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方正证券11月份港股行情展望:外部扰动难改慢牛行情
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-04 08:49
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that the Hong Kong stock market is experiencing a temporary adjustment but is expected to rebound, presenting a good opportunity for investment as the economic fundamentals remain stable and resilient [1] - In October, the Hong Kong stock market indices experienced a decline due to external factors such as tariffs, with the Hang Seng Technology Index falling by 8.6%, the Hang Seng Index by 3.5%, the Hang Seng Composite Index by 3.9%, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index by 4.0% [1] - The performance of various sectors in October showed that utilities, finance, and materials sectors performed relatively well, while healthcare, information technology, and consumer staples lagged behind [1] Group 2 - The AH share premium index saw a slight recovery, rising to 120 by October 31, up 2.2% from 117 at the end of September, indicating it is at a historically low level since 2016 [2] Group 3 - The valuation levels of major Hong Kong stock indices slightly decreased, with the Hang Seng Index PE at 11.7, the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index PE at 10.5, and the Hang Seng Technology Index PE at 22.9, all indicating low historical valuation levels [3] - Specific sectors such as utilities, consumer discretionary, and consumer staples are still at relatively low valuation levels, with the utilities index PE at 12.3, consumer discretionary at 22.8, and consumer staples at 23.8, reflecting their respective historical percentiles [3] Group 4 - Foreign capital outflow from the Hong Kong market has slowed down, with a net outflow of 669 million HKD in October, while southbound funds continue to flow significantly into the market, with a cumulative inflow exceeding 1.1 trillion RMB for the year [4] - In October, the net inflow of southbound funds reached 849 million RMB, contributing to a total cumulative inflow of 11.691 billion RMB for the year, marking a new high in recent years [4]