爱建证券指出，动力电池和储能电池需求旺盛，储能电芯和系统均价上涨。价格方面，碳酸锂、磷酸铁 锂等材料价格呈上涨态势；方型磷酸铁锂储能电芯均价大幅上涨，三元动力电芯价格亦提升并维持稳 定；液冷集装箱储能系统均价保持稳定或小幅上涨。需求方面，2025年12月磷酸铁锂电池月度装车量创 年内新高，同比增长30.82%；三元动力电池装车量同比增长27.27%。国内新型储能招标容量在2025年 11月创月度新高。海外方面，2025年12月中国动力电池出口量同比增长47.29%，全球新能源车销量保 持增长。排产方面，2025年12月国内电池产量同比增长约62%，磷酸铁锂正极材料产量同比增长 32.48%。 机械ETF国泰（516960）跟踪的是细分机械指数（000812），该指数聚焦于机械设备行业，成分股涵盖 专用设备、通用机械等领域的优质企业。该指数侧重反映中国制造业升级转型过程中，具有高成长性和 创新能力的机械制造公司表现，以反映相关行业上市公司证券的整体发展趋势。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

Core Viewpoint - The lithium battery industry is experiencing significant growth in production and demand, with notable increases in both battery and phosphoric iron lithium cathode material output in November 2025 compared to the same period in 2024 [1][2]. Production - In November 2025, domestic battery production reached 176.3 GWh, marking a year-on-year increase of 49.66% and a month-on-month increase of 3.34% [1][2]. - The production of phosphoric iron lithium cathode materials in December 2025 was 26.93 million tons, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 32.48% and a month-on-month growth of 0.16%, with a capacity utilization rate of 59.85% [1][2]. Pricing - As of January 9, 2026, the price of industrial-grade lithium carbonate rose to 138,000 yuan per ton, with a weekly increase of 17.92% [3]. - The price of phosphoric iron lithium (for power) was reported at 47,100 yuan per ton on January 9, 2026, up 4.43% from January 4 [3]. - The price of lithium hexafluorophosphate slightly decreased to 160,700 yuan per ton on January 10, 2026, down 10.72% from January 3 [3]. Demand - In November 2025, the monthly shipment volume of phosphoric iron lithium batteries reached 75.3 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 43.62% and a month-on-month increase of 11.56%, setting a new high for the year [4]. - The monthly shipment volume of ternary power batteries was 18.2 GWh, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 33.82% and a month-on-month increase of 10.30% [4]. - The new bidding capacity for domestic new energy storage projects in January to October 2025 was higher than in the same period of 2024, with a total new bidding scale of 21.8 GW/64 GWh in November, marking a month-on-month increase of 65% [4]. - In November 2025, China's battery exports were 21.2 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 69.60% and a month-on-month increase of 9.28% [4]. - Global sales of new energy vehicles reached 2 million units in November 2025, a year-on-year increase of 8.53% and a month-on-month increase of 4.63% [4]. Investment Recommendations - The domestic production of batteries and phosphoric iron lithium cathode materials in January to November 2025 exceeded that of 2024, with stable raw material and cell prices, and an increase in monthly battery shipments and new energy storage bidding capacity [5]. - The rising demand for lithium batteries suggests a focus on companies involved in lithium battery materials [5]. - Recommended companies include CATL (300750), Yiwei Lithium Energy (300014), Xinwanda (300207), Hunan Youneng (301358), Rongbai Technology (688005), Tianci Materials (002709), and Duofluoride (002407) [5].

Group 1 - The chemical sector experienced fluctuations on December 31, with the chemical ETF (516020) closing down 0.23% [1][10] - Key stocks in the petrochemical, lithium battery, and modified plastics sectors saw significant declines, with Dongfang Shenghong down 4.22% and several others dropping over 2% [1][10] - The chemical ETF (516020) has shown a remarkable annual increase of 41.09%, outperforming major indices like the Shanghai Composite Index (18.41%) and the CSI 300 Index (17.66%) [3][12] Group 2 - The chemical sector has been a popular investment tool, with the chemical ETF (516020) attracting significant net inflows, totaling 246 million yuan over the last five trading days [4][13] - The lithium battery supply chain has seen a rise in both volume and price, with industrial-grade lithium carbonate reaching 116,000 yuan per ton and lithium iron phosphate prices increasing by over 15% [6][14] - Looking ahead to 2026, the chemical sector is expected to benefit from macroeconomic recovery and supply-side policy advancements, leading to improved profitability [15] Group 3 - The chemical ETF (516020) tracks the CSI segmented chemical industry index, with nearly 50% of its holdings in large-cap leading stocks, providing investors with opportunities in various chemical sub-sectors [7][15] - Investors can also consider the chemical ETF linked funds (Class A 012537/Class C 012538) for exposure to the chemical sector [15]