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中银晨会聚焦-20250709
Bank of China Securities· 2025-07-09 01:36
Core Insights - The report highlights the strong growth potential of Tongcheng Travel, a leading OTA in China's lower-tier markets, benefiting from the tourism boom and support from major shareholders Tencent and Ctrip [3][6][8] - In 2024, Tongcheng Travel is projected to achieve revenue of CNY 17.34 billion, a year-on-year increase of 45.8%, and an adjusted net profit of CNY 2.79 billion, up 26.7% year-on-year [6] Company Overview - Tongcheng Travel is formed from the merger of Tongcheng and eLong, positioning itself as a top three player in the OTA industry, providing comprehensive travel services including transportation and accommodation bookings [6][8] - The company has a significant user base from non-first-tier cities, allowing it to capitalize on the growth in lower-tier markets [8] Industry Analysis - The online travel market is expected to exceed CNY 1 trillion in 2024, driven by high demand in the cultural tourism sector and low penetration rates in lower-tier cities [7] - The current market structure is characterized by a dominant player (Ctrip) and several strong competitors (Tongcheng, Meituan, Feizhu), with a focus on differentiated competition [7] - The bargaining power in the transportation sector is low due to high supplier concentration, while the accommodation sector has a higher bargaining power with lower supplier concentration [7]
又一个泡沫破了:旅游,正成为2025年最难做的生意
创业邦· 2025-06-26 03:26
以下文章来源于智谷趋势Trend ,作者澜瑟 布语 智谷趋势Trend . 新中产的首席财富顾问 来 源丨智谷趋势(ID: zgtrend ) 作者丨澜瑟 布语 编辑丨王战新 又一个泡沫破了! 被寄予厚望的旅游,突然成了2025年最难做的生意。 近日,青海省旅游投资集团股份有限公司(以下简称"青海旅投")及下属13家公司集体破产清算,给整个旅游圈带来不小的震撼。 这家曾喊出"三年投融资百亿,五年上市"的省级国资文旅平台,干光4.8亿注册资本,整个过程充满荒诞:高管团灭、2371万投给无产权营地、收购资不抵 债公司倒贴3000万…… 云南、张家界、桂林、西安、大连、西藏等地的文旅公司,个个都处于困顿期。 截至目前,有44家上市公司披露了一季度财报,其中有25家营收负增长, 占整体的56.8%。 | 排名 | 证券代码 | 公司名称 | 营收(单位/亿元) | 归母净利润(单位/亿元 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 601888.SH | 中国中免 | 167.46 | 19.38 | | 2 | 600655.SH | 豫园股份 | 87.82 | 0.52 | ...