开源证券近日发布欧洲电动车销量月报：10月欧洲9国新能源车维持高增长，其中法国社会租赁计划落 地后BEV销量同比明显提速。2025年10月欧洲9国新能源车销量25.7万辆，同比+38.7%，新能源渗透率 31.5%，同比+7.7pcts。其中，BEV销量16.5万辆，同比+36.4%；PHEV销量9.2万辆，同比+42.9%。 （2）英国：2025年10月英国BEV销量3.7万辆，同比+23.6%；PHEV销量1.8万辆，同比+27.2%。英国已 重启电车补贴，且面临ZEV考核目标的压力，未来几个月电车销量有望持续提升。 以下为研究报告摘要： 2025年10月欧洲9国新能源车销量25.7万辆，同比+39% 10月欧洲9国新能源车维持高增长，其中法国社会租赁计划落地后BEV销量同比明显提速。2025年10月 欧洲9国新能源车销量25.7万辆，同比+38.7%，新能源渗透率31.5%，同比+7.7pcts。其中，BEV销量 16.5万辆，同比+36.4%；PHEV销量9.2万辆，同比+42.9%。 （1）德国：2025年以来德国电车渗透率整体呈逐月提升态势。2025年10月德国BEV销量5.2万辆，同比 +47. ...

Group 1: Macro Economic Insights - The credit structure and fund activity continue to optimize, with social financing scale increasing by 3.5 trillion yuan in September, exceeding expectations of 3.3 trillion yuan [3] - The growth of RMB loans in September was 1.29 trillion yuan, slightly below the expected 1.39 trillion yuan, indicating a weaker demand for loans [4][36] - The M1 growth rate increased to 7.2% in September, while M2 growth decreased to 8.4%, reflecting a shift in deposit structure and a potential slowdown in M1 growth in October [7][35] Group 2: Industry Analysis - Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery - The price of pigs fell unexpectedly, with the average selling price in September at 13.10 yuan/kg, down 4.86% month-on-month and 30.90% year-on-year, indicating increased pressure on pig farming [18] - The number of large pigs being sold has decreased, suggesting a tightening supply in the future, while the profit margin for pig farming has turned negative due to falling prices [19][20] - The average selling price of listed pig companies in September also saw a decline, with major companies reporting a decrease in sales prices [21][22] Group 3: Industry Analysis - Electric Power Equipment and New Energy - In September, the sales of new energy vehicles in nine European countries reached 307,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 34.7%, with a penetration rate of 31.8% [25][26] - The UK has restarted BEV subsidies, which is expected to boost demand in the coming months, while France has introduced additional subsidies for electric vehicles [26] - The European Parliament's vote to delay tightening carbon emission targets is expected to maintain the growth trend in the electric vehicle market [27] Group 4: Industry Analysis - Banking - The banking sector is experiencing a differentiation in operations as the "funding attributes" enhance, with a notable increase in the contribution of funding business to banks [35][38] - The growth of corporate loans remains strong, particularly in short-term loans, while the demand for long-term financing from both residents and enterprises has not improved significantly [36][37] - Investment recommendations suggest focusing on banks with strong dividend yields and customer advantages in the wealth management era [39] Group 5: Company Analysis - Haiguang Information - The company reported a revenue increase of 54.65% year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2025, with a net profit growth of 28.56% [41][42] - The company plans to absorb and merge with Zhongke Shuguang to enhance vertical integration and market synergy in the chip and data center infrastructure sectors [43] Group 6: Company Analysis - Zhuhai Guanyu - The company is a leading manufacturer of lithium-ion batteries, with a significant share in consumer battery markets, particularly in laptops and smartphones [45][47] - The company is focusing on advanced technologies such as solid-state batteries and stacking processes to maintain its competitive edge in the AI terminal market [48]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the electric power equipment industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a significant increase in BEV sales among major automakers in Europe, indicating a strong trend towards electrification in the automotive industry. Renault's BEV sales grew by 88% year-on-year, Volkswagen's by 113%, and BMW's by 64% in Q1 2025 [4][14][23] - The introduction of new electric vehicle models is expected to sustain the electrification trend, with various automakers planning to launch competitively priced electric vehicles in the coming years [6][37] - The report discusses the implications of carbon emission regulations, noting that a shift to a three-year average assessment period for emissions targets could alleviate pressure on automakers and allow for better planning and execution of new model launches [53] Summary by Sections Sales Performance - In Q1 2025, Renault's BEV sales increased by 88% year-on-year, with a penetration rate of 17.1% [15] - Volkswagen's BEV deliveries in Europe rose by 113%, achieving a market share of approximately 26% [19][21] - BMW's BEV sales in Europe grew by 64%, with a penetration rate of 18.7% [23] New Model Launches - Stellantis plans to introduce multiple new models priced below €25,000, which are expected to boost sales in Q2 2025 [40] - Renault's new model, the Renault 4, is set to launch in Q2 2025, building on the success of the Renault 5 [41] - Volkswagen will showcase a new range of entry-level BEVs in September 2025, with the ID.2 model expected to launch in 2026 [45] Carbon Emission Regulations - The European Parliament has approved a revision of carbon emission regulations, shifting to a three-year average assessment, which is seen as beneficial for the industry [53] - Stellantis believes that relaxing the assessment timeline can prevent panic pricing strategies in late 2025 [54] - BMW is confident in meeting the revised emission targets, having already exceeded previous goals [58] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends investing in companies involved in lithium batteries, such as CATL and Yiwei Lithium Energy, as well as companies producing lithium materials and components [59]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the electric power equipment industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in BEV sales among major automakers in Europe, indicating a strong trend towards electrification in the automotive industry. Renault's BEV sales grew by 88%, Volkswagen's by 113%, and BMW's by 64% in Q1 2025 [4][14][23] - The introduction of new electric vehicle models is expected to sustain the electrification trend, with Stellantis and Renault planning to launch multiple affordable B-segment electric vehicles by the end of 2024 [6][37] - The report discusses the impact of carbon emission regulations, noting that the EU has revised its assessment method to consider a three-year average from 2025 to 2027, which may alleviate immediate pressure on automakers [53] Summary by Sections Sales Performance - In Q1 2025, Renault's BEV sales increased by 88%, with a penetration rate of 17.1% in Europe. The Renault 5 model was the best-selling B-segment electric vehicle [15][18] - Volkswagen's BEV deliveries in Europe rose by 113%, achieving a market share of approximately 26% [19][21] - BMW's BEV sales in Europe grew by 64%, with a penetration rate of 18.7% [23][25] - Chinese automakers are increasing PHEV exports to mitigate the impact of tariffs, with BYD's sales in Europe rising by 124% [5][32] New Model Launches - Stellantis plans to launch several new models priced below €25,000, which are expected to boost sales in Q2 2025 [40] - Renault's new model, the Renault 4, is set to launch in Q2 2025, building on the success of the Renault 5 [41] - Volkswagen will showcase a new range of entry-level BEVs in September 2025, with the ID.2 model expected to launch in 2026 [45] - BMW is set to begin production of the iX3 by the end of 2025, with a series of NEUE KLASSE models to follow [46] Carbon Emission Regulations - The EU's revised carbon emission assessment method is expected to provide automakers with more time to meet targets, with a focus on increasing BEV penetration rates [53] - Stellantis believes that the revised timeline will prevent panic pricing in Q4 2025 [54] - Renault emphasizes the importance of reducing costs to maintain competitiveness in the electric vehicle market [55] - Volkswagen anticipates continued pressure in 2025, despite the regulatory changes [57] - BMW expresses confidence in meeting carbon emission targets due to its current BEV penetration rate [58] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends investing in companies involved in lithium batteries, such as CATL and Yiwei Lithium Energy, as well as companies producing lithium materials and components [59]

Investment Rating - Investment rating: Positive (maintained) [2] Core Views - The European electric vehicle market shows a significant recovery trend in 2025, with April sales of 211,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 30.7% and a penetration rate of 26.3%, up by 6.4 percentage points [6][15] - The EU Parliament approved amendments to carbon emission assessments, delaying the tightening of targets but maintaining the overall trend towards stricter regulations [44][45] Summary by Sections 1. Electric Vehicle Sales in Europe - In April 2025, Germany's BEV sales reached 46,000 units, up 53.5% year-on-year, with a penetration rate of 18.8% [16] - In the UK, BEV sales were 25,000 units, up 8.1% year-on-year, with a penetration rate of 20.4% [22] - France's BEV sales were 26,000 units, up 2.3% year-on-year, with a penetration rate of 18.4% [27] - Sweden's BEV sales reached 9,000 units, up 25.8% year-on-year, with a penetration rate of 35.2% [30] - Norway's BEV penetration rate hit 97%, with sales of 11,000 units, up 8.9% year-on-year [34] - Italy's BEV sales were 7,000 units, up 105.2% year-on-year, with a penetration rate of 4.8% [36] - Spain's BEV sales reached 7,000 units, up 77.9% year-on-year, with a penetration rate of 6.9% [40] 2. Policy Developments - The German coalition agreement includes multiple measures to promote electric vehicle development, such as increasing tax incentives and supporting charging infrastructure [17][18] - The UK government adjusted ZEV sales targets to provide more flexibility and reduced penalties for non-compliance, while maintaining the 2030 ban on petrol and diesel cars [23] 3. Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks in lithium batteries include CATL, Yiwei Lithium Energy, and Xinwangda, with beneficiaries including Zhongxin Innovation and Guoxuan High-Tech [45] - For lithium materials, recommended stocks include Hunan Youneng and Huayou Cobalt, with beneficiaries like Fulin Precision and Wanrun New Energy [45][46] - Beneficiaries in lithium battery structural components include Keda Li and Minglida [46]

Investment Rating - Investment rating for the power equipment industry is "Positive" (maintained) [2] Core Insights - The European electric vehicle market shows a significant recovery trend in 2025, with April sales reaching 211,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 30.7% [7][16] - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles in Europe reached 26.3%, up by 6.4 percentage points year-on-year [16] - The German electric vehicle market is recovering significantly, with BEV sales in April 2025 increasing by 53.5% year-on-year [17] - The EU Parliament has passed a carbon emission assessment amendment, delaying the tightening of carbon emission targets but maintaining the overall trend [47] Summary by Sections 1. European New Energy Vehicle Sales - In April 2025, sales of new energy vehicles in nine European countries reached 211,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 30.7% [7][16] - Germany's BEV sales reached 46,000 units in April, up 53.5% year-on-year, while PHEV sales increased by 60.7% [17] - The UK saw BEV sales of 25,000 units in April, a year-on-year increase of 8.1%, despite an overall decline in traditional vehicle sales [24] - France's BEV sales were 26,000 units in April, up 2.3% year-on-year, with expectations for stronger sales post-September due to the return of the social leasing plan [29] - Norway's BEV penetration rate reached 97% in April, moving closer to the 100% target [37] - Italy's BEV sales increased by 105.2% year-on-year in April, attributed to a low base effect [39] - Spain's BEV sales rose by 77.9% year-on-year in April, supported by extended subsidies and tax reductions [43] 2. EU Carbon Emission Assessment Amendment - The EU Parliament voted to change the carbon emission assessment from a 2025 target to an average over 2025-2027, delaying the timeline but not altering the overall trend [47] 3. Investment Recommendations - Recommended investments in lithium batteries include Ningde Times, Yiwei Lithium Energy, and Xinneng Technology [48] - For lithium materials, recommended companies include Hunan Youneng and Zhongwei Co., with beneficiaries like Fulin Precision and Wanrun New Energy [48] - Beneficiaries in lithium battery structural components include Keda Li and Minglida [48] - Recommended companies for power/electric drive systems are Weimaisi and Fute Technology [48] - Beneficiaries in automotive safety components include Zhongrong Electric and Zhejiang Rongtai [48]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the power equipment industry is optimistic (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights a decline in electric vehicle sales in Europe for 2024, with total sales of 2.944 million units, a year-on-year decrease of 2.2%. Battery Electric Vehicle (BEV) sales were 1.993 million units, down 1.3%, while Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicle (PHEV) sales were 951,000 units, down 3.8% [11][14][46] - The report anticipates a recovery in the European electric vehicle market in 2025, projecting sales to rise to 3.39 million units, a 15% increase year-on-year, with a corresponding penetration rate of 24.4% [26][28] Summary by Sections Section 1: Electric Vehicle Sales in Europe - In 2024, the total electric vehicle sales in Europe (31 countries) are projected at 2.944 million units, reflecting a 2.2% decline year-on-year. BEV sales are expected to be 1.993 million units, down 1.3%, while PHEV sales are estimated at 951,000 units, down 3.8% [11][14][46] - The combined sales of electric vehicles in Germany, the UK, and France accounted for 53% of the total European market, with a year-on-year decline of 0.8 percentage points [14][15] Section 2: Market Dynamics and Trends - The report notes that several countries have phased out subsidies for electric vehicles, shifting incentives towards tax benefits. Germany canceled its electric vehicle subsidies at the end of 2023, while the UK plans to switch tax exemptions for electric vehicles starting April 2025 [4][25] - The tightening of carbon emission regulations in the EU is expected to impact the market, with stricter targets set for 2025 [26][40] Section 3: Key Players and Market Shares - The top three electric vehicle manufacturers in Europe are Volkswagen Group, Tesla, and Stellantis, holding market shares of 21%, 16%, and 11% respectively, collectively accounting for nearly half of the market [5][20] - In the UK, Tesla leads the market with a 13% share, followed by BMW and Mercedes with 8% and 7% respectively [42][44] Section 4: Future Projections - The report projects that by 2025, the sales of electric vehicles in Europe will increase to 3.39 million units, with a penetration rate of 24.4%, driven by stricter carbon emission regulations and the introduction of new electric vehicle models [26][28]