格隆汇11月19日丨开云集团欧股开盘下跌2%，此前公司CEO称必须裁员、降低对古驰的依赖并寻求协 同效应。 ...

每经AI快讯，11月19日，开云集团欧股开盘下跌2%，此前公司CEO称必须裁员、降低对古驰的依赖并 寻求协同效应。 ...

Core Insights - Kering Group's net profit halved in the first half of the year, prompting new CEO Luca de Meo to make significant leadership changes, including the replacement of Gucci's creative director [1][3][4] - The luxury goods market is experiencing a downturn, with Bain & Company predicting a 2% to 5% decline in market size by 2025, indicating a challenging environment for luxury brands [2] - Gucci has undergone three leadership changes in three years, reflecting ongoing struggles to revitalize the brand and improve performance [3][5] Financial Performance - Kering Group reported a 16% year-on-year decline in revenue to €7.587 billion and a 46% drop in net profit to €474 million in the first half of the year [5][7] - Gucci's revenue fell by 26% to €3 billion in the first half, with a projected annual decline of 23% to €7.7 billion for 2024 [5][6] - The group's other brands also faced challenges, with Saint Laurent's revenue down 11% to €1.288 billion and Bottega Veneta showing minimal growth of 1% to €846 million [5][6] Strategic Decisions - The new CEO's first major decision was to replace Gucci's leadership, signaling a strategic shift aimed at revitalizing the brand and improving overall group competitiveness [1][4] - Kering has postponed the acquisition of the remaining 70% stake in Valentino from 2028 to 2029, a move seen as a prudent financial decision given the group's high debt levels [8] - The group is focusing on debt reduction and cost control as top priorities under the new leadership, with net debt currently at €95 billion [8]

Core Insights - Kering Group has confirmed a cyber attack that resulted in the leakage of customer data from its brands, including Gucci, Balenciaga, and Yves Saint Laurent, involving names, phone numbers, addresses, and total spending amounts, while financial information such as credit card details was not compromised [1] Industry Summary - The luxury goods sector has experienced a surge in cybersecurity incidents this year, with notable breaches including the leakage of information from nearly 420,000 customers of Louis Vuitton in July, which included passport numbers and shopping records [1] - In June, Richemont's Cartier brand faced a system intrusion that led to customer data exposure, and in May, Dior also reported incidents involving the leakage of customer names, phone numbers, and spending preferences [1]

Group 1: Kering's Credit Outlook - S&P Global Ratings downgraded Kering's credit outlook from stable to negative, currently rated at BBB+ due to significant sales decline in its core brand Gucci [1] - Kering's overall revenue for the first half of the year was €7.587 billion, a 16% year-over-year decrease, with net profit plummeting 46% to €474 million [1] - Kering's management is undergoing changes, with new CEO Luca de Meo planning to restructure the company and focus on potential brands like Balenciaga while accelerating product and creative updates for Gucci [1] Group 2: Tapestry's Performance - Tapestry reported a revenue increase of 8.3% year-over-year to $1.723 billion for Q4 of fiscal year 2025, exceeding analyst expectations [2] - The core brand Coach saw a revenue growth of 14.3%, while Kate Spade experienced a revenue decline of 13% in Q4 and a 10% drop for the entire year [2] - Tapestry anticipates an additional cost of approximately $160 million due to tariffs, which negatively impacted its stock price despite strong financial results [2] Group 3: Valentino's CEO Departure - Jacopo Venturini, CEO of Valentino, resigned for personal reasons after a five-year tenure, marking his third departure from the company [3] - Valentino's financial performance is under pressure, with a projected 2% decline in sales to €1.31 billion and a 22% drop in core operating profit to €246 million for 2024 [3] - The departure of Venturini raises concerns about the potential impact on creative director Alessandro Michele, who previously worked with him at Gucci [3] Group 4: Amer Sports Growth - Amer Sports, the parent company of Arc'teryx, is experiencing strong growth, driven by the ongoing outdoor trend [4] - UBS analysts expect Amer Sports to continue exceeding revenue expectations in Q2, maintaining a buy rating and raising the target price from around $37 to $50 [5] - Amer Sports has seen a remarkable 224% return on investment over the past year, with several investment firms maintaining positive ratings due to the growth potential of brands like Arc'teryx and Salomon [5]

Group 1: Kering and Gucci - Kering's credit outlook has been downgraded to negative by S&P Global Ratings, primarily due to a significant decline in sales from its core brand Gucci [3] - In the first half of the year, Kering reported total revenue of €7.587 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 16%, and net profit plummeted by 46% to €474 million [3] - Gucci contributed over half of Kering's profits, and its poor performance has directly impacted the group's overall revenue and profitability [3] Group 2: Management Changes at Kering - Kering's management is undergoing a series of adjustments, with new CEO Luca de Meo, who has experience in brand revitalization and business transformation, planning to restructure the group and allocate more resources to potential brands like Balenciaga [4] Group 3: Tapestry and Coach - Tapestry, the parent company of Coach, reported a revenue increase of 8.3% to $1.723 billion in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025, exceeding analyst expectations [7] - Coach's revenue grew by 14.3%, while Kate Spade's revenue declined by 13% in the same quarter, indicating a mixed performance within Tapestry's brand portfolio [7] - The company anticipates an additional cost of approximately $160 million due to tariffs, which has led to a significant drop in its stock price [7] Group 4: Valentino's CEO Departure - Jacopo Venturini, CEO of Valentino, has resigned for personal reasons, marking his third departure from the company [10] - Valentino's financial situation is under pressure, with a projected 2% decline in sales to €1.31 billion and a 22% drop in core operating profit for 2024 [10] Group 5: Amer Sports Performance - Amer Sports, the parent company of Arc'teryx, is expected to continue exceeding revenue expectations, driven by strong performance from brands like Salomon and Arc'teryx [11] - UBS analysts have raised the target price for Amer Sports from around $37 to $50, reflecting confidence in the company's growth potential [13] - Amer Sports has seen a remarkable 224% return on investment over the past year, with several investment firms maintaining a buy or outperform rating [13]

Core Viewpoint - The European luxury goods industry is facing significant challenges due to currency fluctuations and tariff policies, leading to a decline in stock prices for major luxury groups and a slowdown in market growth [3][4][7]. Group 1: Market Performance - Major luxury groups such as LVMH, Hermès, Richemont, and Kering have seen stock price declines of 26.31%, 17.98%, 19.84%, and 13.33% respectively over the past six months [3]. - The MSCI Europe Textile, Apparel, and Luxury Goods Total Return Index has dropped 17% year-to-date, underperforming the broader market by 27% [3]. - NDR's report indicates that the luxury goods sector's growth is slowing, partly due to the fading benefits of favorable exchange rates and the impact of U.S. tariff policies on global consumer confidence [3][4]. Group 2: Financial Results - LVMH reported a 4% decline in revenue and a 22% drop in net profit for the first half of the year, with recurring operating profit down 15% [7]. - Kering's second-quarter sales fell 15% to €3.7 billion, with Gucci's sales down 25% to €1.46 billion [7]. - Hermès experienced an 8% sales growth in the first half, significantly lower than the 15% growth reported in the previous year [7]. Group 3: Structural Challenges - The luxury goods sector is facing deeper structural challenges, including weak consumer confidence and brand value dilution, leading to a loss of approximately 50 million consumers over the past two years [11][12]. - The Z generation has seen a 7% decline in sales, equating to a loss of $5.7 billion in consumption, marking the largest drop among all generations [11]. - High-net-worth individuals are becoming more discerning in their luxury purchases, focusing on value and personalized services [11]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Bernstein has revised its global luxury goods revenue growth forecast for 2025 from an increase of 5% to a decrease of 2% [12]. - UBS estimates that luxury brands have increased prices by an average of 33% from 2019 to 2023, which may have overstretched market tolerance [12]. - Following a trade agreement between the U.S. and Europe, a 15% baseline tariff on luxury goods imported from Europe is expected to raise prices in the U.S. by an average of 2% and globally by about 1% [12].

Core Viewpoint - The European luxury goods sector is facing significant challenges, with major companies experiencing double-digit stock price declines over the past six months due to currency fluctuations and tariff policies [2][5]. Group 1: Stock Performance - The stock prices of the four major European luxury groups—LVMH, Hermès, Richemont, and Kering—have dropped by 26.31%, 17.98%, 19.84%, and 13.33% respectively [2]. - The MSCI Europe Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods Total Return Index has decreased by 17% year-to-date, underperforming the broader market by 27% [2]. Group 2: Economic Factors - The luxury goods market's growth slowdown is attributed to the fading benefits of favorable exchange rates and the impact of U.S. tariff policies on global consumer confidence [2][3]. - The euro's appreciation has pressured exports to the U.S., contributing to a weak performance in European stock markets [3]. Group 3: Company Financials - LVMH reported a 4% decline in revenue and a 22% drop in net profit for the first half of the year, with a 15% decrease in recurring operating profit [5]. - Kering's second-quarter sales fell by 15% to €3.7 billion, with Gucci's sales down 25% to €1.46 billion [6]. Group 4: Consumer Behavior - The luxury sector has lost approximately 50 million consumers over the past two years, representing one-eighth of the global high-end consumer base [8]. - The Z generation's spending decreased by 7% in 2024, equating to a loss of $5.7 billion, marking the largest decline among all age groups [8]. Group 5: Future Outlook - Bernstein has revised its growth forecast for the luxury goods industry, projecting a 2% decline in global luxury revenue by 2025, down from a previous estimate of 5% growth [9]. - UBS estimates that luxury prices have increased by an average of 33% from 2019 to 2023, with new tariffs potentially raising prices in the U.S. by an average of 2% [10].

Core Insights - Kering Group reported a 15% decline in same-store sales for Q2, slightly worse than analyst expectations of a 14.7% decline [1] - Q2 revenue reached €3.7 billion, falling short of analyst expectations of €3.77 billion [1] - Gucci's same-store sales dropped by 25%, aligning closely with analyst expectations of a 25.1% decline [1] - Gucci's revenue for Q2 was €1.46 billion, meeting analyst forecasts [1] - For the first half of the year, same-store sales decreased by 15%, compared to analyst expectations of a 14.4% decline [1] - The operating profit from continuing operations for the first half was €969 million, exceeding analyst expectations of €934.9 million [1]

Core Viewpoint - Kering Group's Gucci brand experienced a same-store sales decline of 25% in the second quarter, aligning closely with market expectations of a 25.1% decrease [1] Financial Performance - Kering Group reported second-quarter revenue for Gucci at €1.46 billion, matching market expectations of €1.46 billion [1]