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周度经济观察:三季度供需或将趋于平衡-20250722
Guotou Securities· 2025-07-22 06:31
Economic Overview - In Q2, the actual GDP growth was 5.2% year-on-year, while nominal GDP growth fell to 3.9%, marking a decline of 0.2 and 0.7 percentage points from Q1 respectively[4] - The nominal GDP growth rate has dropped below 4%, the lowest in nearly three years, primarily due to strong supply and weak demand characteristics[23] Supply and Demand Balance - Q3 is expected to see a balance between supply and demand, driven by the implementation of "anti-involution" policies and improved confidence in the real sector[2] - The recovery in consumption is gradually being confirmed, with "anti-involution" policies likely being a key factor influencing Q3 economic performance[4] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment in Q2 grew by only 1.8% year-on-year, a significant drop of 2.4 percentage points from Q1, with infrastructure and manufacturing investments experiencing widespread contraction[11] - In June, fixed asset investment saw a month-on-month decline of 0.1%, marking a historical low[11] Consumer Behavior - The nominal growth rate of social retail sales in Q2 was 4.5%, slightly down by 0.1 percentage points from Q1, indicating a moderate increase in consumer spending[19] - In June, social retail sales growth fell to 4.8%, a significant drop of 1.6 percentage points from the previous month, with most categories experiencing a broad decline[20] Inflation and Market Dynamics - The report suggests that moderate inflation positively impacts corporate operations and household balance sheets, with expectations of a gradual recovery in nominal GDP growth[2] - The bond market is currently benefiting from a low inflation environment and ample liquidity, although the upward potential for bond prices is limited in the short term[27] Geopolitical and Policy Risks - Risks include geopolitical tensions and the potential for policy changes that exceed expectations, which could impact economic stability[3]
特变电工等申请一种光伏电厂升压站的继电保护装置专利,提升干燥效果
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-07-15 05:42
Group 1 - The State Intellectual Property Office of China shows that TBEA Co., Ltd. and Tibet Kaitou Jinshang Photovoltaic Energy Co., Ltd. have applied for a patent titled "Relay Protection Device for Photovoltaic Power Plant Booster Station," with publication number CN120320179A and application date of May 2025 [1] - The patent describes a relay protection device for photovoltaic power plant booster stations, which includes a housing, a relay protection instrument, a fan, and a filtering mechanism that enhances the drying effect of desiccants through vibration [1] - The filtering mechanism is designed to remove dust from the filter and promote the dispersion and replacement of desiccants, improving the overall efficiency of the device [1] Group 2 - TBEA Co., Ltd. was established in 1993, located in Changji Hui Autonomous Prefecture, primarily engaged in the manufacturing of electrical machinery and equipment, with a registered capital of 5,052.71 million RMB [2] - TBEA has invested in 55 companies, participated in 5,000 bidding projects, and holds 361 trademark records and 657 patent records, along with 20 administrative licenses [2] - Tibet Kaitou Jinshang Photovoltaic Energy Co., Ltd. was founded in 2022, located in Changdu, primarily involved in electricity and heat production and supply, with a registered capital of 762 million RMB [2] - Tibet Kaitou Jinshang has participated in 17 bidding projects and holds 6 patent records [2]