1. Report's Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In February, the overall market is expected to continue its phased upward trend. It is in the "Spring Market" window period, with the release of policy dividends at the beginning of the "15th Five - Year Plan", clear profit expectations for main lines such as AI and overseas expansion, and the seasonal recovery of the consumer end and the implementation of investment projects will further boost market confidence. However, with the approaching Spring Festival holiday, there may be significant fluctuations in overseas capital markets during the holiday, especially geopolitical risks, so potential disturbances need to be vigilant [2] 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Stock Index Futures Market - **IF Contracts**: The closing prices, trading volumes, and open interests of IF contracts of different maturities are presented. The price changes range from -0.60 to 9.60. The trading volume of the IF next - month contract is 40,264.00, and the open interest of the IF next - quarter contract is 76,816.00. The open interest of the IF current - month contract decreased by 3,223.00 [1] - **IH Contracts**: The price changes of IH contracts of different maturities range from 9.80 to 12.20. The trading volume of the IH next - month contract is 19,831.00, and the open interest of the IH next - quarter contract is 24,339.00. The open interest of the IH current - month contract decreased by 1,364.00 [1] - **IC Contracts**: The price changes of IC contracts of different maturities range from -24.80 to -6.40. The trading volume of the IC next - month contract is 54,914.00, and the open interest of the IC next - quarter contract is 93,478.00. The open interest of the IC current - month contract decreased by 3,901.00 [1] - **IM Contracts**: The price changes of IM contracts of different maturities range from 11.60 to 17.60. The trading volume of the IM next - month contract is 82,316.00, and the open interest of the IM next - quarter contract is 106,809.00. The open interest of the IM current - month contract decreased by 6,616.00 [1] - **Inter - monthly Spreads**: The current inter - monthly spreads of IF, IH, IC, and IM contracts are -4.20, 0.80, -18.20, and -25.60 respectively, compared with the previous values of -1.40, 0.40, -10.40, and -23.40 [1] 3.2 Stock Index Spot Market - **Major Indexes**: The CSI 300 index rose 0.11%, the SSE 50 index rose 0.18%, the CSI 500 index fell 0.06%, and the CSI 1000 index rose 0.20%. The trading volumes and total trading amounts of these indexes are also provided [1] - **Industry Indexes**: Among different industries, the energy industry rose 0.54%, the raw materials industry rose 0.14%, the industrial industry rose 0.09%, and the optional consumption industry rose 0.59%. The main consumption industry fell 1.28%, the pharmaceutical and healthcare industry rose 0.92%, the real estate and finance industry fell 0.07%, and the information technology industry rose 0.60%. The telecommunications business industry fell 0.06%, and the public utilities industry remained unchanged [1] 3.3 Futures - Spot Basis - **Futures - Spot Basis of Different Indexes**: The futures - spot basis of IF, IH, IC, and IM contracts relative to their corresponding spot indexes are presented. For example, the current basis of IF current - month contract relative to the CSI 300 index is 3.90, compared with the previous value of 3.54 [1] 3.4 Other Domestic and Overseas Indexes - **Domestic Indexes**: The Shanghai Composite Index rose 1.41%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 2.17%, the Small and Medium - sized Board Index rose 1.74%, and the ChiNext Index rose 2.98% [1] - **Overseas Indexes**: The Hang Seng Index rose 1.76%, the Nikkei 225 rose 3.89%, the S&P 500 rose 0.47%, and the DAX Index rose 1.19% [1] 3.5 Macroeconomic Information - The People's Bank of China will continue to implement a moderately loose monetary policy, use various policy tools such as reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate cuts, and conduct regular treasury bond trading operations. It also analyzed the issue of bank deposit "outflow" [2] - The draft of the "Shanghai Metropolitan Area Territorial Spatial Planning (2025 - 2035)" was publicly announced, aiming to build a world - influential socialist modern international metropolis area by 2035 [2] - Multiple departments launched projects to provide public services in the health system, including adding 150,000 inclusive childcare places in 2026 and providing free HPV vaccines for 13 - year - old girls [2] - The European Parliament supported the launch of a digital euro in both online and offline forms, and the European Central Bank is expected to start a pilot in 2027 and officially launch it in 2029 [2] 3.6 Industry Information - Five departments jointly issued an implementation opinion on strengthening the capacity building of the information and communication industry to support the development of low - altitude infrastructure, aiming to achieve a ground mobile communication network coverage rate of no less than 90% for low - altitude public routes nationwide by 2027 [2] - The National Health Commission warned about the chaos in the "light medical aesthetics" industry, emphasizing that it must be carried out in medical institutions with relevant qualifications [2] - The National Development and Reform Commission and other departments proposed to promote the application of artificial intelligence in the field of bidding and tendering, with 20 key scenarios [2] - In 2025, the total social logistics volume in China was 368.2 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 5.1% at comparable prices. The logistics volume of industrial robots increased by 28% year - on - year, and the logistics volume of new energy vehicles increased by 25.1% year - on - year [2]

Core Insights - The A-share market experienced a narrow consolidation, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.13% to 4,128.37 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.02% and the ChiNext Index fell by 0.37% [2][8] - The total trading volume in the A-share market was approximately 2.11 trillion RMB, with over 2,100 stocks rising. The media sector led the gains, while the real estate sector lagged [2][8] - In the Hong Kong market, the Hang Seng Index rose by 0.58%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 0.62% [2][8] - The U.S. stock indices closed mixed, with the Dow Jones up by 0.1%, the S&P 500 down by 0.33%, and the Nasdaq down by 0.59% [2][8] Industry News - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other departments issued an implementation opinion on strengthening the capacity building of the information and communication industry to support low-altitude infrastructure development. The goal is to achieve a ground mobile communication network coverage rate of no less than 90% for low-altitude public air routes by 2027 [3][9] - The National Development and Reform Commission and other departments released an implementation opinion on accelerating the application of artificial intelligence in the bidding and tendering field. By the end of 2026, key scenarios such as bid document detection and intelligent evaluation assistance are expected to achieve full coverage in some provinces and cities [4][10] Film Industry Insights - The 2026 Spring Festival film season is expected to feature six highly anticipated films, including "Fast Life 3" and "Silent Awakening," among others [11] - The 2025 Spring Festival box office reached a record high of 9.514 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 18.36%, driven by strong performances from major films [12] - The box office forecast for the 2026 Spring Festival period predicts the top three films to be "Fast Life 3," "Silent Awakening," and "The Courier: Winds Rise in the Desert," with expected revenues of approximately 3.45 billion, 1.845 billion, and 1.47 billion RMB, respectively, leading to a total box office of around 9.298 billion RMB [14]

文 ： 华创证券首席经济学家 张瑜（执业证号：S0360518090001） 联系人： 袁玲玲（微信 Yuen43） 一 、中纪委全会的四大关注点 中国共产党第二十届中央纪律检查委员会第五次全体会议，于 2026 年 1 月 12 日至 14 日在北京举行。中共中央总书记、国家主席、中央军委主席习近平出席全会并发表重 要讲话。中共中央政治局常委、中央纪律检查委员会书记李希代表中央纪委常委会作工作报告《以更高标准、更实举措推进全面从严治党，为实现"十五五"时期目标任务提供 坚强保障》 （参考往年情况，或于 2 月下旬发布报告全文） 。 （一） 金融、国企、能源、开发区、招投标仍是重点行业 2025 年和 2026 年中纪委全会中，金融、国企、能源、开发区、招投标这五个行业，连续两年均被列为年度反腐重点行业。 其中对于金融行业， 2018 年十九届中纪委二次 全会以来，每次会议都将其列入重点行业； 2023 年，二十届中纪委二次全会首次将其放在首位，到今年已连续四年位居首位。 | 时间 | কার্যা | 重点行业 | | --- | --- | --- | | 2026年1月12日至14日 | 二十届中央纪委 ...