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无锡振华(605319):2Q25毛利率表现亮眼,新能源客户或持续引领冲压主业增长
EBSCN· 2025-08-26 07:05
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company's performance in the first half of 2025 met expectations, with total revenue increasing by 15.2% year-on-year to 1.29 billion yuan and net profit attributable to shareholders rising by 27.2% to 200 million yuan [1] - The strong growth in the first half of 2025 is attributed to increased sales of Xiaomi's supporting models and a decline in raw material prices [1] - The gross margin improved by 4.5 percentage points year-on-year to 29.0% in the first half of 2025, driven by the expansion of stamping business scale and the ramp-up of electroplating business [2] - The company is expected to benefit from the strong sales momentum of its core customers, including new energy vehicle clients, which will enhance its business scale and profitability [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 1H25, the company's total operating revenue was 1.29 billion yuan, accounting for approximately 38% of the annual forecast, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 200 million yuan, representing about 40% of the annual forecast [1] - For 2Q25, operating revenue reached 690 million yuan, up 9.5% year-on-year and 14.4% quarter-on-quarter, with net profit of 110 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 31.9% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 13.0% [1] Profitability and Cost Management - The gross margin for 1H25 was 29.0%, an increase of 4.5 percentage points year-on-year, with 2Q25 gross margin at 29.9%, up 6.2 percentage points year-on-year and 1.8 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2] - The selling, general, and administrative expenses ratio decreased by 0.9 percentage points year-on-year to 6.6% in 1H25, indicating effective cost management [2] Business Opportunities - The company has established partnerships with major clients such as SAIC, Tesla, and Xiaomi, with significant sales growth from new energy vehicle clients expected to drive further development in its stamping business [3] - The electroplating business is anticipated to expand, particularly with new contracts from major automotive semiconductor manufacturers, which could provide new growth points [3] Valuation and Forecast - The report projects net profits of 500 million yuan, 600 million yuan, and 660 million yuan for 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E respectively, with an upward adjustment of the target price to 39.81 yuan based on a 16.5x PE ratio for 2026 [4][5]
无锡振华(605319):二季度利润增长提速,绑定上汽、小米有望进入经营快速上行期
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-08-26 04:02
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][4]. Core Views - The company is expected to enter a rapid growth phase due to strong partnerships with SAIC and Xiaomi, with significant profit growth observed in the second quarter [1][7]. - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 34.3 billion, 44.4 billion, and 52.3 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth of 35.5%, 29.4%, and 17.9% respectively [2][4]. - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 5.1 billion, 6.5 billion, and 7.8 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 35.3%, 26.2%, and 21.0% [2][4]. Financial Summary - The company achieved a revenue of 12.87 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 15.2%, with a net profit of 2.01 billion yuan, up 27.2% [7]. - In Q2 2025, revenue reached 6.87 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter growth of 9.5% and 14.4% respectively, with net profit of 1.07 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 31.9% [7]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 1.51 yuan in 2024, increasing to 3.12 yuan by 2027 [4][8].