Market Performance - The three major US stock indices experienced slight declines, with the S&P 500 down 0.4%, the Dow Jones down 0.34%, and the Nasdaq down 0.34% [1] - Most large tech stocks fell, including Tesla down over 1%, Facebook down more than 1%, Amazon down 0.83%, Apple down 0.49%, Nvidia down 0.24%, Microsoft down 0.13%, while Google rose 0.22% [1] Chinese Stocks - Most Chinese stocks saw gains, with Xiaoying Technology up over 16%, XPeng Motors up more than 11%, Manbang Group up over 10%, NIO up over 9%, and Tiger Brokers up over 6% [1] - However, Zhengye Technology fell approximately 30%, Yipeng Energy dropped over 23%, Canadian Solar down over 18%, Hesai Technology down about 11%, and Century Interconnect down over 8% [1] European Market - European stock indices closed mixed, with Germany's DAX index up 0.02% at 24280.64 points, France's CAC40 down 0.47% at 7935.2 points, and the UK's FTSE 100 up 0.23% at 9309.2 points [1] Commodity Prices - International precious metal futures closed mixed, with COMEX gold futures down 0.15% at $3383.5 per ounce and COMEX silver futures up 0.87% at $38.1 per ounce [1] - US oil main contract rose 1.23% to $63.48 per barrel, while Brent crude main contract increased 1.14% to $67.60 per barrel [1] Currency and Bond Market - The US dollar index rose 0.41% to 98.65, while the offshore RMB against the US dollar fell by 17 basis points to 7.1833 [1] - US Treasury yields collectively increased, with the 2-year yield up 4.19 basis points to 3.781%, the 3-year yield up 3.92 basis points to 3.736%, the 5-year yield up 3.49 basis points to 3.841%, the 10-year yield up 2.92 basis points to 4.316%, and the 30-year yield up 2.14 basis points to 4.908% [1] - European bond yields generally rose, with the UK 10-year yield up 5.7 basis points to 4.727%, France's 10-year yield up 4.9 basis points to 3.460%, Germany's 10-year yield up 3.9 basis points to 2.755%, Italy's 10-year yield up 5.5 basis points to 3.578%, and Spain's 10-year yield up 4.8 basis points to 3.342% [1]

Market Performance - The three major US stock indices closed mixed, with the Dow Jones up 0.02%, the S&P 500 down 0.59%, and the Nasdaq down 1.46% [1] - Major US tech stocks experienced declines, with Nvidia down over 3%, META down over 2%, and Tesla, Amazon, and Microsoft down over 1% [1] - Popular Chinese concept stocks generally fell, with Xunlei down over 10%, Weibo down over 6%, and New Oriental, iQIYI, and Miniso down over 2% [1] European Market - All three major European stock indices closed higher, with Germany's DAX index up 0.45%, France's CAC40 index up 1.22%, and the UK's FTSE 100 index up 0.34% [1] Commodities - International precious metal futures generally declined, with COMEX gold futures down 0.57% at $3358.90 per ounce and COMEX silver futures down 1.84% at $37.33 per ounce [1] - US oil main contract fell 1.12% to $62.00 per barrel, while Brent crude oil main contract dropped 0.95% to $65.97 per barrel [1] Currency and Bonds - The US dollar index rose 0.12% to 98.28, while the offshore RMB against the US dollar fell by 4 basis points to 7.1882 [1] - US Treasury yields collectively declined, with the 2-year yield down 1.69 basis points to 3.738% and the 10-year yield down 2.54 basis points to 4.306% [1] - European bond yields mostly fell, with the UK 10-year yield up 0.3 basis points to 4.738%, while the German 10-year yield fell 1.3 basis points to 2.747% [1]

Market Performance - The three major U.S. stock indices closed higher, with the Dow Jones up 1.04%, the S&P 500 up 0.32%, and the Nasdaq up 0.14% [1] - Major tech stocks mostly declined, with Microsoft down over 1%, Facebook down more than 1%, Nvidia down 0.88%, Google down 0.68%, Tesla down 0.47%, while Amazon and Apple both rose over 1% [1] - Popular Chinese concept stocks generally rose, with Newegg up over 24%, Linklogis up more than 18%, Pony.ai up over 7%, Futu Holdings up over 6%, and BeiGene up over 6%. In contrast, Genetron Holdings fell over 8%, and Global Data fell more than 6% [1] - European stock indices all closed higher, with Germany's DAX up 0.67%, France's CAC40 up 0.66%, and the UK's FTSE 100 up 0.19% [1] Commodity Prices - International precious metal futures generally rose, with COMEX gold futures up 0.24% at $3407.00 per ounce and COMEX silver futures up 1.44% at $38.55 per ounce [1] - U.S. oil main contract fell 0.68% to $62.74 per barrel, while Brent crude oil main contract dropped 0.54% to $65.76 per barrel [1] - London base metals all fell, with LME lead down 1.36% at $1988.00 per ton, LME zinc down 1.26% at $2811.50 per ton, and LME copper down 0.65% at $9777.00 per ton [1] Bond Market - U.S. Treasury yields collectively fell, with the 2-year yield down 5.84 basis points to 3.668%, the 3-year yield down 6.94 basis points to 3.633%, the 5-year yield down 6.78 basis points to 3.756%, the 10-year yield down 6 basis points to 4.231%, and the 30-year yield down 5.74 basis points to 4.824% [1] - European bond yields also fell collectively, with the UK 10-year yield down 3.6 basis points to 4.587%, France's 10-year yield down 7.4 basis points to 3.333%, Germany's 10-year yield down 6.5 basis points to 2.677%, Italy's 10-year yield down 8 basis points to 3.448%, and Spain's 10-year yield down 6.8 basis points to 3.229% [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights a significant decline in demand for U.S. Treasury bonds, particularly the 30-year bond auction, which is seen as a troubling indicator for the bond market [1][2] - The 30-year bond auction had a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.27, the lowest since November 2023, indicating weak investor interest [1] - The indirect bid ratio, which reflects foreign demand, was at 59.5%, the lowest since May, while the direct bid ratio from domestic investors was 23.03%, significantly below previous averages [1] Group 2 - The 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.25%, marking a continuous increase for three days, while the 2-year yield reached 3.73% [1] - The auction results suggest that if the Federal Reserve, led by Powell, begins to cut interest rates, there could be a sharp revaluation of inflation expectations, leading to a steepening of the yield curve [2] - Recent labor market data indicates an increase in initial jobless claims to 226,000, slightly above expectations, and a rise in continuing claims to 1.97 million, the highest level since November 2021, suggesting a challenging job market [2]

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve's Daly indicates that the timing for interest rate cuts is approaching, with the likelihood of more than two cuts this year being higher [1] - South Africa's trade and foreign affairs department warns that the 30% tariffs imposed by the US on South African goods could severely impact the economy, potentially leading to the loss of approximately 30,000 jobs [2] - The Bank of Japan's meeting minutes reveal that some members are considering the possibility of resuming interest rate hikes once trade issues stabilize [3] Group 2 - The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 585.06 points, closing at 44,173.64, an increase of 1.34% [4] - COMEX gold futures increased by 0.85% to $3,428.60 per ounce, while silver futures rose by 1.40% to $37.45 per ounce [5] - The 2-year US Treasury yield fell by 2.70 basis points to 3.671%, while the 10-year yield decreased by 2.35 basis points to 4.196% [5]

周日，欧盟宣布临时贸易协议，对进口美国商品关税降至15%，贸易紧张局势有所缓和。不过，债券交易员本周 仍面临繁忙节奏，美联储从周二起召开为期两天的会议，9月16日至17日前不再开会。 华尔街普遍认为，美联储此次几乎不会调整基准贷款利率（4.25% - 4.50%），利率期货显示利率不变可能性达 97%。交易员将聚焦美联储主席鲍威尔会后讲话，其将阐述政策制定者对经济及降息时机的看法。日兴资产管理 公司策略师称，债券市场将对美联储行动和声明做出反应，通胀或经济增长数据会影响美债收益率曲线。 【环球网财经综合报道】周一（28日），10年期美债收益率小幅走高，2年期持平于3.91%，10年期升2BPs至 4.42%，30年期攀升4BPs至4.96%，2年与10年期美债收益率差走阔2BPs至51BPs。 外媒报道，美联储本周会议可能维持利率不变，但或有一两位理事表达降息反对意见。多数政策制定者担忧特朗 普关税会阻碍通胀回归2%目标，特朗普也再次呼吁美联储降息。 美国财政部周一宣布，三季度联邦借款预期大幅上调至1.01万亿美元，近乎4月预估的两倍，周二还发行了3期共 1540亿美元债券。 海外债市方面，欧债波动不大，德意 ...

Market Performance - The three major US stock indices closed mixed, with the Dow Jones down 0.7%, the S&P 500 up 0.07%, and the Nasdaq up 0.18% [1] - Popular tech stocks showed mixed results, with Tesla down over 8%, IBM down over 7%, while Nvidia, Amazon, and Broadcom rose over 1% [1] - Chinese concept stocks closed mostly lower, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index down 1.54%, Miniso up over 8%, XPeng up over 1%, while Baidu, Li Auto, and Bilibili fell over 2% and 4% respectively [1] European Market - European stock indices closed mixed, with Germany's DAX up 0.23%, France's CAC40 down 0.41%, and the UK's FTSE 100 up 0.85% [1] Commodity Prices - International precious metal futures generally fell, with COMEX gold futures down 0.77% at $3371.3 per ounce and COMEX silver futures down 0.55% at $39.285 per ounce [1] - International oil prices saw slight gains, with the main US oil contract up 1.39% at $66.16 per barrel and Brent crude up 0.96% at $68.48 per barrel [1] Currency and Debt Markets - The US dollar index rose 0.29% to 97.49, while the offshore RMB against the US dollar fell by 35 basis points to 7.1555 [1] - US Treasury yields collectively rose, with the 2-year yield up 4.89 basis points to 3.918%, the 3-year yield up 4.48 basis points to 3.869%, the 5-year yield up 3.52 basis points to 3.961%, the 10-year yield up 1.79 basis points to 4.398%, and the 30-year yield up 0.21 basis points to 4.940% [1] - European bond yields mostly increased, with France's 10-year yield up 7.9 basis points to 3.376%, Germany's 10-year yield up 6.3 basis points to 2.699%, Italy's 10-year yield up 8.9 basis points to 3.548%, Spain's 10-year yield up 7.8 basis points to 3.304%, while the UK's 10-year yield fell by 1.2 basis points to 4.620% [1]

智通财经APP获悉，在市场不断猜测特朗普最终可能会任命一位"鸽派"继任者取代现任美联储主席鲍威尔之际， 美国国债期权市场出现明显看涨倾向。过去一周，基准国债收益率从此前高点有所回落，而期权交易的变化也反 映出投资者情绪的微妙转变。 此前有媒体报道称，特朗普正在准备撤换鲍威尔，计划启用一位更倾向于尽快降息的新任主席。这一传言曾一度 推动30年期美债收益率在7月16日攀升至5.07%，创下5月以来新高。 然而，白宫随后表态称，总统并无意在鲍威尔任期结束前撤换他(鲍威尔任期将于明年5月届满)。这一表态缓解 了市场担忧，使得此前因担心通胀反弹而遭到抛售的长期美债出现"舒缓式反弹"。 鲍威尔方面则明确表示，在考虑降息前，将会评估特朗普新一轮关税政策对经济的实际影响。他的谨慎立场为市 场增添了不确定性，促使投资者将目光转向7月30日的联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)利率决议，寻求更多政策线 索。 值得注意的是，美联储理事沃勒近期罕见地提出应在7月降息，使市场对美联储内部意见分歧的关注度上升。 在利率回落的背景下，30年期美债看跌期权的风险溢价有所下降。此前市场对于收益率上行的担忧导致对看跌期 权的强烈偏好，造成期权"倾斜率 ...

Group 1 - The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond decreased by 3.37 basis points, closing at 4.3440%, with intraday trading between 4.3957% and 4.3262% [1] - The 2-year Treasury yield fell by 2.74 basis points, ending at 3.8334%, with a trading range of 3.8693% to 3.8207% [1] - The yields on other maturities also declined, with the 20-year yield down by 3.33 basis points and the 30-year yield down by 2.67 basis points [2] Group 2 - The 10-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) yield decreased by 0.99 basis points, settling at 1.9320% [2] - U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen stated that there is no reason for Federal Reserve Chairman Powell to step down, as his term runs until May 2026 [3]

Group 1 - The U.S. Treasury yields are expected to end a four-day rise, with the 10-year yield increasing nearly 1 basis point to 4.39%, partially reversing a 10 basis point decline since the weak June PPI data was released [1] - The 20-year and 30-year Treasury yields rose by approximately 2 basis points, reaching 4.95% and 4.96% respectively [1] Group 2 - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is set to speak at a regulatory meeting focused on large bank capital frameworks, with his remarks likely to address Basel III final rules, stress tests, and capital requirements [4] - Powell faces increasing pressure from former President Trump and Republican lawmakers regarding the Fed's renovation costs, which has drawn significant attention from traders and investors [4] - The potential for Powell's removal has led investors to bet on a steepening yield curve, with Deutsche Bank strategists predicting that if Trump moves to dismiss Powell, the 30-year Treasury yield could rise by over 50 basis points [5] Group 3 - Following reports of Trump's potential dismissal of Powell, a macro trading alert was issued, suggesting a strategy of buying 2-year Treasuries while selling 10-year Treasuries, based on expectations of a more dovish new Fed chair [5] - This trading strategy is seen as a hedge against the risk of Trump attempting to remove Powell, with expectations that a weakened Fed independence could raise long-term inflation expectations and thus long-term bond yields [5]