| 《2025电力市场与数智化储能调研报告》 | 电力交易、技术融合、虚拟电厂与商业创新 | | --- | --- | | 出品方: 1 行家说储能 | 鸣谢:以下参编单位的特别贡献(排名不分先后) | | UHES | CHTHIUM | | 调研止式启动, 次进参与 | 扫码了解 | 昨日，行家说储能报道了海辰储能、智光电气、鹏成科技等企业签订储能系统供货协议（ 点这里 ）。日前，亿纬锂能、天合光能分别宣布签下欧洲和日本的 储能合作协议，合作规模同为500MWh。 ▋ 天合光能： 与日本汤浅商社达成 500MWh 储能合作 近日，天合储能宣布与日本汤浅商社株式会签署大型储能业务战略合作协议（MOU）， 这将为其日本市场的开拓按下"快进键"。 图为： MOU签署现场, 前列右：汤浅商事株式会社董事兼执行董事、环境事业本部长兼智慧能源事业本部长竹尾希典先生；前列左：天合光能日本株式会社社长李娜女士，图 源于天合光能 根据协议， 双方将从2025年起，向日本市场供应总计500MWh的大型储能系统，协力推动大型储能项目在日本的落地与运营。其中，日本汤浅商社负责市 场开拓、项目对接及本地服务网络建设，天合储能将提 ...

文 | 天合储能 天合 储 能近日宣布与日本 汤 浅商社株式会正式签署大型储能 业务战 略合作协议（ MOU ）。根据 协议 ， 双方将从 2025 年起，向日本市 场 供 应总计 500MWh 的大型 储 能系 统 ，可满足数万户家庭一整晚的用电需求。 这 一合作将 显 著加快天合 储 能在日本的市 场 布局与 业务 拓展 进 程。 作 为 全球 领 先的 储 能解决方案提供商，天合 储 能始 终 致力于推 动 全球脱碳化与 绿 色能源 转 型。本次与 汤浅商社的 战 略合作，将 为 日本提供 稳 定、高效的 储 能系 统 ，促 进 可再生能源的高效利用，并 为实现 碳中和目 标贡 献力量。天合 储 能将 继续 秉 持" 用太阳 能造福全人类"的使命，与合作伙伴携手共建可持续发展的未来。 ESIE 2026 储能产业发展的风向标 预定展位详情咨询： 曹先生 1 3552 71 21 89 王先生 1 3581 88 55 20 李先生 1 3581 74 16 80 近年来，日本在可再生能源引入、脱碳社会建 设 以及能源安全保障方面持 续 加 码 。随着太阳能、 风 能等可再生能源比例不断提升， 电 网 平 ...

Group 1 - The global large-scale energy storage market is experiencing explosive growth, driven by supportive policies in the US and rapid market expansion in Europe and Asia [1][2] - Large-scale energy storage systems are categorized as large storage, commercial storage, and household storage, with large-scale systems being more complex and critical for energy system stability [1] - The demand for large-scale energy storage is surging, particularly in Europe, with significant growth in countries like Germany, and the cost of large-scale storage is lower compared to commercial and household storage [2] Group 2 - Chinese companies have established a complete ecosystem in the large-scale energy storage industry, covering upstream core components, midstream system integration, and downstream project development and operation [3] - Companies like Penghui Energy are actively expanding their presence in both domestic and international markets, with significant growth in overseas project deliveries [3] - The revenue of Shenzhen Kelu Electronics is projected to grow by 30.82% to 36.05% year-on-year, driven by the delivery of overseas storage orders [3] Group 3 - Canadian Solar's subsidiary, Arctech, is involved in large-scale energy storage system integration, with significant projects underway in Australia, indicating the company's growing influence in the global market [4] - The demand for large-scale energy storage is expected to continue rising, necessitating ongoing technological innovation and market expansion by industry players to maintain competitive advantages [4]

Core Viewpoint - The company has signed a significant sales contract for energy storage systems, which is expected to positively impact its financial performance in the current and future years [1]. Group 1: Contract and Financial Impact - The company’s subsidiary signed a sales contract worth RMB 204 million for a 200MW/400MWh energy storage system [1]. - The contract is part of the company's main business, and successful execution is anticipated to enhance the company's financial status and operational performance [1]. - The company forecasts a net loss of RMB 45 million to RMB 60 million for the first half of the year, representing a reduction in losses of 33.50% to 50.13% compared to the previous year [1]. Group 2: Business Performance and Growth - Despite a decrease in overall revenue, the energy storage business saw a revenue increase of 15%, reaching RMB 1.063 billion, with a shipment volume of 3.6GWh and an order volume of 4.1GWh, reflecting over 200% growth [2]. - The company has developed large-scale energy storage systems with a maximum power of 25MW and efficiency exceeding 90%, which are utilized by major clients including State Grid and China Southern Power Grid [2]. Group 3: Investment Strategy and Market Expansion - The company has invested in several independent energy storage stations, becoming the largest in the province, and is cautious about new investments in large independent storage projects due to regional policy restrictions [3]. - The company is focusing on expanding its international market presence, particularly in Europe and Africa, and has established a representative office in Italy [3].

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Company: 阳光电源 (Sungrow Power Supply Co., Ltd.) Core Insights and Arguments - **Market Valuation Potential**: 阳光电源's market valuation could increase by nearly 30% due to the long-term demand for power electronics, provided the company maintains its technological advantage. If gross and net profit levels approach those of photovoltaic products, there is significant room for future valuation and market cap growth [1][2][4]. - **Order Confirmation and Profitability**: The order confirmation rhythm for large energy storage systems is strong in the short term, with stable prices in Europe and the Middle East, while North American prices have slightly declined. This ensures a relatively good guarantee for gross and net profit in the second and third quarters [1][4]. - **AI Data Center Expansion**: The company has made significant strides in the AI data center (AI DC) sector, which is expected to bring greater valuation potential. Collaborations with established suppliers have opened new sales opportunities, with potential new partnerships emerging in the domestic market by Q3 or Q4 of this year [2]. Industry Dynamics - **Photovoltaic Industry Trends**: The prices of silicon materials, silicon wafers, and battery cells in the photovoltaic industry are showing a steady upward trend, influenced by storage policies. Glass inventory reduction is leading to price increases, while prices for auxiliary materials like film and frames have not yet changed significantly but are expected to rise following component price transmission [1][5]. - **Electricity Pricing Reforms**: New policies in Zhejiang and Shandong provinces are promoting reforms in renewable energy grid connection pricing. The regulations include a dual-sided reporting and bidding priority model for inter-provincial electricity trading in Central China [3][6]. - **AI Data Center Investment**: Meta's announcement of a $29 billion investment to expand AI data centers indicates a significant increase in capital expenditure in the U.S. market, with domestic AI DC-related capital expenditures also remaining robust [1][7]. Other Important Insights - **Mechanism Pricing Policies**: Shandong province's mechanism pricing policy maintains the desulfurized coal electricity price for existing projects, with specific rules for distributed generation and green electricity projects. This clarity in regulations is expected to benefit self-consumption power sources [3][8]. - **Shanghai's Market Reform**: Shanghai's recent notification on market-oriented pricing for renewable energy grid connections mandates a mechanism price of 415.5 yuan/MWh for projects completed before June 2025, aligning with desulfurized coal prices [9]. - **Brain-Computer Interface Development**: The government has issued opinions to support the brain-computer interface industry, aiming for key breakthroughs by 2027, with significant investments expected in both non-invasive and invasive technologies [3][15]. Industry: Robotics and AI Data Centers Recent Developments - **World Robot Conference**: The World Robot Conference (WRC) held on August 8 showcased a record number of participating companies, highlighting the growing industrial awareness and trends in robotics, particularly in logistics and handling scenarios [12]. - **AI Data Center Trends**: The 2025 Open Computing Technology Conference held in Beijing is expected to guide investments in large models and AI DC technology routes, reflecting the high demand and growth potential in this sector [7]. Notable Companies - **优必选 (UBTECH)**: The company has released the Walker SR robot, which excels in handling scenarios and features autonomous battery swapping capabilities. It has received significant orders, indicating strong market demand [13]. - **德玛科技 (Dematec)**: Recognized for its strong performance in logistics applications, the company is highlighted as a key player in the robotics sector [12]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights and developments from the conference call records, focusing on the company 阳光电源 and the broader industry context.

Core Viewpoint - Guoxia Technology Co., Ltd. has submitted its application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, showing significant revenue growth from 142 million to 1.026 billion yuan from 2022 to 2024, but facing declining net profit margins from 17.1% to 4.8% during the same period [1][2]. Revenue Growth - Revenue for Guoxia Technology during the reporting period was 142 million, 314 million, and 1.026 billion yuan, with net profits of 24.27 million, 28.14 million, and 49.12 million yuan respectively [1]. - The company’s revenue from China increased significantly, accounting for 27.9%, 55.9%, and 79.9% of total revenue from 2022 to 2024 [2]. - Revenue from Europe decreased from 72.1% to 10.2% during the same period, while revenue from Africa accounted for 13.2% and 9.7% in 2023 and 2024 respectively [2]. Profitability Metrics - The gross profit margin decreased by 10 percentage points from 2022 to 2024, with overall gross margins of 25.1%, 26.7%, and 15.1% [3]. - The gross margin for large energy storage systems dropped significantly from 31.4% to 11.9% during the reporting period [3]. Customer Concentration - The revenue concentration from the top five customers decreased from 98.9% to 66.5% from 2022 to 2024, with the largest customer contributing 70.4%, 30.9%, and 27.9% of total revenue in the respective years [4][5]. - The first major customer, identified as Customer A, was replaced by a new major customer in 2024, indicating high customer turnover [5]. Accounts Receivable and Inventory - Trade receivables and notes increased from 41.59 million to 520 million yuan, with a notable rise in turnover days from 56.2 to 120.6 days [6][7]. - Inventory levels rose from 32.37 million to 116 million yuan, with inventory turnover days fluctuating significantly [7]. Financial Leverage - The company’s leverage ratio reached 199.9% by 2024, indicating a high level of debt relative to equity [10][11]. - Operating cash flow turned positive in 2024, with net cash flow from operating activities reported at 373,000 yuan [9]. - The current ratio and quick ratio showed a declining trend, indicating potential short-term liquidity issues [12].

Group 1: Core Views - The 10th China-Europe Environmental Policy Dialogue held in Brussels highlighted the fruitful outcomes of China-Europe environmental cooperation under the strategic guidance of the high-level dialogue mechanism [1][2] - Both sides emphasized the importance of ecological protection in their half-century relationship and the need for collaboration to address global challenges such as climate change and biodiversity loss [1][2] Group 2: High-Level Dialogue and Cooperation Mechanism - China and Europe have a long-standing cooperation mechanism in the green sector, dating back to the 1990s, which has been enhanced in response to escalating global ecological crises [2] - The Chinese Minister of Ecology and Environment, Huang Runqiu, reaffirmed China's commitment to ecological priority and green development, aiming for significant progress in environmental protection [2] - The EU's Commissioner for Environment, Jessica Roswall, expressed willingness to deepen cooperation with China in areas such as plastic pollution management and biodiversity [2] Group 3: Expansion of Cooperation Areas - China and Europe are expanding their cooperation from clean energy sources like nuclear, wind, and solar to related industries such as energy storage and green transportation [4][5] - Notable projects include the Taishan Nuclear Power Plant in China, which utilizes French EPR technology, and the Greek wind power project led by China's State Power Investment Corporation [4][5] Group 4: Green Production Capacity - Chinese companies are increasingly involved in green energy projects in Europe, such as the 154 MW solar park in Germany and various wind power projects in France and Hungary [5] - The European Smart Energy Exhibition showcased 850 Chinese exhibitors, highlighting their innovations in large-scale energy storage and smart grids, demonstrating China's vitality in the green transition [5] Group 5: Consensus Building and Green System Construction - Ongoing dialogues between China and Europe focus on green finance, carbon market development, and environmental standards, with a commitment to deepening governance systems [7] - The upcoming China-Europe Circular Economy Transformation Seminar aims to enhance cooperation in lifecycle design and biodegradable materials, contributing to global plastic pollution treaty negotiations [7] Group 6: Global Climate Strategy - Analysts note that China and Europe are becoming key players in global climate governance, with potential for collaboration on clean energy, urban sustainability, and carbon trading systems [6][8] - The emphasis on multilateralism and climate action reflects a shared commitment to global economic stability and environmental protection [6][8]

Core Viewpoint - Ganfeng Lithium has launched its first 10MWh energy storage container system solution, which optimizes various dimensions such as system cost, energy density, deployment efficiency, safety standards, and cycle life, aiding the global energy technology sector to enter the GW era [1][5]. Group 1: Product Features - The 10MWh energy storage system offers higher integration, better AC matching, and more flexible adaptability compared to the current 6.25MWh systems, meeting diverse application needs [3]. - As the only integrated single container system with a capacity of 10MWh in the industry, it achieves an energy density of 146Wh/L and features a modular design for scalable applications, providing an efficient solution for GWh-level large-scale energy storage station construction [5]. - The system's unit area energy density is improved by 52% and land area is reduced by 34% compared to traditional 20-foot 5MWh container systems, significantly lowering land investment costs and initial station investment costs [5]. Group 2: Safety and Reliability - The 10MWh energy storage system incorporates a "Four-Dimensional Safety" guarantee, ensuring stable operation through intrinsic safety, quadruple fire protection, active defense, and electrical safety [7]. - The system is equipped with 392Ah and 587Ah energy storage cells, which have high volumetric energy densities of 409Wh/L and 438Wh/L, ensuring efficient and long-lasting operation [8]. Group 3: Intelligent Management - Utilizing a big data intelligent management platform and AI decision-making engine, the energy storage system establishes a "cloud-edge-end" three-tier smart hub for real-time monitoring and intelligent control, enabling rapid response and remote diagnosis in case of anomalies [10]. - The system's data-driven decision-making supports operational efficiency, ensuring safe, efficient, and stable operation [10]. Group 4: Diverse Applications - Ganfeng Lithium's energy storage technology team has developed products for various scenarios, including residential, commercial, and large-scale energy storage, as well as integrated solar-storage-charging solutions [12]. - The residential energy storage system is designed for home users to store solar energy for nighttime or power outage use, while the commercial system helps businesses optimize electricity costs and provides backup power [14]. - Large-scale storage focuses on grid-side and renewable energy generation, achieving peak shaving and frequency modulation, enhancing grid stability [14]. - Ganfeng Lithium has participated in multiple large-scale solar and energy storage projects, with a total application scale exceeding 21,000MWh, consistently ranking among the top ten in national and global energy storage shipments [12][16].

Core Viewpoint - Ganfeng Lithium has launched its first 10MWh energy storage container system solution, which optimizes various dimensions such as system cost, energy density, deployment efficiency, safety standards, and cycle life, aiding the global energy technology sector to enter the GW era [1][5]. Group 1: Product Features - The 10MWh energy storage system offers higher integration, better AC matching, and more flexible adaptability compared to the current 6.25MWh systems, meeting diverse application needs [3]. - As the only integrated single-container system with a capacity of 10MWh in the industry, it achieves an energy density of 146Wh/L and features a modular design for scalable applications, providing an efficient solution for GWh-level large-scale energy storage station construction [5]. - The system's unit area energy density is improved by 52% and the land area is reduced by 34% compared to traditional 20-foot 5MWh container systems, significantly lowering land investment costs and initial station investment costs [5]. Group 2: Safety and Reliability - The 10MWh energy storage system incorporates a "Four-Dimensional Safety" guarantee, ensuring stable operation through intrinsic safety, quadruple fire protection, active defense, and electrical safety [7]. - The system is equipped with 392Ah and 587Ah energy storage cells, which have high volumetric energy densities of 409Wh/L and 438Wh/L, ensuring efficient and long-lasting operation [8]. Group 3: Intelligent Management - Utilizing a big data intelligent management platform and AI decision-making engine, Ganfeng Lithium's energy storage system establishes a "cloud-edge-end" three-tier smart hub for real-time monitoring and intelligent control, ensuring safe, efficient, and stable operation [10]. Group 4: Diverse Applications - Ganfeng Lithium has developed a range of products for various scenarios, including residential, commercial, and large-scale energy storage, as well as integrated solar-storage-charging systems, providing greener solutions for electricity applications [12][14]. - The company has participated in multiple large-scale photovoltaic and energy storage projects, with a total application scale exceeding 21,000MWh in domestic and overseas markets, consistently ranking among the top ten in national and global energy storage shipments [14][16].

Group 1 - Hangzhou is focusing on major projects and enterprises to stimulate economic growth, with 169 provincial "thousand projects, trillion" projects completing an investment of 21.2 billion yuan in Q1 [2] - The city achieved an 86% commencement rate for new projects, exceeding the quarterly targets of 50% and 80% for Q1 and Q2 respectively, ranking first in the province [2] - Major projects are being launched to enhance the city's economic development, showcasing a commitment to high-quality growth [2] Group 2 - The "Pingjiu Dual-use" East Suburb Warehousing and Distribution Center project has a total investment of approximately 1.2 billion yuan and is expected to be completed by 2026, with 53% of construction progress achieved [3] - Several significant industrial projects, including the headquarters of Xinjian Transmission and the advanced testing base for semiconductor integrated circuits, are underway, contributing to the city's economic momentum [3] Group 3 - In Q1, 27 projects with a total investment of 29.05 billion yuan were launched, with an annual planned investment of 4.14 billion yuan [4] - The projects include the South Lake Technology Achievement Transformation project and the Zhejiang Intelligent Perception Technology Innovation Center, reflecting strong leadership in project execution [5] Group 4 - The city is enhancing project approval efficiency, achieving an 85% improvement in approval speed and a 60% acceleration in project advancement through streamlined processes [6] - The Global New Materials Asia-Pacific Headquarters project received its construction permit in just 22 days, demonstrating the city's commitment to efficient project facilitation [6] Group 5 - The Yuko Tire Intelligent Factory project was initiated within six months, while the Muxing Technology UAV project received all necessary permits in just 12 working days, showcasing improved government service quality [7] - In Q1, project investment grew by 5.7%, with infrastructure investment increasing by 6.7%, indicating a robust investment climate [7]