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大摩再次调研人形机器人产业链:核心零部件及专业机器人企业将率先受益
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-19 15:57
Core Insights - Morgan Stanley's recent research indicates that humanoid robots have transitioned from the R&D phase to the delivery validation phase, with a significant scaling milestone expected in 2026, although work efficiency and technological convergence remain key challenges [3][4]. Industry Trends - The delivery of humanoid robots is set to increase significantly, with major companies establishing expansion targets for 2026. For instance, UBTECH anticipates delivering 500 humanoid robots in 2025, generating approximately 400 million yuan in revenue, with a further increase to 2000-3000 units in 2026 [3][4]. - The total number of humanoid robots with practical work capabilities is projected to exceed 10,000 units by 2026, with component manufacturers also expected to benefit significantly [3][4]. Application Feedback - Despite a notable increase in success rates for humanoid robots (e.g., UBTECH achieving a 99% success rate in box handling tasks), their efficiency remains at only 30%-60% of human capabilities. The development cycle for new task models is lengthy, making application scenario validation a critical factor for industry growth in 2026 [4][5]. Technological Exploration - Companies in the humanoid robot industry are actively testing new technological pathways, but no unified standards have emerged. Key areas of focus include innovations in hardware (e.g., harmonic reducer materials, drive solutions) and software (e.g., large model applications limited by edge computing capabilities) [5][6]. Key Company Dynamics - **UBTECH (9880.HK)**: Plans to release the Walker S3 version in the first half of 2026, featuring the NVIDIA Thor chip. The company aims to improve task completion times and efficiency, with a projected 4-6 times increase in delivery volume by 2026 [6][7]. - **Zhaowei Electromechanical (003021.SZ)**: A leader in the dexterous hand sector, with a product matrix that includes modular and customized solutions. The company expects significant revenue growth in its dexterous hand business from 20-30 million yuan in 2025 to 100 million yuan in 2026 [7][8]. - **Fortior (1304.HK)**: Focuses on innovative motor and sensor technologies, including coreless motors and rotary transformers. The company aims to enhance market share in the robotics sector while maintaining stable profit margins [8][9]. - **Youibot**: As a leader in industrial mobile robots, it targets revenue of 550-600 million yuan in 2026, with growth driven by increased market penetration and expansion into new fields [9].
2025 机器人大会干货出炉,高盛最新解读,点名这些股票
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-19 11:39
Core Insights - Goldman Sachs observed significant advancements in robot autonomy and generalization capabilities during the World Humanoid Robot Games (WHRG) held in Beijing, indicating potential positive impacts on related stock performances [1][2]. Group 1: Robot Performance and Capabilities - The Tian Gong Ultra robot demonstrated improved autonomous control in running events, reducing run times by 20% compared to remote-controlled performances [2]. - The competition highlighted the need for complex multi-robot collaboration and team intelligence, particularly in soccer events [5]. - Top-performing robots showcased the ability to autonomously complete tasks with high precision, outperforming remote-controlled robots by 50% in scoring [6]. Group 2: Industry Trends and Applications - The WHRG featured over 500 humanoid robots from 280 teams across 16 countries, emphasizing the global interest in humanoid robotics [3]. - The event served as a test for hardware robustness and durability, with specific focus on motor control and battery management [4]. - Scene-based activities underscored the industry's interest in practical applications of humanoid technology, with a trend towards designing products that are commercially viable in the near term [6]. Group 3: Company Insights - Lingyi Tech's robots demonstrated high accuracy and efficiency in material handling tasks, completing operations in 1 minute and 13 seconds with a 95% accuracy rate [7]. - Goldman Sachs holds a positive outlook on companies focusing on autonomous operations, indicating potential growth in the humanoid robotics sector [12]. - Companies like Sanhua Intelligent Controls are expected to see significant revenue growth in humanoid robotics actuators, with projected CAGR of 19% for revenue and net profit from 2025 to 2030 [13].