金属期权 2025-11-27 金属期权策略早报 | 卢品先 | 投研经理 | 从业资格号：F3047321 | 交易咨询号：Z0015541 | 邮箱：lupx@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号：F03138607 | 电话：0755-23375252 | 邮箱：huangkh@wkqh.cn | | 李仁君 | 产业服务 | 从业资格号：F03090207 | 交易咨询号：Z0016947 | 邮箱：lirj@wkqh.cn | 金属期权策略早报概要：（1）有色金属偏多上行，构建卖方中性波动率策略策略；（2）黑色系维持大幅度波动的 行情走势，适合构建做空波动率组合策略；（3）贵金属反弹回暖上升，构建牛市价差组合策略。 | 表1：标的期货市场概况 | | --- | 表2：期权因子—量仓PCR | 期权品种 | 成交量 | 量变化 | 持仓量 | 仓变化 | 成交量 | 量PCR | 持仓量 | 仓PCR | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- ...

数据来源：WIND、五矿期货期权服务部 金属期权研究 表2：期权因子—量仓PCR 金属期权 2025-11-26 金属期权策略早报 | 卢品先 | 投研经理 | 从业资格号：F3047321 | 交易咨询号：Z0015541 | 邮箱：lupx@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号：F03138607 | 电话：0755-23375252 | 邮箱：huangkh@wkqh.cn | | 李仁君 | 产业服务 | 从业资格号：F03090207 | 交易咨询号：Z0016947 | 邮箱：lirj@wkqh.cn | 金属期权策略早报概要：（1）有色金属偏多上行，构建卖方中性波动率策略策略；（2）黑色系维持大幅度波动的 行情走势，适合构建做空波动率组合策略；（3）贵金属反弹回暖上升，构建牛市价差组合策略。 表1：标的期货市场概况 | 期权品种 | 标的合约 | 最新价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 量变化 | 持仓量 | 仓变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | -- ...

金属期权 2025-11-25 金属期权策略早报 | 卢品先 | 投研经理 | 从业资格号：F3047321 | 交易咨询号：Z0015541 | 邮箱：lupx@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号：F03138607 | 电话：0755-23375252 | 邮箱：huangkh@wkqh.cn | | 李仁君 | 产业服务 | 从业资格号：F03090207 | 交易咨询号：Z0016947 | 邮箱：lirj@wkqh.cn | 金属期权策略早报概要：（1）有色金属偏多上行，构建卖方中性波动率策略策略；（2）黑色系维持大幅度波动的 行情走势，适合构建做空波动率组合策略；（3）贵金属反弹回暖上升，构建牛市价差组合策略。 | 表1：标的期货市场概况 | | --- | | 期权品种 | 标的合约 | 最新价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 量变化 | 持仓量 | 仓变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | （%） ...

南华期权周报 I 2025/11/17—2025/11/21 隐波上升，金融、商品市场整体下跌 本周摘要 金融期权方面，50ETF 期权本周日均成交量为 80.63 万张， 较前周下降 0.00%，其中认沽期权成交量高于认购期权，认沽-认 购成交比为 1.04，相对前周有所下降，高于历史均值水平。上周 认沽认购持仓比为 0.98，较前周下降，高于历史均值。华泰柏瑞 300ETF 期权日均成交 98.95 万张，日均持仓量 146.93 万张；南 方中证 500ETF 期权日均成交 145.55 万张，日均持仓量 145.36 万张；华夏上证科创 50ETF 期权日均成交 118.44 万张，日均持 仓量 247.69 万张；深证 100ETF 期权日均成交 8.7 万张，日均持 仓量 13.98 万张；创业板 ETF 期权日均成交 184.65 万张，日均 持仓量 198.33 万张；沪深 300 股指期权日均成交 11.88 万手， 日均持仓量 21.09 万手；中证 1000 股指期权日均成交 26.93 万 手，日均持仓 32.31 万手。 波动率方面，截止本周五收盘，沪深 300 股指期权隐含波动 率 ...

周度报告——商品期权 商品期权周报：2025 年第 47 周 报告日期： 2025 年 11 月 23 日 ★ 商品期权市场活跃度 本周（2025.11.17-2025.11.21）商品期权市场成交小幅反弹， 日均成交量为 854 万手，日均持仓量为 1019 万手，环比变化 分别为+10.09%和-0.74%。分品种来看，本周日均成交活跃的 品种主要包括白银（109 万手）、碳酸锂（81 万手）、玻璃 （59 万手）。此外，本周共有 4 个品种成交增长超过 100%， 成交量增长较为显著的品种为合成橡胶（+138%）、对二甲 苯（+121%）、碳酸锂（+120%）、工业硅（109%）。与此 同时，成交量下降较为明显的品种则有原油（-57%）、烧碱 （-52%）和 PTA（-42%）。从持仓量数据来看，本周日均持 仓量较高的品种为玻璃（96 万手）、豆粕（82 万手）和纯碱 （81 万手）。日均持仓量环比增长较为迅速的品种为合工业 硅（+49%）、对二甲苯（+42%）、碳酸锂（+40%）。建议 投资者可重点关注交易活跃品种可能存在的市场机会。 ★ 商品期权主要数据点评 标的涨跌情况：本周商品期权标的期货以下跌 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - For non - ferrous metals, a seller neutral volatility strategy can be constructed as they are trending upwards; for black metals, a short - volatility portfolio strategy is suitable due to their large - amplitude fluctuations; for precious metals, a bull spread portfolio strategy can be built as they are rebounding [2] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - The latest prices, price changes, trading volumes, and open interest of various metal futures contracts are presented, including copper, aluminum, zinc, etc. For example, the latest price of copper (CU2601) is 85,930, with a price increase of 10 and a trading volume of 7.33 million lots [3] 3.2 Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR - The volume PCR and open interest PCR of different metal options are provided, which are used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning point of the underlying market respectively. For instance, the volume PCR of copper options is 0.90, with a change of - 0.06 [4] 3.3 Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - The pressure points, support points, and the maximum open interest of call and put options for each metal option are given. For example, the pressure point of copper options is 90,000, and the support point is 84,000 [5] 3.4 Option Factors - Implied Volatility - The at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and other implied volatility indicators of each metal option are presented, along with their changes and the differences between implied and historical volatilities. For example, the at - the - money implied volatility of copper options is 13.36% [6] 3.5 Strategy and Recommendations Non - ferrous Metals - Copper: Build a short - volatility seller option portfolio strategy and a spot long - hedging strategy, and the underlying shows a high - level consolidation and rebound trend [7] - Aluminum: Construct a bull spread portfolio strategy, a sell - biased long call + put option combination strategy, and a spot collar strategy, and the underlying shows a bullish high - level consolidation trend [9] - Zinc: Build a sell - neutral call + put option combination strategy and a spot collar strategy, and the underlying shows a warming - up trend with resistance [9] - Nickel: Construct a sell - bearish call + put option combination strategy and a spot covered strategy, and the underlying shows a bearish consolidation trend [10] - Tin: Build a short - volatility strategy and a spot collar strategy, and the underlying shows a short - term high - level consolidation trend [10] - Lithium Carbonate: Construct a bull spread portfolio strategy, a sell - bullish call + put option combination strategy, and a spot long - hedging strategy, and the underlying shows a recent bullish trend [11] Precious Metals - Gold: Build a neutral short - volatility option seller portfolio strategy and a spot hedging strategy, and the underlying shows a bullish trend with high - level consolidation [12] Black Metals - Rebar: Build a sell - bearish call + put option combination strategy and a spot covered strategy, and the underlying shows a bearish trend with resistance [13] - Iron Ore: Build a sell - bearish call + put option combination strategy and a spot long - collar strategy, and the underlying shows a bearish consolidation trend [13] - Ferroalloys (Manganese Silicon and Industrial Silicon): Build short - volatility strategies and corresponding spot hedging strategies, and the underlying shows a bearish trend with resistance [14] - Glass: Build a bear spread portfolio strategy, a short - volatility sell call + put option combination strategy, and a spot long - collar strategy, and the underlying shows a bearish trend with resistance [15]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - The metal sector is divided into non - ferrous metals, precious metals, and black metals. For non - ferrous metals, a neutral volatility selling strategy can be constructed; for black metals, a short - volatility combination strategy is suitable; for precious metals, a bull spread combination strategy can be built [2]. - For each metal variety, the report provides investment strategies based on fundamental analysis, market trend analysis, and option factor research [7][9][10]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - Presents the latest prices, price changes, trading volumes, and open interest of various metal futures contracts, including copper, aluminum, zinc, etc [3]. 3.2 Option Factor - Quantity and Open Interest PCR - The PCR indicators (quantity PCR and open interest PCR) are used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning points of the underlying market [4]. 3.3 Option Factor - Pressure and Support Levels - Shows the pressure and support levels of various metal options based on the strike prices of the maximum open interest of call and put options [5]. 3.4 Option Factor - Implied Volatility - Displays the implied volatility data of various metal options, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, etc [6]. 3.5 Strategy and Recommendations - **Non - Ferrous Metals** - **Copper**: Due to the expected decline in apparent consumption and the increase in total inventory, a short - volatility seller option combination strategy and a spot long - hedging strategy are recommended [7]. - **Aluminum**: Given the inventory changes and market trends, a bull spread combination strategy and a short - option combination strategy are suggested [9]. - **Zinc**: With inventory and market conditions, a short - neutral option combination strategy and a spot collar strategy are proposed [9]. - **Nickel**: Considering the supply - demand situation and market trends, a short - bearish option combination strategy and a spot covered strategy are recommended [10]. - **Tin**: Due to the slow resumption of production and supply shortages, a short - volatility strategy and a spot collar strategy are suggested [10]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: Based on inventory reduction and market trends, a short - neutral option combination strategy and a spot long - hedging strategy are recommended [11]. - **Precious Metals** - **Gold**: Considering the Fed's interest rate policy and market trends, a short - neutral volatility option seller combination strategy and a spot hedging strategy are proposed [12]. - **Black Metals** - **Rebar**: Given the production and market trends, a short - bearish option combination strategy and a spot long - covered strategy are recommended [13]. - **Iron Ore**: Based on inventory and market trends, a short - bearish option combination strategy and a spot long - collar strategy are suggested [13]. - **Ferroalloy (Manganese Silicon)**: Considering production and market trends, a short - volatility strategy is recommended [14]. - **Industrial Silicon**: Based on production and market trends, a short - volatility option combination strategy and a spot hedging strategy are proposed [14]. - **Glass**: Given the production and inventory situation, a short - volatility option combination strategy and a spot long - collar strategy are recommended [15]. 3.6 Charts - Provide price charts, trading volume, and open interest charts, PCR charts, implied volatility charts, and historical volatility cone charts for various metal options such as copper, aluminum, zinc, etc [16][37][55]

Group 1: Report Overview - The report is a metal option strategy morning report dated November 10, 2025, covering有色金属, precious metals, and black metals [1][2] - It provides option strategies and suggestions for selected metal varieties based on market analysis and option factor research [8] Group 2: Market Conditions Futures Market - The latest prices, changes, trading volumes, and open interests of various metal futures contracts are presented, showing different trends in each metal [3] Option Factors - The volume and open interest PCR, pressure and support levels, implied volatility, and historical volatility of each metal option are analyzed, providing insights into market sentiment and risk [4][5][6] Group 3: Option Strategies Non - ferrous Metals - **Copper**: Build a short - volatility seller option portfolio and a spot hedging strategy [7] - **Aluminum**: Construct a bull spread of call options, a short call + put option portfolio, and a spot collar strategy [9] - **Zinc**: Build a short neutral call + put option portfolio and a spot collar strategy [9] - **Nickel**: Construct a short bearish call + put option portfolio and a spot covered call strategy [10] - **Tin**: Build a short - volatility strategy and a spot collar strategy [10] - **Lithium Carbonate**: Construct a short neutral call + put option portfolio and a spot long + put + call option strategy [11] Precious Metals - **Gold**: Build a short - volatility neutral option seller portfolio and a spot hedging strategy [12] Black Metals - **Rebar**: Build a short bearish call + put option portfolio and a spot covered call strategy [13] - **Iron Ore**: Build a short bearish call + put option portfolio and a spot collar strategy [13] - **Ferro - alloy**: Build a short - volatility strategy for manganese silicon [14] - **Industrial Silicon**: Build a short - volatility call + put option portfolio and a spot hedging strategy [14] - **Glass**: Build a short - volatility call + put option portfolio and a spot collar strategy [15] Group 4: Charts - Charts of price trends, option volume and open interest, PCR, implied volatility, and historical volatility for various metals are provided, visually presenting market changes [19][21][27][38][40][46]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the past week, the trading volume of commodity options increased slightly, with only the trading volume of the precious metals sector decreasing. Most varieties are in a volatility - reduction cycle, and it is advisable to move short - option positions to far - month contracts in advance to avoid end - of - contract risks [4]. - The options of the black sector showed increased volatility and trading volume. Affected by the decline in iron ore futures prices, the implied volatility of black options has risen. The previous policy - driven boost has basically been realized, and the market trading logic has returned to fundamentals. There is a lack of new macro - drivers, and the upward momentum of prices has been weakened. The implied volatility still has room to rise, and it is advisable to buy a bearish put spread portfolio to hedge against the downward market [4]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Market Overview - The trading volume of commodity options increased slightly last week, with the precious metals sector being the only one with a decline in trading volume. Energy and chemical products such as short - fiber, PTA, methanol, glass, crude oil, caustic soda, soda ash, and bottle chips are about to expire on Wednesday. Most varieties are in a volatility - reduction cycle [4]. - The options of the black sector showed increased volatility and trading volume. The implied volatility of black options has risen due to the decline in iron ore futures prices. The previous policy - driven boost has basically been realized, and the market trading logic has returned to fundamentals [4]. 3.2 Market Data 3.2.1 Market Overview - The table shows the quantitative data of commodity options, including the flat - value volatility, 60 - day quantile, Skew, and 60 - day quantile of various varieties such as corn, soybean meal, and crude oil [12]. 3.2.2 - 3.2.54 Option Data of Each Variety - For each variety (such as corn, soybean meal, etc.), the data includes the closing price, trading volume, open interest, trading volume PCR, open interest PCR, flat - value volatility, HV - 10 days, HV - 20 days, and Skew of the main contract, secondary - main contract, and all contracts [13][14][15] etc.

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The trading volume of the commodity options market rebounded slightly this week, with an average daily trading volume of 7.22 million lots and an average daily open interest of 10.01 million lots, showing a week - on - week change of +13.63% and +17.96% respectively. Investors are advised to focus on potential market opportunities in actively traded varieties [1][7]. - The underlying futures of commodity options showed mixed performance in terms of price changes. There are opportunities in varieties with high trading activity, and attention should be paid to the risks and opportunities indicated by factors such as price fluctuations, implied volatility, and option market sentiment [1][2][15]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 Commodity Options Market Activity - This week, the average daily actively - traded varieties included glass (650,000 lots), lithium carbonate (610,000 lots), and polysilicon (520,000 lots). Five varieties had a trading volume increase of over 100%, with asphalt (+161%), ethylene glycol (+158%), and urea (+156%) showing significant growth. The varieties with a significant decline in trading volume were p - xylene (-83%), log (-58%), and alumina (-47%) [1][7]. - The varieties with a relatively high average daily open interest were glass (1.05 million lots), soda ash (870,000 lots), and glass (840,000 lots). The varieties with a relatively rapid week - on - week increase in average daily open interest were synthetic rubber (+83%), styrene (+66%), and LPG (+51%) [1][7]. 3.2 This Week's Commodity Options Main Data Review - **Underlying Price Changes**: The underlying futures of commodity options showed mixed price changes. The varieties with high weekly increases included rapeseed meal (+6.32%), pulp (+3.49%), and urea (+2.58%); the varieties with high weekly decreases included asphalt (-6.04%), polysilicon (-5.66%), and red dates (-5.47%) [2][15]. - **Market Volatility**: Most commodity option implied volatilities in various sectors decreased this week. Seventeen varieties had their current implied volatility above the 50th percentile of the past year. Varieties with implied volatility at a high level in the past year included live pigs, methanol, and asphalt; those at a low level included sugar, tin, cotton, and manganese silicon [2][15]. - **Option Market Sentiment**: The trading volume PCR of varieties such as apples, eggs, lithium carbonate, LPG, and cotton was at a historical high, indicating strong short - term bearish sentiment. The trading volume PCR of aluminum, ethylene glycol, and corn was at a historical low, showing concentrated short - term bullish sentiment. The open interest PCR of ferrosilicon, soybean meal, silver, and lithium carbonate was at a historical high, while that of aluminum, corn, methanol, palm oil, and plastic was at a historical low [2][15]. 3.3 Main Varieties Key Data Overview - The chapter presents key data of main varieties, including trading volume, volatility, and option market sentiment indicators. More detailed data can be accessed on the Dongzheng Fanwei official website (https://www.finoview.com.cn/) [20]. - Specific sub - sections cover energy (crude oil, LPG, etc.), chemicals (PTA, caustic soda, glass, soda ash), precious metals (silver), ferrous metals (iron ore, manganese silicon), non - ferrous metals (copper, aluminum), and agricultural products (soybean meal, palm oil, cotton), with corresponding data on trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR provided [21][28][59][66][82][97].