事件：2025 年8 月25 日，公司发布2025 年中期业绩报告，2025H1 实现营收12.87 亿元，同比+15.2%； 归母净利润2.01 亿元，同比+27.2%；扣非归母净利润1.98 亿元，同比+26.7%。单季度来看，Q2 公司实 现营收6.87 亿元，同/环比+9.5%/+14.4%；归母净利润1.07 亿元，同/环比+31.9%/+13.0%；扣非归母净 利润1.05 亿元，同/环比+32.1%/+14.1%。 传统客户回暖+新势力放量，冲压业务为增长主引擎。分业务来看，2025H1 公司冲压零部件业务实现 营收8.54 亿元，同比+41.1%，占营收比例达66.4%，环比提升4.2pct，为业绩增长的主要驱动，主要系 公司下游新势力客户放量所致，2025Q2 小米/理想（L6）分别实现销量8.6/5.2 万辆，同比 +186.1%/+32.6%。分拼总成加工业务实现营收2.37 亿元，同比+16.7%，主要受传统客户上汽乘用车回 暖所致（25Q2 实现销量20.3 万辆，同比+18.0%），后续随上汽尚界H5 放量，有望进一步贡献业绩弹 性。此外，2025H1 公司选择性精密电镀加工/模具 ...

| | | 汽车零部件 执业证书编号：S0740523020004 Email：hejy02@zts.com.cn 执业证书编号：S0740525010002 Email：wangyue07@zts.com.cn 分析师：刘欣畅 执业证书编号：S0740522120003 Email：liuxc03@zts.com.cn 执业证书编号：S0740523020003 Email：maoyx@zts.com.cn | | | | 总股本(百万股) | 250.06 | | --- | --- | | 流通股本(百万股) | 213.68 | | 市价(元) | 34.61 | | 市值(百万元) | 8,654.63 | | 流通市值(百万元) | 7,395.52 | 1、《无锡振华 2024 年报及 2025 年 一季报点评：》2025-04-29 2024-12-11 无锡振华 2025 年中报点评： 下游优质客户齐放量，2Q25 毛利率创单季度新高 无锡振华（605319.SH） 证券研究报告/公司点评报告 2025 年 08 月 26 日 | 评级： | 买入（维持） | 公司盈利预测及估值 | | | ...

无锡振华(605319) 报告日期：2025 年 08 月 26 日 证券研究报告 | 公司点评 | 汽车零部件 二季度利润增长提速，绑定上汽、小米有望进入经营快速上行期 ——无锡振华点评报告 投资要点 ❑ 盈利预测 预计公司 2025-2027 年收入分别为 34.3/44.4/52.3 亿元，分别同比 +35.5%/29.4%/17.9%；归母利润分别为 5.1/6.5/7.8 亿元，分别同比 +35.3%/26.2%/21.0%；PE 分别为 16.9/13.4/11.1X，维持买入评级。 ❑ 风险提示 下游客户新车销售不及预期；原材料价格上行风险。 股票走势图 -5% 26% 58% 90% 122% 153% 24/08 24/09 24/10 24/12 25/01 25/02 25/03 25/04 25/05 25/06 25/07 25/08 无锡振华 上证指数 财务摘要 | [Table_Forcast] (百万元) | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入 | 2531 | 3430 | ...

Company Overview - Wuxi Zhenhua Automotive Parts Co., Ltd. operates with nine wholly-owned subsidiaries and is located in Wuxi, Jiangsu Province [2] - The company specializes in the automotive parts sector, focusing on stamping parts, assembly processing services, mold design and manufacturing, and selective precision plating [2] - Wuxi Zhenhua has established core technological advantages and serves as a quality supplier for several leading automotive brands, including SAIC Motor, Tesla, and Xiaomi [2] Financial Performance - For the period from January to March 2025, Wuxi Zhenhua reported a revenue of 600.5 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 22.48% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 94.54 million yuan, up 22.2% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 92.29 million yuan, reflecting a 20.98% increase [2] Shareholding Structure - As of March 2025, the concentration of shareholding is high, with the top ten shareholders holding a combined 69.61% of shares, and the top ten circulating shareholders holding 65.74% [2] - The number of shareholders is approximately 10,940, with an average circulating shareholding of 19,520 shares per person and an average holding amount of 605,900 yuan [2] Convertible Bond Details - The convertible bond issued by Wuxi Zhenhua has a credit rating of "AA-" and a maturity of six years, with a coupon rate increasing from 0.20% in the first year to 2.30% in the sixth year [1] - The bond's conversion price is set at 31.98 yuan, with a redemption price of 113 yuan at maturity, including the last interest payment [1] - As of August 20, the bond price increased by 2.07% to 158.155 yuan, with a trading volume of 37.44 million yuan and a conversion premium of 43.07% [1]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.45%, the CSI 300 rose by 0.24%, the STAR Market 50 gained 0.58%, the CSI 1000 went up by 1.09%, the ChiNext Index climbed by 0.66%, and the Hang Seng Index saw a slight increase of 0.03% on August 6 [3][4] - The best-performing sectors on August 6 were defense and military (+3.07%), machinery (+1.98%), coal (+1.89%), textiles and apparel (+1.36%), and computers (+1.3%). The worst-performing sectors included pharmaceuticals and biotechnology (-0.65%), retail (-0.23%), construction materials (-0.23%), social services (-0.19%), and banking (-0.14%) [3][4] - The total trading volume for the A-share market on August 6 was 17,592.42 billion yuan, with a net inflow of 9.486 billion HKD from southbound funds [3][4] Key Recommendations - The report highlights Wuxi Zhenhua (605319) as a key investment opportunity, emphasizing its strong ties with Xiaomi and the rapid growth in automotive production, which is expected to drive significant profit increases [2][5] - The recommendation logic is based on the high profitability of the business, with significant profit elasticity and strong sales from downstream clients like Xiaomi and SAIC [5] - The company’s revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 3,430 million yuan, 4,438 million yuan, and 5,231 million yuan, with growth rates of 35.50%, 29.40%, and 17.90% respectively. The net profit forecasts are 513 million yuan, 649 million yuan, and 786 million yuan, with growth rates of 35.70%, 26.60%, and 21.20% respectively [5]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the performance and financial metrics of Wuxi Zhenhua Automotive Parts Co., Ltd., highlighting its growth in revenue and net profit in the automotive parts sector [2] - Wuxi Zhenhua has established itself as a key supplier for major automotive brands, including SAIC Motor, Tesla, and Xiaomi, showcasing its competitive position in the market [2] - The company has a concentrated shareholder structure, with the top ten shareholders holding 69.61% of the shares, indicating strong ownership alignment [2] Group 2 - The N Zhenzhen convertible bond has seen a significant price increase of 30.0%, reaching 130.0 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 4.3875 million yuan [1] - The convertible bond has a credit rating of "AA-" and a maturity period of six years, with a structured interest rate that increases over time, culminating in a redemption price of 113 yuan [1] - The conversion price for the bond is set at 31.98 yuan, with the conversion period starting on December 24, 2025, providing potential upside for investors [1]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - The target price of Xizhen Convertible Bond on the first day of listing is estimated to be between 130 - 134 yuan, and investors are advised to actively subscribe. The expected first - day new - bond lottery winning rate is around 0.0019% - 0.0031%. The project funded by the raised capital is in line with industry trends, which can enhance the company's market competitiveness and optimize its capital structure [3][4]. Summary by Directory 1. Tin Zhen Convertible Bond New - Issue Analysis and Investment Recommendations 1.1 Convertible Bond Basic Terms Analysis - The issuance methods of Xizhen Convertible Bond are priority placement and online issuance. Its bond and issuer ratings are AA-. The issuance scale is 520 million yuan, the initial conversion price is 31.98 yuan, the bond parity is 100.66 yuan, and the pure bond value is 95.25 yuan. The game terms (lower - revision, redemption, and put - back) are normal. Overall, the bond has average issuance scale and liquidity, decent rating, and good bond - floor protection. It is easy for institutions to include it in their portfolios, and there is no objection to primary - market participation [2][15]. 1.2 New - Bond Initial Listing Price Analysis - The company's main businesses include stamping parts, sub - assembly processing, selective precision electroplating processing, and mold businesses. The raised funds will be mainly used for the "Langfang Zhenhua Quanjingshen Auto Parts Project" and to supplement working capital. Considering the market environment and parity level, the conversion premium rate on the first day of listing is expected to be in the range of [29%, 33%], corresponding to a target price of around 130 - 134 yuan [3][18][19]. 1.3 Convertible Bond New - Issue Lottery Winning Rate Analysis - The expected first - day new - bond lottery winning rate is around 0.0019% - 0.0031%. Assuming an old - shareholder placement ratio of 50% - 70%, the scale available for the market is 157 million - 261 million yuan. Assuming 8.36 million online valid subscription accounts, the lottery winning rate is estimated within the above range [4][20]. 2. Underlying Stock Fundamental Analysis 2.1 Company's Main Business and Industry Up - and Downstream Situations - The company's main businesses are stamping parts, sub - assembly processing, selective precision electroplating processing, and mold businesses. The upstream industries mainly include production equipment manufacturers and raw material suppliers such as steel and aluminum. The downstream industry is the automotive industry. China's automotive industry is in the popularization stage with large growth potential, which will drive the development of the auto - parts industry [21][22]. 2.2 Company's Operating Conditions - The company's recent operating income has been on the rise. From 2022 to Q1 2025, the operating income was 1.881 billion yuan, 2.317 billion yuan, 2.531 billion yuan, and 600 million yuan respectively, with year - on - year growth rates of 18.9%, 23.19%, 9.23%, and 22.48%. The comprehensive gross margin has been increasing year by year. The net profit attributable to the parent company has also been rising annually. The company's profitability has been on an upward trend [25][28][37]. 2.3 Company's Equity Structure and Major Subsidiaries - As of the end of 2024, the company's equity structure was relatively concentrated. The top two shareholders, Wuxi Junrun and Qian Ben, held 27.53% and 22.37% of the shares respectively, with a combined shareholding ratio of 49.9%. The top ten shareholders held a combined 72.63% of the shares. The company has 9 wholly - owned subsidiaries [41]. 2.4 Company's Business Characteristics and Advantages - The company has advantages in technology R & D, production equipment, customer resources, industry matching, and management. It has 148 patents, advanced production equipment, stable cooperation with well - known automakers, significant industry - matching advantages, and an effective management system [44][45][48]. 2.5 Allocation of the Raised Funds - The company plans to issue convertible bonds to raise up to 520 million yuan. 420 million yuan will be invested in the "Langfang Zhenhua Quanjingshen Auto Parts Project", and 100 million yuan will be used to supplement working capital. The project, with a total investment of 648 million yuan, will increase the company's overall production capacity. After reaching full production, it will have an annual production capacity of 500,000 sets of auto parts [49].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided regarding the industry investment rating in the report. 2. Core Views - The Xizhen Convertible Bond (111022.SH) began online subscription on June 18, 2025, with a total issuance scale of 520 million yuan. After deducting issuance fees, the net raised funds will be used for the Langfang Zhenhua Quanjing Shen Automobile Parts Project [4]. - The current bond floor valuation is 95.23 yuan, with a YTM of 2.81%. The convertible bond has a 6 - year term, and its pure - bond value offers good protection [4]. - The current conversion parity is 100.3 yuan, with a parity premium rate of - 0.31%. The conversion period is from December 24, 2025, to June 17, 2031 [4]. - The bond terms are standard, and the total equity dilution rate is 6.11%, with a relatively small dilution pressure on the equity [4]. - It is estimated that the listing price of the Xizhen Convertible Bond on the first day will be between 123.58 and 137.42 yuan, and the subscription success rate is expected to be 0.0018%. It is recommended to subscribe actively [4]. - Wuxi Zhenhua's main business includes stamping parts, sub - assembly processing, mold, and selective precision electroplating processing. The company has a complete technical system and stable cooperation with many well - known customers [4]. - Since 2019, the company's revenue and net profit attributable to the parent have been growing steadily, with a compound growth rate of 10.23% and 27.23% respectively from 2019 - 2024 [4]. - The company's main business income accounts for a high proportion of total revenue, and the business is stable. The sales net profit margin and gross profit margin fluctuate, while the sales expense ratio remains low [4]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1. Convertible Bond Basic Information - The Xizhen Convertible Bond's issuance and subscription schedule is from June 16 to June 22, 2025, including steps such as prospectus publication, online roadshows, priority subscription for original shareholders, and online subscription [11]. - The basic terms of the convertible bond include a 6 - year term, a face value of 100 yuan, a coupon rate ranging from 0.20% to 2.30% from the first to the sixth year, and a redemption price of 113% of the face value at maturity. The conversion price is 31.98 yuan, and the conversion period is from December 24, 2025, to June 17, 2031 [12]. - The raised funds will be used for the Langfang Zhenhua Quanjing Shen Automobile Parts Project (420 million yuan) and working capital replenishment (100 million yuan) [13]. - The bond's pure - bond value is 117.80 yuan, with a pure - bond premium rate of - 15.11% and a YTM of 2.81%. The conversion parity is 101.78 yuan, with a parity premium rate of - 1.75% [13][14]. 3.2. Investment Subscription Recommendations - Based on comparable targets and empirical results, considering the good bond floor protection, rating, and scale attractiveness of the Xizhen Convertible Bond, it is estimated that the first - day listing conversion premium rate will be around 30%, and the listing price will be between 123.58 and 137.42 yuan [16][17]. - It is estimated that the original shareholders' priority subscription ratio will be 70.89%, and the online subscription success rate will be 0.0018% [18]. 3.3. Underlying Stock Fundamental Analysis 3.3.1. Financial Data Analysis - Wuxi Zhenhua's main business consists of stamping parts, sub - assembly processing, mold, and selective precision electroplating processing. The company has a complete technical system and stable cooperation with many customers [19]. - From 2019 to 2024, the company's revenue and net profit attributable to the parent have grown steadily, with a compound growth rate of 10.23% and 27.23% respectively. In 2024, the net profit attributable to the parent was 378 million yuan, a year - on - year increase of 36.30% [21]. - The main business income accounts for a high proportion of total revenue, and the business is stable. The sales net profit margin and gross profit margin fluctuate, while the sales expense ratio remains low, and the financial expense ratio is slightly higher than the industry average [24]. 3.3.2. Company Highlights - Wuxi Zhenhua has a complete stamping and welding technology system, covering the entire process from pre - process design analysis and stamping mold research and development to post - stamping and welding technology, forming a unique competitive advantage [32]. - The company has established long - term stable cooperation relationships with many well - known domestic and foreign vehicle manufacturers [32]. - In 2023, the company added the selective precision electroplating processing business through the acquisition of Wuxi Kaixiang, becoming a new profit growth point [33].