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铁矿石周报 2025/11/29:铁水小幅下滑,矿价区间内运行-20251129
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-11-29 11:56
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The overall inventory of iron ore remains high, but due to limited availability of some resources, structural contradictions still exist, providing some support for spot prices. - In November, there were no significant macro - events. Starting from December, the macro - impact is expected to gradually increase. - Overall, iron ore prices are expected to move within an oscillatory range [11][13][14]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 Week - on - Week Assessment and Strategy Recommendation - **Supply**: The total global iron ore shipment volume was 32.784 million tons, a week - on - week decrease of 2.38 million tons. The total shipment volume from Australia and Brazil was 26.374 million tons, a decrease of 2.713 million tons. Australia's shipment volume was 18.396 million tons, a decrease of 2.109 million tons, and the volume shipped from Australia to China was 15.536 million tons, a decrease of 3.194 million tons. Brazil's shipment volume was 7.978 million tons, a decrease of 0.604 million tons. The total arrival volume at 47 Chinese ports was 29.395 million tons, an increase of 5.696 million tons; the total arrival volume at 45 Chinese ports was 28.171 million tons, an increase of 5.482 million tons [11][13]. - **Demand**: The daily average pig iron output was 2.3468 million tons, a decrease of 0.016 million tons from the previous week. The blast furnace iron - making capacity utilization rate was 87.98%, a decrease of 0.60 percentage points from the previous week; the steel mill profitability rate was 35.06%, a decrease of 2.60 percentage points from the previous week [11][13]. - **Inventory**: The total inventory of imported iron ore at 47 ports across the country was 159.0122 million tons, an increase of 1.6637 million tons; the daily average port clearance volume was 3.4406 million tons, an increase of 0.0067 million tons [11][13]. 3.2 Futures and Spot Market - **Price Spread**: The PB - Super Special powder price spread was 111 yuan/ton, a week - on - week change of - 3.0 yuan/ton. The Carajás fines - PB powder price spread was 91 yuan/ton, a change of - 4.0 yuan/ton. The Carajás fines - Jinbuba powder price spread was 147 yuan/ton, a change of - 1.0 yuan/ton. The ((Carajás fines + Super Special powder)/2 - PB powder) price spread was - 10.0 yuan/ton, a change of - 0.5 yuan/ton [17][19][22]. - **Feed Ratio and Scrap Steel**: The pellet feed ratio was 14.52%, a change of - 0.03 percentage points from the previous period. The lump ore feed ratio was 12.22%, a change of - 0.23 percentage points. The sinter feed ratio was 73.27%, a change of + 0.27 percentage points. The price of scrap steel in Tangshan was 2145 yuan/ton, a week - on - week change of - 10 yuan/ton. The price of scrap steel in Zhangjiagang was 2080 yuan/ton, a change of - 50 yuan/ton [23][25]. - **Profit**: The steel mill profitability rate was 35.06%, a change of - 2.6 percentage points from the previous week; the import profit of PB powder according to the Steel Union's data was - 8.18 yuan/wet ton [26][28]. 3.3 Inventory - The inventory of imported iron ore at 45 ports across the country was 152.1012 million tons, a week - on - week change of + 1.5547 million tons. The pellet inventory was 302,350 tons, a change of + 91,800 tons. The iron concentrate powder inventory at ports was 1.28443 million tons, a change of + 360,000 tons. The lump ore inventory at ports was 1.97937 million tons, a change of + 163,300 tons. The Australian ore port inventory was 63.0746 million tons, a change of + 0.8122 million tons. The Brazilian ore port inventory was 59.8703 million tons, a change of - 0.1998 million tons. The inventory of imported iron ore at 247 steel mills this week was 8.94248 million tons, a change of - 0.05875 million tons from the previous week [32][35][45]. 3.4 Supply Side - **Overseas Shipments**: The latest shipment volume from Australia to China through 19 ports was 15.27 million tons, a week - on - week change of - 2.851 million tons. Brazil's shipment volume was 7.931 million tons, a change of - 0.548 million tons. Rio Tinto's shipment volume to China was 4.975 million tons, a week - on - week decrease of 0.497 million tons. BHP Billiton's shipment volume to China was 4.445 million tons, a decrease of 1.045 million tons. Vale's shipment volume was 5.462 million tons, a decrease of 1.254 million tons. FMG's shipment volume to China was 4.002 million tons, a decrease of 0.184 million tons [47][50][53]. - **Arrival and Import**: The latest arrival volume at 45 ports was 28.171 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 5.482 million tons. In October, China's non - Australian and non - Brazilian iron ore imports were 19.8492 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 1.2656 million tons [47][59]. - **Domestic Mines**: The latest domestic mine capacity utilization rate was 60.77%, a change of - 0.02 percentage points. The daily average output of iron concentrate powder from domestic mines was 474,800 tons, a change of - 20,000 tons [47][65]. 3.5 Demand Side - The daily average pig iron output in China was 2.3468 million tons, a decrease of 0.016 million tons from the previous week. The blast furnace capacity utilization rate was 87.98%, a decrease of 0.60 percentage points from the previous week. The daily average port clearance volume of iron ore at 45 ports was 3.3058 million tons, a week - on - week change of + 0.0066 million tons. The daily consumption of imported iron ore at 247 steel mills was 2.8943 million tons, a week - on - week change of - 0.0225 million tons [67][70][73]. 3.6 Basis - As of November 28, the calculated basis of iron ore BRBF was 44.83 yuan/ton, and the basis rate was 5.34% [75][78].
金岭矿业股价跌5.01%,华夏基金旗下1只基金位居十大流通股东,持有332.61万股浮亏损失172.96万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-18 03:27
Core Points - Jinling Mining experienced a decline of 5.01% on November 18, with a stock price of 9.86 CNY per share and a trading volume of 1.04 billion CNY, resulting in a total market capitalization of 58.70 billion CNY [1] - The company, established on September 28, 1996, and listed on November 28, 1996, primarily engages in iron ore mining and the production and sale of iron concentrate, copper concentrate, cobalt concentrate, and pellet ore [1] - The revenue composition of Jinling Mining includes iron concentrate at 76.99%, pellets at 9.03%, other (supplementary) at 8.46%, copper concentrate at 5.10%, and mechanical processing at 0.41% [1] Shareholder Insights - Among the top circulating shareholders of Jinling Mining, one fund under Huaxia Fund, Huaxia Excellent Growth Mixed A (024928), entered the top ten in the third quarter, holding 3.3261 million shares, which accounts for 0.56% of the circulating shares [2] - The estimated floating loss for this fund today is approximately 1.7296 million CNY [2] Fund Performance - Huaxia Excellent Growth Mixed A (024928) was established on August 12, 2025, with a current size of 9.56 billion CNY and a cumulative return of 11.89% since inception [3] - The fund manager, Zhong Shuai, has been in position for 5 years and 115 days, managing assets totaling 13.26 billion CNY, with the best fund return during his tenure being 172.61% and the worst being -4.15% [4]
金岭矿业股价跌5.01%,国泰基金旗下1只基金位居十大流通股东,持有300.28万股浮亏损失156.15万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-18 03:27
Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Jinling Mining's stock price has dropped by 5.01%, currently trading at 9.86 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 5.87 billion CNY [1] - Jinling Mining, established on September 28, 1996, and listed on November 28, 1996, is primarily engaged in iron ore mining and the production and sale of iron concentrate, copper concentrate, cobalt concentrate, and pellet ore [1] - The revenue composition of Jinling Mining is as follows: iron concentrate accounts for 76.99%, pellets 9.03%, other (supplementary) 8.46%, copper concentrate 5.10%, and mechanical processing 0.41% [1] Group 2 - Guotai Fund's Guotai Zhongzheng Steel ETF (515210) has entered the top ten circulating shareholders of Jinling Mining, holding 3.0028 million shares, which is 0.5% of the circulating shares [2] - The Guotai Zhongzheng Steel ETF was established on January 22, 2020, with a latest scale of 3.66 billion CNY, and has achieved a year-to-date return of 33.9% [2] - The fund's performance over the past year is a return of 32.58%, ranking 1224 out of 3956 in its category [2]
金岭矿业涨2.29%,成交额1.18亿元,主力资金净流出401.04万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-14 05:34
Core Viewpoint - Jinling Mining's stock price has shown significant growth this year, with a year-to-date increase of 79.30%, indicating strong market performance and investor interest [2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of November 14, Jinling Mining's stock price rose by 2.29% to 10.74 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 1.18 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 1.89%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 6.394 billion CNY [1]. - The stock has experienced a 5.71% increase over the last five trading days, an 8.27% increase over the last 20 days, and a 26.50% increase over the last 60 days [2]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Jinling Mining reported a revenue of 1.247 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 12.98%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 220 million CNY, which is a 47.09% increase compared to the previous year [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 638 million CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 238 million CNY distributed over the last three years [3]. Group 3: Shareholder and Institutional Holdings - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Jinling Mining was 39,000, a decrease of 5.14% from the previous period, while the average circulating shares per person increased by 5.42% to 15,276 shares [2]. - Notable institutional investors include Huaxia Excellence Growth Mixed Fund, which is the fifth-largest circulating shareholder with 3.3261 million shares, and Guotai Zhongxin Steel ETF, the seventh-largest with 3.0028 million shares, both of which are new shareholders [3].
前三季度四大矿山铁矿石产量实现增长 四季度仍将维持高位
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2025-11-05 00:47
Group 1: Global Iron Ore Shipment and Production - In the first three quarters of 2025, global iron ore shipments reached 120.031 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 0.2% [1] - The four major mining companies collectively shipped 72.155 million tons, a 0.5% increase year-on-year, accounting for 60% of global shipments [1] - China's iron ore imports decreased by 1.8% year-on-year, totaling 96.889 million tons [1] Group 2: Vale's Production and Sales Performance - Vale's iron ore production in Q3 2025 was 94.4 million tons, a 3.8% increase year-on-year, with a cumulative production of 245.67 million tons, up 1.3% [4] - Vale's Q3 sales volume was 86 million tons, a 5.1% increase year-on-year, with iron concentrate sales showing strong performance [5] - The average price of Vale's iron ore in Q3 was $94.4 per ton, reflecting a $9.3 increase from the previous quarter [5] Group 3: Rio Tinto's Production and Project Updates - Rio Tinto's iron ore production in the Pilbara region for Q3 2025 was 84.1 million tons, a slight increase of 0.1% year-on-year, while shipments decreased by 0.2% [8] - The Guinea Simfer project has begun trial operations, with the first shipment expected in November 2025, which may impact the global iron ore supply structure [9] - Rio Tinto's new projects are progressing as planned, with several expected to reach full production by 2027 [10] Group 4: BHP's Production and Sales Insights - BHP's iron ore production in Q3 2025 was 70.25 million tons, a 1.9% decrease year-on-year, with cumulative production of 215.57 million tons, down 0.4% [15] - BHP's sales volume for Q3 was 70.59 million tons, a 1.3% decrease year-on-year, with block ore performing relatively well [17] - The company maintains its shipment guidance for FY2026 despite the decline in production [13] Group 5: Fortescue Metals Group (FMG) Performance - FMG's iron ore processing volume in Q3 2025 was 50.8 million tons, a 5.8% year-on-year increase, with shipments reaching 49.7 million tons [22] - The Iron Bridge project saw significant production increases, with processing volume up 62% year-on-year [22] - FMG's sales performance was strong across most product categories, with notable growth in the Iron Bridge product line [24]
金岭矿业跌2.08%,成交额7689.18万元,主力资金净流出1067.23万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-04 02:59
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the recent stock performance and financial metrics of Jining Mining, indicating a decline in stock price and significant trading activity [1] - As of November 4, Jining Mining's stock price decreased by 2.08% to 9.87 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 5.876 billion CNY [1] - Year-to-date, Jining Mining's stock has increased by 64.77%, but it has seen a decline of 3.89% over the last five trading days [1] Group 2 - Jining Mining, established on September 28, 1996, primarily engages in iron ore mining and the production and sale of iron concentrate, copper concentrate, cobalt concentrate, and pellet ore [2] - The company's revenue composition includes 76.99% from iron concentrate, 9.03% from pellets, 8.46% from other sources, 5.10% from copper concentrate, and 0.41% from mechanical processing [2] - As of October 31, the number of shareholders increased to 41,100, with an average of 14,491 circulating shares per shareholder [2] Group 3 - Jining Mining has distributed a total of 638 million CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 238 million CNY distributed over the past three years [3] - As of September 30, 2025, notable institutional shareholders include Huaxia Excellence Growth Mixed Fund and Guotai Zhongzheng Steel ETF, both of which are new shareholders [3]
金岭矿业跌2.07%,成交额8394.06万元,主力资金净流出360.22万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-03 02:38
Core Insights - Jinling Mining's stock price has seen a year-to-date increase of 65.61%, but it has recently experienced a decline of 6.77% over the past five trading days [1] - The company reported a revenue of 1.247 billion yuan for the period from January to September 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 12.98%, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 47.09% to 220 million yuan [2] Company Overview - Jinling Mining, established on September 28, 1996, and listed on November 28, 1996, is located in Zhangdian District, Zibo City, Shandong Province. The company primarily engages in iron ore mining and the production and sale of iron concentrate, copper concentrate, cobalt concentrate, and pellet ore [1] - The revenue composition of Jinling Mining includes iron concentrate (76.99%), pellets (9.03%), other (8.46%), copper concentrate (5.10%), and mechanical processing (0.41%) [1] Financial Performance - The company has distributed a total of 638 million yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 238 million yuan distributed over the past three years [3] - As of October 20, 2025, the number of shareholders decreased by 3.18% to 40,700, while the average circulating shares per person increased by 3.29% to 14,615 shares [2] Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, among the top ten circulating shareholders, Huaxia Excellence Growth Mixed A (024928) is the fifth largest with 3.3261 million shares, and Guotai Zhongzheng Steel ETF (515210) is the seventh largest with 3.0028 million shares, both being new shareholders [3]
铁矿石专题:四大矿山三季度产销数据简析
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-10-29 01:57
Report's Investment Rating for the Industry There is no information provided regarding the report's investment rating for the industry. Core Views of the Report - Vale: In Q3, production and sales increased year-on-year, and the annual production target remained unchanged. The quarterly iron ore production was 94.4 million tons, a 12.9% increase quarter-on-quarter and a 3.8% increase year-on-year. The quarterly iron ore sales were 86 million tons, a 11.2% increase quarter-on-quarter and a 5.1% increase year-on-year. The company maintained its 2025 production target of 325 - 335 million tons [4][5]. - Rio Tinto: In Q3, production and sales were flat year-on-year, and the Simandou iron ore started loading in October. The iron ore production of Pilbara operations was 84.1 million tons, with a 0.4% quarter-on-quarter increase. The company expects to supply 50 - 100 million tons from Simandou this year [6][7]. - BHP: In Q3, iron ore production and sales were below expectations, and the fiscal year 2026 target was slightly raised. The iron ore production of Pilbara operations was 70.25 million tons, a 9.3% decrease quarter-on-quarter and a 1.9% decrease year-on-year. The fiscal year 2026 target was maintained at 284 - 296 million tons, an increase of 2 million tons from the previous fiscal year [8][9]. - FMG: In Q3, production and sales increased year-on-year, and shipments in Q4 are expected to remain at a high level. The total iron ore processing volume was 50.8 million tons, a 6.6% decrease quarter-on-quarter and a 5.8% increase year-on-year. The iron ore shipments reached 49.7 million tons, a 10% decrease quarter-on-quarter and a 4.2% increase year-on-year. The fiscal year 2026 shipment target was set at 195 - 205 million tons [10][11]. Summary by Company Vale - Production: Q3 production was 94.4 million tons, a 12.9% increase quarter-on-quarter and a 3.8% increase year-on-year. The production in the first three quarters of 2025 increased by 3.27 million tons or 1.3% year-on-year [4][17]. - Sales: Q3 sales were 86 million tons, a 11.2% increase quarter-on-quarter and a 5.1% increase year-on-year. The sales from January to September increased by 1.8% year-on-year [4][5]. - Shipping: As of October 17, the cumulative year-on-year increase in shipments was 200,000 tons, a decrease of nearly 2.2 million tons from the peak. The cumulative year-on-year decrease in arrivals at Chinese ports narrowed to about 930,000 tons [27][30]. Rio Tinto - Production: Q3 production of Pilbara operations was 84.1 million tons, a 0.4% increase quarter-on-quarter and flat year-on-year. The company expects to supply 50 - 100 million tons from Simandou this year [6][7]. - Sales: Q3 sales of Pilbara operations were 90.81 million tons, a 5.0% increase quarter-on-quarter and a 4.0% increase year-on-year. The 2025 shipment target for Pilbara iron ore remains unchanged at 323 - 338 million tons [36]. - Shipping: As of October 17, the cumulative year-on-year decrease in shipments was 2 million tons, a recovery of 3.2 million tons from the low point. The cumulative year-on-year increase in shipments to China was 2.59 million tons, a recovery of 4.65 million tons from the low point. The cumulative year-on-year increase in arrivals at Chinese ports was 610,000 tons [44]. BHP - Production: Q3 production of Pilbara operations was 70.25 million tons, a 9.3% decrease quarter-on-quarter and a 1.9% decrease year-on-year. The fiscal year 2026 target was maintained at 284 - 296 million tons, an increase of 2 million tons from the previous fiscal year [8][9]. - Sales: Q3 total sales of Pilbara operations were 70.59 million tons, an 8.0% decrease quarter-on-quarter and a 1.3% decrease year-on-year [9]. - Shipping: As of October 17, the cumulative year-on-year decrease in shipments was 2.27 million tons, a decrease of 800,000 tons from early July. The cumulative year-on-year decrease in shipments to China was 2.87 million tons, a decrease of 1.4 million tons from early July. The cumulative year-on-year decrease in arrivals at Chinese ports was 10.61 million tons [57]. FMG - Production: Q3 total iron ore processing volume was 50.8 million tons, a 6.6% decrease quarter-on-quarter and a 5.8% increase year-on-year. The Iron Bridge project contributed 2.1 million tons, a 12% decrease quarter-on-quarter and a 31.25% increase year-on-year [10]. - Sales: Q3 iron ore shipments reached 49.7 million tons, a 10% decrease quarter-on-quarter and a 4.2% increase year-on-year. The fiscal year 2026 shipment target was set at 195 - 205 million tons [10][11]. - Shipping: As of October 17, the cumulative year-on-year increase in shipments was 8.72 million tons, and the cumulative year-on-year increase in shipments to China was 8.93 million tons. The cumulative year-on-year increase in arrivals at Chinese ports was 540,000 tons [63].
金岭矿业股价涨5.26%,华夏基金旗下1只基金位居十大流通股东,持有332.61万股浮盈赚取166.31万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-17 02:02
Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Jinling Mining's stock price increased by 5.26% to 10.00 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 50.39 million CNY and a turnover rate of 0.86%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 5.953 billion CNY [1] - Jinling Mining, established on September 28, 1996, and listed on November 28, 1996, is primarily engaged in iron ore mining and the production and sale of iron concentrate, copper concentrate, cobalt concentrate, and pellet ore [1] - The revenue composition of Jinling Mining is as follows: iron concentrate accounts for 76.99%, pellets 9.03%, other (supplementary) 8.46%, copper concentrate 5.10%, and mechanical processing 0.41% [1] Group 2 - Among the top circulating shareholders of Jinling Mining, Huaxia Fund has a fund that entered the top ten shareholders in the third quarter, holding 3.3261 million shares, which is 0.56% of the circulating shares, with an estimated floating profit of approximately 1.6631 million CNY [2] - The fund manager of Huaxia Zhuoyue Growth Mixed A (024928) is Zhong Shuai, who has been in the position for 5 years and 83 days, with a total asset scale of 8.253 billion CNY [4] - During Zhong Shuai's tenure, the best fund return was 173.98%, while the worst return was -3.64% [4]
A股首份三季报出炉 金岭矿业前三季度营收、净利双增长
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2025-10-12 01:46
Core Insights - The report highlights the financial performance of Jinling Mining for the first three quarters, showing a revenue increase of 12.98% year-on-year and a net profit increase of 47.09% [1] - The company attributes its growth to increased sales of iron concentrate, reduced production costs, and improved performance of by-product copper concentrate [3] Financial Performance - For the third quarter, Jinling Mining achieved a revenue of 478.80 million yuan, up 17.78% year-on-year, and a net profit of 70.17 million yuan, up 0.25% year-on-year [1] - Year-to-date, the company reported total revenue of 1.25 billion yuan and a net profit of 220.47 million yuan [1] - The basic and diluted earnings per share for the third quarter were both 0.1179 yuan, reflecting a slight increase of 0.26% [1] Profit Distribution - Jinling Mining announced a profit distribution plan for the first three quarters of 2025, proposing a cash dividend of 0.50 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 29.77 million yuan [3] Industry Context - The report also mentions that Daoshi Technology, a competitor, reported a significant revenue increase of 18.84% and a net profit increase of 408.27% for the third quarter, indicating a strong performance in the new materials sector [6] - The overall market trend shows that 30 companies have released positive earnings forecasts for the first three quarters, with 14 companies expecting a net profit increase of over 100% [6]