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瑞达期货工业硅产业日报-20251113
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-11-13 09:34
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the report 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Industrial silicon supply will contract next week as Sichuan, Yunnan and other regions enter the dry season, with increased production cuts and some enterprises halting production due to rising electricity prices, despite expected restarts in the Northwest [2] - On the demand side, organic silicon maintains a rigid demand for industrial silicon but consumption growth is limited; polysilicon currently supports industrial silicon procurement but may reduce demand due to rising costs and potential production cuts; aluminum alloy has stable demand for industrial silicon but limited price - pulling ability [2] - Although industrial silicon showed little movement today, the volume and price of downstream organic silicon are rising, which is expected to drive industrial silicon up, and it is recommended to go long at low prices [2] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - The closing price of the main contract is 9,145 yuan/ton, down 50 yuan; the position of the main contract is 267,758 lots, up 5,622 lots; the net position of the top 20 is - 64,574 lots, down 473 lots; the warehouse receipts of GZEE are 45,387 lots, down 549 lots; the basis between the December and January industrial silicon contracts is 10 yuan, up 10 yuan [2] 3.2 Spot Market - The average price of oxygen - passing 553 silicon is 9,500 yuan/ton, unchanged; the average price of 421 silicon is 9,750 yuan/ton, unchanged; the basis of the Si main contract is 355 yuan/ton, up 50 yuan; the DMC spot price is 11,800 yuan/ton, unchanged [2] 3.3 Upstream Situation - The average price of silica is 410 yuan/ton, unchanged; the average price of petroleum coke is 2,410 yuan/ton, unchanged; the average price of clean coal is 1,850 yuan/ton, unchanged; the average price of wood chips is 490 yuan/ton, unchanged; the ex - factory price of graphite electrodes (400mm) is 12,250 yuan/ton, unchanged [2] 3.4 Industry Situation - The monthly output of industrial silicon is 402,800 tons, an increase of 36,000 tons; the weekly social inventory of industrial silicon is 552,000 tons, an increase of 10,000 tons; the monthly import volume of industrial silicon is 1,939.85 tons, an increase of 602.27 tons; the monthly export volume of industrial silicon is 70,232.72 tons, a decrease of 6,409.29 tons [2] 3.5 Downstream Situation - The weekly output of organic silicon DMC is 44,900 tons, an increase of 700 tons; the overseas market price of photovoltaic - grade polysilicon is 15.95 US dollars/kg; the average price of aluminum alloy ADC12 in the Yangtze River spot is 21,500 yuan/ton, an increase of 100 yuan; the weekly average price of photovoltaic - grade polysilicon is 6.5 US dollars/kg; the monthly export volume of unforged aluminum alloy is 23,495.34 tons, a decrease of 5,568.37 tons; the weekly operating rate of organic silicon DMC is 69.26%, an increase of 0.7%; the monthly output of aluminum alloy is 1.776 million tons, an increase of 141,000 tons; the monthly export volume of aluminum alloy is 23,495.34 tons, a decrease of 5,568.37 tons [2] 3.6 Industry News - China's cumulative installed capacity of operational power energy storage projects is 137.9 GW, accounting for 37.1% of the global market, with a year - on - year increase of 59.9%; the cumulative installed capacity of new - type energy storage is 78.3 GW, accounting for 47% of the global market, and lithium - ion batteries dominate, accounting for 97.1% of the cumulative installed capacity of new - type energy storage [2]
广期所公布国庆节和中秋节假期前后风控措施
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2025-09-25 16:05
Core Points - The Guangxi Futures Exchange announced risk control measures for the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holidays in 2025, effective from September 29, 2025 [1] Group 1: Futures Contract Adjustments - The price fluctuation limits for industrial silicon futures contracts will be adjusted to 10%, with speculative trading margin set at 12% and hedging margin at 11% [1] - The price fluctuation limits for polysilicon futures contracts will be adjusted to 11%, with speculative trading margin set at 13% and hedging margin at 12% [1] - The price fluctuation limits for lithium carbonate futures contracts will be adjusted to 10%, with speculative trading margin set at 12% and hedging margin at 11% [1] Group 2: Trading Resumption and Further Adjustments - Trading will resume on October 9, 2025, and if the largest contracts in each category do not experience a one-sided price limit with continuous quotes, the price fluctuation limits and margin standards will revert to pre-adjustment levels [1] - For lithium carbonate futures contracts, the price fluctuation limit will be adjusted to 9%, with speculative trading margin set at 11% and hedging margin at 10% [1] - In cases where the adjusted price fluctuation limits and margin standards differ from the current ones, the higher of the two will be implemented [1]
期货午评:碳酸锂合约全线涨停,工业硅、红枣涨超3%,合成橡胶、焦炭、中证1000涨超2%,鸡蛋、燃油、胶合板、原油、尿素跌超1%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-11 04:02
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights a significant increase in lithium carbonate prices due to supply concerns stemming from the suspension of mining operations in the Jiangxi region, particularly the Jiangxia Wokou mining area, which is expected to impact the overall supply-demand balance in the industry [1][2] - The Jiangxia Wokou mining area, which contributes approximately 10,000 tons per month, accounts for about 12.5% of the domestic lithium carbonate production, and its suspension is anticipated to shift the market from a tight balance to a shortage [1] - The new Mineral Resources Law set to be implemented in 2025 is causing concerns regarding the approval processes for other major mining areas, further exacerbating supply worries in the lithium market [1] Group 2 - On August 11, the domestic futures market saw a general increase, with lithium carbonate contracts hitting the limit up, rising over 8%, while other commodities like industrial silicon and red dates also saw gains exceeding 3% [2] - In contrast, commodities such as eggs, fuel, plywood, crude oil, and urea experienced declines of over 1% [2]
广期所:调整工业硅等品种期货合约涨跌停板幅度、交易保证金标准、交易手续费标准、交易限额
news flash· 2025-07-23 10:46
Core Viewpoint - The Dalian Commodity Exchange has announced adjustments to the trading rules for industrial silicon futures contracts, effective from July 25, 2025, including changes to price limits and margin requirements [1] Group 1: Trading Rules Adjustments - The price limit for industrial silicon futures contracts will be adjusted to 8% [1] - The margin requirement for speculative trading will be set at 10% [1] - The margin requirement for hedging trading will be adjusted to 9% [1]
广期所发布2025年劳动节假期调整相关期货合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金标准的通知
news flash· 2025-04-24 13:04
Core Points - The Dalian Commodity Exchange has announced adjustments to the trading limits and margin standards for various futures contracts effective from April 29, 2025 [1] Group 1: Futures Contract Adjustments - The trading limit for industrial silicon futures will be adjusted to 8%, with speculative trading margin set at 10% and hedging margin at 9% [1][2] - The trading limit for polysilicon futures will be adjusted to 9%, with speculative trading margin set at 11% and hedging margin at 10% [1][2] - The trading limit for lithium carbonate futures will be adjusted to 10%, with speculative trading margin set at 12% and hedging margin at 11% [1][2] Group 2: Current and Future Standards - Current trading limits for industrial silicon are 6%, with speculative margin at 8% and hedging margin at 7% [2] - Current trading limits for polysilicon are 7%, with speculative margin at 9% and hedging margin at 8% [2] - Current trading limits for lithium carbonate are 8%, with speculative margin at 10% and hedging margin at 9% [2]