Group 1: Chemical Industry Overview - The construction project growth rate in the basic chemical sector has turned negative, indicating a potential turning point for the industry [1] - The fixed asset growth rate is a leading indicator for supply growth, and the current negative trend in construction projects suggests that the chemical sector is approaching a new upward cycle [1][10] - The overall chemical sector requires multiple factors to resonate for the next upward cycle to begin, with oil prices being a key pricing anchor for most chemical products [1] Group 2: AI for Science (AI4S) in Chemical R&D - AI for Science represents a new paradigm in materials science research, with the potential to grow into a trillion-dollar market, significantly enhancing research efficiency through literature learning, AI model calculations, and automated laboratories [2] - The application of AI4S in the pharmaceutical sector is accelerating, with successful models for drug discovery and solid-state research being established [2] - China is positioned to lead in the AI4S market due to its comprehensive chemical manufacturing industry and supply chain, with key companies like 泰控股 and 志特新材 emerging as leaders [2][46] Group 3: Investment Opportunities in New Industries - The AI hardware sector, particularly in light connections, power supplies, and liquid cooling, presents significant investment opportunities, with companies like 东阳光 recommended for attention [3] - The solid-state battery market is expected to undergo transformation driven by demand from emerging sectors, with large-scale commercialization anticipated from 2026 onwards [3] - The robotics sector, particularly with tendon-driven systems, is gaining traction, with significant market potential as the technology matures [3][50] Group 4: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The supply side of the chemical industry is currently in a downward trend, with construction project growth rates at historically low levels [9][10] - Demand for chemical products has been affected by various external factors, including trade tensions and geopolitical events, but the overall demand is stabilizing as tariff disturbances recede [13] - The global chemical product sales accounted for 45% of the total market, indicating a strong position in the global supply chain [13] Group 5: Oil Market Impact - The oil market is facing increasing supply pressures, with predictions of excess supply in 2025, leading to a potential decline in oil prices [17][20] - Geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, continue to create uncertainty in oil prices, which directly impacts the profitability of the chemical sector [28][32] - The OPEC+ group is expected to increase production, further exacerbating the supply-demand imbalance in the oil market [25]

| 行业现状 | | --- | 内容概况：一方面，以南山智尚、同益中为代表的企业，通过自主研发超高分子量聚乙烯 （UHMWPE）纤维，突破了抗蠕变、高强度等技术瓶颈，产品性能对标国际巨头，成本却降低30%。 另一方面，特斯拉Optimus等标杆产品的量产计划，直接拉动了高端腱绳材料需求。例如，单台机器人 需12-24根腱绳，成本占比约10%，随着万台级订单落地，材料需求呈几何级数增长。2024年，中国人 形机器人腱绳材料市场规模为553万元。预计2025年—2029年，人形机器人腱绳材料行业市场规模由 1325万人民币元增长至47368万人民币元，期间年复合增长率144.52%。 相关上市企业：大业股份（603278）、南山智尚（300918）、同益中（688722）、恒辉安防 （300952）、云中马（301511）、骏鼎达（301538） 相关企业：河南沃森超高分子量聚乙烯纤维有限公司、安徽中玺新材料科技有限公司、因时机器人科技 （深圳）有限公司、傲意信息科技（上海）有限公司、帕西尼感知科技（上海）有限公司、灵心巧手科 技（北京）有限公司、大寰机器人科技（深圳）有限公司、兆威机电股份有限公司、仪征化纤股 ...

行业研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 化工行业新材料周报（20250512-20250518） 4 月动力及其他电池同比+49%/环比-0.03%； 推荐（维持） 本周电子级氮气、氧气涨价 基础化工 2025 年 05 月 18 日 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：杨晖 邮箱：yanghui@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360522050001 证券分析师：郑轶 邮箱：zhengyi@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360522100004 证券分析师：王鲜俐 邮箱：wangxianli@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360522080004 证券分析师：吴宇 邮箱：wuyu1@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360524010002 证券分析师：申起昊 邮箱：shenqihao@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360525030001 联系人：陈俊新 邮箱：chenjunxin@hcyjs.com 行业基本数据 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数(只) | 486 | 0.06 | | 总市值(亿元) | 42,655.61 | 4.31 | | 流通市值( ...

业 及 产 业 基础化工 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 2025 年 05 月 11 日 氯氰菊酯反倾销落地，氮肥出口或 有序放开，重点关注低估值高成长 标的 看好 ——《化工周报 25/05/06-25/05/09》 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 马昕晔 A0230511090002 maxy@swsresearch.com 宋涛 A0230516070001 songtao@swsresearch.com 研究支持 邵靖宇 A0230524080001 shaojy@swsresearch.com 任杰 A0230522070003 renjie@swsresearch.com 赵文琪 A0230523060003 zhaowq@swsresearch.com 周超 A0230123090004 zhouchao@swsresearch.com 李绍程 A0230124070001 lisc@swsresearch.com 联系人 马昕晔 (8621)23297818× maxy@swsresearch.com 本期投资提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 行 行 业 ...