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科沃斯(603486):2025H1 预增点评:收入业绩高增,经营质量改善
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [4][11]. Core Views - The company experienced significant revenue growth in Q2, driven by national subsidies and a new product cycle, leading to improved operational quality and performance elasticity [1][11]. - The revenue is expected to grow approximately 25% year-on-year, with Q2 revenue anticipated to increase nearly 40% [11]. - The company has adjusted its earnings forecasts for 2025-2027, projecting EPS of 3.37, 3.92, and 4.37 CNY per share, with growth rates of +140.6%, +16.2%, and +11.6% respectively [11]. Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 15,502 million CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 1.2%. By 2027, revenue is expected to reach 24,475 million CNY, reflecting a growth rate of 12.4% [2]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 612 million CNY in 2023, with a significant increase to 2,514 million CNY by 2027, indicating a growth of 11.6% [2]. - The company’s net profit margin is expected to improve, with Q2 net profit margin estimated at around 10% [11]. Market Data - The target price for the company is set at 77.51 CNY, with the current price at 64.03 CNY [4][5]. - The company has a total market capitalization of 36,805 million CNY [5]. - The stock has shown a 52-week price range of 36.59 to 65.27 CNY [5]. Operational Insights - The company’s domestic sales account for 70% of its revenue, benefiting from demand elasticity due to national subsidies [11]. - The X series and T series of the company's products have been particularly successful, with sales of the cylindrical washing machines reaching 310,000 units [11]. - The company is focusing on optimizing its operational structure and efficiency, which has contributed to the improvement in overall profitability [11].
【科沃斯(603486.SH)】经营持续改善,外销维持高增——2024年年报及2025年一季度业绩点评(洪吉然)
光大证券研究· 2025-04-29 09:23
点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明: 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写,仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户,用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户,请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限,若给您造成不便,敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 事件: 公司发布2024年年报及2025年一季报。2024年公司实现营业总收入165亿元(YoY+7%),归母净利润/扣 非归母净利润8/7亿元(YoY+32%/+48%);其中24Q4公司实现营业总收入63亿元(YoY+27%),归母净 利润/扣非归母净利润1.9/1.9亿元(YoY+2178%/+584%);25Q1实现营收39亿元(YoY+11%),归母净 利润/扣非归母净利润约为4.7/3.6亿元(YoY+59%/+24%)。2024年度利润分配方案为每10股派现4.5元 (含税),现金分红率为32%。 点评: 双品牌保持增长,海外增长较快 2024年科沃斯/添可品牌营收81/81亿元,同比+5%/+11%,分地区看: ...
科沃斯(603486):计提减值拖累净利 改善趋势不变
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 02:40
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 16.542 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 6.71%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 806 million yuan, up 31.70% year-on-year, although below expectations due to significant asset impairment losses [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue growth of 11.06% year-on-year and a net profit growth of 59.43% year-on-year [1] - The adjusted gross margin for 2024 was 46.52%, an increase of 2.0 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to effective cost reduction measures [3] - The adjusted selling expense ratio was 30.33%, a decrease of 0.92 percentage points year-on-year, reflecting the company's focus on cost control [3] Group 2: Brand Performance - For 2024, the Ecovacs brand generated revenue of 8.082 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.22%, while the Tineco brand revenue was 8.061 billion yuan, up 10.87% year-on-year [2] - In Q4 2024, the Ecovacs and Tineco brands saw shipment increases of 47.5% and 32.7% year-on-year, respectively, benefiting from national subsidy policies [2] - The flagship products of the Ecovacs brand, T50 and X8 series, sold 294,000 and 206,000 units in Q4 2024, significantly enhancing market share in the mid-to-high price segment [2] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The company plans to invest 200 million yuan in establishing the Yinfeng Lanxiu Fund, focusing on investments in robotics and AI, with a total fund size of 500 million yuan [4] - The company aims to accelerate its global expansion and seek new market opportunities while improving operations through investments in industry funds [1][4] Group 4: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders of 1.468 billion yuan, 1.665 billion yuan, and 2.053 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with corresponding EPS of 2.55, 2.89, and 3.57 yuan [5] - The average PE ratio for comparable companies in 2025 is expected to be 19.34 times, with the company being assigned a target price of 63.75 yuan based on a 25x PE ratio for 2025 [5]