高盛全球大宗商品研究团队在1月28日发布的报告中，显著上调了对黄金与铜两大关键金属的价格预 测，预计将直接驱动中国相关矿业企业的盈利预期系统性上修。报告指出，资源稀缺性溢价已实质性显 现。 据追风交易台，报告将2026年基准黄金目标价格上调10%-16%，预计当年均价可达4978美元/盎司；同 时将2026年LME铜价预测提升7%至12200美元/吨。基于上述价格调整，高盛相应将覆盖范围内的中国 铜与黄金企业2026-2027年盈利预测上调9%-33%。 研报强调，具备显著产量增长潜力的龙头企业将同时享受价格上行与产能扩张的双重红利，预计2026年 部分企业铜产量增幅可达9%-14%。从估值角度看，当前股价水平仍普遍反映较为保守的大宗商品价格 预期，若长期目标价位逐步兑现，当前板块估值具备明显安全边际与上行空间。 结构性配置推升金价，资金流入铸就铜稀缺溢价 高盛全球团队最新研究指出，大宗商品市场正步入结构性重估阶段，尤其体现在贵金属与工业金属领 域。 黄金方面，团队将2026年均价预测上调10%至4978美元/盎司，并将2027年上半年均价预测大幅调升16% 至5585美元/盎司。高盛分析指出，此前报告提示的 ...

12月29日，江西铜业股份(0358.HK)盘中一度涨超12%至41.98港元，创历史新高，半日收涨近10%报40.92港元。消息面上， 公司宣布，附属江铜香港投资及索尔黄金董事会，已就以全现金收购索尔黄金全部已发行及将要发行的普通股股本的条款 达成协议。江铜香港投资将可能支付的最高总对价将不超过7.64亿英镑。 江西铜业称，公司自2020年11月起为索尔黄金股东，现为索尔黄金最大单一股东，持有索尔黄金已发行股本约12.2%。索尔 黄金的旗舰项目Cascabel位于厄瓜多尔北部因巴布拉省，为全球最重要的未开发斑岩型铜金矿床之一，并有望成为南美洲的 标志性矿业项目。 港股频道更多独家策划、专家专栏，免费查阅>>责任编辑：栎树 ...

Core Viewpoint - Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold (FCX.US) reported third-quarter earnings that exceeded expectations, with revenue of $6.97 billion and a Non-GAAP EPS of $0.50, reflecting a year-over-year revenue growth of 2.7% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Revenue for the third quarter was $6.97 billion, surpassing expectations by $240 million [1] - Non-GAAP EPS was reported at $0.50, exceeding the forecast by $0.09 [1] - The company’s operating cash flow totaled $1.7 billion for the third quarter, after deducting $200 million for working capital and other uses [1] Group 2: Production and Sales Data - Copper production was 912 million pounds, while gold production was 287,000 ounces, and molybdenum production was 22 million pounds [1] - Copper sales reached 977 million pounds, gold sales were 336,000 ounces, and molybdenum sales totaled 19 million pounds [1] - Average realized prices were $4.68 per pound for copper, $3,539 per ounce for gold, and $24.07 per pound for molybdenum [1] Group 3: Cost and Guidance - The unit net cash cost for copper in the third quarter was $1.40 per pound, better than the guidance provided in July 2025 [1] - The expected average unit net cash cost for copper for the full year 2025 is projected to be $1.68 per pound [1] - The company adjusted its full-year 2025 capital expenditure forecast, reducing it by approximately $400 million compared to the July 2025 guidance [2]

Core Viewpoint - Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX.US) shares fell over 3% to $41.45 due to a landslide incident at the Grasberg copper mine, which may lead to a temporary suspension of operations at the Manyar smelter by the end of October due to a shortage of copper concentrate supply [1] Group 1 - The Grasberg copper mine experienced a landslide, impacting copper concentrate availability [1] - Indonesian mining officials indicated that Grasberg's copper concentrate inventory is expected to last only until the end of this month [1] - Freeport-McMoRan is anticipated to face supply shortages and may temporarily halt production at the end of October [1]