2026 年 3 月 2 日 公司研究 新签订单同比大幅度增长，收并购业务协同效应落地中 ——日联科技（688531.SH）2025 年业绩快报点评 买入（维持） 当前价：73.69 元 作者 分析师：黄帅斌 执业证书编号：S0930520080005 0755-23915357 huangshuaibin@ebscn.com 分析师：陈奇凡 执业证书编号：S0930523050002 021-52523819 chenqf@ebscn.com 分析师：庄晓波 执业证书编号：S0930524070018 021-52523416 zhuangxiaobo@ebscn.com 资料来源：Wind 相关研报 工业 X 射线检测设备龙头，下游高景气度、 国产替代趋势双轮驱动——日联科技 （688531.SH）首次覆盖报告（2026-02-04） 要点 事件：日联科技发布 2025 年业绩快报。2025 年，公司实现营业总收入/归母净利润 /扣非净利润分别为 10.7/1.7/1.5 亿元，同比+45%/+22%/+51%。 点评： | 市场数据 | | | --- | --- | | 总股本(亿股) | 1.66 ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - First quarter revenue was $210 million, up 5% year-over-year, driven by a 17% increase in the industrial segment revenue [5][17] - Non-GAAP gross margin was 34%, at the high end of guidance, benefiting from a favorable product sales mix [6][20] - Non-GAAP EBITDA was $29 million, up 12% compared to the same quarter last year [7] - Non-GAAP EPS in the first quarter was $0.19, up from $0.10 in the previous year [7][22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Medical segment revenue was stable year-over-year at $145 million, while industrial segment revenue increased to $65 million, representing 69% and 31% of total revenues respectively [17] - The industrial segment showed broad-based strength, particularly in cargo security inspection systems and components [9][16] - Demand for X-ray sources and digital detectors in the medical segment remained strong, particularly in high-end CT [7][8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Americas revenue grew 17%, driven by strength in the industrial segment related to cargo systems [18] - EMEA revenue rose 7%, while APAC revenue decreased by 7% year-over-year [18] - Sales volume to China remained steady, contributing 17% of total revenues, indicating resilience in the healthcare market position [18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on a modality-based approach to enhance customer engagement and drive long-term recurring revenue [12] - Increased collaboration with customers is aimed at addressing complex inspection problems using X-ray imaging in real-time manufacturing [9][12] - The company is investing in innovation and technology integration into next-generation imaging systems, particularly in the medical segment [26] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the medical segment, indicating that previous headwinds are behind them, with strong demand for CT continuing [30][31] - The industrial segment's order pipeline and customer engagement are strong, particularly in food inspection and security screening [32] - Management noted that customer interactions at RSNA indicated a shift towards new product development and commercialization [15][34] Other Important Information - The company modified its non-GAAP policy to exclude gains and losses from equity method investments, reflecting a strategic shift [19] - Inventory increased by $29 million to $328 million, driven by anticipated demand across the industrial segment [22][23] - The company ended the quarter with cash and marketable securities of $126 million, down $30 million from the previous quarter [23] Q&A Session Summary Question: General outlook for the business - Management indicated optimism about both medical and industrial segments, with strong order activity and customer engagement [29][30] Question: Progress on India operations - Management confirmed that the India factory is operational, producing detectors and tubes, with positive customer feedback regarding local manufacturing [36][37] Question: Guidance for the next quarter - Management provided guidance for revenues between $210 million and $225 million, with non-GAAP EPS expected between $0.15 and $0.25 [24][25] Question: Inventory increase explanation - Management explained that the inventory increase is intentional to prepare for cargo systems ramp-up and qualification cycles for products in India [80][81] Question: Refinancing plans - Management is working on refinancing high-yield debt due in October 2027, aiming to complete it before October 2026 [82][84]

Macro Analysis - The GDP weighted target for 2026 is estimated at 5.03%, a decrease of 0.22 percentage points from the previous year, with fixed asset investment and retail sales growth rates also adjusted downwards by 0.5 and 0.2 percentage points respectively [1] - The national GDP growth target for 2026 may be set between 4.5% and 5%, indicating a shift towards high-quality development driven by innovation [1] Banking Sector - In January, the banking sector is expected to see new RMB loans of around 5 trillion, slightly lower than the same period last year, with a loan growth rate around 6.2% and social financing growth at approximately 8.3% [2] - The M2 growth rate is expected to decline slightly, while M1 growth is anticipated to rise [2] Real Estate Sector - In January, the top 10 real estate companies reported a year-on-year sales decline of 12%, while the top 100 companies saw a 25% drop, indicating a divergence in performance among different tiers of companies [3] - Companies like China Overseas Land & Investment and China Jinmao showed positive sales growth, with increases of 20.5% and 13.3% respectively [3] - Government measures to stabilize real estate expectations and promote sales are expected to improve market sentiment [3] Company Research: Hengli Petrochemical - The controlling shareholder has increased their stake in Hengli Petrochemical, reflecting confidence in the company's future [4] - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been revised downwards, with expected net profits of 7.172 billion, 9.070 billion, and 10.358 billion respectively, representing decreases of 14%, 7%, and 3% [4] - The company maintains a high growth potential with ongoing new capacity production and a commitment to high dividend policies [4] Automotive Sector - Xpeng Motors is facing pressure on sales in January, with a downward revision of profit forecasts due to intensified competition and policy risks [6] - Expected net losses for 2025 are around 890 million, with a projected net profit of 30 million and 540 million for 2026 and 2027 respectively [6] - The company is optimistic about performance improvement and long-term prospects in AI applications [6] Internet Media Sector - Baidu's advertising business is stabilizing, supported by AI cloud services, which enhance traditional advertising monetization [7] - The forecast for non-GAAP net profits for 2025-2027 has been slightly revised down to 17.9 billion, 19.8 billion, and 22.4 billion respectively [7] - The acceleration of Baidu's AI ecosystem restructuring is expected to enhance its valuation [7] Home Appliances Sector - Hisense Visual Technology is focusing on high-end markets and global expansion, with expected net profits of 2.44 billion, 2.67 billion, and 2.96 billion for 2025-2027, reflecting growth rates of 8.8%, 9.1%, and 10.9% respectively [8] - The company is rated as a "buy" with a target price of 29.87 yuan [8] Food and Beverage Sector - Chongqing Beer reported a revenue of 14.72 billion in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 0.5%, with a net profit of 1.23 billion, up 10.4% [9] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 1.231 billion, 1.276 billion, and 1.320 billion, reflecting increases of 3%, 1%, and 1% respectively [9] High-end Manufacturing Sector - Riheng Technology is a leader in industrial X-ray detection equipment, benefiting from high demand in semiconductor and electronic manufacturing [10] - Expected net profits for 2025-2027 are projected at 180 million, 330 million, and 460 million, with corresponding P/E ratios of 65, 37, and 26 [10]

Real Estate - The top 10 real estate companies experienced a year-on-year sales decline of 12% in January, while the top 100 companies saw a decline of 25%, indicating a significant disparity in sales performance among different tiers of companies [5] - Notable performers in terms of sales growth include China Overseas Land & Investment, which saw a 20.5% increase, and China Jinmao, with a 13.3% increase [5] - The government is taking measures to stabilize the real estate market, including direct purchases of second-hand homes to promote sales and inventory reduction, which is expected to improve market sentiment [5] Steel - The price difference between hot-rolled steel and rebar is at a five-year low, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics [5] - The SPDR Gold ETF holdings are at their highest level since June 2022, reflecting increased liquidity in the market [5] - The national PMI new orders index for January stands at 49.20, suggesting a contraction in manufacturing activity [5] Non-ferrous Metals - The price of crude indium has increased by 35% over the past week, indicating strong demand in the consumer electronics sector [6] - Prices for other materials such as lithium hydroxide and polysilicon have decreased, while uranium prices have risen, reflecting mixed trends in the new energy and nuclear sectors [6] Display Technology - Hisense Visual Technology is positioned as a leading global provider of display solutions, focusing on a multi-scenario large display strategy and a comprehensive layout in LCD, laser display, and LED technologies [7] - The company achieved a total revenue of 58.5 billion yuan and a net profit of 2.2 billion yuan in 2024, showcasing its strong market presence [7] Industrial X-ray Detection - Dayun Technology is recognized as a leader in the industrial X-ray detection equipment sector, benefiting from high demand in semiconductor, electronic manufacturing, and new energy battery sectors [8] - The company is expected to enhance its competitive advantage through self-research in core components and product structure upgrades [8] Baidu Group - Baidu's advertising business is under pressure, with a projected year-on-year revenue decline of approximately 8.7% for Q4 2025, primarily due to weak demand for traditional search advertising [9] - The company’s cloud business is experiencing a short-term slowdown, but the reduction in depreciation pressure from previous asset impairments is expected to support non-GAAP operating profit [9] XPeng Motors - XPeng Motors reported a significant decline in January deliveries, down 34.1% year-on-year and 46.6% month-on-month, attributed to the phasing out of subsidies and transitions between old and new products [8]

Company - Dayun Technology is a leading domestic supplier of industrial X-ray intelligent detection equipment and core components, recognized as a national-level "specialized and innovative" small giant [4] - From 2019 to 2024, the company's revenue is expected to grow at a CAGR of approximately 38%, while net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to grow at a CAGR of about 77% [4] - The company has established an integrated product line of "detection equipment + AI software + radiation source," with over a hundred standardized devices [6] - In the field of integrated circuits and electronics manufacturing, the company has covered leading PCB/PCBA customers, ranking among the top in the domestic market share [6] - In the new energy battery sector, the company's equipment covers online and offline detection for power, energy storage, and consumer batteries, and has been applied in new process scenarios such as semi-solid and solid-state [6] - The company has achieved full-chain independent control and large-scale production of radiation sources, with 94.3% of self-developed radiation sources applied in electronic circuit detection equipment in the first half of 2025 [6] - The company has pursued horizontal expansion and vertical deepening through acquisitions, completing investments in companies like Innovation Electronics and Zhuhai Jiuyuan in 2025, which is expected to contribute to sustained revenue growth and profit [6] Industry - The global industrial X-ray detection equipment market is expected to grow at a CAGR of approximately 9.9% from 2025 to 2030, while the Chinese market is projected to grow at a CAGR of about 10.3% [5] - By 2030, the global market size in this field is expected to exceed 100 billion yuan, with the Chinese market expected to surpass 30 billion yuan [5] - In 2024, the market size for X-ray detection equipment in China's semiconductor and electronics manufacturing sector is projected to be 3.98 billion yuan, with an expected CAGR of 13% from 2025 to 2030 [7] - The market size for X-ray detection equipment in China's new energy battery sector is expected to reach 1.3 billion yuan in 2024, with an anticipated CAGR of 10% from 2025 to 2030 [7] - The market size for X-ray detection equipment in China's casting and welding sector is projected to reach 3.74 billion yuan in 2024, with an expected CAGR of 11% from 2025 to 2030, potentially reaching 7.18 billion yuan by 2030 [8]

Company Overview - The report covers Rilian Technology (688531.SH), a leading domestic supplier of industrial X-ray intelligent detection equipment and core components, recognized as a national-level specialized and innovative "little giant" [1][16] - The company has achieved a revenue CAGR of approximately 38% and a net profit CAGR of about 77% from 2019 to 2024, with overseas revenue expected to exceed 10% for the first time in H1 2025 [1][26] - Rilian Technology has established a comprehensive product line that includes detection equipment, AI software, and X-ray sources, with over a hundred standardized devices developed [2][60] Industry Insights - The demand for industrial X-ray detection equipment is expected to continue expanding, with the global market projected to grow at a CAGR of approximately 9.9% from 2025 to 2030, and the Chinese market at about 10.3% [1][45] - The X-ray detection technology is widely applied across various sectors, including semiconductor manufacturing, public safety, and food safety, indicating a broad market potential [38][39] - The report highlights the increasing trend of domestic substitution in the X-ray source market, which is crucial for the overall detection system [52][53] Company Growth and Strategy - Rilian Technology has a stable shareholding structure and a global layout with six major manufacturing bases, including R&D centers in both domestic and international locations [21][23] - The company has been actively pursuing mergers and acquisitions to expand its technological capabilities and market reach, including investments in companies like Innovation Electronics and Zhuhai Jiuyuan [77][78] - The revenue from the semiconductor and electronic manufacturing sectors is expected to grow significantly, with a projected market size of 3.98 billion yuan in 2024 and a CAGR of 13% from 2025 to 2030 [3][45] Financial Projections - The company is forecasted to achieve a net profit of 1.8 billion yuan in 2025, 3.3 billion yuan in 2026, and 4.6 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 65, 37, and 26 [3][5] - Revenue is expected to reach 1.063 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 43.72% [5][26] - The gross margin is projected to improve from 39.5% in 2019 to 43.7% in 2024, reflecting the company's focus on high-end product development and cost control [33][34]

Group 1: Key Conclusions - The report on Nichiren Technology (688531.SH) indicates a strong growth potential driven by its focus on industrial X-ray detection and platform-based industry layout, with expected net profits of 205 million, 347 million, and 527 million yuan from 2025 to 2027, corresponding to PE ratios of 61.35x, 44.50x, and 35.71x respectively, and a "Buy" rating is given [1][7] - The report on Haopeng Technology (001283.SZ) highlights a dual-driven strategy focusing on "energy storage + AI," projecting net profits of 208 million, 387 million, and 515 million yuan from 2025 to 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 127.8%, 86.3%, and 32.8%, maintaining a "Buy" rating [3][13] - The report on Guangxin Technology (920037.BJ) emphasizes strong downstream demand and continuous product structure upgrades, forecasting revenues of 907 million, 1.252 billion, and 1.723 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with net profits of 209 million, 300 million, and 430 million yuan, maintaining an "Overweight" rating [5][17] Group 2: Company Insights - Nichiren Technology is recognized as a leading player in the domestic industrial X-ray intelligent detection sector, focusing on R&D and production of X-ray detection equipment, achieving significant technological breakthroughs in core components [7][8] - Haopeng Technology is expanding its production capacity for energy storage batteries and steel-shell laminated lithium batteries, with a fundraising plan of up to 800 million yuan to support these projects, aiming to enhance its ability to meet growing market demands [12][13] - Guangxin Technology is positioned as a specialized leader in electrical insulation materials, with several technologies reaching a global leading level, and is expected to accelerate domestic substitution, supported by a robust market foundation [5][17] Group 3: Market Trends - The report indicates a structural adjustment in market demand, with Guangxin Technology expanding its production capacity for ultra/high voltage electrical insulation materials to meet the increasing demand in high-end applications [16][17] - The domestic high-end insulation product demand is expected to rise due to the development of the domestic ultra-high voltage industry chain, which has formed a comprehensive supporting system [17] - The reports suggest that the AI application and digital economy sectors are gaining traction, with a focus on technology-related industries, indicating a favorable environment for specialized enterprises in the North Exchange [27]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Rihuan Technology has seen a stock price increase of 5.23%, reaching 73.66 yuan per share, with a total market capitalization of 12.198 billion yuan [1] - Rihuan Technology, established on July 22, 2009, is a leading supplier of industrial X-ray intelligent detection equipment in China, focusing on the research, production, sales, and service of micro-focus and high-power X-ray detection equipment [1] - The company's main business revenue composition includes: X-ray intelligent detection equipment (47.07%), integrated circuits and electronic manufacturing (24.31%), new energy battery detection (11.24%), castings and welds detection (10.58%), spare parts and others (5.81%), and other X-ray detection equipment (1.00%) [1] Group 2 - Among the top circulating shareholders of Rihuan Technology, a fund under the Fortune Fund, specifically the Fortune Tianyi Value Mixed A/B (100020), has entered the top ten circulating shareholders, holding 1.1952 million shares, which accounts for 1.12% of the circulating shares [2] - The Fortune Tianyi Value Mixed A/B fund has a total scale of 3.761 billion yuan, with a year-to-date return of 1.61% and a one-year return of 16.07% [2]

Industry Overview - In November, excavator sales reached 20,027 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 13.9%, with domestic sales at 9,842 units (up 9.1%) and exports at 10,185 units (up 18.8%) [1][2] - The construction machinery sector is experiencing a broad recovery, with loader sales at 11,419 units, a year-on-year increase of 32.1%, including domestic sales of 5,631 units (up 29.39%) and exports of 5,748 units (up 34.8%) [1][2] - Sales of automotive cranes reached 1,536 units, marking a year-on-year increase of 16.6%, continuing a positive growth trend for three consecutive months [1][2] AI Infrastructure Demand - The demand for AI-related infrastructure remains strong, with NVIDIA planning to deliver H200 chips to Chinese customers in mid-February, with an expected shipment of 5,000 to 10,000 chip modules, equivalent to approximately 40,000 to 80,000 H200 chips [2] - OpenAI is advancing a financing plan that could reach several hundred billion dollars, potentially up to 100 billion dollars, indicating a robust investment climate in the AI sector [2] Company Highlights 1. **Riyuan Technology** - A leading domestic supplier of industrial X-ray intelligent detection equipment, with a nearly doubled order intake year-on-year in the first half of the year and a revenue increase of 44.01% year-on-year in the first three quarters [2] - The net profit attributable to the parent company increased by 18.83%, with profit growth expected to improve as the impact of new production base construction and share-based payments diminishes [2] 2. **Kangst** - Engaged in the research and sales of digital testing instruments, the company showed resilience under tariff pressures, with Q3 revenue, net profit attributable to the parent, and net profit excluding non-recurring items increasing by 22.24%, 30.66%, and 36.2% year-on-year, respectively [3] - The international business demonstrated strong operational resilience, and the domestic market performance was robust, with growth potential in MEMS sensors [3] 3. **Xinxin Shares** - The company specializes in hard alloys and tools, reporting Q3 revenue growth of 38.02% and net profit attributable to the parent increasing by 75.40% [4] - The significant profit growth is attributed to the company's ability to pass on rising raw material costs to downstream customers, indicating a stable business growth and improving profitability [4]

公开资料显示，工源三仟于2021年1月成立，是一家专注于工业X射线智能检测设备研发、制 造与销售的高科技企业。公司致力于X射线成像技术与计算机视觉技术的交叉研究与产业化应 用，拥有完全自主知识产权的核心算法及软硬件一体化研发能力。公司总部位于北京，在江苏 省设有研发中心，并在浙江省、安徽省建立了生产基地，形成了覆盖研发、生产、销售的全链 条布局，为产品快速迭代与规模化交付提供了有力支撑。 回顾发展历程，工源三仟的融资步伐稳步推进，资本认可度持续提升： ■ 2021年12月，完成数百万人民币天使轮融资，为公司初创期的技术研发奠定基础； ■ 2023年02月，完成数千万人民币Pre-A轮融资，助力公司完善产品体系、推进市场初步拓 展； ■ 2024年08月，完成亿元A轮及A+轮股权融资，加速核心技术产业化进程； 此次数亿元B轮融资的落地，将为 工源三仟 的持续高速发展注入新的动力。 特别提示 微信机制调整，点击顶部"仪器信息网" → 右上方"…" → 设为 ★ 星标，否则很可能无法看到我 们的推送。 近日，工源三仟宣布完成数亿元B轮融资。本轮融资由悦达资本、成都科创投联合投资，老股 东衢州工业集团追投。融资资金将 ...