行 业 及 产 业 2025 年 12 月 18 日 整车投资策略更新；福达股份更新 看好 ——一周一刻钟，大事快评（W136） 本期投资提示： 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 相关研究 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 博时基金 博时基金管理有限公司(researchreport@bosera.com) 使用。1 行 《科技赋能下的换道再提速——2026 年 汽车行业投资策略》 2025/11/18 证券分析师 戴文杰 A0230522100006 daiwj@swsresearch.com 联系人 朱傅哲 A0230524080008 zhufz@swsresearch.com 业 证 券 研 究 报 告 汽车 ⚫ 整车投资策略更新：考虑到近期市场出现两大关键变化，我们更新了 2026 年整车投资 策略。一是 2025 年第四季度的补贴未如期兑现且明年"两新补贴"政策细节有调整； 二是国家市监总局就《汽车行业价格行为合规指南（征求意见稿）》公开征求意见，有 望对无序价格战形成预防性震慑，中低端、毛利微薄的车企可能面临更大生存压力。基 于此，我们调整后的投资策略核心是聚焦中 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company reported a strong performance in Q3 2025, with revenue of approximately 1.413 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 221 million yuan, up 83.3% year-on-year, indicating that the performance meets expectations [4][6] - The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with a forecasted net profit of 331 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 78.9% [5][6] - The company is expanding its robot business, which is seen as a strategic new business area, with ongoing collaborations and product developments aimed at enhancing its market position in robotics [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - For Q1-Q3 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 1.413 billion yuan, with a projected total revenue of 2.545 billion yuan for the full year 2025, representing a growth rate of 54.5% [5] - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was reported at 26.6%, with a net profit margin of 15.8% [6] - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected to be 0.51 yuan, with further increases expected in subsequent years [5][6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in its half-year performance, with a revenue of 937 million yuan for H1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 30.3%, and a net profit of 146 million yuan, up 98.8% year-on-year [4][5] - The growth in revenue is primarily driven by the strong demand for hybrid crankshafts in the passenger vehicle sector, despite a slight decline in quarter-on-quarter performance due to inventory adjustments by major clients [6] - The company is expanding its production capacity in the robotics sector, with new projects expected to contribute positively in the second half of the year [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The company forecasts total revenue of 2,545 million yuan for 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 54.5% [5] - The projected net profit for 2025 is 331 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 78.9% [5] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 0.51 yuan for 2025, with a projected price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 34x [5] Business Development - The company has successfully achieved full production capacity for its high-precision screw production line, which is expected to enhance product quality and reduce costs [6] - The robotics business is being positioned as a strategic growth area, with ongoing efforts to develop and deliver planetary gear reducers and linear actuators [6] - The company aims to strengthen its market position in hybrid crankshafts while diversifying its client base to mitigate revenue volatility from individual customers [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in Q1 2025 performance, with revenue reaching 471 million yuan, a year-on-year growth of 47.0% and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 65 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 106.1% [5][7] - The company is focusing on its core business and expanding into new areas, particularly in the robotics sector, which is seen as a strategic new business [7] - The company plans to divest its 50% stake in a joint venture, which is expected to optimize resource allocation and enhance liquidity [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a gross margin of 27.1%, up 3.0 percentage points year-on-year, and a net profit margin of 13.8%, up 4.0 percentage points year-on-year [7] - The revenue forecast for 2025 is set at 2,545 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 54.5%, and the net profit forecast is 311 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 67.9% [6][9] - The report projects continued growth in net profit for 2026 and 2027, with estimates of 413 million yuan and 513 million yuan respectively [6][9]