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BBA集体失守中国市场
21世纪经济报道· 2025-08-04 15:42
Core Viewpoint - The traditional luxury car giants BBA (BMW, Mercedes-Benz, Audi) are collectively facing growth bottlenecks, with declining revenues and profits, particularly in the Chinese market, indicating a deep transformation pain that requires immediate and decisive action to recover and seize future opportunities [1][3][6]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, BBA's financial results showed a trend of "two declines and one increase" in revenue, with all three companies experiencing a "full-line decline" in net profits [3][6]. - BMW led with a revenue of €67.685 billion, despite an 8% year-on-year decline; Mercedes-Benz followed with €66.377 billion, suffering the largest revenue drop of 8.6% and a net profit halved; Audi was the only brand with revenue growth, reaching €32.573 billion, but its net profit was only €1.346 billion, one-third of BMW's [3][6]. - The decline in performance has led BBA to lower their profit forecasts, with Audi adjusting its annual revenue target to €65-70 billion and profit margin expectations down to 5-7%; BMW expects a decrease in profit margin to 5-7%; and Mercedes-Benz anticipates lower sales than the previous year, adjusting its return on sales from 6-8% to 4-6% [6]. Group 2: Market Challenges - BBA has collectively lost ground in the Chinese market, which is their most important single market globally, with delivery volumes declining by 15.5% for BMW, 14.2% for Mercedes-Benz, and 10.3% for Audi [5][6]. - The entry-level models of BBA, priced between 200,000 to 400,000 yuan, are facing fierce competition from domestic brands, leading to a decline in both volume and profit [8][9]. - BMW's popular models, such as the X3/X4 and i3/i4, saw delivery declines of 24.6% and 70.8%, respectively, indicating significant pressure in the mid-range segment [8][9]. Group 3: Electric Vehicle Transition - The shift to electric vehicles (EVs) is seen as essential for BBA's recovery, with distinct strategies emerging: BMW is leading, Audi is gaining momentum, while Mercedes-Benz is lagging [11][12]. - Audi reported a 32.3% increase in pure electric vehicle sales, achieving a penetration rate of 12.8% with 101,400 units delivered; BMW's electric vehicle sales reached 220,600 units, up 15.7%, while Mercedes-Benz's sales fell by 14% to 87,300 units [15][16]. - BMW is focused on a clear electric future, with plans for a new generation platform expected to boost electric vehicle sales significantly, aiming for 50% of its sales to be electric by 2035 [16][17]. Group 4: Strategic Adjustments - Audi has adopted a more cautious approach to its electric vehicle strategy, delaying the complete phase-out of combustion engines and planning to launch new internal combustion and hybrid models from 2024 to 2026 [16]. - Mercedes-Benz has adjusted its electric vehicle strategy, aiming for a maximum of 50% of its sales to be new energy vehicles by 2030, while still planning to introduce new electric models [17]. - The BBA's transition to electric vehicles is characterized by a pragmatic return to rationality, facing the dual challenge of accelerating the transition while addressing shortcomings in smart technology [18].