今年以来，全球资产价格正经历一轮重要调整：10 年期美国国债收益率较年内高点回落超 50 个基点， 美元指数（DXY）较高点下跌超 10%。不过在夏季行情中，这两大资产的下行势头均遇阻。 摩根士丹利指出，这一利率低谷仍有进一步下行空间：一方面，当前水平高于 2025 年 4 月的 2.87% 和 2024 年 9 月的 2.69%；另一方面，美联储经济学家预计最终联邦基金利率可能降至 2.625%（而非市场 当前定价的 3%），核心原因是美国移民政策收紧将放缓劳动力市场增长，进而压低潜在经济增速与均 衡利率（r*）。 美债收益率与联邦基金利率的联动关系将持续主导债市行情。报告数据显示，二者在 2025 年 4 月短暂 偏离后已重新同步。 （市场隐含联邦基金利率低谷与 10 年期美债收益率） 摩根士丹利在最新全球宏观策略报告《At the Edge of Hot Summer, At the Threshold of a Larger Fall》中指 出，随着美联储降息窗口逐步临近，今年秋季美债收益率与美元指数有望双双创下年内新低，为投资者 提供明确的布局方向。 一、宏观主线：美联储降息成核心驱动力，美债收益率 ...

法国总理发起的一场信任投票，正引发该国资产的"股债双杀"，也成为全球长债风暴的又一缩影。 据媒体最新报道，法国总理弗朗索瓦·贝鲁于本周一宣布，将于9月8日举行一场对其政府的信任投票。在全球许多经济体仍面临增长压力、民众期 望更多财政支持的背景下，而贝鲁此举旨在为其备受争议的、总额达440亿欧元的财政紧缩计划强行铺路。 然而，这种"逆势而行"的政治豪赌，立即在市场引发了对政府可能垮台的担忧。消息一出，消息一出，市场避险情绪迅速升温，法国资产连续第 二日遭到抛售。 作为关键风险指标，法国10年期国债收益率一度跃升9个基点至3.51%，与德国同期国债的利差扩大至78个基点，为4月以来的最高水平。 同时，法国CAC 40股指大跌2%，延续了周一1.6%的跌势。法国股市带领欧股普遍走低，欧洲斯托克50指数跌1.2%，德国DAX指数跌0.85%，英 国富时100指数跌0.8%。 | - 德国DAX30 | 24.054.57 | 24.148.14 | 24.050.17 -207.02 | | -0.85% | 15:12:15 0 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- ...

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，当地时间8月25日，欧债收益率普遍下涨，法国10年期国债收益率涨8.9个基点报3.507%， 德国10年期国债收益率涨3.6个基点报2.755%，意大利10年期国债收益率涨7个基点报3.593%，西班牙10 年期国债收益率涨7个基点报3.368%。 ...

Market Performance - The three major US stock indices experienced slight declines, with the S&P 500 down 0.4%, the Dow Jones down 0.34%, and the Nasdaq down 0.34% [1] - Most large tech stocks fell, including Tesla down over 1%, Facebook down more than 1%, Amazon down 0.83%, Apple down 0.49%, Nvidia down 0.24%, Microsoft down 0.13%, while Google rose 0.22% [1] Chinese Stocks - Most Chinese stocks saw gains, with Xiaoying Technology up over 16%, XPeng Motors up more than 11%, Manbang Group up over 10%, NIO up over 9%, and Tiger Brokers up over 6% [1] - However, Zhengye Technology fell approximately 30%, Yipeng Energy dropped over 23%, Canadian Solar down over 18%, Hesai Technology down about 11%, and Century Interconnect down over 8% [1] European Market - European stock indices closed mixed, with Germany's DAX index up 0.02% at 24280.64 points, France's CAC40 down 0.47% at 7935.2 points, and the UK's FTSE 100 up 0.23% at 9309.2 points [1] Commodity Prices - International precious metal futures closed mixed, with COMEX gold futures down 0.15% at $3383.5 per ounce and COMEX silver futures up 0.87% at $38.1 per ounce [1] - US oil main contract rose 1.23% to $63.48 per barrel, while Brent crude main contract increased 1.14% to $67.60 per barrel [1] Currency and Bond Market - The US dollar index rose 0.41% to 98.65, while the offshore RMB against the US dollar fell by 17 basis points to 7.1833 [1] - US Treasury yields collectively increased, with the 2-year yield up 4.19 basis points to 3.781%, the 3-year yield up 3.92 basis points to 3.736%, the 5-year yield up 3.49 basis points to 3.841%, the 10-year yield up 2.92 basis points to 4.316%, and the 30-year yield up 2.14 basis points to 4.908% [1] - European bond yields generally rose, with the UK 10-year yield up 5.7 basis points to 4.727%, France's 10-year yield up 4.9 basis points to 3.460%, Germany's 10-year yield up 3.9 basis points to 2.755%, Italy's 10-year yield up 5.5 basis points to 3.578%, and Spain's 10-year yield up 4.8 basis points to 3.342% [1]

Market Performance - The three major US stock indices closed mixed, with the Dow Jones up 0.02%, the S&P 500 down 0.59%, and the Nasdaq down 1.46% [1] - Major US tech stocks experienced declines, with Nvidia down over 3%, META down over 2%, and Tesla, Amazon, and Microsoft down over 1% [1] - Popular Chinese concept stocks generally fell, with Xunlei down over 10%, Weibo down over 6%, and New Oriental, iQIYI, and Miniso down over 2% [1] European Market - All three major European stock indices closed higher, with Germany's DAX index up 0.45%, France's CAC40 index up 1.22%, and the UK's FTSE 100 index up 0.34% [1] Commodities - International precious metal futures generally declined, with COMEX gold futures down 0.57% at $3358.90 per ounce and COMEX silver futures down 1.84% at $37.33 per ounce [1] - US oil main contract fell 1.12% to $62.00 per barrel, while Brent crude oil main contract dropped 0.95% to $65.97 per barrel [1] Currency and Bonds - The US dollar index rose 0.12% to 98.28, while the offshore RMB against the US dollar fell by 4 basis points to 7.1882 [1] - US Treasury yields collectively declined, with the 2-year yield down 1.69 basis points to 3.738% and the 10-year yield down 2.54 basis points to 4.306% [1] - European bond yields mostly fell, with the UK 10-year yield up 0.3 basis points to 4.738%, while the German 10-year yield fell 1.3 basis points to 2.747% [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is the collective rise in European bond yields on August 14, with specific increases noted for various countries' 10-year government bonds [1][2] Group 2 - The UK 10-year government bond yield increased by 5 basis points to 4.637% [1] - The French 10-year government bond yield rose by 3.8 basis points to 3.370% [1] - The German 10-year government bond yield saw an increase of 3.2 basis points to 2.709% [1] - The Italian 10-year government bond yield went up by 4 basis points to 3.487% [1] - The Spanish 10-year government bond yield increased by 3.3 basis points to 3.262% [1]

Market Performance - The three major U.S. stock indices closed higher, with the Dow Jones up 1.04%, the S&P 500 up 0.32%, and the Nasdaq up 0.14% [1] - Major tech stocks mostly declined, with Microsoft down over 1%, Facebook down more than 1%, Nvidia down 0.88%, Google down 0.68%, Tesla down 0.47%, while Amazon and Apple both rose over 1% [1] - Popular Chinese concept stocks generally rose, with Newegg up over 24%, Linklogis up more than 18%, Pony.ai up over 7%, Futu Holdings up over 6%, and BeiGene up over 6%. In contrast, Genetron Holdings fell over 8%, and Global Data fell more than 6% [1] - European stock indices all closed higher, with Germany's DAX up 0.67%, France's CAC40 up 0.66%, and the UK's FTSE 100 up 0.19% [1] Commodity Prices - International precious metal futures generally rose, with COMEX gold futures up 0.24% at $3407.00 per ounce and COMEX silver futures up 1.44% at $38.55 per ounce [1] - U.S. oil main contract fell 0.68% to $62.74 per barrel, while Brent crude oil main contract dropped 0.54% to $65.76 per barrel [1] - London base metals all fell, with LME lead down 1.36% at $1988.00 per ton, LME zinc down 1.26% at $2811.50 per ton, and LME copper down 0.65% at $9777.00 per ton [1] Bond Market - U.S. Treasury yields collectively fell, with the 2-year yield down 5.84 basis points to 3.668%, the 3-year yield down 6.94 basis points to 3.633%, the 5-year yield down 6.78 basis points to 3.756%, the 10-year yield down 6 basis points to 4.231%, and the 30-year yield down 5.74 basis points to 4.824% [1] - European bond yields also fell collectively, with the UK 10-year yield down 3.6 basis points to 4.587%, France's 10-year yield down 7.4 basis points to 3.333%, Germany's 10-year yield down 6.5 basis points to 2.677%, Italy's 10-year yield down 8 basis points to 3.448%, and Spain's 10-year yield down 6.8 basis points to 3.229% [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article indicates that after the release of U.S. data, the long-term bond yields in the Eurozone retracted their gains, with the German 10-year government bond yield increasing by 1.5 basis points to 2.71% [1]

Core Points - The yield on Germany's 10-year government bonds increased by 0.5 basis points following the trade agreement reached between the EU and the US [1] Group 1 - Germany's 10-year bond yield is influenced by international trade agreements, indicating a potential shift in investor sentiment [1]

Group 1: Precious Metals - Spot platinum (XPTUSD) is priced at 1387.350, down by 24.160 or 1.71% [2] - Spot palladium (XPDUSD) is priced at 1219.630, down by 13.600 or 1.10% [2] - Gold (COMEX GC) is priced at 3341.100, down by 30.200 or 0.90% [2] - Silver (COMEX SI) is priced at 39.025, down by 0.260 or 0.66% [2] Group 2: Foreign Exchange - Euro to USD (EURUSD) is down by 0.33% at 1.171 [3] - GBP to USD (GBPUSD) is down by 0.66% at 1.342 [3] - USD to JPY (USDJPY) is up by 0.54% at 147.787 [3] - AUD to USD (AUDUSD) is down by 0.52% at 0.655 [3] - USD to CHF (USDCHF) is up by 0.33% at 0.798 [3] Group 3: Cryptocurrencies - Bitcoin (BTC) is priced at 115684.210, down by 2635.780 or 2.23% [4] - Litecoin (LTC) is priced at 114.140, up by 1.890 or 1.68% [4] - Ethereum (ETH) is priced at 3688.680, down by 17.820 or 0.48% [4] - Ripple (XRP) is priced at 3.106, down by 0.040 or 1.27% [4] Group 4: Treasury Bonds - The yield on the 2-year U.S. Treasury bond is 3.913 [6] - The yield on the 5-year U.S. Treasury bond is 3.966, down by 0.005 or 0.13% [7] - The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond is 4.415, up by 0.007 or 0.16% [7] - The yield on the 30-year U.S. Treasury bond is 4.960, up by 0.011 or 0.22% [7] - The yield on the 10-year UK Treasury bond is 4.652, up by 0.030 or 0.65% [7] - The yield on the 10-year German Treasury bond is 2.727, up by 0.034 or 1.26% [7] - The yield on the 10-year French Treasury bond is 3.392, up by 0.025 or 0.74% [7] - The yield on the 10-year Italian Treasury bond is 3.596, up by 0.031 or 0.87% [7] - The yield on the 10-year Japanese Treasury bond is 1.603, up by 0.005 or 0.31% [7]