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1 万台,无人城配规模之战打响了
3 6 Ke· 2025-07-29 12:50
编者按:无人驾驶的故事可以更简单吗?出于这样的好奇,一批人不再单纯执着于 Robotaxi,而是以中国星罗遍布的物流网点为据点,让城配无人车站上 无人驾驶的战场。 相比 Robotaxi,它是目前最先拿到规模的无人车。相比人形机器人,它是目前使用范围最广、商业化最高的移动机器人。 从花 4 万元才能买到一个无人车刹车硬件,再到组建出全球最完整的底盘、算法、制造、运营产业链,中国玩家们已悉数上场。 作为全球首家市值突破 4 万亿美元、登顶全球市值巅峰的企业掌舵者,英伟达 CEO 黄仁勋不止一次向人们强调:下一波浪潮将是「物理 AI」。 而在更早之前的一次公开演讲中,黄仁勋表示,世界上只有两种机器人系统可以大规模部署,一是自动驾驶汽车,另一种就是人形机器人。 当前,人形机器人仍然处于技术验证期,但自动驾驶汽车,正在另一种形态——无人城配车,开始渗入人们的日常生活,频繁出现在街头巷尾,运送快 递、生鲜、医药,成为 「物理 AI」的一种典型落地载体 。 无人城配,正在成为目前自动驾驶技术的众多应用中,起量最快、商业化路径最明确、发展态势最猛的领域。 国家邮政局数据显示,截止 2024 年,无人配送车已应用 超 600 ...
激光雷达:AEBS新规催化标配预期,割草机+无人城配快速放量
2025-06-12 15:07
Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Industry and Company Involved - The conference call focuses on the **LiDAR (Light Detection and Ranging)** technology industry, particularly its applications in the automotive sector and emerging markets like smart lawn mowers and unmanned urban delivery vehicles. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Impact of AEBS Regulations**: The release of the AEBS (Advanced Emergency Braking System) regulation draft is expected to catalyze the adoption of LiDAR in L2 and below vehicles, enhancing basic safety and perception functions [3][12][10]. 2. **Market Growth in Smart Lawn Mowers**: The demand for LiDAR in smart lawn mowers and unmanned urban delivery is rapidly increasing, with expected shipment volumes to expand significantly by 2025, potentially reaching a market size of **5 to 6 billion** [5][17]. 3. **High Potential in LiDAR Market**: The global automotive-grade LiDAR market is projected to cultivate companies with a market value of **hundreds of billions** of RMB, although current valuations of leading companies like Hesai and RoboSense do not fully reflect their growth potential [6][9]. 4. **Concentration of Supply and Demand**: The supply side is highly concentrated with strong certainty, while the pricing and valuation have not yet fully captured the accelerating demand, indicating a high potential for returns [8][7]. 5. **Trends in LiDAR Technology**: LiDAR technology is trending towards downscaling, diffusion, and high-end applications, with prices rapidly decreasing, making it more accessible for various vehicle types [4][14][16]. 6. **Unmanned Delivery Vehicles**: The use of LiDAR in unmanned delivery vehicles (RoboVan) is justified by significant cost savings in last-mile delivery, with potential reductions in delivery costs by **67%** [19][20]. 7. **Growth of Unmanned Freight Vehicles**: The unmanned freight vehicle market is expanding quickly, with major companies planning substantial deliveries in 2025, indicating a market potential of **200 to 400 billion** [21][23]. 8. **Technological Advancements**: The latest models of unmanned freight vehicles are equipped with multiple LiDAR units, with costs decreasing significantly, enhancing their commercial viability [22][23]. 9. **Future Market Dynamics**: The future of the unmanned delivery vehicle market is promising, with a focus on cost control and the need for stricter automotive-grade requirements as speeds increase [24][25]. Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content 1. **LiDAR's Role in Technology**: LiDAR is crucial for simulating human interaction with the environment, serving as a key technology in various sectors including smart driving and safety monitoring [2]. 2. **Market Penetration of LiDAR in Smart Lawn Mowers**: The penetration rate of LiDAR in smart lawn mowers is expected to rise significantly, with a notable increase from **10% to 30%** in just one year [18]. 3. **Regulatory Changes**: The shift of AEBS from a recommended to a mandatory standard will require M1 and N1 class vehicles to install AEBS systems, directly impacting the adoption of LiDAR technology [12]. 4. **Long-term Investment Opportunities**: Companies like Hesai and RoboSense are positioned for long-term growth, with the potential for significant returns in the high-risk, high-reward segments of the market [26].