公司发布6 月产销快报，6 月汽车销量为11.1 万辆，同比+12.9%，环比+8.3%；2025 年Q2 汽车销量为 31.3 万辆，同比+10.1%，环比+21.9%；2025 年H1 汽车销量为57.0 万辆，同比+1.8%。 新能源销售保持高增长，2025Q2 海外销售回升明显6 月公司新能源汽车销量为3.6 万辆，同比+39.4%， 环比+11.5%；1-6 月累计销量为16.0 万辆，同比+21.2%。2025 年H1 新能源汽车销量占比为28.2%，同 比+4.5pct，电动化进一步向上。出海方面，6 月海外销量为4.0 万辆，同比+5.2%，环比+16.0%，1-6 月 海外累计销量为19.8 万辆，同比-1.9%。2025 年Q2 公司海外销量为10.7万辆，同比-1.8%，环比 +17.5%，环比回升明显。我们预计公司巴西工厂将于2025年H2 投产，投产后初期将生产3 款车型，产 能5 万辆，后续产能将逐步提高至10万辆，通过海外建厂实现销售，一方面提升公司销量，另一方面也 降低了公司受到关税等不利因素的影响。 投资建议 我们预计公司2025-2027 年营收分别为2427/2812/3 ...

证券研究报告：国防军工|行业周报 行业投资评级 强于大市|维持 | 行业基本情况 | | | --- | --- | | 收盘点位 | 1493.76 | | 52 周最高 | 1712.48 | | 52 周最低 | 1113.62 | 行业相对指数表现 -9% -4% 1% 6% 11% 16% 21% 26% 31% 36% 41% 2024-06 2024-09 2024-11 2025-01 2025-04 2025-06 国防军工 沪深300 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 研究所 分析师:鲍学博 SAC 登记编号:S1340523020002 Email:baoxuebo@cnpsec.com 分析师:王煜童 SAC 登记编号:S1340523070004 Email:wangyutong@cnpsec.com 近期研究报告 《中邮军工周报 6 月第 2 周：以伊战争 持续，军贸行情有望扩散》 - 2025.06.17 国防军工行业报告 美国介入以伊冲突空袭伊朗核设施，歼 35A 首次海 外亮相巴黎航展 投资要点 当地时间 21 日，美国投掷了六枚钻地弹用于袭击伊朗福尔多 核设施，美国还向伊朗其 ...

中航成飞股份有限公司 投资者关系活动记录表 中航成飞股份有限公司 投资者关系活动记录表 公司已实施多维度措施推进贵飞扭亏：一是依托成飞支持 提升先进装备制造能力，优化其产品结构；二是提高管理效率， 减轻历史包袱；三是强化成本管控，推进三项制度改革，严控 人工及财务成本；四是深化与成飞产业链协同，巩固核心零部 件配套地位，持续增强贵飞核心竞争力及经营韧性。 公司持续推进贵飞改革，贵飞目前生产作业有序进行，正 严格按照客户要求进行科研生产。贵飞正按计划推进扭亏为盈 相关工作。 3.与其他主机厂相比，公司的核心竞争力体现在哪里？ 编号：2025-006 投资者关系活动 类别 □特定对象调研☑分析师会议 □媒体采访 □业绩说明会 □新闻发布会 □路演活动 □现场参观 □其他 参与单位名称 国金证券中期策略会： 国金证券，交银施罗德，富国基金，原点资产，华安基金，富 安达基金，见合资产，主格资本，华泰自营，太平资产，招银 理财，银河自营，中海基金，泉果基金，银河证券，上海甄投， 红筹投资，瓴仁投资，懿坤资产，国联安基金，诺德基金，渤 源资产，咏泽资产，景领投资，西部自营，泉果基金，湘禾投 资，世纪证券，明河投资，长信基 ...

Core Viewpoint - The automotive market is experiencing intense competition, with numerous new models launched in 2025, leading to a significant reduction in the acceptance period for new cars [1][21]. Group 1: Sales Performance of New Models - Among the 30 new models analyzed, 14 exceeded sales expectations, achieving over 10,000 units sold shortly after launch [2]. - The Tengshi N9, launched in March, achieved sales of 4,617 units in May, surpassing its initial sales target of 3,000 units [3][4]. - The Aito M8, launched in April, has seen remarkable sales, with over 20,000 units delivered within 45 days of its launch [6]. Group 2: Competitive Landscape - The market is characterized by fierce competition, with brands like Li Auto, Geely, and BYD vying for market share in the high-end segment [4][6]. - The LYNK 900 aims to enter the top three in its segment, with a sales target of over 5,000 units in its second month [4]. - The Nissan N7 has established a foothold in the competitive 10-15 million yuan market, selling 3,034 units in May [10]. Group 3: Strategic Goals and Future Outlook - The Chang'an Q07 aims for 600,000 units by 2026, with May sales exceeding 8,000 units [8]. - The Aito brand has set a sales target of 220,000 units for the Avita 06 by 2025, with strong initial sales performance [8]. - The automotive industry is undergoing rapid changes, with brands needing to adapt quickly to maintain competitiveness [21].

业 汽车 2025 年 06 月 23 日 及 产 业 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 戴文杰 A0230522100006 daiwj@swsresearch.com 樊夏沛 A0230523080004 fanxp@swsresearch.com 联系人 邵翼 (8621)23297818× shaoyi@swsresearch.com 机器人展会、长城汽车更新 看好 ——一周一刻钟，大事快评（W112） 本期投资提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 行 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 ⚫ 机器人展会：本次杭州机器人展虽整机厂商参与有限，但仿真训练与传感器方向亮点突 出。部分企业面向工业客户提供模型包与虚拟仿真环境，协助机器人训练，商业模式以 定制化数据收费为主，思路与巨一科技依托 Omniverse 平台构建数字孪生系统相似，若 形成闭环，有望提升行业价值密度。同时，玻璃微熔工艺扭矩传感器因其车规级路径、 成本优势与可量产性受到关注，售价预计仅数百元，具备替代传统六维传感器潜力。整 体看，车规成熟方案在机器人领域的技术迁移空间广阔，值 ...

消息面上，据央视新闻，"枭龙"战机最新型号曝光。作为一款先进的轻型战斗机，"枭龙"瞄准21世纪作 战环境，能够挂载先进的超视距空对空导弹，近距高机动格斗导弹以及多种精确制导空面武器。"枭 龙"作为一款高性价比战斗机，成功出口到多个国家，堪称世界战斗机市场上的一颗"新星"。 航空航天ETF天弘（159241）紧密跟踪国证航天指数，按申万一级行业分类，该指数以超99%的国防军 工行业权重形成显著特征，进一步申万二级行业分类，航空装备与航天装备两大核心板块则占据73%权 重，深度聚焦大飞机研制、低空经济、商业航天等新兴领域航空航天装备产业链关键领域。 6月10日，军工板块早盘震荡调整。相关ETF中，航空航天ETF天弘（159241）截至发稿跌1.35%，换手 率达4.53%，盘中交投活跃。 成分股中，航天晨光涨超2%，振芯科技涨超1%。 （本文机构观点来自持牌证券机构，不构成任何投资建议，亦不代表平台观点，请投资人独立判断和决 策。） 东北证券表示，国防军工板块具备长期成长确定性。在当下时点，军工行业扰动因素已基本消除，下游 需求呈恢复性增长，同时2027年建设目标迫在眉睫，中长期目标也对行业发展提供明确指引。伴随 ...

Core Insights - The trend of "oil and electricity at the same price" is leading to a rapid penetration of electric hybrid vehicles into the 100,000 yuan price range, making it one of the most competitive segments in the domestic automotive market by 2025 [1][2] - The introduction of models like the First Automobile Works (FAW) Bestune Yuyi 07 and Haval's second-generation Haval Xiaolong MAX at competitive prices is drawing significant attention from the industry [1][3] - The market for plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) is expanding, with over 15 new models launched in the 100,000 yuan segment since January 2025, indicating a shift in consumer preferences towards hybrid technology [1][9] Market Dynamics - The 100,000 yuan price segment is no longer a stronghold for traditional fuel vehicles but is becoming a battleground for electric hybrid models, reflecting the cost control capabilities of domestic brands [1][2] - J.D. Power's report indicates that the proportion of PHEV users has increased by 9 percentage points to 41.5% since 2025, showcasing growing acceptance of hybrid technology among consumers [2] - The demand for higher electric range, lower fuel consumption, and advanced technology features is becoming central to consumer preferences in the 100,000 yuan market [2][3] Competitive Landscape - Major brands are launching competitively priced hybrid models with advanced features that were previously reserved for mid-to-high-end vehicles, such as intelligent cockpit systems and driving assistance functions [3][4] - The introduction of models like the Bestune Yuyi 07, Haval Xiaolong MAX, and Hongqi HS3 PHEV demonstrates the competitive strategies of leading brands to capture market share [3][8] - The automotive industry is experiencing a transformation, with a focus on platform technology and cost reduction, leading to a reshaping of the 100,000 yuan PHEV market [4][5] Future Outlook - The PHEV market is expected to see significant growth, with predictions that the proportion of PHEVs in the new energy vehicle segment could reach 60% in the coming years [9] - FAW's strategy to focus on new energy vehicles and the restructuring of its product lineup indicates a commitment to capturing a larger share of the hybrid market [7][8] - The competitive landscape will require brands to have sharp market insights and the ability to address consumer pain points effectively [6][7]

Core Viewpoint - The expansion of the "old-for-new" vehicle replacement policy in Shanghai, which now includes vehicles registered outside the city, is driving significant consumer interest and sales in the automotive market, particularly for new energy vehicles. Policy Expansion - The new policy allows for a one-time subsidy of 15,000 yuan for consumers purchasing new energy vehicles priced over 100,000 yuan, and 13,000 yuan for fuel vehicles, provided they trade in their vehicles registered outside Shanghai [2][3] - The policy aims to activate potential replacement demand by broadening the subsidy eligibility from local to out-of-province vehicles [3] Market Response - Sales inquiries have surged at various dealerships, with significant increases in customer traffic noted, especially from owners of out-of-province vehicles looking to take advantage of the new policy [5][6] - The policy has led to a notable increase in sales of new energy vehicles, with manufacturers reporting substantial growth in sales figures [8][9] Consumer Behavior - Consumers are actively calculating the financial benefits of the new policy, with many finding the subsidies and trade-in values to be significant incentives for upgrading to new energy vehicles [5][6] - The overall vehicle population in Shanghai is projected to reach approximately 6.13 million by the end of 2024, with around 1.05 million being long-term out-of-province vehicles [6] Industry Impact - The "old-for-new" policy has stimulated the automotive market nationwide, with the Ministry of Commerce reporting that the automotive sector accounted for a significant portion of the 1.1 trillion yuan in sales driven by the policy [8] - Major automotive companies are responding to the increased demand by launching new models and enhancing their offerings, which has been reflected in strong pre-order numbers for new vehicles [9][10] Future Outlook - The government continues to support the automotive market through various initiatives, including tax reductions and additional subsidies, aimed at further encouraging vehicle replacement and enhancing consumer choice [9][10] - Companies in the automotive supply chain are also benefiting from the policy, with some focusing on expanding their vehicle recycling and dismantling operations to align with the new market dynamics [10][11]

新车： 6月2025款欧拉好猫、坦克500Hi4-Z智驾版；三季度坦克400、500、700等车型及哈弗大狗/二代大狗改 款 出口： 5月同比转正，预期Q3同比正增长；澳大利亚市场5月~5k，俄罗斯市场6月预期边际向好 渠道： 直营门店建设所带来的费用增幅预计下降，销量考核后续加强；推动欧拉和哈弗新能源并网 往期推荐 分车型： 二代枭龙MAX 5月8k销量，日均订单200+；高山预计6月销量5k+；蓝山日均订单150；猛龙燃油版 日均订单100+ 添加半仙微信，备注"进群"，邀请你加入锂电行业社群，获得行业最新动态、行业干货 报告和精准人脉。 比亚迪出海：发力东南亚 CATL ：储能 市场增长高于动力 本公众号基于分享的目的转载，转载文章的版权归原作者或原公众号所有，如有涉及侵权请及时告知，我们将予以核实并删除 主机厂电芯采购：兼顾性能和成本 加入社群 ...

第22届香格里拉对话会于5月30日至6月1日在新加坡举行。随着印巴在克什米尔地区停火，双方"交锋"转移到外交舞台上，而此次"香会"恰恰是停火后双 方都有派出代表团参与的重要平台。 "巴铁"参联会主席笑谈空战胜利：战果说明一切 5月31日是第22届香格里拉对话会的第二天，也是议程最为密集的一天。下午，直新闻特派记者在现场采访到了巴基斯坦军方高层，对方回答了三个问 题，而这三个问题的答案，句句都离不开中国。 巴基斯坦参谋长联席会议主席萨希尔·沙姆沙德·米尔扎是在繁忙的会议间隙接受了直新闻的独家采访，当得知记者来自中国时，他非常兴奋。 他说："我必须清晰表达，中巴友谊比山还高，比海还深，比钢还强，就是这样一种存在。正如我说的，我们的飞行员已经驾驶过JF-17'枭龙'战机、驾驶 过歼-10CE，我们使用了一系列装备，这是一种体系化的协同效应，我们在多领域作战里实现了全频谱优势，在冲突中巴军使用了人工智能、电子对抗、 网络战、战机、导弹，这是协同作战。这也是为什么我们能取得这样的战果，毫无疑问的是，JF-17'枭龙'、歼-10CE、霹雳-15E扮演了至关重要的角色。" 萨希尔·沙姆沙德·米尔扎还表示，巴基斯坦在此次印巴 ...