Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley recommends buying CATL's shares listed in Shenzhen and selling those listed in Hong Kong due to the impending expiration of stock sale restrictions for early key investors [1] Group 1: Stock Market Analysis - Starting from November 19, cornerstone investors of CATL's Hong Kong listing will be able to sell their shares, potentially releasing nearly 50% of CATL's H-shares into circulation [1] - The report indicates that the unlocking of these shares could be a key catalyst for reversing the premium of CATL's H-shares over A-shares [1] Group 2: Performance Comparison - Since its Hong Kong listing six months ago, CATL's H-shares have surged by 116%, while its A-shares have only increased by 60% during the same period [1] - Currently, after adjusting for exchange rate factors, CATL's H-shares are approximately 25% more expensive than its A-shares, which is unusual as most companies listed in both markets typically see A-shares trading at a premium to H-shares [1]

Core Insights - The Hang Seng AH Premium Index has slightly rebounded to 118.42 points as of November 7, following a low of 115.44 points on October 2, indicating a shift in market dynamics for A+H shares [1] Group 1: Recent H-Share Listings - Several well-known A-share companies have recently listed on the Hong Kong stock market, contributing to the AH Premium Index's movements [2] - Junsheng Electronics, listed on November 6, aims to raise funds for automotive intelligent solutions, smart manufacturing, and global expansion, but has seen a cumulative drop of 15.91% since listing, with an A-share premium of 71.63% over H-shares [2] - Seres, which listed on November 5, has experienced a cumulative decline of 13.31%, with an A-share premium of 33.41% over H-shares [2] Group 2: Premium Structure and Trends - The AH premium structure has become more differentiated, with five A+H stocks showing "price inversion" as of November 7, including Ningde Times and Midea Group, with Ningde Times showing the largest premium inversion at -22.303% [4] - The overall trend indicates that the phenomenon of A-shares having premiums over H-shares exceeding 300% has disappeared, with only 30 out of 166 A+H stocks having premiums over 100% [5] - The premium rates for some companies, such as Hongye Futures and Sinopec Oilfield Services, exceed 200%, while others like WuXi AppTec and Zijin Mining have premiums below 5% [5] Group 3: Expansion of A+H Market - The pace of expansion in the A+H market is accelerating, with companies like Baile Tianheng starting their IPO process and planning to raise up to 3.358 billion HKD [6] - The A+H market is becoming a crucial link between A-share and H-share markets, providing investors with more cross-market investment options [7] - Differences in investor structures and trading mechanisms between A-shares and H-shares are fundamental factors contributing to the observed price disparities [7]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that the Hong Kong stock market is experiencing a temporary adjustment but is expected to rebound, presenting a good opportunity for investment as the economic fundamentals remain stable and resilient [1] - In October, the Hong Kong stock market indices experienced a decline due to external factors such as tariffs, with the Hang Seng Technology Index falling by 8.6%, the Hang Seng Index by 3.5%, the Hang Seng Composite Index by 3.9%, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index by 4.0% [1] - The performance of various sectors in October showed that utilities, finance, and materials sectors performed relatively well, while healthcare, information technology, and consumer staples lagged behind [1] Group 2 - The AH share premium index saw a slight recovery, rising to 120 by October 31, up 2.2% from 117 at the end of September, indicating it is at a historically low level since 2016 [2] Group 3 - The valuation levels of major Hong Kong stock indices slightly decreased, with the Hang Seng Index PE at 11.7, the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index PE at 10.5, and the Hang Seng Technology Index PE at 22.9, all indicating low historical valuation levels [3] - Specific sectors such as utilities, consumer discretionary, and consumer staples are still at relatively low valuation levels, with the utilities index PE at 12.3, consumer discretionary at 22.8, and consumer staples at 23.8, reflecting their respective historical percentiles [3] Group 4 - Foreign capital outflow from the Hong Kong market has slowed down, with a net outflow of 669 million HKD in October, while southbound funds continue to flow significantly into the market, with a cumulative inflow exceeding 1.1 trillion RMB for the year [4] - In October, the net inflow of southbound funds reached 849 million RMB, contributing to a total cumulative inflow of 11.691 billion RMB for the year, marking a new high in recent years [4]

Core Insights - The article highlights the top and bottom AH premium rates for various stocks as of October 30, with Northeast Electric (00042) leading with a premium rate of 900.00% [1] - The article also provides a detailed ranking of stocks based on their deviation values, indicating significant discrepancies between A-shares and H-shares [1][2] AH Premium Rate Rankings - The top three stocks with the highest AH premium rates are: - Northeast Electric (00042) with a premium rate of 900.00% and a deviation value of 70.95% [1] - Sinopec Oilfield Service (01033) with a premium rate of 248.72% and a deviation value of 18.50% [1] - Hongye Futures (03678) with a premium rate of 243.15% and a deviation value of 11.02% [1] - The bottom three stocks with the lowest AH premium rates are: - Contemporary Amperex Technology (03750) with a premium rate of -16.96% and a deviation value of -0.91% [1] - China Merchants Bank (03968) with a premium rate of 0.64% and a deviation value of -2.65% [1] - Heng Rui Medicine (01276) with a premium rate of 5.43% and a deviation value of 8.09% [1] Deviation Value Rankings - The stocks with the highest deviation values are: - Northeast Electric (00042) with a deviation value of 70.95% [1] - Shandong Molong (00568) with a deviation value of 26.59% [1] - Changfei Optical Fiber (06869) with a deviation value of 26.29% [1] - The stocks with the lowest deviation values are: - Shanghai Electric (02727) with a deviation value of -18.83% [2] - First Tractor Company (00038) with a deviation value of -17.75% [2] - COSCO Shipping Energy Transportation (01138) with a deviation value of -13.58% [2]

Group 1 - The Hang Seng-Hushen Connect AH Premium Index has declined significantly since 2025, reaching a low of 116.62 points on September 22, marking a drop of over 17% this year [1][2] - The narrowing of the AH premium is attributed to increased southbound capital inflow and a wave of "A+H" listings, which have altered the structure of Hong Kong-listed companies [1][2] - Southbound capital has totaled 11,224.67 million HKD this year, primarily investing in consumer discretionary, financials, information technology, and healthcare sectors [2][3] Group 2 - Foreign capital has shown signs of improvement in buying Hong Kong stocks, with long-term stable foreign capital inflows amounting to approximately 677 million HKD from May to July [3][4] - Certain companies, such as Ningde Times and Heng Rui Pharmaceutical, have seen their H-shares trading at a premium over A-shares, indicating higher valuation recognition from international investors [4][5] - The inclusion of new constituent stocks in the AH Premium Index reflects the overall price gap between A-shares and H-shares, with some H-shares trading over 20% higher than their A-share counterparts [4]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market has shown notable performance recently, with specific ETFs experiencing gains, but the overall outlook suggests that a rebound may not be imminent due to structural differences with the A-share market [1][2]. Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market, particularly the National Enterprises ETF (159519), Dividend ETF (159331), and Technology ETF (513020), saw increases of 1.95%, 1.37%, and 0.64% respectively [1]. - Since July, the Hong Kong market has underperformed compared to the A-share market, raising questions about potential catch-up growth [1]. Earnings Expectations - There is an expectation of downward revisions in earnings for Hong Kong stocks, contrasting with the A-share market, which is experiencing a positive shift in profit forecasts [1]. - In the first half of the year, Hong Kong's net profit growth was +4.2% year-on-year, but this is a decline from the projected +9.2% for 2024, while A-shares reported a +2.8% increase, recovering from a -3.0% forecast for 2024 [1]. Valuation Insights - The AH premium remains low, having slightly rebounded after reaching 125%, which indicates that Hong Kong's dividend-paying assets are losing their attractiveness compared to A-shares due to a 20% dividend tax for investors using the Hong Kong Stock Connect [1]. - According to Zheshang Securities, the current appeal of Hong Kong stocks is not strong given the low AH premium [1]. Liquidity and Market Drivers - Market expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut may provide some support for Hong Kong stocks, but historical data suggests that such cuts do not guarantee market uptrends [2]. - The fundamental factors are expected to dominate market movements, with structural opportunities identified in sectors like technology hardware and pharmaceuticals [2]. Investment Recommendations - Investors are advised to focus on specific ETFs such as the Technology ETF (513020) and the Innovative Drug ETF (517110) to capture structural opportunities in the Hong Kong market [2].

Group 1 - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.51%, closing at 3883.56 points, while the Hang Seng Index increased by 1.94%, closing at 25829.91 points [1] - Air China (China International Airlines) has an AH premium of 55.38%, ranking 67th among AH shares [1] - At the close of trading, Air China's A-shares were priced at 7.54 yuan, with a gain of 1.89%, and H-shares were priced at 5.3 Hong Kong dollars, up by 2.32% [1] Group 2 - Air China was established in 1988 and underwent a restructuring in 2002, forming a new company based on the merger of several airlines [1] - The company was officially established as a subsidiary of China Aviation Group in 2004 and was listed on the Hong Kong and London stock exchanges later that year [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the performance of the Shanghai Composite Index and the Hang Seng Index, with increases of 1.51% and 1.94% respectively on August 25 [1] - China Railway Signal & Communication Corporation (China Tonghao) has an AH premium of 73.39%, ranking 46th among AH shares [1] - At the close of trading, China Tonghao's A-shares were priced at 5.62 yuan, reflecting a 1.26% increase, while its H-shares were priced at 3.54 HKD, up by 1.72% [1] Group 2 - China Tonghao is a large central enterprise directly supervised by the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission, specializing in rail transit control technology [1] - The company is a global leader in rail transit control systems and possesses a complete industrial chain including investment and financing, design and research, system integration, equipment manufacturing, engineering services, and operation maintenance [1] - China Tonghao has received an A-grade in operational performance assessment for four consecutive years and successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in 2015, becoming the first central enterprise and A+H share company to list on the Shanghai Stock Exchange's Sci-Tech Innovation Board in 2019 [1]

Group 1 - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.51% to close at 3883.56 points, while the Hang Seng Index increased by 1.94% to 25829.91 points [1] - China Oilfield Services Limited (COSL) has an AH premium of 114.04%, ranking 20th among AH shares [1] - COSL's A-shares closed at 14.62 yuan, up by 1.39%, and H-shares closed at 7.46 HKD, increasing by 0.4% [1] Group 2 - COSL is a major integrated oilfield service provider globally, offering services across all stages of offshore oil and gas exploration, development, and production [1] - The company's business is divided into four main categories: geophysical exploration services, drilling services, oilfield technical services, and marine services [1] - COSL was publicly listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on November 20, 2002, and has been trading in the U.S. OTC market since March 26, 2004, and on the Shanghai Stock Exchange since September 28, 2007 [1]

Group 1 - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.51% to close at 3883.56 points, while the Hang Seng Index increased by 1.94% to 25829.91 points [1] - China International Capital Corporation (CICC) has an A/H premium of 82.91%, ranking 36th among A/H shares [1] - CICC's A-shares closed at 39.29 yuan, with a gain of 1.11%, and H-shares closed at 23.46 HKD, up by 2.27% [1] Group 2 - CICC was established in 1995 and has been involved in numerous pioneering transactions, contributing to China's economic reform and development [1] - The company aims to become a first-class investment bank with international competitiveness, providing high-quality financial services to a diverse client base [1] - CICC has developed a balanced business structure encompassing research, information technology, investment banking, equity, fixed income, asset management, private equity, and wealth management [1]