机 械 设 [Table_invest] 买入（维持） 报告原因：业绩点评 [同力股份（ Table_NewTitle] 834599）：无人驾驶和新能 源车型发展继续加速 [Table_Reportdate] 2025年08月26日 公 司 简 评 ——公司简评报告 [table_main] 投资要点 ➢ 风险提示：行业需求下行风险；政策变动风险；国际贸易风险；应收账款余额较大风险。 | [盈利预测与估值简表 Table_profits] | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指标 | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 6,144.63 | 6,924.72 | 7,657.06 | 8,301.30 | | 同比增长率（%） | 4.85% | 12.70% | 10.58% | 8.41% | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 793.08 | 869.38 | 973.60 | 1,082.66 | | 同比增长率（%） | 29.03% | 9.62% | 11.99% | 11.20% | | ...

证券研究报告·北交所公司点评报告·工程机械 同力股份（834599） 2025 中报点评: 2025H1 公司业绩稳健增长， 重点推广新能源与无人驾驶领域产品 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 5,860 | 6,145 | 6,905 | 7,845 | 8,544 | | 同比 | 12.67 | 4.85 | 12.37 | 13.62 | 8.90 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 614.67 | 793.08 | 954.71 | 1,097.72 | 1,226.81 | | 同比 | 31.82 | 29.03 | 20.38 | 14.98 | 11.76 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 1.33 | 1.72 | 2.07 | 2.38 | 2.66 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 17.25 | 13.37 | 11.11 | 9.66 | 8.65 | [Tab ...

Group 1: Tencent Holdings (00700) Analysis - Tencent achieved a revenue of 184.5 billion yuan in Q2 2025, a year-on-year increase of 15%, exceeding Bloomberg consensus by 3% [2][14] - Adjusted net profit attributable to shareholders was 63.1 billion yuan, up 10% year-on-year, also surpassing Bloomberg consensus by 2% [2][14] - The gaming segment showed strong performance, with international and domestic game revenues growing by 35% and 17% respectively in Q2 2025 [2][14] - Advertising revenue increased by 20% to 35.8 billion yuan, driven by AI enhancements that improved click-through rates [2][14] - Financial technology and enterprise services revenue grew by 10% to 55.5 billion yuan, marking a return to double-digit growth [3][14] - The company maintains a "buy" rating with an adjusted net profit forecast for 2025-2027 of 255.6 billion, 298 billion, and 336.8 billion yuan respectively [3][14] Group 2: Industry Trends and Insights - The wind power sector is experiencing a high growth period, with significant improvements in profitability reported by various companies [25] - The domestic wind power market is expected to see new installations reach 110 GW in 2025, with Q2 2025 showing a year-on-year increase of 255.61% in new installations [25] - The market for non-road wide-body dump trucks is projected to grow significantly, driven by trends towards larger, electric, and unmanned vehicles [15][18] - The liquid cooling technology for data centers is gaining traction, with a projected market space of approximately 10 billion yuan due to increasing power density and cooling needs [28][26] - The semiconductor industry is seeing a shift towards special integrated circuits, with demand driven by national defense and commercial satellite applications [21][29]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [6][7]. Core Views - The company is a pioneer in the non-road wide-body dump truck sector, with a solid industry position and a focus on large-scale, electric, and unmanned vehicles driving demand for mining truck replacements [6][7]. - The company has shown impressive revenue growth, with projected revenues of 6.145 billion yuan in 2024 and 6.961 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 4.9% and 13.3% respectively [2][6]. - The report highlights the significant market potential for electric and unmanned mining trucks, with the market for new energy wide-body dump trucks expected to grow from 1.7 billion yuan in 2023 to 11.2 billion yuan in 2028, representing a CAGR of 45.7% [6][7]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company, established in 2005, is the first in China to develop and manufacture non-road wide-body dump trucks, with products widely used in various mining and large engineering projects [6][16]. - The company has maintained a high revenue growth rate, with a CAGR of 22.4% for revenue and 24.15% for net profit from 2020 to 2024 [26]. 2. Market Trends - The trend towards larger, electric, and unmanned vehicles is reshaping the industry, driven by policy changes and economic efficiency [6][37]. - The report emphasizes that the demand for new energy and unmanned mining trucks is expected to increase, with the market for unmanned mining trucks projected to grow significantly from 2025 to 2030 [9][56]. 3. Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 868 million yuan, 963 million yuan, and 1.087 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively [2][7]. - The report anticipates that the company's revenue will reach 69.61 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 13.3% [7][8]. 4. Competitive Advantages - The company has a strong first-mover advantage in the non-road wide-body dump truck market, with a focus on R&D and collaboration with key partners [6][22]. - The report notes that the company's wide-body dump trucks have a lower unit weight cost compared to traditional mining trucks, making them a more economical choice for mining operations [46][48].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [6][7]. Core Viewpoints - The company is a pioneer in the non-road wide-body dump truck sector, focusing on large-scale, electric, and unmanned vehicles, which are driving the demand for mining trucks [6][14]. - The company has a strong market position and is expected to benefit from the trends of large-scale, electrification, and automation in the mining industry, with significant growth in revenue and net profit projected for the coming years [6][7][22]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue (in million yuan) is projected to be 6,145 in 2024, with a year-on-year growth rate of 4.9%. For 2025, the revenue is expected to reach 6,961, reflecting a growth rate of 13.3% [2]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 793 million yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 29.0%. By 2025, it is expected to increase to 868 million yuan, a growth of 9.4% [2]. - Earnings per share are projected to be 1.79 yuan in 2024 and 1.88 yuan in 2025 [2]. - The gross profit margin is expected to improve from 21.4% in 2024 to 23.1% in 2027 [2]. Market Data - As of August 13, 2025, the closing price of the company's stock is 23.20 yuan, with a market capitalization of 8,064 million yuan [3]. - The company has a price-to-book ratio of 3.3 and a dividend yield of 3.02% [3]. Industry Trends - The demand for non-road wide-body dump trucks is expected to grow significantly, with the market size for electric wide-body dump trucks projected to increase from 1.7 billion yuan in 2023 to 11.2 billion yuan by 2028, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 45.7% [6][9]. - The report highlights that the transition to electric and unmanned mining trucks is becoming a necessity due to economic benefits and policy support, with the market for unmanned mining trucks expected to grow significantly in the coming years [6][9][49]. Company Overview - The company was established in 2005 and is recognized as the first in China to develop and manufacture non-road wide-body dump trucks, with a strong focus on research and development [6][14]. - The company has established partnerships with key players in the industry, such as Yikong Zhijia, to enhance its product offerings and market reach [6][14].

Group 1 - The report highlights that in July, the core CPI reached a new high both year-on-year and month-on-month, with the overall CPI showing zero growth year-on-year and PPI remaining unchanged, indicating a narrowing PPI-CPI gap [1][26] - Exports and imports in July exceeded expectations, with exports increasing by 7.2% year-on-year and imports rising by 4.1% [26] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the market's response to the upcoming U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions, with an 88.9% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by September 2025 [1][27] Group 2 - The report discusses the PCR (Put-Call Ratio) as a measure of market sentiment, indicating that high and low levels of PCR can signal market tops and bottoms [2][29] - Key themes identified include brain-computer interfaces, anti-involution strategies, and AIDC (Automatic Identification and Data Capture), which are expected to drive high industry growth [2][30] - The report notes significant advancements in AI and robotics, with major events like the World Humanoid Robot Games taking place, showcasing the industry's growth potential [2][31] Group 3 - The report on the automotive industry indicates that the European market for new energy vehicles is reaching a turning point due to stricter carbon emission regulations and a surge in electric vehicle sales [8] - Major automotive companies like Volkswagen and Stellantis are accelerating their electric vehicle strategies, with Volkswagen's BEV deliveries expected to reach 465,500 units in the first half of 2025, marking an 89% year-on-year increase [8] - The report highlights the importance of the upcoming product cycles and the competitive landscape in the electric vehicle market, with significant growth anticipated in the coming years [8][22] Group 4 - The report on the wind turbine manufacturing industry indicates strong profit margins and growth potential, particularly in international markets, with overseas orders expected to double [17] - The company is diversifying its business model to include power generation and energy storage, aiming for a cumulative installed capacity of 1.0 GW by the end of 2024 [17] - The forecast for net profit growth from 2025 to 2027 is robust, with expected increases of 48%, 42%, and 29% respectively [17] Group 5 - The report on the logistics sector highlights that Qin Port's coal throughput increased by 4% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, driven by improved railway coal transport volumes [22] - The report anticipates continued growth in throughput, particularly in iron ore, as global economic recovery boosts international trade [22] - Profit forecasts for 2025 have been adjusted downward due to expected declines in revenue per ton, with a revised net profit estimate of 1.76 billion yuan [22]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with an "Accumulate" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company is a leader in the non-road wide-body dump truck industry, with a strong performance and a projected revenue of 6.145 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 22.41% from 2020 to 2024 [1][23] - The demand for non-road wide-body dump trucks is expanding due to stable needs in mining and infrastructure projects, as well as equipment upgrades driven by environmental policies [2][43] - The company is pursuing a product strategy focused on "large-scale, intelligent, and new energy" while actively expanding into overseas markets [3][60] Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company is the first to develop non-road wide-body dump trucks in China and has established itself as a key player in the global engineering machinery manufacturing sector [14] - The product range includes non-road wide-body dump trucks, mining dump trucks, underground transport equipment, and special-purpose equipment, covering both fuel and new energy power [1][20] 2. Market Demand Expansion - The non-road wide-body dump truck market is driven by stable demand in domestic mining and infrastructure projects, as well as the replacement of traditional equipment [2][43] - The company is positioned to benefit from the growth in the Asia-Pacific coal mining sector and the development of mineral resources along the "Belt and Road" initiative [2][60] 3. Product Strategy and Global Expansion - The company is focusing on large-scale, intelligent, and new energy products, with significant R&D investment projected to increase by 89.33% in 2024 [3][24] - The company aims to enhance its global presence, with overseas revenue expected to reach 16.5% in 2024 [3][30] 4. Financial Performance and Forecast - The company’s revenue is projected to grow to 6.533 billion yuan in 2025, with a net profit of 873.76 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 10.17% [4][5] - The report compares the company with peers and assigns a target market value of 12.3 billion yuan, corresponding to a target price of 26.7 yuan per share [4][6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 1.536 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 28.34%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 187 million yuan, up 58.45% year-on-year [4] - The company is expected to maintain its profit forecast for 2025 while adjusting the forecast for 2026 downwards and introducing a new forecast for 2027, with projected net profits of 858 million yuan, 980 million yuan, and 1.091 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4] - The integration of new energy and autonomous driving technologies is expected to enhance the company's growth potential and profitability [4][6] Summary by Sections Section 1: Focus on Non-Road Wide Body Dump Trucks - The company is recognized as a national champion in non-road wide body dump trucks and is actively expanding into overseas markets [13] - The company has developed a range of products including fuel-driven, gas-driven, pure electric, and autonomous vehicles, positioning itself as a leader in intelligent and information technology applications [13][16] - The company has achieved a second-place market share in the autonomous driving dump truck segment in open-pit coal mines as of September 2024 [28] Section 2: Economic Benefits of Non-Road Wide Body Dump Trucks - Non-road wide body dump trucks have a lower purchase cost per ton compared to other types of dump trucks, making them economically advantageous [5][43] - The operational efficiency of non-road wide body dump trucks is significantly higher than that of traditional trucks, with a 30% increase in carrying capacity under similar conditions [45][47] Section 3: Financial Summary and Valuation Indicators - The company's revenue is projected to grow from 5.86 billion yuan in 2023 to 8.19 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20.53% [7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 615 million yuan in 2023 to 1.091 billion yuan in 2027, with a CAGR of 31.43% [7] - The gross margin is anticipated to improve from 19.1% in 2023 to 22.2% in 2027, reflecting the higher profitability of new products [7][36] Section 4: Research and Development Focus - The company has significantly increased its R&D investment, with expenses growing from 37.59 million yuan in 2019 to 196 million yuan in 2024, representing a CAGR of 39.11% [21][24] - Key R&D projects include the development of large-scale hybrid dump trucks and autonomous driving technologies, aligning with national policies promoting green and intelligent mining [22][23] Section 5: Market Trends and Future Outlook - The market for non-road wide body dump trucks is expected to grow due to increasing demand in mining and infrastructure projects, with the industry size estimated at approximately 13 billion yuan in 2023 [52] - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing trend of automation and new energy in the mining sector, with significant potential for market expansion [57]

Core Viewpoint - The event aims to enhance compliance capabilities of directors and executives in listed companies, improve investor relations management, and promote high-quality development of listed companies in the Qinghai region [1][2]. Group 1: Event Overview - The Qinghai Securities Regulatory Bureau, in collaboration with the Shenzhen Panoramic Network Co., held the 2025 Qinghai Investor Reception Day and 2024 Annual Performance Briefing on June 18-19, 2025 [1]. - This event marks the 15th anniversary of the collective reception day in the Qinghai region, which has seen participation from over 21,000 listed companies and over one million questions since its inception in 2008 [1]. Group 2: Investor Interaction - During the event, listed companies in Qinghai engaged in real-time communication with investors nationwide, addressing 516 inquiries, with a response rate of 80.62% [2]. - Participants visited Shaanxi Tongli Heavy Industry Co., observing smart production lines and discussing corporate governance and internal control with company executives [2]. Group 3: Training and Regulatory Insights - The training included lectures from the CSRC and the Shanghai Stock Exchange, focusing on the latest policy requirements and revisions to regulations such as the Major Asset Restructuring Management Measures and Information Disclosure Management Measures [2]. - The training emphasized the importance of compliance and information disclosure during transactions, providing guidance on asset management and improving the quality of listed companies [2]. Group 4: Future Directions - The Qinghai Securities Industry Association plans to create a comprehensive service platform that integrates regulatory policy transmission, corporate governance improvement, and investor relations [3]. - The association will continue to enforce compliance and accountability among directors and executives to support the high-quality development of listed companies in the region [3].

Group 1: Foreign Trade Resilience - Foreign trade is a crucial component of China's open economy and plays a key role in facilitating domestic and international dual circulation [4] - Despite external uncertainties, foreign trade enterprises are actively exploring new markets and developing new business models to maintain steady growth [4][5] - In Linyi, Shandong, the daily export cargo volume reached 680 standard containers, with a 20% increase in cargo volume following recent trade talks [5][6] Group 2: Market Diversification Strategies - Linyi foreign trade companies are accelerating their market diversification strategies, targeting emerging markets in Southeast Asia and enhancing domestic market presence [6] - Companies are increasing investments in e-commerce and redesigning products to cater to domestic consumer preferences [6] - Linyi organized events to help foreign trade enterprises expand into domestic markets, resulting in significant order acquisitions [6] Group 3: Economic Growth Predictions - Several international investment banks, including Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, have raised their forecasts for China's economic growth due to effective macro policies and progress in Sino-U.S. trade talks [30][31] - Goldman Sachs increased its 2025 GDP growth forecast by 0.6 percentage points, while Morgan Stanley raised it by 0.3 percentage points [30][31] - The positive outlook is supported by strong retail sales data and government policies aimed at boosting consumption and investment [31][32] Group 4: Automotive Industry Competition - The China Automobile Manufacturers Association has issued an initiative to oppose chaotic price wars in the automotive industry, emphasizing the need for fair competition [35][38] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology supports this initiative, highlighting that price wars negatively impact production and industry sustainability [36][38] - The ministry plans to enhance oversight of the automotive sector to maintain a healthy competitive environment and protect consumer interests [36][40] Group 5: Employment Services Enhancement - The government is focusing on improving employment services for graduates, with a projected increase in the number of graduates in 2025 [41] - Initiatives include personalized employment guidance and the use of AI technology to assist students in job preparation [45] - The aim is to create a comprehensive employment service system that connects talent with job opportunities effectively [46]