Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs has expressed a strong bullish stance on the Chinese market, indicating a renewed interest in long positions due to robust market performance driven by multiple factors including policy support, earnings growth, and capital inflows [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Both Hong Kong and mainland markets are experiencing significant upward momentum, with multiple indices reaching new highs; southbound capital inflows into Hong Kong stocks have accelerated, with a record net purchase of approximately 35.88 billion HKD on August 15, 2023, bringing total inflows for the year to 938.92 billion HKD, surpassing last year's total of 807.87 billion HKD [1] - The A-share market has also seen a substantial increase, with the Shanghai Composite Index returning to around 3,700 points and a trading volume exceeding 2.2 trillion CNY, marking the 29th trading day in A-share history to surpass this threshold [1] - The CSI 300 Index has risen for four consecutive months since April, potentially setting a record for the longest streak since 2020, with the CSI 1000 Index (excluding OFAC components) up over 12% [1] Group 2: Key Drivers of Market Confidence - **Policy Initiatives**: The government has introduced personal consumption loan interest subsidies to boost consumer confidence, while eight lithium battery companies have agreed to pause capacity expansion, leading to a recovery in industry valuations [2] - **Technology Sector Performance**: The earnings season for tech companies has shown strong results, with Tencent reporting Q2 2025 revenue of 752.91 billion CNY and adjusted EPS of 27.52 CNY, exceeding market expectations by 3%; AI-driven improvements have significantly boosted marketing service revenues [3] - **Funding Dynamics**: Retail investors have become the main force in the current market rally, with margin trading balances reaching a ten-year high of 202.04 billion CNY, while sentiment indicators suggest that investor enthusiasm remains moderate, indicating potential for further gains [4][7] - **Foreign Capital Expectations**: There is an increasing expectation for foreign capital to return, as Goldman Sachs notes a divergence between nominal and net market values, suggesting that global funds may amplify upward momentum [8] - **Liquidity Support**: China's liquidity supply grew by 4.6% year-on-year in June, marking the largest increase in over two years, providing a supportive environment for the stock market [9] Group 3: Investment Focus Areas - Goldman Sachs favors mid-cap indices in both Hong Kong and A-shares, specifically the CSI 500 and CSI 1000 [10] - **Technology and AI Sector**: Companies like Tencent and JD.com are showing effective AI applications, with significant growth in related sectors such as semiconductors and data centers [12] - **Consumer Recovery Chain**: Policy subsidies are directly benefiting sectors related to consumer loans, alongside improvements in retail fundamentals, making quality consumer leaders attractive [12] - **"Anti-Competition" Industries**: Sectors like lithium batteries and photovoltaics that have reached consensus on capacity are expected to see improved profitability for leading companies [13] - **High-Growth Mid-Caps**: The CSI 1000 Index includes many hidden champions in niche markets, which are likely to benefit from liquidity easing and industrial upgrades [13]

8月14日早盘，港股三大指数集体高开，恒指高开0.6％，国企指数高开0.69％，恒生科技指数高开 0.69%。开盘后，A股同赛道规模最大的恒生科技指数ETF（513180）跟随指数上扬，持仓股中，华 虹、哔哩哔哩、中芯国际、海尔智家、腾讯控股等涨幅居前。 消息面上，腾讯控股8月13日披露的二季报显示，AI技术及应用正加速转化为业绩动能。当季腾讯 实现营收1845亿元，同比增长15%，经营利润692.5亿元，同比增长18%。在核心业务坚实增长的同时， 腾讯持续加码AI战略投入：当季研发投入同比增长17%至202.5亿元，资本开支同比增长119%至191.1亿 元。隔夜美股方面，腾讯控股绩后ADR大涨。 花旗集团点评称，腾讯控股2025年第二季度营收加速增长，有力证明了其在营销服务、游戏和商业 服务领域的人工智能投资卓有成效。得益于国内游戏、视频账号、微信搜索等高利润率收入流以及有节 制的支出，毛利率/营业利润率/净利润率继续以22%/18%/20%的同比速度更快增长。展望未来，随着越 来越多的常青游戏的强劲收入、即将推出的《无畏契约》手游、《三角洲部队》贡献的增加、升级的广 告平台以及企业对GPU基础设施需求的 ...

2025 Second Quarter Results Presentation August 13, 2025 1 This presentation may contain forward-looking statements relating to the forecasts, targets, outlook, estimates of financial performance, opportunities, challenges, business developments, business plans and growth strategies of Tencent Holdings Limited (the "Company" or "Tencent") and its group companies. These forward-looking statements are based on information currently available to Tencent and are stated here on the basis of the outlook at the ti ...