions exhibit high economic density, driven by extensive trade facilitated by their numerous ports [13]. - The Yangtze River serves as a critical transportation artery, with its cargo volume surpassing that of the entire Chinese railway system, enhancing the YRD's economic connectivity [15]. Factors Contributing to Success - The geographical advantages of the YRD, including its flat terrain and proximity to major ports like Shanghai and Ningbo-Zhoushan, significantly contribute to its economic growth [15][16]. - The region boasts a rich educational background, producing a high number of academicians and housing top-tier universities, which supports innovation and talent development [16]. Future Growth Drivers - Future growth in the YRD is anticipated to stem from three key areas: Hangzhou's digital economy, Anhui's industrial integration, and the revitalization of Shanghai [19][20]. - Hangzhou is recognized as a vibrant city for innovation, while Anhui's integration into the YRD is bolstered by the rise of local enterprises like iFlytek and NIO [20][21]. - Shanghai's ongoing urban development initiatives aim to enhance its population influx and economic vitality, addressing challenges in industrial transformation [21].
有“苏超”的长三角将逼近世界第一
首席商业评论· 2025-06-20 04:09
Core Viewpoint - The Yangtze River Delta (YRD) is projected to achieve a GDP of $4.65 trillion in 2024, making it the second-largest urban agglomeration globally, only behind the Boston-Washington corridor in the United States. The region's per capita GDP is expected to reach $19,500, nearing the threshold for developed economies [1][7][9]. Group 1: Economic Performance - In 2023, the YRD, covering less than 4% of China's land area, generated nearly 25% of the national economic output, with nine cities boasting a GDP exceeding $1 trillion, ranking it among the top in the country [9]. - The YRD's economic density is significantly high, driven by extensive trade facilitated by its numerous ports, including Shanghai and Ningbo-Zhoushan, which are among the world's largest [18][24]. Group 2: Comparison with Other Regions - The YRD includes Shanghai, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Anhui, while the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area (GBA) comprises Hong Kong, Macau, and nine cities in Guangdong. The YRD's GDP is projected at ¥33.17 trillion, compared to the GBA's ¥14 trillion in 2024 [10][16]. - The YRD's per capita GDP is approximately ¥19,500, while the GBA's is around ¥16,200, indicating a higher economic output per capita in the YRD [10][16]. Group 3: Factors Contributing to Economic Growth - The geographical advantage of the YRD, described as "accessible to rivers and seas," facilitates trade and resource distribution, contributing to its economic growth [22]. - The region's flat terrain supports urban population growth and agricultural development, with Shanghai's flat land comprising 90% of the city and Jiangsu's 80% [24]. - The educational resources in the YRD are robust, producing a significant number of academicians and housing many top-tier universities, which contribute to its innovative capacity [25]. Group 4: Future Growth Drivers - Future growth in the YRD is expected to stem from three key areas: Hangzhou, Anhui, and the redevelopment of Shanghai [30][31]. - Hangzhou is recognized as a hub for digital economy and innovation, attracting talent and investment, while Anhui's integration into the YRD is bolstered by the rise of local enterprises like NIO and iFlytek [32][39]. - Shanghai, despite its large economic scale, faces challenges in maintaining urban vitality and industrial transformation, necessitating a focus on attracting a continuous influx of population [41].