—— A 股行业中观景气跟踪月报（2025 年 9 月） 本期投资提示： 2025 年 10 月 09 日 关注新能源、存储、有色和化工等涨价 品种 二、景气：2025 年 9 月制造业 PMI 整体（49.8%）小幅回升，反内卷推动上游原材料购进价格处于扩张区 间，制造业新订单和采购量有所改善，非制造业在手订单和出口订单改善、但价格和库存景气度均有所回 落。 三、各行业高频中观量价指标： 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 相关研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 林丽梅 A0230513090001 linlm@swsresearch.com 刘雅婧 A0230521080001 liuyj@swsresearch.com 郝丹阳 A0230523120002 haody@swsresearch.com 冯彧 A0230525080001 fengyu@swsresearch.com 王胜 A0230511060001 wangsheng@swsresearch.com 联系人 冯彧 (8621)23297818× fengyu@swsresearch.com 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report emphasizes the valuation expansion of domestic wafer foundries and infers a price increase cycle for storage driven by intensified demand [3]. Market Performance - In the week before the holiday, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.21%, while the electronics sector increased by 3.51%, with semiconductors up by 7.64%. In contrast, the Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 1.58%, and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index and Taiwan's Information Technology Index rose by 1.17% and 1.12%, respectively [3]. Domestic Foundry Performance - During the holiday, Hong Kong's semiconductor sector performed well, with domestic foundries SMIC and Hua Hong Semiconductor reaching historical highs. This performance is attributed to the rapidly expanding AI computing power demand and the enhancement of high-end chip design capabilities [3]. Demand for Domestic Computing Power - Major companies like Deepseek, Alibaba, and Tencent are increasingly adapting to and purchasing domestic computing power, reflecting a growing confidence in the capabilities of local foundries [3].

载41分分 音增双 高品 2025 年 09 月 29 日 审核节奏放缓,申购热度延续 -定增市场双周报 2025.09.14-2025.09.28 本期投资提示: 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 相关研究 证券分析师 彭文玉 A0230517080001 penawv@swsresearch.com 朱敏 A0230524050004 zhumin@swsresearch.com 任奕璇 A0230525050002 renyx2@swsresearch.com 联系人 朱敏 (8621)23297818× zhumin@swsresearch.com 申万宏源研究微信服务 新增节奏企稳，过会注册节奏放缓。截至 2025 年 9 月 28 日，上两周新增 17 宗定增项目 (其中竞价 11 宗) ，环比增加 1 宗;终止 10 宗(其中竞价 5 宗) ，环比增加 4 宗; 发审 委通过３宗（其中竞价２宗），环比减少８宗；证监会通过１１宗（其中竞价 ７宗），环比 减少 9 宗;处于正常待审阶段的定增项目共 628 个,其中已获发审委审核通过和证监会注 册的待发项目有 65 宗，环比减少 8 宗。 ...

Group 1: Market Dynamics - As of September 28, 2025, there were 17 new private placement projects added, a 1 project increase from the previous period, with 10 projects terminated, marking a 4 project increase[4] - The approval rate for projects was 100%, with 3 projects approved by the review committee, a decrease of 8 projects from the previous period[19] - There are currently 628 projects under normal review, with 65 projects having received approval, a decrease of 8 projects[7] Group 2: Fundraising Overview - In the last two weeks, 5 competitive projects raised a total of 6.9 billion yuan, a decrease of 38.84% from the previous period[34] - The average base discount rate for these projects was 11.16%, down 2.10 percentage points from the previous period[36] - The average market price discount rate was 16.23%, with a slight decrease of 0.02 percentage points[36] Group 3: Unlocking Gains - Among the 6 competitive projects that were unlocked, 83.33% had positive returns, a decrease of 16.67 percentage points from the previous period[50] - The average absolute return on the unlocking day was 47.36%, with an excess return of 34.54%, both showing increases from the previous period[50] - The average market price discount rate for these projects was 10.77%, down 4.65 percentage points from the previous period[50]

格隆汇9月29日丨力源信息(300184.SZ)在互动平台表示，目前公司向智元机器人提供了代理产品线的少 量样品。公司在AI机器人领域积极布局，目前已有部分客户提货，但销售额还很小，未来公司将在相 关领域推广MCU、功率、主控、存储、传感器等产品。 ...

Group 1 - The company is currently providing a small number of sample products to ZhiYuan Robotics as part of their collaboration in the robotics field [2] - The company is actively expanding its presence in the AI robotics sector, with some customers already placing orders, although sales revenue remains low [2] - Future plans include promoting products such as MCU, power supplies, main control units, storage, and sensors in the relevant fields [2]

Group 1 - The company has no current collaboration with Yushu Technology, despite increasing market demand for robotics [2] - The company is actively laying out its strategy in the AI robotics sector, with some customers already placing orders, although sales volume remains small [2] - Future plans include promoting products such as MCU, power supplies, main control units, storage, and sensors in related fields [2]

力源信息9月29日在互动平台表示，目前没有与宇树科技有合作。公司在AI机器人领域积极布局，目前 已有部分客户提货，但销售额还很小，未来公司将在相关领域推广MCU、功率、主控、存储、传感器 等产品。 ...

Core Insights - The report emphasizes a strategic shift towards large financial and consumer sectors, indicating a positive outlook for the market with a projected increase in the Shanghai Composite Index by over 10% to above 3800 points [6][9] - The report identifies three main driving forces for the market: old economy cycles, new technology, and new consumer trends, suggesting a robust market environment in the fourth quarter [6][10] Group 1: Old Economy and Cyclical Trading - The report notes that the Producer Price Index (PPI) has reached a bottom, indicating a favorable environment for trading in non-ferrous metals and a potential soft landing for the economy [3][10] - It highlights the positive impact of domestic stabilization and policy expectations on sectors such as coal, steel, and renewable energy [3][10] - The report suggests that large financial institutions, including internet finance, brokerage firms, and insurance companies, are likely to benefit from these trends [3][10] Group 2: New Economy and Technology - The report discusses the benefits of AI and overseas expansion for technology sectors, emphasizing the importance of hardware performance and application sentiment [3][10] - It identifies key areas such as North American computing power, semiconductor equipment, and AI chips as critical for performance release [3][10] - The report also highlights the significance of liquidity in innovative pharmaceuticals related to technology exports [3][10] Group 3: New Economy and Consumer Trends - The report emphasizes the importance of consumer sentiment and service consumption, identifying sectors such as pet economy, IP toys, and travel as key areas of focus [3][10] - It categorizes consumer spending into emotional resources, emotional resolution, and emotional release, indicating a diverse range of opportunities in the consumer market [3][10] Group 4: National Holiday Market Dynamics - The report analyzes the market behavior around the National Day holiday, indicating a pattern of volume adjustments and potential for gains post-holiday [4][11] - It notes a high success rate for holding stocks before and after the holiday, with a 67% success rate for the two days before and an 80% success rate for the five days after [4][11] - The report suggests that the market may experience a shift in style, with small-cap stocks gaining momentum post-holiday [4][11] Group 5: Fund Flows and Market Sentiment - The report indicates that leverage funds typically flow out before the holiday and return afterward, suggesting a cyclical pattern in fund movements [4][11] - It highlights that the risk of missing out on gains by exiting the market may outweigh the risks of remaining invested [4][11] - The report concludes that the overall market sentiment remains positive, with expectations for continued inflows into equity markets [6][9]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the achievements and expertise of the electronic research team at Guosen Securities, emphasizing their recognition in the industry and their focus on semiconductor and consumer electronics sectors [2][3][4][5][6][7]. Group 1: Team Achievements - The electronic research team has received multiple awards, including the 2024 Securities Analyst Golden Bull Award for Best Industry Analyst Team and the 2024 Sina Finance Golden Unicorn Elite Analyst ranking 4th in the semiconductor and consumer electronics sectors [2]. - The team has consistently ranked highly in various analyst competitions, showcasing their expertise and recognition in the electronic industry [2][3][4][5][6][7]. Group 2: Industry Focus - The team covers key areas such as semiconductor technology, AI computing, and consumer electronics, indicating a strategic focus on sectors poised for growth [8][11][12][13]. - Reports on semiconductor market trends and investment strategies highlight the potential for AI-driven innovations and the importance of domestic alternatives in the industry [10][11][12][16]. Group 3: Key Company Research - Notable companies such as Industrial Fulian, Demingli, and Zhongke International have shown significant revenue growth, with Industrial Fulian reporting a 51% year-on-year profit increase in Q2 [15][17]. - The semiconductor sector is experiencing a rebound, with companies like SMIC and Jiewa Technology achieving record revenues and high capacity utilization rates [15][17].