商品期权日报(2026 年 03 月 02 日) 表 1：期权行情 | 看涨期权 | | | --- | --- | | 品种 | 日涨跌幅 | | 锡 | 104. 26% | | 硅铁 | 74.52% | | 铜 | 27.67% | | 锰硅 | 27. 39% | | 白糖 | 27. 34% | | 鸡蛋 | 26. 88% | | 铂 | 26. 33% | | 锌 | 17.80% | | 棕榈油 | 16.08% | | 原油 | 14. 81% | | | 看涨期权 | | 看跌期权 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 品种 | 日涨跌幅 | 品种 | 日涨跌幅 | | 锡 | 104.26% | 丙烯 | 51.80% | | 硅铁 | 74.52% | PVC | 39.46% | | 铜 | 27.67% | 纸浆 | 36.19% | | 锰硅 | 27.39% | 聚丙烯 | 30.61% | | 白糖 | 27.34% | 氧化铝 | 29.55% | | 鸡蛋 | 26.88% | 塑料 | 25.94% | | 铂 | 26.33% | 甲醇 | 2 ...

商品期权日报(2026 年 02 月 25 日) 表 1：期权行情 | 看涨期权 | | | 看跌期权 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 品种 | 日涨跌幅 | 品种 | 日涨跌幅 | | 纯苯 | 157.06% | 多晶硅 | 74.15% | | 棉花 | 98.72% | 螺纹钢 | 34.96% | | 苯乙烯 | 88.56% | 生猪 | 33.71% | | 液化石油气 | 87.91% | 锰硅 | 21.09% | | 白银 | 77.37% | 苹果 | 18.49% | | 原油 | 75.32% | 焦煤 | 9.37% | | 聚丙烯 | 70.15% | 铁矿石 | 8.80% | | 短纤 | 68.18% | 菜粕 | 8.03% | | 天然橡胶 | 58.25% | 氧化铝 | 3.21% | | 塑料 | 56.42% | 硅铁 | 2.27% | | | 看涨期权 | | 看跌期权 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 品种 | 日涨跌幅 | 品种 | 日涨跌幅 | | 纯苯 | 157.06% | 多晶硅 | 74.1 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Not provided in the content 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Overview - The report presents the trading volume and open interest data of the commodity options market, including the overall market and different sectors such as agriculture, energy and chemicals, black metals, precious metals, and non - ferrous metals and new energy. The overall trading volume of the market this week was 6,628,465.8, a decrease of 0.95% from last week, and the open interest was 7,083,253, a decrease of 0.24% from last week. Among them, the trading volume of agricultural products increased by 0.48%, while the trading volume of other sectors decreased to varying degrees [5]. 3.2 Market Data 3.2.1 Market Overview - The report provides the quantitative data of commodity options, including the at - the - money volatility, 60 - day quantile, skew, and 60 - day skew quantile of various options. For example, the at - the - money volatility of corn options is 8.65%, and the 60 - day quantile is 13.33% [15]. 3.2.2 - 3.2.61 Various Option Data - For each type of option (such as corn options, soybean meal options, etc.), the report details the closing price, trading volume, open interest, volume PCR, open interest PCR, at - the - money volatility, HV - 10 days, HV - 20 days, and skew of the main and secondary contracts. For example, for corn options, the total trading volume of the main contract this week was 145,658, an increase of 48,066 from last week, and the volume PCR was 0.4574, a decrease of 0.0707 from last week [17].

热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 金融属性方面，上周美国劳工统计局宣布，原定于周五公布的1月非农就业报告将推迟至2月11日发布， CPI数据将延后至2月13日公布，此次数据的推迟主要是由于上周初局部的政府停摆所致；值得注意的 是，虽然数据尚未公布，但ADP数据却显示美国私营部门1月就业人数仅增加2.2万个岗位，这明显低于 市场预期，并且在1月数据进一步被向下修正的情况下，市场对于本轮的非农数据也并不看好，这或进 一步反映出美国劳动力市场正在持续降温。除此之外，继特朗普宣布支持沃什出任美联储主席之后进一 步表示，如果沃什表达过要加息的主张，那么特朗普将不会支持沃什作为人选，这无疑是向外彰显出特 朗普的决心，这或导致后续市场对于后续美联储议息会议的降息预期出现升高，进而缓解油价上方的宏 观经济压力。 政治属性方面，近期影响油价的地缘政治事件出现了进一步的变化。在美伊方面，上周伊朗和美国在阿 曼首都马斯喀特举行间接谈判，伊朗外长随后表示谈判开局良好，并且已经就继续谈判达成了共识，这 无疑大幅缓解了市场对于中东地缘局势的担忧情绪，并且下一轮的谈判即将在本周展开，这或在后续存 在一定的进 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the given content. 2. Report's Core View - The report presents a daily analysis of commodity options on February 3, 2026, including option quotes, positions, position put - call ratios (PCR), trading volume PCR, daily selections, and expiring options [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Option Quotes - **Call Options**: The daily price changes of call options for various commodities are as follows: caustic soda 25.56%, soybean No.1 10.88%, glass 5.93%, alumina 4.35%, log 4.35%, urea 2.56%, soda ash 0.83%, live pigs -0.89%, industrial silicon -1.20%, and coking coal -6.82% [1]. - **Put Options**: The daily price changes of put options for various commodities are as follows: aluminum 226.06%, gold 167.01%, crude oil 163.21%, nickel 160.80%, zinc 124.65%, asphalt 115.38%, copper 111.09%, tin 100.80%, short - fiber 86.27%, and propylene 81.94% [1]. Option Positions - **Call Options**: The daily changes in call option positions for various commodities are as follows: silver 17,592, PVC 15,946, lithium carbonate 15,190, gold 9,214, crude oil 8,620, cotton 7,875, rebar 6,476, nickel 4,499, soybean oil 4,492, and aluminum 4,239 [2]. - **Put Options**: The daily changes in put option positions for various commodities are as follows: rebar 6,362, iron ore 6,048, cotton 4,914, PVC 3,827, ethylene glycol 1,935, industrial silicon 1,836, p - xylene 1,662, pulp 1,435, soybean No.1 973, and caustic soda 908 [2]. Option Position Put - Call Ratio (PCR) - **High - PCR Varieties**: Apple (1.5398), propylene (1.2883), silver (1.1913), offset printing paper (1.1046), bottle chips (1.0715), synthetic rubber (1.0563), short - fiber (1.0469), tin (1.0416), iron ore (0.9809), and soybean No.2 (0.9541) [5]. - **Low - PCR Varieties**: Alumina (0.2124), live pigs (0.25), soda ash (0.2662), red dates (0.2997), caustic soda (0.3143), lead (0.36), ethylene glycol (0.36), PVC (0.3737), glass (0.3919), and log (0.402) [5]. Option Trading Volume Put - Call Ratio (PCR) - **High - PCR Varieties**: Apple (1.9086), silver (1.7914), polysilicon (1.5875), short - fiber (1.2317), tin (1.1859), cast aluminum alloy (1.1792), asphalt (1.1556), rapeseed oil (1.0876), zinc (1.0869), and platinum (1.074) [6]. - **Low - PCR Varieties**: Live pigs (0.1636), red dates (0.2312), alumina (0.2584), PVC (0.259), coking coal (0.2987), natural rubber (0.3238), manganese silicon (0.327), caustic soda (0.3361), pure benzene (0.3709), and log (0.3833) [6]. Daily Selections - **Call Options**: Recommended call options include PVC, caustic soda, soybean No.1, sugar, alumina, red dates, polypropylene, and soda ash, with corresponding trend degrees, put - call ratios, and remaining days [7]. - **Put Options**: Recommended put options include pulp, lead, CSI 300, polysilicon, live pigs, eggs, lithium carbonate, and nickel, with corresponding trend degrees, put - call ratios, and remaining days [7]. Expiring Options - **Call Option**: The expiring call option for crude oil (sc2603C475) has a remaining day of 1, an option closing price of 1.45, a underlying settlement price of 472.7, a break - even underlying price of 496.45 (a 5.02% increase), and an option doubling underlying price of 517.9 (a 9.56% increase) [8]. - **Put Option**: The expiring put option for crude oil (sc2603P470) has a remaining day of 1, an option closing price of 25.4, a underlying settlement price of 472.7, a break - even underlying price of 424.6 (a - 10.18% decrease), and an option doubling underlying price of 379.2 (a - 19.78% decrease) [8].

1. Market Overview - The total trading volume of the commodity options market this week was 8,927,530.8, up 0.4% from last week, and the total open interest was 9,142,747, up 0.02% [5]. - The trading volume of agricultural products options was 1,480,074.0, up 0.58%, and the open interest was 3,149,035, up 0.04% [5]. - The trading volume of energy and chemical options was 4,184,971.8, up 0.89%, and the open interest was 3,674,765, up 0.15% [5]. - The trading volume of black options was 340,558.0, down 0.65%, and the open interest was 738,944, up 0.12% [5]. - The trading volume of precious metal options was 812,581.6, down 0.97%, and the open interest was 334,994, down 0.37% [5]. - The trading volume of non - ferrous and new energy options was 2,109,345.4, up 0.42%, and the open interest was 1,245,009, down 0.21% [5]. 2. Market Data 2.1 Market Overview - The report provides the implied volatility, 60 - day quantile, skew, and 60 - day skew quantile of the at - the - money options for various commodities such as corn, soybean meal, and methanol [15]. 2.2 - 2.61 Specific Commodity Options - For each of the 61 types of commodity options (e.g., corn options, soybean meal options), the report details the closing price, price change, remaining trading days of the main and secondary contracts, as well as the trading volume, open interest, volume PCR, open interest PCR, at - the - money volatility, 10 - day historical volatility (HV - 10), 20 - day historical volatility (HV - 20), and skew. For example, in corn options, the main contract's closing price was 2271, down 29, with 14 remaining trading days [16].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core View of the Report - No clear core view is presented. The report mainly provides data on commodity options, including option quotes, positions, PCR ratios, daily selections, and expiring options. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Option Quotes - **Call Options**: Copper had the highest daily increase of 164.39%, followed by gold at 81.46% and ferrosilicon at 72.04%. The lowest increase was for log at 35.85% [1]. - **Put Options**: Live pigs had the highest daily increase of 33.72%, followed by polysilicon at 31.10% and eggs at 21.71%. The lowest increase was for p - xylene at 4.75% [1]. Option Positions - **Call Options**: The largest daily change in position was for glass with 35,040, followed by rebar with 10,152 and iron ore with 9,601 [2]. - **Put Options**: The largest daily change in position was for glass with 19,878, followed by soda ash with 9,182 and silver with 8,037 [2]. Option Position Put - Call Ratio (PCR) - **High PCR Varieties**: Silver had the highest PCR of 1.6041, followed by apples at 1.4721 and propylene at 1.3336 [5]. - **Low PCR Varieties**: Alumina had the lowest PCR of 0.2334, followed by live pigs at 0.2612 and red dates at 0.3007 [5]. Option Volume Put - Call Ratio (PCR) - **High PCR Varieties**: Propylene had the highest PCR of 1.3497 [6]. - **Low PCR Varieties**: Lead had the lowest PCR of 0.0952, followed by palladium at 0.1396 and manganese silicon at 0.1611 [6]. Daily Selections - **Call Options**: Selected varieties included rapeseed oil, plastic, polypropylene, etc., with a trend of 55 for all [7]. - **Put Options**: Selected varieties included live pigs, eggs, lead, etc., with trends ranging from - 55 to 11 [7]. Expiring Options - **Call Option**: The expiring option for crude oil (sc2603C470) had 3 days remaining, with an option closing price of 11.5, a target settlement price of 467.0. The break - even target price was 501.5 (7.39% increase), and for the option to double, the target price was 533.0 (14.13% increase) [8]. - **Put Option**: The expiring put option for crude oil (sc2603P465) had 3 days remaining, with an option closing price of 5.75, a target settlement price of 467.0. The break - even target price was 439.25 (-5.94% decrease), and for the option to double, the target price was 413.5 (-11.46% decrease) [8].

1. Market Overview - The trading volume of the commodity options market this week was 8,107,246.6, a decrease of 0.35% from last week; the open interest was 8,979,179, a flat compared to last week [5]. - The trading volume of agricultural products was 1,293,877.0, a decrease of 0.63% from last week; the open interest was 3,022,708, a slight decrease of 0.0% [5]. - The trading volume of energy and chemical products was 3,424,908.4, a decrease of 0.85% from last week; the open interest was 3,183,176, a decrease of 0.01% [5]. - The trading volume of black commodities was 406,427.0, a decrease of 0.53% from last week; the open interest was 657,982, a decrease of 0.13% [5]. - The trading volume of precious metals was 1,073,667.6, an increase of 1.41% from last week; the open interest was 534,522, a decrease of 0.03% [5]. - The trading volume of non - ferrous metals and new energy was 1,908,366.6, an increase of 0.41% from last week; the open interest was 1,580,791, an increase of 0.15% [5]. 2. Market Data 2.1 Market Overview - The report provides the flat - volatility, 60 - day quantile, Skew, and 60 - day quantile of various commodity options, such as the flat - volatility of corn options was 9.56% with a 60 - day quantile of 43.33%, and the Skew was 7.15% with a 60 - day quantile of 51.67% [15]. 2.2 - 2.61 Specific Commodity Options - For each of the 61 specific commodity options (including corn, soybean meal, etc.), the report details data such as closing prices, trading volume (including call and put trading volume, total trading volume, and volume PCR), open interest (including call and put open interest, total open interest, and open interest PCR), flat - volatility, HV - 10 days, HV - 20 days, and Skew [16 - 75].

Group 1: Report Overview - The report is an early morning strategy report on energy and chemical options, covering various option varieties in the energy and chemical sector [2][3] - It provides an overview of the underlying futures market, including the latest prices, price changes, trading volumes, and open interest of different option varieties [4] - The report also analyzes option factors such as volume - open interest PCR, pressure and support levels, and implied volatility for each option variety [5][6][7] Group 2: Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Group 3: Core Viewpoints - The energy and chemical sector is divided into several sub - sectors, including energy, alcohols, polyolefins, rubber, polyesters, alkalis, and others [9] - The strategy suggests constructing option portfolio strategies mainly as sellers, along with spot hedging or covered call strategies to enhance returns [3] Group 4: Summary by Option Variety Energy Options (Crude Oil, LPG) - **Crude Oil**: NNPC data shows an increase in Nigerian crude + condensate production. The market shows a weak rebound. Implied volatility is below average, and the option PCR indicates a weak market. Strategies include selling neutral call + put option combinations and constructing long collar strategies for spot hedging [8] - **LPG**: Supply has no significant increase, and chemical demand supports the price. The market shows an upward - pressured oscillating recovery. Implied volatility is around the average, and the option PCR indicates a weak market. Similar strategies to crude oil are recommended [10] Alcohol Options (Methanol, Ethylene Glycol) - **Methanol**: Production and capacity utilization are expected to increase slightly. The market shows an upward - pressured rebound. Implied volatility is around the historical average, and the option PCR indicates a weak market. Strategies involve selling neutral call + put option combinations and long collar strategies for spot hedging [10] - **Ethylene Glycol**: Polyester load remains stable. The market shows an upward - pressured oscillating recovery. Implied volatility is above the average, and the option PCR indicates strong short - term power. Strategies include selling volatility and long collar strategies for spot hedging [11] Olefin Options (PVC) - **PVC**: Inventory is increasing, and the market is in a supply - strong and demand - weak situation. The market shows an upward - pressured rebound. Implied volatility is below the average, and the option PCR indicates a continuous weakening. Strategies include constructing a bull call spread and long collar strategies for spot hedging [11] Rubber Options (Rubber) - **Rubber**: Warehouse receipts and inventory data show changes. The market shows a bottom - supported and upward - pressured recovery. Implied volatility is approaching the average, and the option PCR indicates a weak market. Strategies include selling neutral call + put option combinations [12] Polyester Options (PTA) - **PTA**: PTA load is slightly increasing. The market shows a short - term strong rebound. Implied volatility is below the average, and the option PCR indicates a strong market. Strategies include selling neutral call + put option combinations [12] Alkali Options (Caustic Soda, Soda Ash) - **Caustic Soda**: Capacity utilization is increasing in some regions. The market shows a short - term weak bearish trend. Implied volatility is high, and the option PCR indicates a weak market. Strategies include constructing a bear spread and long collar strategies for spot hedging [13] - **Soda Ash**: Factory inventory is increasing. The market shows a low - level weak oscillation. Implied volatility is at a relatively high historical level, and the option PCR indicates a bearish market. Strategies include selling volatility and long collar strategies for spot hedging [13] Other Options (Urea) - **Urea**: Supply - demand difference is decreasing, and enterprise inventory is increasing. The market shows a short - term weak trend. Implied volatility is below the historical average, and the option PCR indicates strong short - term pressure. Strategies include selling slightly bullish call + put option combinations and long collar strategies for spot hedging [14]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - The energy - chemical sector is divided into energy, alcohols, polyolefins, rubber, polyesters, alkalis, and others. Strategies focus on constructing option portfolios mainly with sellers and spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [2][8]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - The report presents the latest prices, price changes, trading volumes, and open interest of various energy - chemical futures, such as crude oil, LPG, methanol, etc. For example, the latest price of crude oil (SC2603) is 438, with a price increase of 11 and a rise - fall rate of 2.67% [3]. 3.2 Option Factors - **Volume and Open Interest PCR**: This factor is used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning point of the underlying market. For instance, the open - interest PCR of crude oil options is 0.48, with a change of 0.05 [4]. - **Pressure and Support Levels**: Determined from the strike prices of the maximum open interest of call and put options. For example, the pressure point of crude oil is 540, and the support point is 400 [5]. - **Implied Volatility**: It includes at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, etc. For example, the at - the - money implied volatility of crude oil is 31.415%, and the weighted implied volatility is 43.66% with a change of 1.47% [6]. 3.3 Option Strategies for Different Products - **Crude Oil**: - Fundamental analysis: OPEC + is expected to maintain the original production suspension policy. Nigeria's crude oil + condensate production in November 2025 reached 1.6 million barrels per day, with a month - on - month increase of 1.3% [7]. - Market analysis: After a significant decline in October, crude oil rebounded and then fell back, showing a weak rebound trend [7]. - Option factor research: Implied volatility fluctuates below the average level; the open - interest PCR is below 0.70, indicating a weak market; the pressure point is 450, and the support point is 400 [7]. - Strategy suggestions: For directional strategies, there is none; for volatility strategies, construct a short - biased call + put option combination strategy; for spot long - hedging strategies, construct a long collar strategy [7]. - **LPG**: - Fundamental analysis: There is no significant increase in supply, and the chemical demand supports the price [9]. - Market analysis: It shows a volatile downward trend with pressure above [9]. - Option factor research: Implied volatility fluctuates around the average level; the open - interest PCR is below 0.80, indicating a weak market; the pressure point is 4300, and the support point is 4000 [9]. - Strategy suggestions: For directional strategies, there is none; for volatility strategies, construct a short - biased call + put option combination strategy; for spot long - hedging strategies, construct a long collar strategy [9]. - **Methanol**: - Fundamental analysis: China's methanol production and capacity utilization are expected to increase slightly, and there are import and domestic trade volume estimates [9]. - Market analysis: It shows an oversold rebound trend with pressure above [9]. - Option factor research: Implied volatility fluctuates around the historical average level; the open - interest PCR is below 0.60, indicating a weak market; the pressure point is 2300, and the support point is 2100 [9]. - Strategy suggestions: For directional strategies, there is none; for volatility strategies, construct a short - neutral call + put option combination strategy; for spot long - hedging strategies, construct a long collar strategy [9]. - **Ethylene Glycol**: - Fundamental analysis: The polyester load remains stable, and there are some device maintenance and restart situations [10]. - Market analysis: It shows a weak downward trend and then a volatile rebound [10]. - Option factor research: Implied volatility fluctuates above the average level and is rising; the open - interest PCR is below 0.60, indicating strong short - side strength; the pressure point is 3800, and the support point is 3600 [10]. - Strategy suggestions: For directional strategies, there is none; for volatility strategies, construct a short - volatility strategy; for spot long - hedging strategies, hold a spot long position + buy a put option + sell an out - of - the - money call option [10]. - **PVC**: - Fundamental analysis: Inventory is accumulating, and the supply - demand pattern is weak [10]. - Market analysis: It shows a downward trend and then a rebound with short - side pressure above [10]. - Option factor research: Implied volatility declines to below the average level; the open - interest PCR is below 0.60, indicating a continuous weakening market; the pressure point is 5000, and the support point is 4300 [10]. - Strategy suggestions: For directional strategies, construct a bullish call spread combination strategy; for volatility strategies, there is none; for spot long - hedging strategies, hold a spot long position + buy an at - the - money put option + sell an out - of - the - money call option [10]. - **Rubber**: - Fundamental analysis: There are changes in warehouse receipts and inventory levels [11]. - Market analysis: It shows a warming - up and rising trend with support below and pressure above [11]. - Option factor research: Implied volatility gradually returns to around the average level; the open - interest PCR is below 0.60, indicating a weak overall market; the pressure point is 17000, and the support point is 14000 [11]. - Strategy suggestions: For directional strategies, there is none; for volatility strategies, construct a short - neutral call + put option combination strategy; for spot hedging strategies, there is none [11]. - **PTA**: - Fundamental analysis: The PTA load is slightly increasing, and there are few device changes [11]. - Market analysis: It shows an oversold rebound and a short - term strong trend [11]. - Option factor research: Implied volatility fluctuates at a relatively low average level; the open - interest PCR is above 1.00, indicating a strong market; the pressure point is 4750, and the support point is 4400 [11]. - Strategy suggestions: For directional strategies, there is none; for volatility strategies, construct a short - neutral call + put option combination strategy; for spot hedging strategies, there is none [11]. - **Caustic Soda**: - Fundamental analysis: The capacity utilization rate of large - scale caustic soda enterprises is increasing, with regional differences [12]. - Market analysis: It shows a weak short - side trend with pressure above [12]. - Option factor research: Implied volatility fluctuates at a relatively high level; the open - interest PCR is below 0.60, indicating a weak market; the pressure point is 2320, and the support point is 2040 [12]. - Strategy suggestions: For directional strategies, construct a bearish spread combination strategy; for volatility strategies, there is none; for spot collar hedging strategies, hold a spot long position + buy a put option + sell an out - of - the - money call option [12]. - **Soda Ash**: - Fundamental analysis: Factory inventory is increasing, and the market is in a weak state [12]. - Market analysis: It shows a low - level weak volatile trend with pressure above and support below [12]. - Option factor research: Implied volatility fluctuates at a relatively high historical level; the open - interest PCR is below 0.50, indicating a short - side market; the pressure point is 1300, and the support point is 1100 [12]. - Strategy suggestions: For directional strategies, there is none; for volatility strategies, construct a short - volatility combination strategy; for spot long - hedging strategies, construct a long collar strategy [12]. - **Urea**: - Fundamental analysis: The supply - demand difference is decreasing, and enterprise inventory is rising, but the market is still strong [13]. - Market analysis: It shows a short - term weak trend with pressure above [13]. - Option factor research: Implied volatility fluctuates at a relatively low historical average level; the open - interest PCR is below 0.60, indicating strong short - side pressure; the pressure point is 1700, and the support point is 1640 [13]. - Strategy suggestions: For directional strategies, there is none; for volatility strategies, construct a long - biased call + put option combination strategy; for spot hedging strategies, hold a spot long position + buy an at - the - money put option + sell an out - of - the - money call option [13].