目 游戏 公司品 我研究报 2026 年 01 月 05 日 市场数据· 收盘价(元) -年内最高/最低（元） 市净率 股息率% (分红/股价) 流通 A 股市值 (百万元) 注："股息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | 基础数据: | 2025 年 09 月 30 日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产 (元) | 3.96 | | 资产负债率% | 45.07 | | 总股本/流通 A 股 (百万) | 646/639 | | 流通 B 股/H 股 (百万) | -/- | -年内股价与大盘对比走势： 相关研究 《福达股份 (603166) 点评: 25Q3 高增 符合预期，继续看好业绩确定性+机器人 进展》 2025/10/23 《福达股份 (603166) 点评：中报高增符 合预期,继续看好全年业绩+机器人进 展》 2025/08/13 证券分析师 戴文杰 A0230522100006 daiwj@swsresearch.com 联系人 朱傅哲 A0230524080008 zhufz@swsresearch.com 投资要点：公司控股股东福达集团将面向专业投资者非公开发行总额不超过 4.7 ...

上 市 公 司 公 司 研 究 / 公 司 点 评 证 券 研 究 报 告 市场数据： 2026 年 01 月 05 日 收盘价（元） 15.70 一年内最高/最低（元） 21.69/6.57 市净率 4.0 股息率%（分红/股价） 0.64 流通 A 股市值（百万元） 10,032 注："股息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | 基础数据: | 2025 年 09 月 30 日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产（元） | 3.96 | | 资产负债率% | 45.07 | | 总股本/流通 A 股（百万） | 646/639 | | 流通 B 股/H 股（百万） | -/- | 一年内股价与大盘对比走势： -50% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 01-06 02-06 03-06 04-06 05-06 06-06 07-06 08-06 09-06 10-06 11-06 12-06 福达股份 沪深300指数 (收益率) 相关研究 《福达股份（603166）点评：25Q3 高增 符合预期，继续看好业绩确定性+机器人 进展》 2025/10/23 《福达股份（603166）点评：中报 ...

行 业 及 产 业 2025 年 12 月 18 日 整车投资策略更新；福达股份更新 看好 ——一周一刻钟，大事快评（W136） 本期投资提示： 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 相关研究 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 博时基金 博时基金管理有限公司(researchreport@bosera.com) 使用。1 行 《科技赋能下的换道再提速——2026 年 汽车行业投资策略》 2025/11/18 证券分析师 戴文杰 A0230522100006 daiwj@swsresearch.com 联系人 朱傅哲 A0230524080008 zhufz@swsresearch.com 业 证 券 研 究 报 告 汽车 ⚫ 整车投资策略更新：考虑到近期市场出现两大关键变化，我们更新了 2026 年整车投资 策略。一是 2025 年第四季度的补贴未如期兑现且明年"两新补贴"政策细节有调整； 二是国家市监总局就《汽车行业价格行为合规指南（征求意见稿）》公开征求意见，有 望对无序价格战形成预防性震慑，中低端、毛利微薄的车企可能面临更大生存压力。基 于此，我们调整后的投资策略核心是聚焦中 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company reported a strong performance in Q3 2025, with revenue of approximately 1.413 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 221 million yuan, up 83.3% year-on-year, indicating that the performance meets expectations [4][6] - The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with a forecasted net profit of 331 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 78.9% [5][6] - The company is expanding its robot business, which is seen as a strategic new business area, with ongoing collaborations and product developments aimed at enhancing its market position in robotics [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - For Q1-Q3 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 1.413 billion yuan, with a projected total revenue of 2.545 billion yuan for the full year 2025, representing a growth rate of 54.5% [5] - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was reported at 26.6%, with a net profit margin of 15.8% [6] - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected to be 0.51 yuan, with further increases expected in subsequent years [5][6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 20.7 yuan [1][7]. Core Insights - The company's Q3 performance met expectations, with revenue of 1.41 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 27%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 221 million yuan, up 83% year-on-year [1]. - The transition towards robotics is ongoing, with significant developments in the company's product offerings and market positioning [1][7]. Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 476 million yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 22% and a year-on-year increase of 2% [7]. - The net profit for Q3 2025 was 75 million yuan, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 59% and a net profit margin of 15.8% [7]. - The gross margin was reported at 26.6%, with slight fluctuations influenced by demand from major clients [7]. Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are 1.648 billion, 2.069 billion, 2.553 billion, and 3.065 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 21.8%, 25.6%, 23.4%, and 20.0% [3][8]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to grow from 185 million yuan in 2024A to 469 million yuan in 2027E, with growth rates of 79.0%, 66.9%, 23.5%, and 22.7% [3][8]. Strategic Developments - The company is focusing on accelerating its robotics transformation, having completed initial product deliveries and ongoing testing phases for new products [7]. - The company has made strategic investments in Longban Technology, enhancing its capabilities in robotics and related technologies [7].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a potential stock price increase of 5% to 15% over the next six months [3][5]. Core Insights - The company, Fuda Co., Ltd. (603166), is a leading manufacturer of automotive crankshafts and is expanding into humanoid robotics, which is expected to create a second growth curve [2][3]. - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 937 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 30.26%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 146 million yuan, up 98.77% year-on-year [1][2]. - The growth in revenue is primarily driven by an increase in high-value products such as new energy hybrid crankshafts and electric drive gears, leading to significant improvements in gross and net profit margins [1][2]. Financial Performance - For Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 466 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.83%, with a net profit of 81 million yuan, up 93.28% year-on-year [1]. - The gross margin for Q2 was 28.49%, an increase of 1.37 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 17.41%, up 6.89 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 301 million yuan, 415 million yuan, and 551 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 40, 29, and 22 times [3][4]. Business Strategy - The company has a unique integrated capability in both blank forging and crankshaft processing, providing a significant cost advantage and leading profitability compared to peers [2]. - Collaborations with institutions like Tsinghua University enhance the company's R&D capabilities, and it has established strong relationships with major automotive manufacturers [2]. - The company is also investing in the humanoid robotics sector, having developed a planetary reducer for robots and planning to establish a joint venture to expand its robotics components business [2].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in its half-year performance, with a revenue of 937 million yuan for H1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 30.3%, and a net profit of 146 million yuan, up 98.8% year-on-year [4][5] - The growth in revenue is primarily driven by the strong demand for hybrid crankshafts in the passenger vehicle sector, despite a slight decline in quarter-on-quarter performance due to inventory adjustments by major clients [6] - The company is expanding its production capacity in the robotics sector, with new projects expected to contribute positively in the second half of the year [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The company forecasts total revenue of 2,545 million yuan for 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 54.5% [5] - The projected net profit for 2025 is 331 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 78.9% [5] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 0.51 yuan for 2025, with a projected price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 34x [5] Business Development - The company has successfully achieved full production capacity for its high-precision screw production line, which is expected to enhance product quality and reduce costs [6] - The robotics business is being positioned as a strategic growth area, with ongoing efforts to develop and deliver planetary gear reducers and linear actuators [6] - The company aims to strengthen its market position in hybrid crankshafts while diversifying its client base to mitigate revenue volatility from individual customers [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 21.7 yuan, reflecting an expected performance exceeding the benchmark index by over 20% in the next six months [9][19]. Core Insights - The company reported a record high in Q2 2025, with revenue of 9.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 30%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.46 billion yuan, up 99% year-on-year [2][3]. - The company is undergoing a transformation towards robotics, with significant progress in product development and market expansion [8][9]. - The financial outlook for 2025-2027 has been adjusted, with net profit expectations revised to 3.12 billion, 3.94 billion, and 4.84 billion yuan, respectively, indicating growth rates of 68%, 26%, and 23% [8][9]. Financial Summary - The company’s total revenue is projected to grow from 1,648 million yuan in 2024 to 3,294 million yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 19.5% [4][10]. - The net profit is expected to increase from 185 million yuan in 2024 to 484 million yuan in 2027, with a CAGR of 22.9% [4][10]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.29 yuan in 2024 to 0.75 yuan in 2027 [4][10]. Market Performance - The company’s stock price has shown significant growth, outperforming the benchmark index over the past 12 months, with a notable increase of 291% [7][8]. - The company has maintained stable supply relationships with major clients, including BYD and Chery, contributing to its revenue stability [8][9]. Strategic Focus - The company is focusing on accelerating its robotics transformation, with successful product deliveries and ongoing development of high-precision components [8][9]. - The expansion of the crankshaft business into new markets, particularly in passenger vehicles, is expected to drive further growth [8][9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 145 to 155 million yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 97.1% to 110.7% [5] - The company has officially reached production capacity of 30,000 sets of screw rods, which is a significant milestone for its robotics business [7] - The company has adjusted its profit forecast for 2025 to 331 million yuan, up from a previous estimate of 311 million yuan, reflecting strong growth in its traditional business and potential in robotics [7] Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - Total revenue is projected to grow from 1,648 million yuan in 2024 to 2,545 million yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 54.5% [6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 185 million yuan in 2024 to 331 million yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 78.9% [6] - The company's earnings per share is forecasted to rise from 0.29 yuan in 2024 to 0.51 yuan in 2025 [6]

Core Viewpoint - The company, a leader in crankshafts, is leveraging opportunities in the new energy and robotics sectors to create new growth trajectories [1][5]. Group 1: Company Overview and Growth Strategy - Established in 1995 and listed in 2014, the company specializes in crankshafts, clutches, precision forgings, gears, and bolts, positioning itself as a domestic leader in crankshafts [1][12]. - In 2022, the company entered the new energy sector with electric drive gears and plans to develop robotic gear products by 2024, indicating a strategic shift towards new growth areas [1][5]. Group 2: Crankshaft Demand and Market Dynamics - The demand for crankshafts is expected to rise due to the increasing sales of hybrid vehicles, which still require crankshafts despite the rise of pure electric vehicles [2][48]. - The company has successfully transitioned its crankshaft business from commercial vehicles to passenger vehicles, with over 50% of its crankshaft supply for BYD in 2024 [2][58]. - A new production line with a capacity of 1 million hybrid crankshafts is expected to be operational by May 2025, further enhancing the company's market position [2][53]. Group 3: New Energy Gear Expansion - The company established a new energy electric drive technology subsidiary in May 2022, investing 408 million yuan to develop precision gear products, with production expected to start in July 2024 [3][18]. - The company has secured multiple projects with major clients like BYD and Geely, indicating strong demand for its new energy gear products [3][18]. Group 4: Robotics Business Development - In 2024, the company entered the robotics sector by acquiring a 35% stake in Changban (Yangzhou) Robot Technology, showcasing its commitment to diversifying its business [5][18]. - The company aims to leverage its existing customer base and technical expertise in precision gears to establish a foothold in the robotics market [5][18]. Group 5: Financial Performance and Projections - The company experienced a significant rebound in 2022, with revenues of 1.135 billion yuan, a 37.5% decline from the previous year, but is projected to achieve revenues of 1.648 billion yuan in 2024, a 21.89% increase [24][25]. - Forecasts suggest revenues of 2.434 billion yuan, 3.019 billion yuan, and 3.394 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding net profits of 301 million yuan, 385 million yuan, and 460 million yuan [6][25].