Core Insights - Recent price increase notifications have been issued by companies in various segments of the electronics industry, including storage, CCL, BT substrates, wafer foundry, and packaging [1] - The background for this price increase cycle is attributed to a significant rise in upstream metal costs since 2025, coupled with strong demand driven by AI [1] - Despite the high demand in AI, the demand for consumer electronics and automotive electronics is experiencing temporary pressure, suggesting a mixed market environment [1] - It is recommended to focus on segments such as storage, CCL, BT substrates, wafer foundry, and packaging, which are expected to benefit most from the ongoing price increase trend [1]

Group 1 - The core strategy focuses on enhancing pricing power in resource and traditional manufacturing sectors, recommending an increase in non-bank financial assets while considering counter-consensus varieties to reduce portfolio volatility [1][3][18] - The market is expected to maintain a fluctuating upward trend in thematic and small-cap stocks until after the Two Sessions, driven by improved domestic demand expectations [3][20] - The aluminum industry is projected to see a price center of 23,000 yuan/ton by 2026, supported by sustained demand growth in electricity grids and automotive sectors, despite potential supply increases from Indonesia [5][22] - The rare earth industry is entering a high-quality development phase, with a forecasted widening supply-demand gap starting in 2026, leading to stable price increases and improved profitability across the industry chain [6][23] Group 2 - The electronic sector is experiencing price increases across various sub-segments due to rising upstream metal costs and strong demand driven by AI, suggesting a focus on segments like storage and wafer fabrication that are likely to benefit from this trend [7][25] - The non-bank financial sector is expected to see improved operational quality and valuation potential, with current PB ratios indicating a favorable investment environment [8][26] - China's social financing growth has slightly slowed, but export resilience has strengthened, indicating a stable outlook for 2026, supported by robust non-US export performance [9][33][34]

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor industry in A-shares is experiencing a downturn due to the cyclical nature of the sector and slow recovery in consumer electronics demand, leading to widespread declines in net profits among listed companies. However, some leading firms have shown signs of recovery in the second quarter, driven by sectors like artificial intelligence, automotive electronics, and power grids. Group 1: Semiconductor Design Companies - Chip design companies are accelerating inventory reduction, with many reporting a decline in performance in the first half of the year, but some have stabilized and shown growth in the second quarter [2][3] - Rockchip, a leader in AIoT chips, expects revenue of approximately 858 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of about 31%, but a sequential growth of around 60% in the second quarter [2] - GigaDevice, a leader in Nor Flash memory, anticipates a net profit of about 340 million yuan, down over 70% year-on-year, but with a nearly 30% increase from the first quarter [2] Group 2: Fingerprint Recognition and Wireless Chip Companies - Goodix, a leader in fingerprint recognition chips, expects revenue of about 2.02 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of approximately 10.5%, but a net loss of about 137 million yuan [3] - Broadcom Integrated anticipates a net loss of between 64.8 million and 43.3 million yuan for the first half of 2023, with some improvement in the second quarter [3] - Zhaoxin Microelectronics, heavily reliant on the mobile market, expects a revenue decline of 25.48% year-on-year, with a net profit decrease of 50.01% to 55.06% [3] Group 3: Packaging and Testing Companies - Packaging and testing companies are showing significant sequential growth, with Tongfu Microelectronics reporting revenue of approximately 9.909 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.58%, but a net loss of 17 to 19.8 million yuan [7] - Longji Technology, a leading packaging and testing company, expects a net profit of 446 to 546 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 64.65% to 71.08%, but a significant increase in the second quarter [8] - Crystal Technology anticipates a net profit of 70 to 80 million yuan, a year-on-year decline of 58.11% to 63.35%, but expects to double its profit in the second quarter compared to the first [9] Group 4: Equipment Companies - Despite the overall semiconductor sector being in a downturn, equipment companies are experiencing rapid growth, with North Huachuang reporting revenue of 7.82 to 8.95 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 43.65% to 64.41% [10] - Zhongwei Company, a leader in etching equipment, expects revenue of approximately 2.527 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of about 28.13%, with a net profit increase of 109.49% to 120.18% [11] - Wan Ye Enterprises is increasing its focus on integrated circuits, expecting a net profit of about 118 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of approximately 316% [12]