证券研究报告 | 策略专题研究 | 中国策略 策略专题研究 报告日期：2025 年 12 月 04 日 公募新规下，基金经理如何选择最优业绩比较基准？ ——案例分析：国投瑞银新丝路 核心观点 公募基准新规明确了业绩基准的选取原则和信披规范，突出并强化业绩基准的日常约 束作用。预计 2026 下半年将有相当比例的权益类公募基金存在调整业绩基准的需求， 因此我们构建出独家的"选择基准工具表"，并以"国投瑞银新丝路"作为分析案例， 从跑赢胜率、跑赢含金量、匹配程度、跑赢程度、超额稳定性、配平压力六大维度拆 解并筛选出最适合其参照的业绩基准。从案例综合结果来看，我们认为国投瑞银新丝 路最适合参照的业绩基准是中证 800。此外，国证 1000、中证 A500、中证 500、中证 全指等也可纳入备选，需要基金管理人进行更全面的考量。 ❑ 维度一：跑赢胜率——相对于基准的年跑赢率 我们统计基金自成立以来，跑赢所有一类库比较基准年度数量的占比，即基金的 年跑赢率，作为跑赢胜率指标。理想目标是年跑赢率越高越好，高胜率表明基金 能够在多数市场环境下具备持续战胜基准的能力。 ❑ 维度二：跑赢含金量——业绩基准的夏普比 单纯的高胜率 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the performance and investment strategy of the Guotai Junan New Silk Road Fund, highlighting the challenges faced in the stock market and the importance of maintaining a long-term investment perspective despite short-term volatility [1][3][6]. Fund Performance - As of the end of the reporting period, the fund's net asset value was 0.851 yuan, with a net asset value growth rate of -18.88%, compared to a benchmark return of 1.62% [1]. - For the subsequent reporting period, the fund's net asset value was 0.9448 yuan, with a growth rate of -9.94%, while the benchmark return was 11.30% [7]. - By mid-2025, the fund's net asset value reached 1.0423 yuan, achieving a growth rate of 10.32%, significantly outperforming the benchmark return of 0.13% [13]. Investment Strategy and Analysis - The fund manager emphasizes a strategy of "independent thinking, probabilistic thinking, contrarian courage, and forward-looking vision," focusing on identifying stocks priced below their long-term value [4][10]. - The fund maintains a diversified yet focused investment approach, with key sectors including machinery, pharmaceuticals, electronics, computers, and food and beverages [4][10]. - The fund's performance is characterized by significant stock price divergence, with a median decline of -23% among over 5,100 stocks in the first half of 2024, while the CSI 300 index showed a slight increase of 0.89% [3][4]. Market Outlook - The fund manager expresses confidence in the Chinese economy, noting that macroeconomic growth, revenue, and net profit growth of major listed companies are strong, despite a lack of confidence leading to market declines [6][12]. - The article highlights that A-shares are currently undervalued compared to historical levels and other major markets, suggesting potential for recovery and growth [11][12]. - The manager acknowledges the challenges posed by global economic changes and emphasizes the importance of maintaining a consistent investment framework to navigate uncertainties [16][18].

Core Insights - The recent recovery in the equity market has allowed several veteran fund managers to overcome previous performance challenges, with some returning to the "Double Ten Fund Manager" status, indicating over ten years of managing the same fund with an annualized return exceeding 10% [1][2] Performance Recovery - Active equity funds have shown a significant performance rebound, with the mixed equity fund index yielding over 15% this year, and more than a thousand active equity funds achieving returns exceeding 20% [2] - Notable veteran fund managers, such as Wei Dong from Guolian An Fund and Guo Jun from Bosera Fund, have seen their funds recover from substantial drawdowns, with Guolian An's fund returning over 20% this year and Bosera's fund achieving a 27.54% return [2][3] Investment Strategy Evolution - Many veteran fund managers have shifted their investment focus towards high-quality growth sectors, adapting their strategies to align with the current macroeconomic transition towards technology-driven and high-quality development [4][6] - Fund managers like Wang Peng from Guotai Junan have successfully identified and invested in high-growth stocks, contributing significantly to their funds' performance recovery [4][5] Long-term Investment Philosophy - The performance recovery of veteran fund managers underscores the resilience of their investment philosophies, demonstrating their ability to adapt strategies across different market phases [6][7] - Fund managers emphasize the importance of identifying leading companies in China's manufacturing sector as key to future investment success, with a focus on sectors like semiconductors and military industries [6][7]

吴琦/制表 图虫创意/供图 证券时报记者 吴琦 近期，伴随权益市场回暖，一批历经市场周期洗礼的基金老将，正逐渐摆脱前期的业绩低迷，部分 基金老将再度展露锋芒，不仅净值曲线重拾升势，更以持续稳健的表现重新跻身"双十基金经理"（管理 同一基金满十年且年化收益超10%）之列。 基金老将业绩修复 今年主动权益基金业绩逐渐回暖。Wind数据显示，偏股混合型基金指数年内收益超过15%，超千 只主动权益基金年内业绩超过20%。 尽管不少主动权益基金仍处于修复前期回撤的过程中，但是短期业绩显著回升，正持续助推着基金 长期业绩的稳健增长。 当下，宏观经济处于向科技创新驱动、高质量发展、产业结构变迁的转型期，优质成长赛道投资机 会不断涌现，基金经理通过持续迭代投资策略和积极调仓，拥抱新时代的投资机会。越来越多具备持续 高增长潜力的优质成长股被基金经理认可并挖掘出来，股价持续上升。 例如，王鹏秉持独立思考、概率思维和逆向勇气，寻找股价低于公司长期价值的标的，其管理的国 投瑞银新丝路基金今年二季度末的十大重仓股中新调入了药明康德、阳光电源和洁美科技等，药明康 德、洁美科技和阳光电源近三个月涨幅分别高达67%、39.63%和23.74 ...