Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is expected to enter a strong new car cycle, which will drive future growth [6] - The company reported a total sales volume of 569,800 units in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 2%, with total revenue of 92.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1% [4] - The second quarter of 2025 saw a total sales volume of 313,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 10% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 22% [4] - The company is set to launch multiple new models, which are anticipated to boost sales and gross margins [6] Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - The company’s total revenue for 2025 is projected to be 224.1 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 10.8% [5] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025 is estimated at 12.9 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 1.7% [5] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is forecasted to be 1.51 yuan [5] - The gross margin is expected to be 18.7% in 2025 [5] - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 14.5% in 2025 [5] Sales and Market Expansion - The company is expected to achieve significant sales growth both domestically and internationally, driven by new model launches and enhancements in product offerings [6] - The domestic market will benefit from the introduction of multiple new models and significant upgrades, while the overseas market will see contributions from the newly operational factory in Brazil [6]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the sales growth driven by new and updated vehicle models, with total sales reaching 313,000 units in Q2, representing a 21.87% increase quarter-on-quarter [1] - Haval brand sales reached 176,800 units, an increase of 32,200 units, primarily due to the launch of the Menglong fuel version and the new Xiaolong [1] - Tank brand sales were 61,700 units, up by 19,700 units, driven by the introduction of the new Tank 300 and accelerated overseas expansion [1] - Weipai sales totaled 21,200 units, an increase of 7,800 units, supported by the launch of the Gaoshan series and a recovery in sales of the Lanshan model in Q2 [1] Group 2 - The company received approximately 2.5 billion yuan in Q2 from the previously unaccounted Russian scrappage tax refund, with expectations for this to normalize into quarterly receipts [2] - Looking ahead, the Weipai Lanshan will undergo product upgrades, while the Gaoshan 7 launch is expected to boost monthly sales of the Gaoshan series to over 10,000 units [2] - The Tank 400, 500, and 700 intelligent driving versions, along with the Hi4-Z version, will significantly expand the target user base [2] - Ora plans to launch two new models, including a compact hatchback and an A-class SUV, while new and updated Haval models are also anticipated [2]