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心理护城河
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巴菲特:90%的人买股票,从一开始就错了
聪明投资者· 2025-07-27 01:27
Group 1 - The article reflects on Warren Buffett's 2003 shareholder meeting, noting that the questions were more business-focused rather than fan-oriented, resembling a business class [1] - Buffett and Charlie Munger addressed many questions regarding derivatives, particularly in relation to real estate and insurance ratings, highlighting their foresight in light of the subsequent subprime mortgage crisis [2] - During the meeting, Buffett was in the process of acquiring Clayton Homes, with several questions directed towards this investment [3] Group 2 - The article suggests additional readings, including insights on private equity's semi-annual performance and positions, as well as strategies from top pharmaceutical fund managers [5]
顶级投资人都有一道“心理护城河”!乔尔·格林布拉特:你必须有情绪上的韧性,才能享受到10年后带来的回报……
聪明投资者· 2025-07-21 07:00
Core Viewpoint - The importance of emotional resilience in investing is emphasized, suggesting that understanding the market and maintaining patience can lead to significant long-term returns [1][24]. Group 1: Investment Philosophy - Joel Greenblatt advocates for a systematic value strategy, focusing on buying companies with high profitability and low valuations, referred to as the "magic formula" [2][12]. - The challenge in this strategy lies in its contrarian nature, requiring investors to buy when the market sentiment is negative [3][19]. - Greenblatt introduces the concept of a "psychological moat," which is built on deep understanding and experience, rather than just intelligence [5][6]. Group 2: Market Behavior and Investor Psychology - Many investors struggle to stick to a strategy during market downturns, often doubting their methods when faced with underperformance compared to popular stocks [4][16]. - The necessity of a long-term perspective is highlighted, with successful investors needing to maintain patience over extended periods, often beyond three years [17][18]. - Emotional resilience is crucial; investors must accept that market fluctuations are normal and prepare to endure periods of underperformance [24][33]. Group 3: Investment Strategies and Techniques - Greenblatt discusses the importance of understanding company valuations and having a diversified portfolio to mitigate risks [28][30]. - He emphasizes that successful investing requires a clear understanding of a company's future earnings potential, integrating both growth and value perspectives [36][38]. - The discussion includes the transition from special situation investments to more systematic strategies, reflecting changes in market conditions and fund sizes [46][49]. Group 4: Practical Insights and Recommendations - Greenblatt shares insights on the difficulties of executing multi-strategy approaches, particularly in volatile markets, and the importance of risk management [55][57]. - He advises against easily replicating complex strategies without a solid understanding of the underlying principles and risks involved [58][59]. - The current market environment is characterized by extreme valuations, presenting opportunities for those who can identify undervalued stocks [60].