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开源证券:新车型有望带动欧洲电车市场放量 新能源车渗透率持续提升
智通财经网· 2025-09-24 09:25
Core Insights - The European electric vehicle (EV) market is experiencing significant growth, with sales in August 2025 reaching 176,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 41.2% and a penetration rate of 31.4%, up by 8.3 percentage points [1][2] - The European Parliament has approved amendments to carbon emission assessments, delaying the tightening of emission targets originally planned for 2025, but the overall trend towards stricter regulations remains unchanged [1] Group 1: Market Performance - In August 2025, battery electric vehicle (BEV) sales reached 114,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 32.3%, while plug-in hybrid electric vehicle (PHEV) sales were 62,000 units, up by 61.5% [2] - Germany saw accelerated growth in electric vehicle sales, with BEV sales of 39,000 units, up 45.7%, and PHEV sales of 24,000 units, up 76.7% [3] - The UK has reintroduced BEV subsidies, with approximately 25% of BEV models qualifying for subsidies as of August, leading to BEV sales of 22,000 units, a 14.9% increase, and PHEV sales of 9,800 units, up 69.4% [4] - France's BEV sales were 17,000 units, a 29.6% increase, despite a general decline in the automotive market, with a penetration rate of 19.4% in August, the highest of the year [5] Group 2: Market Drivers - Spain is promoting electric vehicle adoption through new model launches, promotional activities, and the MOVES III subsidy program, alongside a 15% personal income tax reduction for electric vehicle purchases [6] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - Recommended investments in lithium battery companies include CATL, EVE Energy, and Xinwangda, with beneficiaries such as Innovation Navigation and Guoxuan High-Tech [7] - For lithium materials, recommended companies include Hunan Yueneng, with beneficiaries like Fulian Precision and Wanrun New Energy [7] - Recommendations for electric drive systems include Weimaisi and Fute Technology, with beneficiaries such as Xinrui Technology and Huangshan Gujie [7]
欧洲电动车销量月报(2025年8月):9国新能源车渗透率持续提升 | 投研报告
开源证券近日发布电力设备行业点评报告:8月欧洲9国新能源车维持高增长,且渗透率 持续提升。2025年8月欧洲9国新能源车销量17.6万辆,同比+41.2%,新能源渗透率31.4%, 同比+8.3pcts。其中,BEV销量11.4万辆,同比+32.3%;PHEV销量6.2万辆,同比+61.5%。 欧盟议会投票通过碳排放考核修正案,原计划于2025年收紧碳排放考核目标,改为考核 2025-2027年三年的平均值,时间线上有所延缓但总体趋势不变。 以下为研究报告摘要: 2025年8月欧洲9国新能源车销量17.6万辆,同比+41% 投资建议 欧盟议会投票通过碳排放考核修正案,原计划于2025年收紧碳排放考核目标,改为考核 2025-2027年三年的平均值,时间线上有所延缓但总体趋势不变。且各车企此前为应对即将 收紧的考核要求,陆续推出新一代纯电平台,新车型有望带动欧洲电车市场放量。投资建 议:(1)锂电池:推荐宁德时代、亿纬锂能、欣旺达;受益标的中创新航、国轩高科; (2)锂电材料:推荐湖南裕能;受益标的富临精工、万润新能;容百科技、当升科技、中 伟股份、厦钨新能、华友钴业;星源材质、恩捷股份;天赐材料、新宙邦;天奈 ...
电力设备行业点评报告:欧洲电动车销量月报(2025年8月):9国新能源车渗透率持续提升-20250923
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-09-23 02:12
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The European electric vehicle market continues to grow, with August 2025 sales reaching 176,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 41.2%, and a penetration rate of 31.4%, up 8.3 percentage points [5][14] - The EU Parliament has approved amendments to carbon emission assessments, delaying the tightening of targets but maintaining the overall trend [7][39] Summary by Sections Electric Vehicle Sales in Europe - In August 2025, Germany's BEV sales reached 39,000 units, up 45.7% year-on-year, with a penetration rate of 19.0% [16] - The UK has restarted BEV subsidies, with approximately 25% of BEV models qualifying for subsidies, leading to a 14.9% year-on-year increase in BEV sales to 22,000 units [20][23] - France's BEV sales in August were 17,000 units, a 29.6% increase year-on-year, with a penetration rate of 19.4% [24] - Sweden's BEV sales were 7,000 units, with a penetration rate of 33.6% [28] - Norway's BEV penetration rate reached 96.9%, with sales of 13,000 units, up 28.6% year-on-year [30] - Italy's BEV sales were 3,000 units, up 29.3%, with a new subsidy plan expected to launch [33] - Spain's BEV sales surged by 160.8% year-on-year to 7,000 units, driven by new models and promotional activities [35] Investment Recommendations - Recommended lithium battery companies include CATL, Yiwei Lithium Energy, and Xinwangda, with beneficiaries including Zhongxin Innovation and Guoxuan High-Tech [7][39] - Recommended lithium battery materials include Hunan Youneng, with beneficiaries such as Fulian Precision and Wanrun New Energy [7][39] - Recommended lithium battery structural components include Minglida, with beneficiaries like Keda Li and Minshi Group [7][39] - Recommended power/electric drive systems include Weimaisi and Futec Technology, with beneficiaries like Xinrui Technology [7][39] - Recommended charging stations and modules include Tonghe Technology, with beneficiaries such as Shenghong Shares and Youyou Green Energy [7][39]
欧洲电动车销量月报(2025年4月):复苏趋势确立,4月同比增速创年内新高
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-05-14 00:30
Investment Rating - Investment rating: Positive (maintained) [2] Core Views - The European electric vehicle market shows a significant recovery trend in 2025, with April sales of 211,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 30.7% and a penetration rate of 26.3%, up by 6.4 percentage points [6][15] - The EU Parliament approved amendments to carbon emission assessments, delaying the tightening of targets but maintaining the overall trend towards stricter regulations [44][45] Summary by Sections 1. Electric Vehicle Sales in Europe - In April 2025, Germany's BEV sales reached 46,000 units, up 53.5% year-on-year, with a penetration rate of 18.8% [16] - In the UK, BEV sales were 25,000 units, up 8.1% year-on-year, with a penetration rate of 20.4% [22] - France's BEV sales were 26,000 units, up 2.3% year-on-year, with a penetration rate of 18.4% [27] - Sweden's BEV sales reached 9,000 units, up 25.8% year-on-year, with a penetration rate of 35.2% [30] - Norway's BEV penetration rate hit 97%, with sales of 11,000 units, up 8.9% year-on-year [34] - Italy's BEV sales were 7,000 units, up 105.2% year-on-year, with a penetration rate of 4.8% [36] - Spain's BEV sales reached 7,000 units, up 77.9% year-on-year, with a penetration rate of 6.9% [40] 2. Policy Developments - The German coalition agreement includes multiple measures to promote electric vehicle development, such as increasing tax incentives and supporting charging infrastructure [17][18] - The UK government adjusted ZEV sales targets to provide more flexibility and reduced penalties for non-compliance, while maintaining the 2030 ban on petrol and diesel cars [23] 3. Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks in lithium batteries include CATL, Yiwei Lithium Energy, and Xinwangda, with beneficiaries including Zhongxin Innovation and Guoxuan High-Tech [45] - For lithium materials, recommended stocks include Hunan Youneng and Huayou Cobalt, with beneficiaries like Fulin Precision and Wanrun New Energy [45][46] - Beneficiaries in lithium battery structural components include Keda Li and Minglida [46]
欧洲电动车销量月报(2025年4月):复苏趋势确立,4月同比增速创年内新高-20250513
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-05-13 14:44
Investment Rating - Investment rating for the power equipment industry is "Positive" (maintained) [2] Core Insights - The European electric vehicle market shows a significant recovery trend in 2025, with April sales reaching 211,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 30.7% [7][16] - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles in Europe reached 26.3%, up by 6.4 percentage points year-on-year [16] - The German electric vehicle market is recovering significantly, with BEV sales in April 2025 increasing by 53.5% year-on-year [17] - The EU Parliament has passed a carbon emission assessment amendment, delaying the tightening of carbon emission targets but maintaining the overall trend [47] Summary by Sections 1. European New Energy Vehicle Sales - In April 2025, sales of new energy vehicles in nine European countries reached 211,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 30.7% [7][16] - Germany's BEV sales reached 46,000 units in April, up 53.5% year-on-year, while PHEV sales increased by 60.7% [17] - The UK saw BEV sales of 25,000 units in April, a year-on-year increase of 8.1%, despite an overall decline in traditional vehicle sales [24] - France's BEV sales were 26,000 units in April, up 2.3% year-on-year, with expectations for stronger sales post-September due to the return of the social leasing plan [29] - Norway's BEV penetration rate reached 97% in April, moving closer to the 100% target [37] - Italy's BEV sales increased by 105.2% year-on-year in April, attributed to a low base effect [39] - Spain's BEV sales rose by 77.9% year-on-year in April, supported by extended subsidies and tax reductions [43] 2. EU Carbon Emission Assessment Amendment - The EU Parliament voted to change the carbon emission assessment from a 2025 target to an average over 2025-2027, delaying the timeline but not altering the overall trend [47] 3. Investment Recommendations - Recommended investments in lithium batteries include Ningde Times, Yiwei Lithium Energy, and Xinneng Technology [48] - For lithium materials, recommended companies include Hunan Youneng and Zhongwei Co., with beneficiaries like Fulin Precision and Wanrun New Energy [48] - Beneficiaries in lithium battery structural components include Keda Li and Minglida [48] - Recommended companies for power/electric drive systems are Weimaisi and Fute Technology [48] - Beneficiaries in automotive safety components include Zhongrong Electric and Zhejiang Rongtai [48]