Core Viewpoint - The battery sector is experiencing a significant surge driven by four key factors: strong increases in lithium carbonate futures, unexpected growth in energy storage demand, improvements in industry profitability, and a return of institutional funds [1][9]. Supply Side: Frequent Disruptions and Tightening Expectations - Domestic mining recovery and approval processes are slower than expected, with the first environmental assessment for the Jiangxia Wozhong lithium mine by CATL indicating a lengthy approval and recovery timeline, reinforcing supply tightness expectations [1][9]. - Australian lithium prices remain above $1,200 per ton, providing cost support for domestic lithium prices, while potential mining activity suspensions in countries like Nigeria raise concerns about global lithium supply volatility [2][10]. - The market is facing historically low inventory levels of lithium carbonate, with traders reluctant to sell due to high previous costs, further tightening supply dynamics as seasonal reductions in production occur in regions like Qinghai [3][10]. Demand Side: Explosive Energy Storage Growth and Battery Demand Recovery - The domestic energy storage market continues to thrive, with a 98.3% year-on-year increase in EPC bidding scale in November, and significant demand growth in key regions like Europe, Australia, and North America [3][11]. - Goldman Sachs predicts a staggering 48.7% growth in lithium carbonate demand from the energy storage sector by 2026, with energy storage expected to surpass power batteries as the largest demand source in the first quarter [3][11]. - The demand for power batteries is also showing marginal improvement, supported by policies like the "old-for-new" vehicle exchange and continued tax exemptions, which bolster consumer confidence and stabilize production schedules [4][11]. Funding and Sentiment: Institutional Upgrades and Fund Inflows - Major institutions, including JPMorgan, have significantly raised their lithium price forecasts, with JPMorgan increasing its 2026 target price for lithium carbonate from 70,000 yuan per ton to 90,000 yuan per ton, indicating a projected supply gap in the global lithium market for 2025-2026 [4][12]. - The funding landscape is characterized by a strong bullish sentiment, with institutional funds flowing back into lithium resources and battery sectors, leading to a concentration of long positions in the lithium futures market [5][12]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology's efforts to address "involutionary competition" in the industry are expected to improve battery price rationality and enhance profitability expectations for battery companies, further supporting the bullish outlook on lithium prices [5][12]. Market Outlook - In the short term, supply disruptions and high growth in energy storage demand are direct catalysts for price increases; in the medium to long term, sustained demand from energy storage and power batteries, coupled with limited growth in global lithium supply, is likely to maintain an upward trend in lithium carbonate prices [6][12].

12月12日，碳中和ETF（159790）翻红上涨0.13%，持仓股特变电工涨超6%，德业股份涨超3%， 阿特斯涨超2%。 （责任编辑：张晓波 ） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com 碳中和ETF（159790）是全市场规模最大的碳中和主题ETF基金。跟踪中证内地低碳经济主题指 数，聚焦电池、电力、光伏设备等低碳主题公司，受益于国家"3060"碳达峰、碳中和，相关新能源、节 能环保公司，业绩增长空间广阔。指数覆盖社会经济各领域与减碳相关的行业及企业，便于投资者精准 全面把握市场热点。 每日经济新闻 消息面，中央经济工作会议12月10日至12月11日在北京举行。会议指出，坚持"双碳"引领，推动全 面绿色转型。深入推进重点行业节能降碳改造。制定能源强国建设规划纲要，加快新型能源体系建设， 扩大绿电应用。加强全国碳排放权交易市场建设。实施固体废物综合治理行动，深入打好蓝天、碧水、 净土保卫战，强化新 ...

2025年11月27日，新能源概念股再度走强，碳中和ETF（159790）翻红上涨0.92%，持仓股迈为股 份涨超8%，璞泰来涨超3%，中国宝安涨超2%。资金面上，碳中和ETF（159790）连续四日获资金持续 布局超2800万元。 每日经济新闻 （责任编辑：张晓波 ） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com 中银证券认为，四季度是新能源汽车销售旺季，预计 2025 年国内新能源汽车销量同比保持高增， 将带动电池和材料需求增长。 相关产品： 碳中和ETF（159790）是全市场规模最大的碳中和主题ETF基金。跟踪中证内地低碳经济主题指 数，聚焦电池、电力、光伏设备等低碳主题公司，受益于国家"3060"碳达峰、碳中和，相关新能源、节 能环保公司，业绩增长空间广阔。指数覆盖社会经济各领域与减碳相关的行业及企业，便于投资者精准 全面把握市场热点。 ...

11月11日，光伏、储能概念反复活跃，碳中和ETF（159790）翻红上涨0.12%，持仓股阿特斯涨超8%， 新宙邦涨超5%，迈为股份、晶盛机电涨超2%。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 消息面上，11月10日，国家发改委、国家能源局发布关于促进新能源消纳和调控的指导意见。其中提 到，大力推进技术先进、安全高效的新型储能建设；到2030年，满足全国每年新增2亿千瓦以上新能源 合理消纳需求，助力实现碳达峰目标。 国金证券认为，随着新能源消纳政策落地，科技行业发展的短缺环节已从海外算力基础设施，过渡到中 国更具优势的电力、制造与泛基础设施领域，电力设备板块可能成为市场新热点。 ...

Group 1 - The A-share market indices weakened, while the Carbon Neutrality ETF (159790) rose by 0.12%, with notable increases in holdings such as Arctech Solar up over 8%, Trina Solar up over 6%, and TBEA up over 4% [1] - The 14th Five-Year Plan emphasizes the promotion of carbon peak and carbon neutrality, focusing on distributed energy development, zero-carbon factories, and expanding the national carbon emission trading market [1] - Huatai Securities believes that the plan's focus on distributed energy development, along with requirements for energy infrastructure construction, will provide feasible pathways for green electricity connection and consumption assessment [1] Group 2 - The Carbon Neutrality ETF (159790) is the largest carbon neutrality-themed ETF in the market, tracking the China Securities Low Carbon Economy Index, and focuses on low-carbon theme companies in sectors such as batteries, electricity, and photovoltaic equipment [2] - The ETF benefits from the national "3060" carbon peak and carbon neutrality goals, indicating broad growth potential for related new energy and energy-saving environmental protection companies [2] - The index covers various sectors related to carbon reduction, allowing investors to grasp market hotspots comprehensively [2]

10月22日，碳中和ETF（159790）低开1.06%，持仓股金风科技、明阳智能、锦浪科技翻红。 中信证券表示，随着欧洲加速推进战略自主，其大规模财政支出计划有望带来机遇，能源设备、工程机 械和关键材料或为中国企业潜在合作切入点。对于欧盟此次提出将清洁技术制造能力提升至全球技术市 场份额的15%的目标，可能会促使中国相关企业加强与欧盟在清洁能源领域的合作，共同推动技术创新 和产业发展 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 消息面，近日欧盟委员会发布《欧盟全球气候与能源愿景》，提出一系列气候和能源领域的行动计划， 旨在推动向清洁能源转型，增强产业国际竞争力。文件提出，将把欧盟清洁技术制造能力提升至全球技 术市场份额的15%。 ...

每日经济新闻 信达证券认为，反内卷政策的执行核心集中于产能调控与价格引导，或将催生双重拐点。一是有望推动 产能过剩下行拐点出现，二是随着产能过剩化解进程加快，PPI也有望迎来上行拐点。不过，"反内 卷"过程中可能出现制造业增长动能阶段性衰减的情况，若能辅以有效的扩大需求举措，本轮"反内 卷"政策的持续落地有望为资本市场带来牛市支撑。 相关产品：碳中和ETF（159790）是全市场规模最大的碳中和主题ETF基金。跟踪中证内地低碳经济主 题指数，聚焦电池、电力、光伏设备等低碳主题公司，受益于国家"3060"碳达峰、碳中和，相关新能 源、节能环保公司，业绩增长空间广阔。指数覆盖社会经济各领域与减碳相关的行业及企业，便于投资 者精准全面把握市场热点。 2025年10月16日，碳中和ETF（159790）上涨0.52%，持仓股阳光电源涨超5%，天赐材料、锦浪科技涨 超2%。在反内卷加持下，今年以来碳中和ETF（159790）年内涨幅超30%。 ...

回撤方面，截至2025年9月23日，碳中和ETF近半年相对基准回撤0.12%，在可比基金中回撤风险较低。 回撤后修复天数为92天，在可比基金中回撤后修复最快。 费率方面，碳中和ETF管理费率为0.50%，托管费率为0.10%。 跟踪精度方面，截至2025年9月23日，碳中和ETF近1月跟踪误差为0.010%，在可比基金中跟踪精度最 高。 碳中和ETF紧密跟踪中证内地低碳经济主题指数，中证内地低碳经济主题指数由清洁能源发电、能源转 换及存储、清洁生产及消费与废物处理等公司组成，以反映低碳经济主题上市公司证券的整体表现。 流动性方面，碳中和ETF（159790）盘中换手1.1%，成交2275.92万元。拉长时间看，截至9月23日，碳 中和ETF近1月日均成交6035.22万元，居可比基金第一。 规模方面，碳中和ETF本月以来规模增长151.70万元，实现显著增长。 数据显示，杠杆资金持续布局中。碳中和ETF最新融资买入额达267.60万元，最新融资余额达1329.83万 元。 截至9月23日，碳中和ETF近1年净值上涨46.06%，居可比基金前2。从收益能力看，截至2025年9月23 日，碳中和ETF自成立以来， ...

Group 1 - The A-share market experienced a decline with over 4,300 stocks falling, while the Carbon Neutrality ETF (159790) rose against the trend, achieving a trading volume exceeding 24 million and a total scale of 2 billion [1] - The recent issuance of the document "Opinions on Promoting Green and Low-Carbon Transition and Strengthening National Carbon Market Construction" marks the first central government document in China's carbon market sector, outlining a long-term development timetable, roadmap, and tasks for the national carbon market [1] - Over four years of development, the national carbon market has shown stable progress and operation, achieving significant results, with the "14th Five-Year Plan" energy achievements on track [1] Group 2 - The Carbon Neutrality ETF (159790) is the largest carbon neutrality-themed ETF in the market, tracking the China Securities Low-Carbon Economy Theme Index, focusing on companies in batteries, electricity, and photovoltaic equipment [2] - The ETF benefits from the national "3060" carbon peak and carbon neutrality goals, with substantial growth potential for related new energy and energy-saving environmental protection companies [2] - The index covers various sectors and enterprises related to carbon reduction, allowing investors to accurately grasp market hotspots [2]

Group 1 - The A-share market saw a significant rise on August 26, 2025, with all three major indices turning positive, and the Carbon Neutrality ETF (159790) increasing by 0.32% with a trading volume exceeding 74 million yuan [1] - The Carbon Neutrality ETF (159790) is the largest carbon neutrality-themed ETF in the market, tracking the China Securities Low Carbon Economy Theme Index, focusing on companies in battery, electricity, and photovoltaic equipment sectors [2] - The ETF benefits from the national "3060" carbon peak and carbon neutrality goals, indicating a broad growth potential for related new energy and energy-saving environmental protection companies [2]