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宏观策略研究:两会期待:科技+内需双轮驱动
Yuan Da Xin Xi· 2026-03-02 07:36
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report emphasizes the dual drive of technology and domestic demand in China's economic development, particularly in the context of the upcoming "15th Five-Year Plan" [2][34] - Historical policies from the National People's Congress (NPC) have evolved from focusing on expanding domestic demand and reform to promoting innovation and common prosperity, aligning with the current global economic environment [1][18] - The report outlines that the stock market typically experiences an upward trend before the NPC, fluctuates during the meetings, and rebounds afterward, indicating a strong correlation between policy announcements and market performance [2][24] Group 2 - Expectations for the upcoming NPC include a more proactive and focused policy structure, with an emphasis on stabilizing growth and adjusting the economic structure, where technology and domestic demand are seen as the biggest winners [2][34] - The report identifies key investment themes for 2026, including technology (especially AI), consumption, green energy, and cyclical sectors, suggesting that these areas will benefit from policy support and economic recovery [3][34] - The anticipated legislative review of the "Ecological Environment Code" is highlighted as a significant milestone for integrating green development into legal practice, indicating a strong focus on sustainable investment opportunities [3][34]
扩大进口,七部门联合发布!
Jin Rong Shi Bao· 2026-02-26 09:26
日前,商务部等7部门联合发布修订版《鼓励进口服务目录》(以下简称《目录》)。商务部、国家发展改革委、财政部、生态环境部、国家知识产权局 2019年第14号公告同时废止。 "《目录》是引导和支持服务贸易创新发展的重要政策性文件,是我国主动扩大进口、实现高质量发展的重要举措。"商务部服贸司负责人解读称,本次修 订增加了鼓励进口有利于产业发展和公众健康的服务内容,对原有鼓励进口服务内容进行了优化调整,对促进相关领域产业发展、提高人民生活品质、推 动高质量发展和高水平开放具有重要意义。 扩大优质服务进口 修订鼓励进口服务目录 根据文件编制说明,2016年8月,商务部、国家发展改革委、财政部等三部门共同发布了《鼓励进口服务目录》。2019年3月,商务部、国家发展改革委、 财政部、生态环境部、国家知识产权局等五部门共同对目录进行修订并发布。2024年8月,《国务院办公厅关于以高水平开放推动服务贸易高质量发展的 意见》(国办发〔2024〕44号)要求,扩大优质服务进口,修订鼓励进口服务目录。为贯彻落实党中央、国务院决策部署,根据发展需要,特调整制订本 《目录》。 商务部服贸司负责人表示,自2024年启动新一轮《目录》修订工 ...
广西百色工业总产值突破2500亿元
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2026-02-26 06:13
百色以最大诚意和最实举措,主动做好协调服务,及时解决企业"急难愁盼"和急需解决的堵点问题,高 效落实要素保障,以优良的营商环境厚植投资兴业沃土,吸引了众多企业到百色投资兴业。"十四五"期 间,全市新增上规工业企业459家,开工建设重大工业项目330个以上,竣工投产重大工业项目260个以 上,完成工业投资超过1031亿元,年均增长16.3%。 2025年,广西百色市以创新驱动为引领,以项目建设为支撑,全力扩大工业投资,优化服务保障,推动 工业经济总量快速增长、结构持续优化、动能加快转换,工业投资增长14.3%,工业总产值突破2500亿 元大关,成为全区第五个工业产值超2000亿元的设区市,总量较2020年增长106.7%。 "十四五"以来,百色充分利用资源禀赋,聚焦重点发展的新型生态铝产业、林业产业、新能源、新材料 等"四大主导产业"开展精准招商,先后引进中车新能源装备制造、中南光电光伏发电产业园、上海榕融 氧化铝连续纤维制品等重点产业项目超290个,累计完成工业投资1000亿元,主要涉及有色金属、新能 源、新材料、节能环保、装备制造、林木加工等行业。 为着力构建现代产业体系,百色始终坚持围绕加快传统产业高端化 ...
2月EPMI数据带来哪些增量信息
GF SECURITIES· 2026-02-25 09:45
[Table_Page] 宏观经济研究报告 2026 年 2 月 25 日 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 广发宏观 2 月 EPMI 数据带来哪些增量信息 [Tabl e_Author] 分析师: 郭磊 分析师: 王丹 SAC 执证号:S0260516070002 SFC CE.no: BNY419 SAC 执证号:S0260521040001 021-38003572 guolei@gf.com.cn bjwangdan@gf.com.cn 请注意,王丹并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员会的注册持牌人,不可在香港从事受监管活动。 [Table_Summary] 报告摘要: ⚫ 2 月战略性新兴产业采购经理人指数(EPMI)环比下降 5.4 个点至 44.6。春节所在月份的季节性是 EPMI 下行 的主要原因,与历史上春节位于 2 月中旬的年份相比,今年 EPMI 环比降幅小于 2021 年、基本持平于 2024 年、弱于 2015 和 2018 年的环比小幅上行。中观景气面同样回落,7 大细分行业中仅新能源行业位于景气扩张 区间。 据中采咨询(下同),2 月战略性新兴产业采购经理人指数(EPMI)环 ...
EPMI新兴产业综述报告202602:首次9天假,订单较强库存新低
中采咨询· 2026-02-25 05:15
月度分析报告·综述 EPMI 新兴产业综述报告 202602 首次 9 天假,订单较强库存新低 2026 年 2 月 25 日 月度分析报告 数据概况 中采咨询、科技部中国科学技术发展战略研究院联合发布,2 月份 中国战略性新兴产业采购经理指数(Emerging Industries PMI)为 44.6, 比上月回落 5.4 个百分点。 数据点评 中采咨询于颖认为:"2026 年 2 月,新兴产业 EPMI 回落至 44.6%, 环比值与往年春节月份持平。今年春节假期落在 2 月中下旬,打乱了调 研时间表,且今年 9 天春节长假历史首次,因此本月因生产很少导致 PMI 读数较低很正常,且分项反映产业韧性较强。从三个月与两个月均 值看,EPMI 都不弱于历史可比的同期,而新订单的环比值高于历史可 比同期。本月,生产量、产品订货分别回落至 38.9%和 42.8%;产需比 大幅收窄至-3.9,当然这是因生产大幅减少而导致,但同时可看出订单 不弱;再观察现有订货 34.3%,需求端虽强于生产端,但也同步受到大 幅压制;出口订单继续回落 8.1 个百分点至 36.6%,回落幅度高于新订 中采咨询版权所有,数据分析有 ...
【锋行链盟】科创板IPO上市规则及核心要点
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-24 16:14
科创板作为服务科技创新企业的重要平台,自2019年设立以来,以"注册制"为核心,强调"包容性""市场化"和"强监管",其上市规则与传统板块(如主板、 创业板)存在显著差异。以下从定位与行业范围、上市条件、发行与审核机制、信息披露与持续监管、退市制度、投资者适当性六大维度梳理核心要点: 一、科创板定位与行业范围 科创板聚焦"硬科技",服务于符合国家战略、突破关键核心技术、市场认可度高的科技创新企业。 重点支持行业:新一代信息技术(如集成电路、人工智能)、高端装备、新材料、新能源、节能环保、生物医药,以及其他符合科创板定位的领域。 禁止类行业:金融、投资类企业,房地产,模式创新(如单纯电商、O2O)等非硬科技企业。 二、上市条件:五套差异化标准(市值+财务指标) 科创板实行交易所审核+中国证监会注册的分层审核机制,强调"以信息披露为中心",审核重点从"盈利能力"转向"科创属性"与"信息披露真实性"。 1. 审核流程 时间周期:通常3-6个月(不含反馈回复时间)。 2. 科创属性评价 需符合"3+5"指标(常规指标+例外条款): 科创板允许未盈利企业上市,设置五套标准(满足其一即可),核心围绕"市值"与"财务/研发 ...
中材节能(603126.SH):目前未涉及太空光伏业务
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-24 07:45
格隆汇2月24日丨中材节能(603126.SH)在投资者互动平台表示,公司目前未涉及太空光伏业务。 ...
【锋行链盟】科创板IPO全流程解析
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-16 16:10
科创板IPO(首次公开募股)流程严格遵循中国证监会、上海证券交易所(上交所)的监管要求,覆盖从前期筹备到上市后持续 监管的全周期。以下是所有核心环节的详细拆解,按时间顺序梳理: 一、前期筹备阶段(Pre-IPO) 1. 企业自我评估与战略决策 科创板IPO需4类核心中介协同: 3. 初步尽职调查与问题整改 二、辅导备案与辅导阶段 1. 辅导备案 企业与保荐机构签订《辅导协议》后,向当地证监局提交辅导备案材料(包括辅导方案、中介机构资质等),证监局受理 后启动辅导期(通常≥3个月)。 2. 辅导实施 3. 辅导验收 三、申报与受理阶段 1. 申报材料制作 对照科创板定位("硬科技":新一代信息技术、高端装备、新材料、新能源、节能环保、生物医药等6大领域+符合科创属 性指标),评估是否符合上市条件。 决策层确定IPO目标,成立上市工作小组(由高管、财务、法务、券商等组成)。 2. 选聘中介机构 保荐机构(主承销商):负责整体协调、尽职调查、申报材料制作及后续发行承销(必须是证券公司,且具备保荐资 格)。 会计师事务所:负责财务审计(需具备证券期货相关业务资格)、内控鉴证。 律师事务所:负责法律合规审查、出具法律意 ...
廖家生:创新探索生态产品价值实现路径
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-14 07:30
Core Viewpoint - China Energy Conservation and Environmental Protection Group (China Energy Conservation) has achieved significant results in enhancing the efficiency of ecological resource conversion through innovative exploration of mechanisms and paths for realizing the value of ecological products, contributing to the wisdom and strength of state-owned enterprises [1] Group 1: Economic Transformation - Promoting the realization of ecological product value is crucial for facilitating a comprehensive green transformation of economic and social development [1] - The related industries of ecological products are becoming new growth poles for industrial development and transformation optimization, with examples including high-quality ecological agricultural products, eco-tourism, and clean energy [1] - New business formats such as organic agriculture, ecological health care, and carbon neutrality services are emerging, providing strong support for the optimization and upgrading of industrial structures [1] Group 2: Regional Development - Cross-regional ecological compensation and industrial cooperation can effectively integrate regional ecological resources, promoting overall protection and restoration of ecosystems [2] - Different regions are developing characteristic ecological industries based on their resource endowments, such as eco-tourism and clean energy in the western regions, and high-end ecological product industries in the eastern regions [2] - The shift from a GDP-centric evaluation system to a dual evaluation system of "ecology + economy" is being explored, incorporating the value of ecological products into economic accounting [2] Group 3: Innovative Development Models - China Energy Conservation is innovating and exploring new paths for ecological priority and green development, establishing a full-chain conversion system from ecological resources to ecological assets and capital [3] - Various industry landing models have been explored, including "pollution control + ecological product development" and "renewable energy + ecological agriculture," achieving good results [3] Group 4: Practical Applications - The company is promoting ecological protection and economic development through systematic pollution control and ecological restoration, creating demonstration projects for the realization of ecological product value [4] - In the solid waste resource utilization sector, a governance system has been innovatively constructed, achieving synergy between waste disposal and ecological agriculture [4] - Successful examples include the processing of 100,000 tons of distiller's grains and 60,000 tons of waste liquid annually, generating 21 million cubic meters of biogas [4] Group 5: Rural Revitalization - The company is exploring new models for rural ecological revitalization, such as the "photovoltaic + smart agriculture" model, which effectively drives local industrial development and farmer employment [5] - Demonstration projects like the 20 MW photovoltaic agricultural greenhouse in Shaanxi integrate photovoltaic power generation, agricultural production, and tourism [5] Group 6: Challenges and Recommendations - The realization of ecological product value faces challenges such as an imperfect policy system and insufficient technical talent support [6] - Recommendations include improving financial and tax policies to support ecological industries, establishing special funds for key technology research, and encouraging financial institutions to develop ecological asset credit loans [6] - Strengthening technological and talent support is essential, with increased investment in key areas like ecological restoration and green energy [6] Group 7: Strengthening Industry Leadership - Central enterprises should leverage their advantages in funding, technology, and industry chain integration to address issues of small and weak ecological industries [7] - The establishment of an ecological product value realization alliance is suggested to create standards for production, evaluation, and trading of ecological products [7]
瑞晨环保2025年预亏,机构持仓现调整
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2026-02-13 06:13
截至2025年9月30日,机构持仓显示诺安多策略混合A增持至57.69万股,中信保诚多策略混合等新进十 大流通股东,而华夏磐泰混合退出。股东变化可能暗示机构对细分领域的配置调整。 此外,公司处于节能环保行业,长期受"双碳"政策支持,但需关注其盈利改善进度和行业竞争态势。 以上内容基于公开资料整理,不构成投资建议。 资金动向 2026年1月9日,公司出现主力资金净流入30.99万元,同期股价上涨2.61%,反映短期市场情绪受中小盘 题材活跃和政策预期推动。资金面变化可能对股价稳定性产生影响。 机构持仓分析 经济观察网瑞晨环保(301273)(301273.SZ)近期发布2025年业绩预告,预计归母净利润亏损5500万元 至7500万元,主要受行业竞争加剧、毛利率下降及期间费用增加影响。该预告是评估公司盈利修复进展 的关键节点。 ...