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社服零售行业周报:全球数贸中心商位需求比再创新高,业绩预告进入密集披露期-20250706
HUAXI Securities· 2025-07-06 13:54
Investment Rating - Industry rating: Recommended [3] Core Insights - The demand ratio for commercial spaces in the global trade center for baby and beauty products has exceeded 14:1, highlighting the strong appeal of Yiwu as a trading hub [1] - The company expects a net profit of 1.63 to 1.7 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.57% to 17.40% [1][39] - The first batch of 389 jewelry industry shops in the global trade center has seen a bidding demand ratio of 4.25:1, indicating significant market interest [1] Summary by Sections Industry & Company Dynamics - The report highlights the strong performance of companies like Kid King, Small Commodity City, and Jihong Co., with expected profit increases of 50% to 100% for Kid King and 13% to 17% for Small Commodity City [4][35][39] - Jihong Co. anticipates a net profit of 130.16 to 137.4 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 97% to 108% [5][31] Investment Recommendations - Five investment themes are suggested: 1. Recovery of offline traffic benefiting traditional retail [6] 2. Continuous upgrades in AI technology benefiting related companies [6] 3. Increased consumer willingness to pay for emotional value benefiting new retail [6] 4. Recovery of cyclical sectors under domestic demand policies [6] 5. Expanding overseas consumption opportunities for domestic brands [6]