（文章来源：证券日报） 证券日报网讯横店东磁10月9日在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司生产的锂电池可应用于便携式 储能的小动力领域，但非大型储能项目。公司有延伸布局了户储产品，并与第三方合作参与工商业和大 储市场的拓展。 ...

投资要点： 业绩点评 公司发布25H1 业绩公告，25H1 实现营业收入6.51 亿元，同比-27.54%，归母净利0.79 亿元，同 比-9.88%，扣非归母净利0.57 亿元，同比-36.05%；其中25Q2 实现营业收入4.61 亿元，同比-2.27%，环 比+141.36%；归母净利0.50 亿元，同比+4.96%，环比+74.02%；扣非归母净利0.35 亿元，同 比-33.20%，环比+63.98%。 考虑行业竞争因素， 我们下调公司2025-2027 年归母净利为1.95/2.49/3.27 亿元（25-26 年前值3.6/4.5 亿 元，27 年为新增预测值），当前股价对应PE47.8/37.5/28.5 倍，考虑公司作为微逆领先企业，出货有望 在库存消化后持续增长，同时公司储能业务进入放量阶段，维持"买入"评级。 需求不及预期，海外贸易摩擦升级，行业竞争激烈，业绩不达预期。 公司25H1 储能业务保持较高增速，成为重要增量引擎，其中工商储系统业务营收1.90 亿元，同比 +6.43%，户储产品营收0.20 亿元，同比+34.11%，主要受益于全球工商业储能需求增长及公司渠道拓 展；25H1 ...

Group 1 - The company is enhancing product research and development, improving product range, and integrating channel resources to quickly respond to market demands [1] - The company is leveraging favorable policies in regions like Australia to continuously increase market share [1] - The company's energy storage capacity is currently in a growth phase, with overall order reserves showing a stable and positive trend [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company is actively enhancing its market share by strengthening product research and development, improving product variety, and integrating channel resources, while also benefiting from favorable policies in regions like Australia [1] Group 1 - The company is in a phase of ramping up its household energy storage capacity [1] - The overall order reserve situation is stable and positive [1]

Summary of the Conference Call for 德业股份 Industry Overview - The global household energy storage market is expected to maintain an annual growth rate of approximately 20% over the next five years, with emerging markets experiencing even higher growth rates [2][4] - The industrial and commercial energy storage sector will also support 德业股份's long-term growth, particularly in regions with low per capita electricity generation and photovoltaic power ratios, such as Latin America, Africa, and the Middle East [2][4] Key Growth Markets - Significant growth is anticipated in Africa and Southeast Asia by 2025, with Africa's growth expected to exceed three times due to local electricity shortages [2][6] - Indonesia plans to achieve a distributed solar storage capacity of 320GW over the next five years, with overall distributed energy storage growth in Southeast Asia approaching double [2][6] - India and Pakistan are expected to maintain growth in 2025, driven by policy and local supply chain factors, with 德业股份 achieving approximately 30% growth in Pakistan in recent months [2][7][8] - The Middle East market shows demand differentiation, with wealthy countries like Israel and UAE driving energy transition through policy, while war-affected countries like Lebanon and Syria exhibit off-grid demand [2][9] - Eastern Europe is expected to see a decline in Ukraine's demand by 2025, but countries like Bulgaria and Romania are experiencing good growth due to reduced reliance on Russian electricity [2][10] Competitive Advantages - 德业股份 possesses three core competitive advantages in emerging markets: product development tailored to different countries, partnerships with local major distributors, and high self-manufacturing rates [4][13] - The company has a strong cost control strategy, leveraging over 30 years of experience in sheet metal manufacturing to maintain high self-manufacturing rates and reduce costs [17][18] Business Performance and Projections - The industrial and commercial energy storage business is projected to grow significantly, with revenues expected to double from approximately 20 billion yuan in 2024 to 40 billion yuan in 2025, potentially accounting for 40%-50% of total revenue [4][19][20] - Overall, 德业股份's revenue for 2025 is anticipated to reach 35 billion yuan, with a profit of approximately 15 billion yuan achieved in the first half of the year [23] Emerging Products and Strategies - In addition to industrial storage, 德业股份 is developing new products such as balcony micro-storage and solar air conditioning, which will complement its home appliance business [21][22] - The company employs a sales strategy that includes forming exclusive agency relationships with local distributors and utilizing brand partnerships to expand market reach [15][16] Market Outlook - The global distributed energy storage market is expected to continue expanding, with emerging markets likely to become significant growth segments in the coming years [12] - The company is well-positioned to maintain its market share and profitability in the household storage sector while benefiting from the growth of new business lines [22]

Core Viewpoint - The user-side energy storage market is experiencing a recovery with a concentrated market structure, while high-growth new markets are emerging, indicating a return to stable growth in global installations [1][6] Group 1: Household Energy Storage - The household energy storage market has undergone significant restructuring, leading to a gradual recovery and emergence of new growth opportunities [1] - It is expected that global household energy storage installations will see an accelerated growth inflection point by 2025, with a projected CAGR of nearly 15% over the next three years, particularly in markets like Australia and Asia-Pacific [2] - Australia's household storage penetration rates are relatively low at approximately 7% for existing installations and 20% for new installations, indicating substantial growth potential compared to Europe [2] Group 2: Industrial and Commercial Energy Storage - The commercial energy storage market is maturing, with significant growth expected due to improved business models and application scenarios, particularly in Europe where the CAGR is projected to reach around 55% from 2024 to 2029 [3] - The economic advantages of commercial energy storage over diesel generators, along with its suitability for off-grid backup power needs, present considerable replacement opportunities [3] - The increasing acceptance of green energy storage solutions is anticipated to further enhance long-term growth prospects for industrial and commercial energy storage [3] Group 3: Market Opportunities for Domestic Manufacturers - Domestic manufacturers are actively enhancing their product offerings and market expansion strategies to capitalize on the rising demand in overseas user-side energy storage markets [4] - Chinese household storage suppliers are leveraging manufacturing advantages and financial strength to deepen partnerships with leading channel providers in mature markets while exploring high-growth potential markets like Australia and Asia-Pacific [4] - The growing demand in the overseas commercial storage market is prompting domestic battery, inverter, and system manufacturers to accelerate product upgrades and business model expansions [4]

Core Viewpoint - The company aims to reduce losses and achieve a turning point in performance, with positive results observed in the first half of the year [2] Group 1: Company Performance and Goals - The company has set a key goal of reducing losses and turning around its performance, with some success noted in the first half of the year [2] - The company reported a main revenue of 657 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.76%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -37.04 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 39.81% [8] Group 2: Independent Energy Storage Projects - The first phase of the Qingyuan independent energy storage station is operational, with the second and third phases expected to be commissioned within the year [3] - The company has invested in multiple independent energy storage stations and holds a significant regional scale advantage, being the largest in the province [4] Group 3: Product Development and Production - The company produces energy storage system products, with core components like PCS, BMS, EMS, and battery packs developed in-house, while some components like cells and containers are sourced externally [5] Group 4: Revenue Sources and Market Strategy - The main revenue from the Qingyuan independent energy storage station comes from frequency regulation services, with potential plans to explore additional revenue sources in the future [6] - Following the issuance of Document No. 136, the market policies are favorable for the company, allowing for a focus on system performance and economic indicators [7] Group 5: International Expansion - The company established an international division in 2023, focusing on markets in Europe and Africa, with a representative office set up in Italy and products certified to European standards [8]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state and future prospects of the global household energy storage market, highlighting significant growth in shipments and the impact of geopolitical events on demand [2][3]. Group 1: Market Overview - In 2024, the global household energy storage shipment volume reached 27.8 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 19%, with China accounting for 21 GWh, or 75% of the global total [2]. - The top 10 companies in terms of shipment volume include Huawei, BYD, Airo Energy, and others, indicating a competitive landscape [3]. Group 2: Demand Trends - The demand for household storage products has been influenced by geopolitical tensions, particularly the Russia-Ukraine conflict, which initially spurred demand in Europe [3]. - Despite a slowdown in demand in some European countries, regions like Central and Eastern Europe, as well as the UK, continue to see growth [3]. Group 3: Company Performance - Companies like Hekang New Energy reported a revenue of approximately 4.7 billion yuan in 2024, a 220% increase year-on-year, while net profit reached 10.29 million yuan, marking a turnaround [6]. - Deye Co., Ltd. achieved a revenue of about 11.2 billion yuan in 2024, up 49.8% year-on-year, with a net profit of 2.96 billion yuan, reflecting a 65.3% increase [7]. - Airo Energy's Q1 2025 report showed a revenue of approximately 790 million yuan, a 16.7% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 45.94 million yuan, up 35% [8]. Group 4: Market Dynamics - The performance disparity among companies is attributed to their market focus, with those targeting Asia, Africa, and Latin America experiencing significant demand growth [9]. - The U.S. market, despite tensions regarding Chinese lithium batteries, is expected to see increasing demand for household storage products due to frequent natural disasters and a fragile power grid [9]. Group 5: Technological Advancements - The introduction of 300Ah+ battery cells into the household storage market is a significant technological advancement, with a rapid transition from 280Ah cells [11]. - Companies like Jieneng Home Storage and others have launched products featuring 300Ah+ cells, indicating a shift towards higher capacity solutions [12]. - The trend towards modular and high-voltage systems in household storage design is aimed at better accommodating larger capacity cells [13]. Group 6: Future Outlook - The potential for large-capacity battery cells to enhance household storage systems is significant, particularly in remote areas where reliable power supply is critical [15]. - Safety concerns associated with larger capacity cells necessitate stringent manufacturing standards and improved battery management systems [15].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights recent strategic partnerships in the energy storage sector, indicating a growing trend towards collaboration for large-scale energy storage projects in China and internationally [2][3][4]. Group 1: Company Developments - Yicheng New Energy signed a framework cooperation agreement with Zhongzhou Times to advance green low-carbon energy storage projects in Henan Province, targeting a total of 500MWh of energy storage projects by 2025 [2]. - Electric Times entered a strategic cooperation agreement with a German client, focusing on the development of European standard 5MWh energy storage units and integrated charging solutions for commercial use [3]. - Electric Times has successfully participated in the design of Namibia's first energy storage project and has penetrated the high-end European market with its household storage products, covering countries such as Italy, Germany, and Spain [4]. Group 2: Market Trends - The article mentions a significant increase in energy storage orders, with Yicheng New Energy and Electric Times collectively securing over 500MWh of storage orders recently [1]. - The upcoming 2025 Global User-side Energy Storage Industry Value Summit and Application Demonstration Exhibition is expected to further promote the energy storage sector, indicating a robust market outlook [1].