上 市 公 司 机械设备 2025 年 08 月 24 日 同力股份 (834599) ——新能源矿卡存量替代需求明确，公司业绩符合预期 报告原因：有业绩公布需要点评 买入（维持） | 市场数据： 2025 年 08 月 22 日 | | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | 25.50 | | 一年内最高/最低（元） | 27.31/7.70 | | 市净率 | 3.8 | | 股息率%（分红/股价） | 2.75 | | 流通 A 股市值（百万元） | 8,863 | | 上证指数/深证成指 3,825.76/12,166.06 | | | 注："股息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | | | 基础数据: | 2025 年 06 月 30 日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产（元） | 6.67 | | 资产负债率% | 56.12 | | 总股本/流通 A 股（百万） | 462/348 | | 流通 B 股/H 股（百万） | -/- | 证券分析师 刘靖 A0230512070005 liujing@swsresearch.com 研究支持 汪秉涵 A023012309000 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 1.536 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 28.34%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 187 million yuan, up 58.45% year-on-year [4] - The company is expected to maintain its profit forecast for 2025 while adjusting the forecast for 2026 downwards and introducing a new forecast for 2027, with projected net profits of 858 million yuan, 980 million yuan, and 1.091 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4] - The integration of new energy and autonomous driving technologies is expected to enhance the company's growth potential and profitability [4][6] Summary by Sections Section 1: Focus on Non-Road Wide Body Dump Trucks - The company is recognized as a national champion in non-road wide body dump trucks and is actively expanding into overseas markets [13] - The company has developed a range of products including fuel-driven, gas-driven, pure electric, and autonomous vehicles, positioning itself as a leader in intelligent and information technology applications [13][16] - The company has achieved a second-place market share in the autonomous driving dump truck segment in open-pit coal mines as of September 2024 [28] Section 2: Economic Benefits of Non-Road Wide Body Dump Trucks - Non-road wide body dump trucks have a lower purchase cost per ton compared to other types of dump trucks, making them economically advantageous [5][43] - The operational efficiency of non-road wide body dump trucks is significantly higher than that of traditional trucks, with a 30% increase in carrying capacity under similar conditions [45][47] Section 3: Financial Summary and Valuation Indicators - The company's revenue is projected to grow from 5.86 billion yuan in 2023 to 8.19 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20.53% [7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 615 million yuan in 2023 to 1.091 billion yuan in 2027, with a CAGR of 31.43% [7] - The gross margin is anticipated to improve from 19.1% in 2023 to 22.2% in 2027, reflecting the higher profitability of new products [7][36] Section 4: Research and Development Focus - The company has significantly increased its R&D investment, with expenses growing from 37.59 million yuan in 2019 to 196 million yuan in 2024, representing a CAGR of 39.11% [21][24] - Key R&D projects include the development of large-scale hybrid dump trucks and autonomous driving technologies, aligning with national policies promoting green and intelligent mining [22][23] Section 5: Market Trends and Future Outlook - The market for non-road wide body dump trucks is expected to grow due to increasing demand in mining and infrastructure projects, with the industry size estimated at approximately 13 billion yuan in 2023 [52] - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing trend of automation and new energy in the mining sector, with significant potential for market expansion [57]