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福达股份(603166):25Q3高增符合预期,继续看好业绩确定性+机器人进展
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company reported a strong performance in Q3 2025, with revenue of approximately 1.413 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 221 million yuan, up 83.3% year-on-year, indicating that the performance meets expectations [4][6] - The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with a forecasted net profit of 331 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 78.9% [5][6] - The company is expanding its robot business, which is seen as a strategic new business area, with ongoing collaborations and product developments aimed at enhancing its market position in robotics [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - For Q1-Q3 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 1.413 billion yuan, with a projected total revenue of 2.545 billion yuan for the full year 2025, representing a growth rate of 54.5% [5] - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was reported at 26.6%, with a net profit margin of 15.8% [6] - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected to be 0.51 yuan, with further increases expected in subsequent years [5][6]
福达股份(603166):2025年三季报点评:3Q业绩符合预期,机器人转型持续推进
Huachuang Securities· 2025-10-23 12:43
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 20.7 yuan [1][7]. Core Insights - The company's Q3 performance met expectations, with revenue of 1.41 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 27%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 221 million yuan, up 83% year-on-year [1]. - The transition towards robotics is ongoing, with significant developments in the company's product offerings and market positioning [1][7]. Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 476 million yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 22% and a year-on-year increase of 2% [7]. - The net profit for Q3 2025 was 75 million yuan, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 59% and a net profit margin of 15.8% [7]. - The gross margin was reported at 26.6%, with slight fluctuations influenced by demand from major clients [7]. Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are 1.648 billion, 2.069 billion, 2.553 billion, and 3.065 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 21.8%, 25.6%, 23.4%, and 20.0% [3][8]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to grow from 185 million yuan in 2024A to 469 million yuan in 2027E, with growth rates of 79.0%, 66.9%, 23.5%, and 22.7% [3][8]. Strategic Developments - The company is focusing on accelerating its robotics transformation, having completed initial product deliveries and ongoing testing phases for new products [7]. - The company has made strategic investments in Longban Technology, enhancing its capabilities in robotics and related technologies [7].
福达股份(603166):汽车曲轴领军企业,人形机器人业务未来可期
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-09-01 11:36
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a potential stock price increase of 5% to 15% over the next six months [3][5]. Core Insights - The company, Fuda Co., Ltd. (603166), is a leading manufacturer of automotive crankshafts and is expanding into humanoid robotics, which is expected to create a second growth curve [2][3]. - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 937 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 30.26%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 146 million yuan, up 98.77% year-on-year [1][2]. - The growth in revenue is primarily driven by an increase in high-value products such as new energy hybrid crankshafts and electric drive gears, leading to significant improvements in gross and net profit margins [1][2]. Financial Performance - For Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 466 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.83%, with a net profit of 81 million yuan, up 93.28% year-on-year [1]. - The gross margin for Q2 was 28.49%, an increase of 1.37 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 17.41%, up 6.89 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 301 million yuan, 415 million yuan, and 551 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 40, 29, and 22 times [3][4]. Business Strategy - The company has a unique integrated capability in both blank forging and crankshaft processing, providing a significant cost advantage and leading profitability compared to peers [2]. - Collaborations with institutions like Tsinghua University enhance the company's R&D capabilities, and it has established strong relationships with major automotive manufacturers [2]. - The company is also investing in the humanoid robotics sector, having developed a planetary reducer for robots and planning to establish a joint venture to expand its robotics components business [2].
福达股份(603166):中报高增符合预期,继续看好全年业绩+机器人进展
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in its half-year performance, with a revenue of 937 million yuan for H1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 30.3%, and a net profit of 146 million yuan, up 98.8% year-on-year [4][5] - The growth in revenue is primarily driven by the strong demand for hybrid crankshafts in the passenger vehicle sector, despite a slight decline in quarter-on-quarter performance due to inventory adjustments by major clients [6] - The company is expanding its production capacity in the robotics sector, with new projects expected to contribute positively in the second half of the year [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The company forecasts total revenue of 2,545 million yuan for 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 54.5% [5] - The projected net profit for 2025 is 331 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 78.9% [5] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 0.51 yuan for 2025, with a projected price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 34x [5] Business Development - The company has successfully achieved full production capacity for its high-precision screw production line, which is expected to enhance product quality and reduce costs [6] - The robotics business is being positioned as a strategic growth area, with ongoing efforts to develop and deliver planetary gear reducers and linear actuators [6] - The company aims to strengthen its market position in hybrid crankshafts while diversifying its client base to mitigate revenue volatility from individual customers [6]
福达股份(603166):2Q业绩新高,机器人转型持续推进
Huachuang Securities· 2025-08-12 13:31
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 21.7 yuan, reflecting an expected performance exceeding the benchmark index by over 20% in the next six months [9][19]. Core Insights - The company reported a record high in Q2 2025, with revenue of 9.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 30%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.46 billion yuan, up 99% year-on-year [2][3]. - The company is undergoing a transformation towards robotics, with significant progress in product development and market expansion [8][9]. - The financial outlook for 2025-2027 has been adjusted, with net profit expectations revised to 3.12 billion, 3.94 billion, and 4.84 billion yuan, respectively, indicating growth rates of 68%, 26%, and 23% [8][9]. Financial Summary - The company’s total revenue is projected to grow from 1,648 million yuan in 2024 to 3,294 million yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 19.5% [4][10]. - The net profit is expected to increase from 185 million yuan in 2024 to 484 million yuan in 2027, with a CAGR of 22.9% [4][10]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.29 yuan in 2024 to 0.75 yuan in 2027 [4][10]. Market Performance - The company’s stock price has shown significant growth, outperforming the benchmark index over the past 12 months, with a notable increase of 291% [7][8]. - The company has maintained stable supply relationships with major clients, including BYD and Chery, contributing to its revenue stability [8][9]. Strategic Focus - The company is focusing on accelerating its robotics transformation, with successful product deliveries and ongoing development of high-precision components [8][9]. - The expansion of the crankshaft business into new markets, particularly in passenger vehicles, is expected to drive further growth [8][9].
福达股份(603166):中报业绩预告翻倍,继续看好全年业绩+机器人进展
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 145 to 155 million yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 97.1% to 110.7% [5] - The company has officially reached production capacity of 30,000 sets of screw rods, which is a significant milestone for its robotics business [7] - The company has adjusted its profit forecast for 2025 to 331 million yuan, up from a previous estimate of 311 million yuan, reflecting strong growth in its traditional business and potential in robotics [7] Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - Total revenue is projected to grow from 1,648 million yuan in 2024 to 2,545 million yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 54.5% [6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 185 million yuan in 2024 to 331 million yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 78.9% [6] - The company's earnings per share is forecasted to rise from 0.29 yuan in 2024 to 0.51 yuan in 2025 [6]
【重磅深度/福达股份】曲轴龙头,新能源+机器人打开全新增长曲线
Core Viewpoint - The company, a leader in crankshafts, is leveraging opportunities in the new energy and robotics sectors to create new growth trajectories [1][5]. Group 1: Company Overview and Growth Strategy - Established in 1995 and listed in 2014, the company specializes in crankshafts, clutches, precision forgings, gears, and bolts, positioning itself as a domestic leader in crankshafts [1][12]. - In 2022, the company entered the new energy sector with electric drive gears and plans to develop robotic gear products by 2024, indicating a strategic shift towards new growth areas [1][5]. Group 2: Crankshaft Demand and Market Dynamics - The demand for crankshafts is expected to rise due to the increasing sales of hybrid vehicles, which still require crankshafts despite the rise of pure electric vehicles [2][48]. - The company has successfully transitioned its crankshaft business from commercial vehicles to passenger vehicles, with over 50% of its crankshaft supply for BYD in 2024 [2][58]. - A new production line with a capacity of 1 million hybrid crankshafts is expected to be operational by May 2025, further enhancing the company's market position [2][53]. Group 3: New Energy Gear Expansion - The company established a new energy electric drive technology subsidiary in May 2022, investing 408 million yuan to develop precision gear products, with production expected to start in July 2024 [3][18]. - The company has secured multiple projects with major clients like BYD and Geely, indicating strong demand for its new energy gear products [3][18]. Group 4: Robotics Business Development - In 2024, the company entered the robotics sector by acquiring a 35% stake in Changban (Yangzhou) Robot Technology, showcasing its commitment to diversifying its business [5][18]. - The company aims to leverage its existing customer base and technical expertise in precision gears to establish a foothold in the robotics market [5][18]. Group 5: Financial Performance and Projections - The company experienced a significant rebound in 2022, with revenues of 1.135 billion yuan, a 37.5% decline from the previous year, but is projected to achieve revenues of 1.648 billion yuan in 2024, a 21.89% increase [24][25]. - Forecasts suggest revenues of 2.434 billion yuan, 3.019 billion yuan, and 3.394 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding net profits of 301 million yuan, 385 million yuan, and 460 million yuan [6][25].
东吴证券:首次覆盖福达股份给予买入评级
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-05-07 13:59
Investment Highlights - Fuda Co., Ltd. is a leading manufacturer of crankshafts in China, established in 1995 and listed in 2014, with product offerings including crankshafts, clutches, precision forgings, gears, and bolts [1] - The company is entering new growth avenues through its focus on the new energy sector and robotics, with expectations for significant revenue contributions from these areas in the future [1] Crankshaft Demand Growth - The demand for crankshafts is expected to rise due to the increasing sales of hybrid vehicles, which still require crankshafts despite the rise of pure electric vehicles [2] - By 2024, the penetration rate of hybrid vehicles in the new energy vehicle market is projected to reach 40%, revitalizing the passenger car crankshaft market [2] - Fuda has successfully transitioned its crankshaft business from commercial vehicles to passenger vehicles, with over 50% of its crankshaft supply for BYD in 2024 [2] - A new production line with a capacity of 1 million hybrid crankshafts is expected to be operational by May 2025, indicating further potential for revenue growth [2] Expansion in New Energy Gears - Fuda has invested 408 million yuan to establish a subsidiary focused on new energy electric drive precision gears, with production expected to start in July 2024 [3] - The company anticipates significant revenue growth from this segment between 2025 and 2026, with a full production capacity of 600,000 sets [3] - Fuda has secured multiple projects with major clients such as BYD and Geely, indicating strong market demand for its new energy gear products [3] Robotics Sector Development - Fuda is expanding into the robotics sector, having acquired a 35% stake in Changban Robot Technology in March 2024 and successfully developing a planetary reducer prototype by November 2024 [4] - The company aims to leverage synergies between its existing automotive clients and new robotics customers, enhancing its competitive position in the robotics market [4] - Fuda's technical expertise in precision gears and its existing manufacturing capabilities are expected to facilitate cost reductions and operational efficiencies in the robotics sector [4] Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for Fuda are projected at 2.434 billion yuan in 2025, 3.019 billion yuan in 2026, and 3.394 billion yuan in 2027, with net profits expected to reach 301 million yuan, 385 million yuan, and 460 million yuan respectively [4] - The company is expected to achieve earnings per share (EPS) of 0.47 yuan, 0.60 yuan, and 0.71 yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 38, 30, and 25 times [4]
福达股份(603166):Q1业绩同比翻倍,继续看好主业高增&新业务拓展
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in Q1 2025 performance, with revenue reaching 471 million yuan, a year-on-year growth of 47.0% and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 65 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 106.1% [5][7] - The company is focusing on its core business and expanding into new areas, particularly in the robotics sector, which is seen as a strategic new business [7] - The company plans to divest its 50% stake in a joint venture, which is expected to optimize resource allocation and enhance liquidity [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a gross margin of 27.1%, up 3.0 percentage points year-on-year, and a net profit margin of 13.8%, up 4.0 percentage points year-on-year [7] - The revenue forecast for 2025 is set at 2,545 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 54.5%, and the net profit forecast is 311 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 67.9% [6][9] - The report projects continued growth in net profit for 2026 and 2027, with estimates of 413 million yuan and 513 million yuan respectively [6][9]
福达股份:曲轴乘混动车型东风,人形机器人业务蓄势待发-20250505
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-05-05 06:23
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 17.64 CNY, based on a 38X PE for 2025 [4][56]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a leading domestic automotive crankshaft manufacturer, actively expanding into the new energy and humanoid robot sectors [1][12]. - The shift towards hybrid vehicles is reshaping the crankshaft market, providing significant growth opportunities for third-party crankshaft manufacturers like the company [2][31]. - The company is developing its humanoid robot components business through self-research and investments, including a partnership with Changban Technology [3][44]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, established in 1995 and listed in 2014, specializes in the R&D, production, and sales of crankshafts, precision forgings, new energy electric drive gears, clutches, spiral bevel gears, and high-strength bolts [12][15]. - It has expanded into the new energy gear business in 2022 and plans to enter the robot sector in 2024 [12][18]. Automotive Parts Business - The hybrid vehicle market is expected to drive significant growth in the crankshaft business, with the company aiming to capture a leading market share [2][32]. - The company has established strong relationships with major clients like BYD and Chery, securing over 50% of the crankshaft supply for BYD's hybrid models [32][34]. Robot Business Development - The company is actively developing its robot reducer business, having formed a dedicated technical team and achieved initial results in product development [3][44]. - An investment in Changban Technology aims to enhance its capabilities in producing robot components, leveraging both companies' strengths [3][47]. Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to grow significantly, with estimates of 25.4 billion CNY in 2025, 31.7 billion CNY in 2026, and 38.7 billion CNY in 2027, reflecting year-over-year growth rates of 54%, 25%, and 22% respectively [4][52]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 3.0 billion CNY in 2025, with a growth rate of 62% [4][52].