光伏股尾盘跌幅扩大，截至发稿，彩虹新能源(00438)跌5.16%，报2.39港元；新特能源(01799)跌 3.73%，报7.99港元；福莱特（601865）玻璃(06865)跌3.36%，报11.23港元；信义光能(00968)跌 2.63%，报3.33港元。 中信期货则表示，供给端，8月多晶硅产量已经回升至13万吨以上，预计9月份多晶硅高产量将会维持， 中长期来看需要关注反内卷政策是否会限制多晶硅的供应，如若政策迟迟未落地高供应将会持续。需求 端，1-5月份光伏装机增速大幅度提高，累计增速150%，不过也透支了下半年装机的需求，6月份单月 国内光伏装机仅只有14GW，7月份装机量进一步下降。考虑到下半年光伏装机的下降，以及电池片组 件抢出口需求的弱化，多晶硅后续需求有继续走弱的风险。 消息面上，近日，山东省发改委正式向社会公示山东2025年新能源机制电价竞价结果。其中光伏入选电 量12.48亿千瓦时，中标价格为0.225元/千瓦时。新纪元期货指出，"5.31"新政前抢装潮过去以后，推进 光伏电价的市场化改革，近期"反内卷"政策推动落后产能有序退出，四季度光伏装机量或将大幅减速。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry continues to face significant challenges, with many companies reporting losses in their 2025 semi-annual reports, indicating that the industry's deep adjustment may not be over yet [1][3][6]. Industry Performance - As of August 26, 30 listed photovoltaic companies have released their 2025 semi-annual reports, with 20 companies experiencing a year-on-year decline in revenue and 15 companies reporting net losses [3][4]. - Notable companies such as Longi Green Energy reported a revenue decline of 14.83% and a net loss of 2.569 billion yuan, while Tongwei reported a revenue decline of 7.51% and a net loss of 4.955 billion yuan [3][4]. Market Dynamics - The industry has seen some positive effects from self-regulation efforts initiated in the second half of last year, with prices for polysilicon and silicon wafers stabilizing [8]. - However, the pace of inventory reduction remains below expectations, and the overall market demand is showing signs of slowing down due to the end of the "rush installation" trend [8][9]. Demand and Supply Challenges - The demand side is expected to face negative impacts from demand exhaustion as the "rush installation" trend subsides [6][8]. - The industry is experiencing a significant decline in production growth rates, with battery cell and module production growth dropping below 15% [8]. International Market Uncertainties - The global photovoltaic market is slowing down, with traditional overseas markets shrinking and emerging markets like Latin America and the Middle East growing but not significantly impacting overall growth [9][10]. - Recent changes in U.S. clean energy policies have raised concerns among companies about expanding into international markets [10]. Technological Innovation - Companies are increasingly relying on technological innovation to navigate the industry's challenges, with some focusing on next-generation photovoltaic technologies like perovskite [11][12]. - However, the current low profit margins and intense competition in the crystalline silicon market are hindering the promotion and application of new technologies [12]. Regulatory and Market Support - Industry insiders emphasize the need for stronger regulatory measures to address issues like "virtual power" and "lowering quality control," which are detrimental to innovation [12]. - There is a call for government intervention to facilitate market consolidation and support the exit of outdated production capacities [12].