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LPG:短期支撑不弱,关注成本变化,丙烯:短期偏弱运行
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-09-29 02:39
Report Title - LPG: Short-term support is not weak, pay attention to cost changes [2] - Propylene: Weak operation in the short term [3] Core Viewpoints - LPG has short-term support but investors should focus on cost changes; propylene is expected to operate weakly in the short term [2][3] Fundamental Tracking Futures Prices - PG2511 closed at 4,290 yesterday with a 0.54% increase, and 4,317 at night with a 0.63% increase - PG2512 closed at 4,211 yesterday with a 0.21% increase, and 4,235 at night with a 0.57% increase - PL2601 closed at 6,365 yesterday with a -0.11% decrease, and 6,396 at night with a 0.49% increase - PL2602 closed at 6,399 yesterday with no change, and 6,412 at night with a 0.20% increase [3] Position and Trading Volume - PG2511 had a trading volume of 65,891 yesterday, an increase of 4,599 from the previous day, and a position of 80,682, a decrease of 7,631 - PG2512 had a trading volume of 12,891 yesterday, an increase of 1,852 from the previous day, and a position of 43,849, an increase of 1,244 - PL2601 had a trading volume of 2,531 yesterday, an increase of 1,093 from the previous day, and a position of 12,193, a decrease of 94 - PL2602 had a trading volume of 44 yesterday, unchanged from the previous day, and a position of 622, a decrease of 2 [3] Spreads - The spread between Guangzhou domestic gas and PG11 contract was 290 yesterday, compared to 283 the day before - The spread between Guangzhou imported gas and PG11 contract was 370 yesterday, compared to 393 the day before - The spread between Shandong propylene and PL01 contract was 110 yesterday, compared to 113 the day before - The spread between East China propylene and PL01 contract was -15 yesterday, compared to -42 the day before - The spread between South China propylene and PL01 contract was -90 yesterday, compared to -97 the day before [3] Industrial Chain Data - PDH operating rate was 69.5% this week, compared to 64.6% last week - MTBE operating rate was 64.2% this week, compared to 63.6% last week - Alkylation operating rate was 47.4% this week, compared to 44.9% last week [3] Trend Intensity - LPG trend intensity is 0; propylene trend intensity is 0. The range of trend intensity is an integer in the [-2, 2] interval, with -2 being the most bearish and 2 being the most bullish [6] Market News CP Paper Goods - On September 26, 2025, the October CP paper goods, propane was at $542/ton, up $1/ton from the previous trading day; butane was at $520/ton, up $1/ton from the previous trading day. The November CP paper goods, propane was at $557/ton, unchanged from the previous trading day [7] PDH Device Maintenance Plans - Multiple domestic PDH plants have maintenance plans, with some starting from 2023 and the end times of many still to be determined [8] Liquefied Gas Plant Device Maintenance Plans - Many domestic liquefied gas plants have maintenance plans, with varying durations and some end times still to be determined [8]
观望情绪浓厚,市场氛围一般
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-08-05 05:16
液化石油气日报 | 2025-08-05 观望情绪浓厚,市场氛围一般 市场分析 1、\t8月4日地区价格:山东市场,4450-4560;东北市场,4100-4350;华北市场,4410-4590;华东市场,4270-4500; 沿江市场,4450-4630;西北市场,4100-4250;华南市场,4280-4500。(数据来源:卓创资讯) 2、\t2025年9月上半月中国华东冷冻货到岸价格丙烷555美元/吨,跌3美元/吨,丁烷513美元/吨,跌15美元/吨,折 合人民币价格丙烷4360元/吨,跌30元/吨,丁烷4030元/吨,跌126元/吨。(数据来源:卓创资讯) 3、\t2025年9月上半月中国华南冷冻货到岸价格丙烷551美元/吨,涨1美元/吨,丁烷491美元/吨,跌29美元/吨,折 合人民币价格丙烷4329元/吨,稳定,丁烷3999元/吨,跌94元/吨。(数据来源:卓创资讯) 近日沙特阿美公司公布8月CP价格,丙、丁烷均均较7月大幅下调:其中丙烷为520美元/吨,较上月跌55美元/吨, 丁烷为490美元/吨,较上月跌55美元/吨。现货方面,市场在逐步消化CP价格的下调,华东、东北区域有所下跌, 其余区域维 ...