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国元国际:维持远大医药“买入”评级 目标价格为11.88港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-15 09:26
Core Viewpoint - Company Yuanda Pharmaceutical (00512) is experiencing continuous revenue growth driven by the gradual launch of innovative products and efficient management, with a target price of HKD 11.88, representing a 45.23% upside potential based on an 18x PE for 2026 [1] Revenue Growth - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved total revenue of HKD 6.11 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 2.0% in RMB terms; normalized profit was HKD 1.02 billion, down 5.0% in RMB terms [2] - The pharmaceutical technology segment contributed the most, generating revenue of HKD 3.845 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 2.9% in RMB terms [2] - Revenue from nuclear medicine for tumor diagnosis and treatment reached HKD 420 million, showing a significant year-on-year growth of 105.5%, primarily driven by the approval of SIR-Spheres Yttrium-90 microspheres for treating unresectable HCC [2] Innovative Drug Pipeline - The company has five major technology platforms and eight R&D centers, with R&D and project investment of HKD 1.02 billion in the first half of 2025 [3] - The focus is on innovative nuclear medicine, with a leading global pipeline that includes radiolabeled drug conjugates (RDC) and interventional oncology products, with 27 innovative drug candidates currently in development [3] - The innovative drug STC3141 for treating sepsis has reached clinical endpoints in Phase II trials in China, showing significant improvement in SOFA scores compared to the placebo group [3] Profit Forecast - Future revenue growth is expected, with projected revenues of HKD 12.35 billion, HKD 13.39 billion, and HKD 14.79 billion for 2024 to 2026, respectively; EPS is forecasted to be HKD 0.59, HKD 0.66, and HKD 0.77 [4]
国元国际:维持远大医药(00512)“买入”评级 目标价格为11.88港元
智通财经网· 2025-12-15 09:25
Core Viewpoint - Yuan Da Pharmaceutical (00512) is experiencing continuous revenue growth driven by the gradual launch of innovative products and efficient management, with a target price of HKD 11.88, indicating a potential upside of 45.23% from the current price, maintaining a buy rating [1] Group 1: Revenue Growth - The company achieved total revenue of HKD 6.11 billion in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 2.0% in RMB terms; normalized profit was HKD 1.02 billion, down 5.0% year-on-year in RMB terms [2] - The pharmaceutical technology segment contributed the most to revenue, generating HKD 3.845 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 2.9% in RMB terms [2] - Revenue from nuclear medicine for tumor diagnosis and treatment reached HKD 420 million, showing a significant year-on-year growth of 105.5%, primarily driven by the approval of SIR-Spheres Yttrium-90 microspheres for unresectable HCC [2] Group 2: Innovative Drug Pipeline - The company has five major technology platforms and eight R&D centers, with R&D and project investment of HKD 1.02 billion in the first half of 2025 [3] - The focus is on innovative nuclear medicine, with a leading global pipeline that includes radiolabeled drug conjugates (RDC) and interventional oncology products, with 27 innovative drug candidates currently in development [3] - The innovative drug STC3141 for treating sepsis has reached clinical endpoints in Phase II trials in China, showing significant improvement in SOFA scores compared to the placebo group [3] Group 3: Profit Forecast - Future revenue growth is expected, with projected revenues of HKD 12.35 billion, HKD 13.39 billion, and HKD 14.79 billion for 2024 to 2026, respectively; EPS is forecasted to be HKD 0.59, HKD 0.66, and HKD 0.77 for the same period [4]
远大医药(00512.HK):核药增速快 脓毒症STC3141有望成为全球大药
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-27 02:24
Core Viewpoint - The company is experiencing stable growth in traditional business while new sectors are contributing significantly to high growth, particularly in nuclear medicine, cardiovascular precision intervention, pharmaceutical technology, and biotechnology [1] Group 1: Nuclear Medicine Development - The demand for nuclear medicine is increasing due to aging populations and rising cancer incidence, leading to market expansion for diagnostic and therapeutic applications [1] - The core commercial product, Yttrium-90 microspheres, is expected to grow over 140% in 2024, supported by training of over 1,100 doctors across more than 70 hospitals and inclusion in 45 health insurance plans [1] - The company has 12 innovative RDC products in its pipeline, with 4 approved for clinical research and 3 in Phase III trials, including TLX591-CDx for prostate cancer and TLX250-CDx for renal cell carcinoma [1] Group 2: New Product Opportunities - The company has a diverse range of existing products, but the inclusion of Lishuan in the 10th batch of national procurement is expected to exert short-term pressure on performance [2] - New products in sepsis (STC3141) and ophthalmology are anticipated to have significant market potential, with STC3141 projected to reach peak sales of 10 billion yuan based on a 20% market share and a unit price of 8,000 yuan [3] - The company is also advancing in the ENT field with multiple products in development, including a nasal spray expected to be approved by the end of 2024 [3] Group 3: Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 12.203 billion, 13.292 billion, and 14.663 billion HKD, with net profits of 2.076 billion, 2.422 billion, and 2.764 billion HKD respectively, indicating a low valuation compared to peers [4] - The current price-to-earnings (PE) ratios are projected at 15, 13, and 11 times for the respective years, compared to an average of 25, 23, and 20 times for comparable companies, suggesting the company is undervalued [4]