Group 1: Autonomous Driving and Mobility - Baidu's autonomous driving service platform,萝卜快跑, will launch autonomous driving tests and ride-hailing services in London by 2026, marking its first entry into a right-hand drive market outside of Hong Kong [1] - Uber and Lyft will collaborate with Baidu to initiate autonomous taxi trials in the UK next year, reinforcing the UK's position as a leading market for robotic taxi commercialization in Europe [1] Group 2: AI and Smart Home Technology - Tuya Smart launched an AI life assistant named "Hey Tuya," which operates across various physical AI devices and can be accessed through multiple platforms, including the Tuya app and smart speakers [2] - The "Hey Tuya" assistant is available for consumers and global brand clients, with over 12,000 AI agents developed on the Tuya platform, facilitating 155 million AI interactions daily [2] Group 3: Renewable Energy and International Orders - Goldwind Technology reported a total of 7,161.72 MW in overseas external orders as of the end of Q3 2025, with significant installations across various continents [3] - The company has successfully expanded its international business across North America, Oceania, Europe, Asia, South America, and Africa, demonstrating its capability to provide reliable renewable energy solutions globally [3] Group 4: Battery Supply Agreements - CATL signed a five-year supply contract with South Korean electrolyte manufacturer Enchem for a total of 350,000 tons of electrolyte, equivalent to approximately 7,268 million RMB, making it Enchem's largest single customer order to date [4] Group 5: International Market Expansion - XPeng Motors announced its entry into the Middle East and Africa markets, launching its brand in Qatar and establishing partnerships in Mauritius and the UAE [5][5] - The company aims to provide a diverse range of smart mobility options to local consumers, including the upcoming launch of the XPeng P7+ model [5] Group 6: Overseas Manufacturing Investments - Jingfang Technology plans to invest 150 million ringgit in Malaysia to advance its integrated circuit industry internationalization strategy, establishing a joint venture for semiconductor manufacturing [8] - Xiangpiaopiao Foods announced plans to invest $38 million in establishing a liquid beverage production base in Thailand, aligning with its strategy for international market expansion [9] Group 7: Entertainment and Community Engagement - Jet Li has joined TikTok to create a global kung fu action community, aiming to share his martial arts experience with a wider audience [10] Group 8: Financing and Acquisitions - "Yis Innovation" completed a Pre-A round financing of 100 million RMB to enhance its laser processing technology and expand its product line [11] - "Obita" raised nearly $30 million in total through its Pre-A round financing to accelerate business development and improve its global payment infrastructure [12] - Hualian Holdings plans to acquire 100% of Canadian company Argentum Lithium S.A. for $175 million, enhancing its investment in the lithium industry [13] - Ugreen Technology is preparing for an IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to strengthen its global strategy and enhance its brand image [14]

消息面上，消费股年末补涨。据相关媒体报道，在科技股集体到达短期高位后，此前缺席的消费板块也 迎来补涨行情。在一系列旨在扩大内需、提振消费的政策举措陆续出台后，过去一周，消费、零售股迎 来了久违的反弹。 假期催化+冰雪经济：旅游ETF（562510） 提振内需+低估赛道：食品饮料ETF（515170） 电商龙头+新消费：港股消费ETF（513230） 开源证券指出，当前消费行业正迎来政策密集支持的战略机遇期，而食品饮料行业作为必选消费核心赛 道，有望直接受益于内需提振战略。行业、健康化、品质化成为核心趋势，叠加成本端压力缓解，头部 企业盈利韧性凸显。当前消费行业已呈现底部特征，政策红利释放与基本面修复形成共振，当前具备配 置价值。消费筑底政策共振，白酒或至底部重视布局。 东兴证券指出，2025年新消费投资情绪经历了从狂热到谨慎的过程。2026年政策的持续加码有望提振消 费信心，对于新消费领域的投资将从纯粹的短期叙事回归商业模式与盈利壁垒，投资者会倾向寻找那些 真正能够构建稳固的商业模式，盈利模式可持续的公司。该行认为新消费行业会向三个趋势和两个维度 的方向发展。三个趋势是健康化、新实用主义和情绪消费，两个维度是 ...

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [4] Core Insights - The recent bidding results for duty-free projects at Shanghai airports indicate a new competitive landscape, with international retailers regaining operational rights in China after 1999. The expected annual passenger throughput for the two terminals at Pudong Airport is 80 million, with the bidding results showing a decrease in commission rates [2][19] - The National Retail Innovation Development Conference emphasized the retail sector as a foundational industry for the national economy, encouraging companies to accelerate transformation and focus on high-quality development [3] Summary by Sections Industry & Company Dynamics - The bidding results for duty-free operations at Shanghai airports have led to a significant shift in the competitive landscape, with China Duty Free Group (CDFG) and Dufry winning key contracts. The commission rates for the new contracts are lower than previous agreements, which may enhance profitability for operators [1][2][19] - Walmart has transitioned from the New York Stock Exchange to Nasdaq, marking a strategic shift towards being perceived as a technology-driven company rather than a traditional retail stock. This move is seen as a response to the evolving retail landscape and the increasing importance of technology and AI [21] Macro & Industry Data - In October, the total retail sales reached 4.63 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 2.9%. Excluding automobiles, retail sales grew by 4.0%, indicating a slight acceleration in consumer spending [39][40] - The online retail growth rate has slowed, while new retail formats continue to grow rapidly. For the first ten months, the online retail sales of physical goods increased by 6.3% year-on-year, with new retail formats like warehouse membership stores and unmanned stores showing double-digit growth [40] Investment Recommendations - Five investment themes are suggested: 1. Continuous upgrades in AI technology, benefiting companies like Keri International and Focus Technology [7] 2. Increased consumer willingness to pay for emotional value, with high-growth potential in new retail sectors [7] 3. Recovery of cyclical sectors under the backdrop of domestic demand stimulation, with companies like Haidilao and Yum China expected to benefit [7] 4. Expanding opportunities for domestic brands going overseas, with a focus on service providers and strong product offerings [7] 5. Revitalization of traditional formats as offline traffic returns, benefiting companies like Yonghui Supermarket and Kidswant [7]

01 中金研究｜宏观策略周论：降息与经济工作会议之后 核心看点： 1、港股为何跑输？港股何时跑赢？2、中央经济工作会议的信号；3、如何判断市场是否见 顶？4、日本央行加息、套息交易、日本财政。 嘉宾： 刘刚 Kevin丨中金公司研究部董事总经理、海外与港股策略首席分析师 黄文静丨中金公司研究部执行总经理、宏观分析师 黄凯松丨中金公司副总经理、国内策略分析师 丁瑞丨中金公司总监、日本研究负责人 扫码预约 02 商贸零售丨东吴吴劲草：消费商社行业的四大方向-出海/资源/服务/改革【首席 开麦2025】 10:00-11:00 核心看点： 09:30-10:30 核心看点： 1、美国的需求前置的逻辑将演绎到什么程度、持续多久？2、在2026年下半年美国铜关税进 入兑现期后，全球市场又将如何消化供给的后置？ 嘉宾： 郭朝辉丨中金公司研究部执行总经理，大宗商品首席分析师 赵烜丨中金公司研究部大宗商品分析师 扫码预约 04 长期看好消费出海方向，重视全球定价的资源商贸，同时重视百货&景区等服务消费改革。 嘉宾： 吴劲草丨东吴证券商贸零售首席分析师 扫码预约 03 中金公司 | 大宗半小时——新高之后，更上层楼？ 15:1 ...

Q&A 仙鹤股份在 2025 年第三季度的业绩表现如何？未来的盈利预期是什么？ 仙鹤股份 20251128 摘要 仙鹤股份多元化原材料布局，包括芦苇浆、甘蔗浆等非桉木类纤维，湖 北基地芦苇浆生物用纸已满产，广西一期投产，二期筹划绒毛浆等，增 强抗风险能力，为新产品开发奠定基础。 仙鹤股份国内外产能扩张稳步推进，国内广西二期预计 2026 年底投产， 四川独家项目预计 2027 年底部分投放；海外柬埔寨基地预计 2026 年 底投产，并考虑中东等地布局，规避贸易壁垒，拓展国际市场。 仙鹤股份预计 2026 年行业涨价将改善利润，将推进海外基地建设，加 强成本控制和稳定原材料供应，消费出海、生产出海将显著影响公司业 务和利润表现。 仙鹤股份在柬埔寨投资旨在探索东南亚市场，服务越南和柬埔寨客户， 未来计划考察印尼、泰国和马来西亚，审慎推进海外布局，规避反倾销 风险。 纸浆价格呈周期性上行趋势，9 月已上涨，预计 2026 年将继续走高， 木片成本上升是主要推动力，利好浙江产能企业，促进行业整体利润提 升。 仙鹤股份在 2025 年第三季度的业绩超出预期，主要得益于广西和湖北基地纸 浆部分的增量贡献。公司整体上游配套 ...

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Recommended [5] Core Views - Yum China has launched the RGM3.0 strategy, establishing financial targets for the next three years, with an operating profit margin of 10.8%-10.9% for 2025, and restaurant profit margins of approximately 16.2%-16.3% for Yum China, 17.3% for KFC, and 12.7% for Pizza Hut [1][2] - The company aims for a compound annual growth rate in same-store sales index of 100-102 from 2026 to 2028, with system sales growth in the high single digits and double-digit growth in diluted earnings per share and free cash flow per share [2][33] - By 2026, the total number of stores is expected to reach 20,000, increasing to over 25,000 by 2028, and striving to exceed 30,000 by 2030 [2][33] - Average annual capital expenditure is projected to be around $600-700 million, with plans to return approximately 100% of free cash flow to shareholders starting in 2027 [2][33] Summary by Sections Industry & Company Dynamics - The consumer services index and retail index underperformed the CSI 300 index by 2.76 percentage points and 2.58 percentage points, respectively [13] - In October, the total retail sales amounted to 4.63 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 2.9% [39] - The retail sales of consumer goods excluding automobiles increased by 4.0% year-on-year, with significant growth in jewelry and cosmetics categories [39][56] Investment Recommendations - Five investment themes are suggested: 1) Continuous upgrades in AI technology with beneficiaries including Core International and Focus Technology [4] 2) Enhanced consumer willingness to pay for emotional value, benefiting high-growth new retail sectors like Miniso and Pop Mart [4] 3) Recovery of cyclical sectors under the backdrop of domestic demand stimulation, with beneficiaries including Haidilao and Yum China [4] 4) Broad prospects for overseas consumption, with support for domestic brands going abroad [4] 5) Return of offline traffic, revitalizing traditional formats with beneficiaries like Yonghui Supermarket and百联股份 [4]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of "strong, change, and new" in the 2026 strategy for the trading industry, focusing on both external and internal demand, particularly through consumer exports and resource trading [1][3] Group 1: Industry Review and Trends - In 2025, the trading industry benefited from national subsidies, leading to a recovery in consumer demand, particularly in discretionary categories, with growth rates of 18-21% for various consumer goods [3][14] - The "anti-involution" trend has led to a recovery in production profits, with industrial profits showing over 20% year-on-year growth in August and September [3][23] - The rise of new consumption patterns, the impact of trade wars on consumer exports, and the significant increase in gold prices present unique opportunities for the industry [3][24][26] Group 2: Future Directions for the Trading Industry - Consumer exports and trade security are expected to play a crucial role in China's economy, with a focus on building "Chinese brands" globally [3][28] - The gold and jewelry retail sector is anticipated to remain a key area of focus in 2026, despite high gold prices, as consumer habits typically lag behind price changes [3][29] - The bulk trading sector is at a turning point, with potential for the emergence of large Chinese trading groups similar to Japan's trading houses [3][30] - Retail and tourism sectors are expected to undergo significant changes and reforms, providing marginal catalysts for growth [3][31] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - Strong investment opportunities include companies involved in consumer exports such as Xiaoshangcheng, Anker Innovations, and Luguan Technology, as well as gold retail brands like Luk Fook Holdings and Chow Tai Fook [3][33] - Companies undergoing changes in trading cycles and brand development, such as Xiamen Xiangyu and Yonghui Superstores, are also recommended [3][34] - New consumption trends represented by brands like Laopu Gold and Pop Mart are highlighted as potential growth areas [3][35] - Companies with low valuations, including Huazhu Group and Miniso, are suggested for consideration [3][36] Group 4: Cross-Border E-commerce Growth - The cross-border e-commerce sector is experiencing high growth, with exports reaching 2.6 trillion yuan in 2024, a 10.8% increase year-on-year [42] - The sector's growth is driven by China's supply chain advantages and increasing e-commerce penetration in overseas markets [42][45] - Future growth in cross-border e-commerce is expected to be fueled by the branding of supply chains and the continued rise of overseas e-commerce platforms [42][45] Group 5: Bulk Supply Chain Recovery - The bulk supply chain industry is fragmented, with leading companies holding less than 2% market share, indicating significant growth potential [54] - The market concentration in the bulk supply chain sector is increasing, with leading companies showing continuous growth [54][58] - As domestic manufacturing becomes more specialized, the advantages of leading supply chain companies in terms of scale and efficiency are expected to enhance their market share [58]

Core Viewpoint - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes boosting consumption as a core element in expanding domestic demand and constructing a new development pattern, making consumption a primary focus for long-term value investment in the equity market [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market has shown remarkable performance this year, with the Hang Seng Index increasing by 35.41% year-to-date as of November 14 [2] - The market has attracted a number of quality listed companies in sectors such as technology, consumption, pharmaceuticals, and high dividends, with emerging consumer enterprises closely aligned with young consumer trends [2] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - A new theme fund focusing on quality companies in the Hong Kong stock market, particularly in the consumer sector, has been launched, prioritizing company growth and industry competition [1] - The fund aims to identify companies with solid fundamentals and matching valuations, leveraging the team's long-term investment experience in Hong Kong stocks [1] Group 3: Consumer Market Trends - The current consumer market is characterized by resilience in essential consumption and recovery in discretionary spending, with strong performance in service consumption sectors like tourism and dining [2] - The rise of domestic brands and new consumption trends, such as value-for-money products and emotional consumption, are becoming new growth drivers [2] - The Hang Seng Consumer Index aligns well with industry trends, covering sectors like food and beverages, textiles, and leisure tourism [2] Group 4: Future Outlook - As profitability in the consumer sector continues to improve, valuations are expected to rise again, supporting future economic growth and company valuations [2] - The overall outlook for the Hong Kong stock market remains optimistic in the medium to long term, driven by both sentiment and corporate factors [2]

Group 1 - The report highlights a structural differentiation in consumption performance since 2025, with companies like Pop Mart, Miniso, and Lao Pu Gold successfully expanding overseas, leading to better performance for export-oriented companies [1][2] - By 2026, the report anticipates an acceleration in consumer exports, driven by a backdrop of the Federal Reserve entering a rate-cutting cycle and easing tariffs, with Southeast Asia surpassing the US as China's largest export destination [1][2] - The report outlines three main paths for companies going overseas: raw materials and medical devices, skincare products leveraging cost-effectiveness and Chinese herbal ingredients, and acquisitions to expand global market presence [2][3] Group 2 - The beauty industry is characterized by a steady global market demand, with emerging markets in Southeast Asia showing higher growth potential compared to East Asia and Europe [2] - The jewelry market is experiencing demand differentiation, with product upgrades and a broader consumer base, particularly in Asia, North America, and Europe [2][3] - The cross-border e-commerce sector is witnessing a globalized supply chain, with significant competition in Southeast Asia, and a shift towards high-value consumer electronics in the region [3][4] Group 3 - Investment recommendations include focusing on companies with strong organizational structures and management capabilities in the beauty sector, such as Mao Ge Ping and Shangmei, while recommending premium jewelry brands like Lao Pu Gold and Chao Hong Ji [3][4] - The report suggests that the cross-border e-commerce sector will benefit from tariff conflicts easing and a recovering demand cycle, recommending companies like Xiao Shangpin City and Jiao Dian Technology [3][4] - The retail sector is expected to improve due to effective adjustments, with a focus on companies like Miniso and Yonghui Supermarket [3][4]

Core Viewpoint - The consumer sector in A-shares and Hong Kong stocks experienced a significant rise on November 10, driven by multiple positive news releases, with traditional and new consumption sectors showing strong performance, particularly China Duty Free Group reaching a two-year high [1][2][3] Group 1: Market Performance - A-shares saw strong performances in sectors such as liquor, aviation, and duty-free, with notable stocks like China Duty Free Group hitting the daily limit and a total buy order of 5.03 billion yuan [2] - In Hong Kong, stocks like Hou Shang A Yi and Mi Xue Group rose by over 13% and 9% respectively, while Pop Mart increased by over 8% [2] - The consumer sector has been under pressure for several quarters, with the liquor index down approximately 5.45% year-to-date, while the retail index only increased by 0.75% [3] Group 2: Policy and Economic Indicators - The Ministry of Finance announced continued implementation of policies to boost consumption, while the National Bureau of Statistics reported a 0.2% year-on-year increase in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) [3] - The core CPI, excluding food and energy, has seen an expanding growth rate for six consecutive months, indicating a potential recovery in consumer spending [3] Group 3: Fund Management Trends - Public funds have shown a divergence in their operations, with some reducing holdings in traditional consumer stocks like Kweichow Moutai, while others maintain or increase their positions, reflecting differing outlooks on the consumer market [4][5] - The number of funds holding Pop Mart decreased from 286 to 180, with a significant reduction in the number of shares held, indicating a cautious approach towards new consumption stocks [4][5] Group 4: Investment Strategies - Fund managers are focusing on the dual aspects of domestic demand and overseas expansion as key investment themes, believing that the current low valuation levels provide a safety margin for investments [5][6] - There is a growing emphasis on the potential for Chinese brands to expand internationally, particularly in Southeast Asia, Africa, and the Middle East, as companies leverage their domestic market strengths to gain competitive advantages abroad [6]